Bitcoin Cash 💶 Analysis #12/50Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
BCH has been stuck inside a big range between the 100.0 support and 150.0 resistance.
Now BCH is approaching the lower bound / support zone so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes
Moreover, the red trendline is acting as a non-horizontal support.
🏹 So the highlighted blue arrow is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue 100 support and red trendline.
As per my trading style:
As BCH approaches the lower blue arrow, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
TERM
OIL INDIA Clearly the most undervalued stock (with P/E ratio under 3) as compared to other stocks of this sector oil and gas industry ⛽
My avg. Buy at 180
Key Notes as:
Cmp 240
Book value 340+
EPS 80+
ROE 20+
Face value 10
Good Q3 results
Decreasing Public holding
Increased Mutual fund holding
Formation of ABC pattern (Sea horse)
TGT 325-350+
SL BELOW 220-200
So approx. 1:4 setup ready for medium term
Good risk:reward setup
Note: Just an idea not any recommendation to buy or sell the particular stock entity mentioned here ..
Cash flow vibrationsIn the previous post we started to analyze the Cash flow statement. From it, we learned about the existence of three cash flows - operating cash flow, financial cash flow, and investment cash flow. Like three rivers, they fill the company's "lake of cash" (that is, they go with a "+" sign).
However, there are three other rivers that flow out of our lake, preventing it from expanding indefinitely. What are their names? They have absolutely identical names: operating cash flow, financial cash flow, and investment cash flow (and they go with a "-" sign). Why so? Because all of the company's outgoing payments can also be divided into these three rivers:
Operating payments include the purchase of raw materials, the payment of wages - everything related to the production and support of the product.
Financial payments include repayment of debt and interest on it, payment of dividends, or buyback of shares from shareholders.
Investment payments include the purchase of non-current assets (say, the purchase of additional buildings or shares in another company).
If the inflows from the three rivers on the left are greater than the outflows into the rivers on the right, then our lake will increase in volume, meaning that the company's cash balances will grow.
If the outflows into the three rivers on the right are greater than the inflows from the rivers on the left, the lake will become shallow and eventually dry up.
So, the cash flow statement shows how much our lake has increased or decreased over the period (quarter or year). This report can be presented as four entries:
Each value of A, B, and C is the difference between what came into our lake from the river and what flowed out of the lake by the river of the same name. That is, the value can be either positive or negative.
How can we interpret the meanings of the different flows? Let's break down each of them.
Operating cash flow . In a fundamentally strong company, it is the most stable and powerful river. The implication is that it should be the main source of "water" for our lake. Negative operating cash flow is an indicator of serious problems with the business because it means it is not generating money.
Investment cash flow . This is the most unpredictable river, as sometimes it can be very powerful and sometimes it can flow like a thin trickle. This is due to the fact that the purchase or sale of non-current assets (recall that these may be buildings, equipment, shares in other companies) does not occur as regularly as operational activities. A sudden negative investment flow tells us about some big purchase. Shareholders do not always view such events positively, as they may consider it an unwise expenditure or a threat to dividend payments. Therefore, they may start to sell their shares, which causes their price to drop. If a big purchase is perceived as an opportunity to reach the next level and capture more market share, then we may see exactly the opposite effect - an increase in share price.
Financial cash flow . A negative value of this cash flow can be seen as a very positive signal because it means that the company is either actively reducing its debt to creditors, or using the money to pay dividends, or spending the money to buy its own stock (*), or maybe all of these together.
(*) Here you may ask, why would a company buy its own stock? Management sometimes does this when they are confident in the success of their business and want to support the growth of their stock. The company becomes a major buyer of its own stock for some time so that it begins to grow. The process itself is called share buyback .
Positive financial cash flow, on the other hand, signals either an increase in debt or the sale of its own stock. As far as debt is concerned, you can't say that loans are bad for business. But there has to be a measure. But the sale by a company of its own shares is already an alarming signal to the current shareholders. It means that the company doesn't have enough money coming out of operating cash flow.
There is another type of cash flow that is not a separate "river," but is used as information about how much cash the company has left to meet its obligations to creditors and shareholders. This is Free cash flow .
It is simple to calculate: just subtract one of the components of the investment cash flow from the operating cash flow. This component is called Capital expenditures (often abbreviated as CAPEX). Capital expenditures include outgoing payments that go toward the purchase of non-current assets , such as land, buildings, equipment, etc.
(Free cash flow = Operating cash flow - Capital expenditures)
Free cash flow can be characterized as the "living" money that a company has created over a period, which can be used to repay loans, pay dividends, and buyback stocks from shareholders. If free cash flow is very weak or even negative, it is a reason for creditors, shareholders and investors to think about how the company is doing business.
This concludes my discussion of the cash flow statement topic. Next time, let's talk about the magic ratios that you can get from a company's financial statements. They greatly facilitate the process of fundamental analysis and are widely used by investors around the world. We will talk about the so-called Financial Ratios . See you soon!
