MY MINIMALIST CHART ANALYSIS FOR $TERRA$LUNA
On a 4HR Chart
SHORT POSITION
06.30..22
1025H +8 SINGAPORE
Disclaimer:
The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the publisher of this idea and should not be taken as a piece of investment advice.
My Published Ideas are not 100% Accurate. There are many factors at a given time that can change the forecast.
ALERT:
My Bearish Bias: All white price notes are possible entries depending on future price action.
Based on VITAL SIGNS ( RSI, STOCH, VOL., MA VOL.) Looks healthy and is on a reversal of a trend.
Bitcoin is still bearish at this moment, but on a weekly, it has compressed too much and is about to reverse. Maybe we see a bull trap to further push it down or not. (See linked chart for $BTC)
1. We may see it climb further to 0.0007667 zone a FIB reversal, depending on the closing of the bar on its FIB retracement.
2. Trading ranges may develop between 0.00007478 - 0.00016300 before pushing upward, beyond our maximized target in the next few months.
3. Probable back to 0.00004226 trading ranges will take effect as smart money will try to wash out and rinse all the long positions after a bull trap on its way down.
4. Bitcoin is still bearish at this moment, but on a weekly, it has compressed too much and is about to reverse. Maybe we see a bull trap to further push it down or not. (See linked chart for $BTC)
Hoping that this BENTO BOX CHART ANALYSIS will efficiently help you with your DYOR as we Enter a NEW SWING CYCLE for LONG positions, either short, mid, or long term.
INSTRUCTIONS:
HOW TO USE THIS MINIMALIST CHART a.k.a (Bento Box)
"Follow the white rabbit!"
Just Follow the TOPS and BOTTOMS of the BOXES as a GUIDE to where the MARKET will take you.
TARGET ZONE IDENTIFICATION:
The LARGE BOXES (Tops and Bottoms) are MAJOR turning points that will occur sometime in the future. While the SMALL BOXES (Tops and Bottoms) are MINOR turning points.
These can be entries to a BUY/ SELL POSITION, EXIT/PARTIAL EXIT/TOP-UP AREAS, as well as Support and resistance levels
Also includes MAXIMUM TARGET EXIT AREA OF VALUE - CONSERVATIVE (If price action conditions are right at that given moment.)
If it cannot break a TOP or BOTTOM of a BOX, It signifies a reversal.
NOTE:
1. That PRICE TARGETS for ENTRY and EXITS are DYNAMIC and can CHANGE from time to time.
2. Created on a MONTHLY, WEEKLY & DAILY Analysis of a MARKET'S CHARACTER.
3. My BENTO BOXES are designed for SWING TRADES at the LOWEST or START of a SWING CYCLE.
4. At times I will include a WAY BEYOND PARABOLIC PRICE TARGET, depending on The Character of the Market (CRYPTOS ONLY).
5. DYOR for your Fundamentals, Volume, Chart Patterns, Candlestick Math, FIB COILS ( ABC ), Price Action, FIB LEVELS, Market Dynamics, AB=CD Pattern especially institutional and retailer trading psychology .
Wishing you all The Best Trades and Thank you all for your Appreciation and Support of My Work.
Much thanks to My 3 Mentors. They are so much of a Blessing that I also wish to share my knowledge.
Vive Le Autist!
Vive Le Diamond Hands!
Terraluna
Luna 2.0 Analyze (Symmetrical Triangle)!!!Luna 2 is running in Symmetrical Triangle and it was able to complete its pullback and I expect that it will go UP .
🔴 Resistance Zone 🔴 & 🟢 Support Zone 🟢 that we have in front of Luna 2 .