BTC Weekly: Long-Term Bullish Shark Harmonic?Lets take a look at the BTC weekly chart technicals:
RSI is at major lows
Repeated testing of 17k support
Signs reversal on the MACD+Stoch indicators
Increased buy volume on BTC/USDT for KuCoin and Binance
For chart analysis, we can see we are nearing the red line at the bottom, which represents the lowest possible trend floor at around 5.5k along with other support lines at 17k and 10k.
We could see a breakout from the large, declining triangle pattern which I believe is a Bullish Shark Harmonic Pattern . If it proves a valid reversal indicator we could see a good rally from around $12k - $13k. This is my observational opinion.
Alternatively, we could see it test the 10k mark support line below the triangle before a confident reversal signal! I believe this is a more bearish view, but possible.
If we look at market cap indicators, TOTAL, TOTAL1 and TOTAL2, we can see buying volume is higher for BTC relative to altcoints, indicating a possible influx to the largest cap currencies such as ETH, XRP, ATOM, HBAR, etc.
Is This a DCA Oppertunity?
My TL;DR opinion? Neutral-bearish on the short-term, bullish on the long term. Cautiously engaging with solid DCA strategies from these prices.
If we take a look at the wider economy and political climate, there is a tremendous amount of uncertainty surround FIAT after the dollar’s overwhelming rally against the Euro, GBP, and JPY! Gold lost a key support level at $1,700, and major indicies such as NASDAQ are still underperforming.
Whilst crypto is classed as a high-risk asset, some investors are noticing this moment of stability compared to the rest of the global market. It is impossible to make a perfect prediction and we could absolutely see some Lower Lows on crypto before a relief rally.
Silver is a commodity on the radar that could be showing signs of a major upswing, although I have yet to do a confident analysis on it.
With all that said I would personally be comfortable DCAing into crypto from here over time, with the expectation of another respectable dip before a full reversal🙏
Note: Nothing posted constitutes as financial advice, or any form of advice, and is designed to inform and educate!
USDCAD - LT/MT Idea!CAD - LT/MT Idea!
We have a lot of dollar buying end of flows, end of month. We saw that in most of the majors shifting. What's really key to me is we are seeing US data take a hit US indices, it is time to take into consideration what could happen next with the FX majors. Here's a glimpse of what I think of CAD:
This chart is based purely on Technical aspect.
Currently we within the ranges - Highs: 1.37355 & Lows: 1.32485
A break of highs, we could be forming the pattern W / Break out of wedge/triangle formation
Target areas: 1.38885 & 1.41290
A break of the lows, we break below 50EMA + break out of pattern takes us to 200 EMA + TL
Target areas: 1.30270 & 1.27955
Take into consideration of other FX minor pairs such as CADCHF - Stuck within range, ready to break! There are great opportunities out there for us traders to take advantage, of.
Trade Journal
XRP - Long-Term View 🕝 Analysis #8/50Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
XRP has been overall bearish trading inside the falling brown channel.
XRP is currently rejecting a strong weekly support 0.30 so we will be looking for buy setups.
🏹 Long-Term: Left Chart
For the bulls to over from a long-term perspective, we need a weekly candle close above 0.6 which would be breaking both the last major high and upper brown trendline.
📉 Medium-Term: Right Chart
For the bulls to over from a medium-term perspective, we need a daily candle close above the orange zone 0.420. And as price approaches the 0.320 support we will be looking for short-term buy setups.
Which scenario do you think is more probable and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BITCOIN FUTURE PRICE BULLISH🔋🔋Market moves in waves (hence the name), basically WaveEdge is a support to help you analyse market PA. Its not a plain and simple signal indicator, it requires some input from the user. First you define the trend you're in and the timeframe you want to trade. My take is that we are in a strong momentum uptrend and I'm looking to trade medium term, that's why I was looking for green crosses on the medium term timeframe 12hr-1D. On the long term (weekly) timeframe we can see triangles showing up, hence why I believe we're in a strong uptrend.
ITC breakout finally?ITC has given a weekly closing above its supply zone of 260-265 after 3 years also breaking its previous 52 week high with very heavy volumes.
From the chart, it is clearly visible it is an inverted head and shoulder pattern and stock has given closing above its neckline.
Let's see whether it sustains the breakout and bring happy faces on many investors' face;)
Cash flow statement or Three great riversToday we're going to start taking apart the third and final report that the company publishes each quarter and year - it's Cash flow statement.
Remember, when we studied the balance sheet , we learned that one of the company's assets is cash in accounts. This is a very important asset because if the company doesn't have money in the account, it can't buy raw materials, pay employees' salaries, etc.
What, in general, is a "company" in the eyes of an accountant? These are assets that have been purchased on credit or with equity, for the purpose of earning a net income for its shareholders or investing that income in further growth.
That is, the source of cash in a company's account may be profits . But why do I say "may be"? The point is that it's possible to have a situation where profits are positive on the income statement, but there is no money physically in the account. To make sense of this, let's remember the workshop I use in all the examples. Suppose our master sold all of his boots on credit. That is, he was promised payment, but later. He ended up with a receivable in assets and, most interestingly, generated revenue. The accountant will calculate the revenue for these sales, despite the fact that the shop hasn't actually received the money yet. Then the accountant will deduct the expenses from the revenue, and the result will be a profit. But there is zero money in the account. So what should our master do? The orders are coming in, but there is nothing to pay for the raw materials. In such circumstances, while the master is waiting for the repayment of debts from customers, he himself borrows from the bank to top up his current account with money.
Now let us make his situation more complicated. Let us assume that the money borrowed he still does not have enough, and the bank does not give more. The only thing left is to sell some of his property, that is, some of his assets. Remember, when we took apart the assets of the workshop , the master had shares in an oil company. This is something he could sell without hurting the production process. Then there is enough money in the checking account to produce boots uninterrupted.
Of course, this is a wildly exaggerated example, since more often than not, profits are money, after all, and not the virtual records of an accountant. Nevertheless, I gave this example to make it clear that cash in the account and profit are related, but still different concepts.
So what does the cash flow statement show? Let's engage our imagination again. Imagine a lake with three rivers flowing into it on the left and three rivers flowing out on the right. That is, on one side the lake feeds on water, and on the other side it gives it away. So the asset called "cash" on the balance sheet is the lake. And the amount of cash is the amount of water in that lake. Let's now name the three rivers that feed our lake.
Let's call the first river the operating cash flow . When we receive the money from product sales, the lake is filled with water from the first river.
The second river on the left is called the financial cash flow . This is when we receive financing from outside, or, to put it simply, we borrow. Since this is money received into the company's account, it also fills our lake.
The third river let's call investment cash flow . This is the flow of money we get from the sale of the company's non-current assets. In the example with the master, these were assets in the form of oil company stock. Their sale led to the replenishment of our notional money lake.
So we have a lake of money, which is filled thanks to three flows: operational, financial, and investment. That sounds great, but our lake is not only getting bigger, but it's also getting smaller through the three outgoing flows. I'll tell you about that in my next post. See you soon!
BITCOIN NEXT TRADE BULLISH🔋🔋Market moves in waves (hence the name), basically WaveEdge is a support to help you analyse market PA. Its not a plain and simple signal indicator, it requires some input from the user. First you define the trend you're in and the timeframe you want to trade. My take is that we are in a strong momentum uptrend and I'm looking to trade medium term, that's why I was looking for green crosses on the medium term timeframe 12hr-1D. On the long term (weekly) timeframe we can see triangles showing up, hence why I believe we're in a strong uptrend.
Team Lease FinanceHello and welcome to this analysis
In the monthly time frame we can see two parallel channels running the path. The first one is a wider rising channel which has now come down to its lower end of the channel after completing a 1.6x fibonacci target. The second one is the narrower falling channel from its peak.
The decline appears to have come to a halt at the confluence of both the channels and after a brief period of consolidation its showing signs of resumption of uptrend.
SIP / accumulation between 2350-2700 with 2200 as failure of structure (channel will break below) for upside possibilities of 3500 and ATH appear a possibility.
A decent risk reward ratio for medium to long term investing.
CADJPY sell Short term Hi All,
following on from our last analysis on this pair, we can see price now forming a rising wedge and we have now completed a LH on D1, our bias is still bearish with caution as JPY fundamentally is not in the right path!.
With that been said we are looking at buy JPYs in the short term which means we will be bearish other currencies against the JPYs. There's not a lot of correlations but i can see similar patterns across board with the exception of UJ and GJ.
Entry and sl marked.
Like follow and share.
many thanks
ChFJPY Sell short termHi All,
following on from our last analysis on this pair, we can see price now forming a rising wedge and we have now completed a LH on D1, our bais is still bearish with caution as JPY fundamentally is not in the right path!.
With that been said we are looking at buy JPYs in the short term which means we will be bearish other currencies against the JPYs. There's not alot of correlations but i can see smiliar patterns across board with the exception of UJ and GJ.
Entry and sl marked.
Like follow and share.
many thanks
BITCOIN FUTURE PRICE BULLISH🔋🔋Market moves in waves (hence the name), basically WaveEdge is a support to help you analyse market PA. Its not a plain and simple signal indicator, it requires some input from the user. First you define the trend you're in and the timeframe you want to trade. My take is that we are in a strong momentum uptrend and I'm looking to trade medium term, that's why I was looking for green crosses on the medium term timeframe 12hr-1D. On the long term (weekly) timeframe we can see triangles showing up, hence why I believe we're in a strong uptrend.