🔴 Resistance Zone 🔴: 2.38$ until 2.34$
🟢 Support Zone 🟢: 2.05$ until 2.00$
Terra Analyze ( LUNAUSDT ) Timeframe 30 min⏰ (Log Scale)
❗️ Note ❗️: Please just invest 1%_max 4% of your fund in this project at this time.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy , this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Luna Classic 🌓 🌔 🌕 Hello Traders,
today I would like to analyze Luna Classic by plotting Fibonacci's Logarithmic Golden Spiral on the chart to identify on a daily timeframe what might be medium-term price targets.
❓First, what is the fibonacci spiral? ❓
I love to use this quote when I talk about it :
"The golden spiral is a pattern created based on the concept of the golden ratio—a universal law that represents the “ideal” in all forms of life and matter. In fact, it’s often cited as an example of the connection between the laws of mathematics and the structure of living things. The more we understand the math behind the symbol, the more we’ll appreciate its appearances in nature and arts. "
🔴Target levels are marked in red by the horizontal lines on the chart while support levels are marked in green.
🔴Also I would like to add that the vote passed on the burn transaction tax mechanism on Luna which means that each transaction will add a 1.2 % tax and the amount taxed will be burned to lower the total supply; this mechanism will allow Luna to burn up to 10 B ( at this amount will stop ) in about 800-1200 days based on an average previous 24H volume.
🔴 Interesting is the data on Binance which is accumulating Luna ( seems they hold 40-46 % of total supply currently )
🔴 Summarizing the targets/resistances in order :
➡️ 0.00022
➡️ 0.00024
➡️ 0.00029
➡️ 0.00037
➡️ 0.00050
➡️ 0.00070
➡️ 0.0010
❌ Some financial stats according to CMC ❌
❇️ Market Cap
$861,201,854
❇️ Fully Diluted Market Cap
$910,907,485
❇️ Volume 24h
$466,631,760
❇️ Circulating Supply
6,556.67B LUNC
❇️ Total Supply
6,906,229,037,364
Before investing or buying DYOR
BTC bottom in or more blood?BTC looks like it hit a bottom after LFG cleared out its $BTC reserves to defend its stability.
The momentum indicator if continues to curl up may produce a bullish momentum div, not yet confirmed. BBWP reading about to top out, no confirmation yet either upon crossover of its MA. EWT corrective target hit ~$30.7k from 1.272 fibs measured from late Jan. bottom to late March top. Not to mention we've hit the bottom of a fork
There are risk factors of this idea not playing such as:
BTC continues to correlate with trades/sp500 and drops alongside it as QT continues, and interest rates get risen from the fed.
BTC has not retested the 200W MA
Cyber security risks w/ regard to complete shutdown of power grids mining BTC and hosting/running many DeFi/L1/L2 services, with nations like RU/CN engaging in non-kinetic warfare. We've already seen RU disconnect intercontinental cables in the Atlantic. As the EU holds out on gas during winter, we could see more desperate measures/retaliation through new avenues in 5th Gen. warfare .
Shanghai lockdown fails to prevent the spread of bird flu , potentially inducing another global lockdown
If the trade does get stopped out, the next areas of interest for entry would be 23k if we close under $29.2k on the daily, invalidating bull impulsive Elliott wave since late June. The on-chain bottom is ~$27k, and 200W MA is ~$21K, both are also entries in the event of an invalidation.
Trade:
Entry:$30.7k
SL: $26.6K
TP: Hull MA ~$36k, ABC PoC ~$39k
LUNA Ponzi SchemeThe collapse of Terra's LUNA and TerraUSD cost investors over $40 billion.
Some of them lost their lifetime savings, others lost borrowed money and some even committed suicide.
This project made investors lose trust in the crypto space as well.
The CEO of Terraform Labs, Do Kwon, is facing criminal charges for building a Ponzi scheme in South Korea, Terra investors being victims of fraud. Billionaire Bill Ackman also considered the project to pyramid scheme.
Do Kwon was the one behind Basis Cash, another failed algorithmic stablecoin in which people lost $54 million.
Terraform Labs also lost US Appeal Securities and Exchange Commission Subpoena.
I don`t see a future for this project.
There is a chance that its founder, Do Kwon, end up in jail if the criminal charges for building a Ponzi Scheme will turn out to be true.
Terra Classic LUNC short Entry Range, Take Profits and Stop LossLUNA/USDT short
Entry Range: $0.00008800 - 0.00009400
Take Profit 1: $0.00008000
Take Profit 2: $0.00007000
Take Profit 3: $0.00006000
Stop Loss: $0.00010015
$DEFI is toast: nice short...I think we are likely to see a massive move down in DeFi names, the contract issued by FTX is a nice way of riding the eventual move down, which can be magnified if we get some large protocol issue, or some unexpected black swan event causing a cascading decline of epic size as a gigantic levered bubble bursts. It is likely the best short in crypto, to profit from the bear market we are in.
Best of luck if going short.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
LUNA 2.0 SMART SCAM SUMMARY. DON'T FALL FOR THIS!!!LUNA 2.0 SMART SCAM
➡️LUNA GOES FOR ANOTHER HARD FORK THE HOLDERS ARE SCAMMED FOREVER
➡️THE REVIVAL PLAN IS NOT AN EXACT REVIVAL - PROVES TO BE A SMART RUG PULL
➡️LUNA will be renamed as LUNC which will never hit back above 0.0001 to 0.0005 region.
Summary
Create a new Terra chain without the algorithmic stablecoin. The old chain to be called Terra Classic (token Luna Classic - LUNC), and the new chain to be called Terra (token Luna - LUNA)
Luna to be airdropped across Luna Classic stakers, Luna Classic holders, residual UST holders, and essential app developers of Terra Classic.
TFL’s wallet (terra1dp0taj85ruc299rkdvzp4z5pfg6z6swaed74e6) will be removed in the whitelist for the airdrop, making Terra a fully community owned chain
Allocate a large portion of the token distribution in 1) providing emergency runway for existing Terra dapp developers 2) align interest of devs with the long term success of the ecosystem
Network security to be incentivized with token inflation. Target staking rewards of 7% p.a.
Token Distribution
Community pool: 30%
Controlled by staked governance
10% earmarked for developers
Pre-attack LUNA holders: 35%
All bonded / unbonding Luna, minus TFL at “Pre-attack” snapshot; staking derivatives included
For wallets with < 10k Luna: 30% unlocked at genesis; 70% vested over 2 years with 6mnth cliff
For wallets with < 1M Luna: 1 year cliff, 2 year vesting thereafter
For wallets with > 1M Luna: 1 year cliff, 4 year vesting thereafter
Pre-attack aUST holders: 10%
500K whale cap - covers up to 99.7% of all holders but only 26.72% of aUST
30% unlocked at genesis; 70% vested over 2 years thereafter with 6 month cliff
Post-attack LUNA holders: 10%
Staking derivatives included
30% unlocked at genesis; 70% vested over 2 years thereafter with 6 month cliff
Post-attack UST holders: 15%
30% unlocked at genesis; 70% vested over 2 years thereafter with 6 month cliff
Definitions:
“Pre-attack” snapshot to be taken at at Terra Classic block 7544910 (2022.05.07 22:59:37+08:00)
“Post-attack” snapshot to be taken at Terra Classic block 7790000 (2022.05.27 03:59:51+08:00)
Terra Luna -- Is it the start of parabollic rise?Downtrend break (first since May 16) yesterday.
Bullish MACD cross.
Following Double Bottom near 0.00010 support line, there are multiple Bull Flags forming with increasing volume.
Two important twitter posts by Do Kwon today:
1) While the supply of LUNA has been increasing, no new tokens are being minted. It is swap fees entering supply that will stop eventually.
twitter.com
2) He posted official burn address and community has started burning the supply. It is likely the biggest reason for increased volume/strength. It has been heavily shorted and I don't think they covered yet, possibly even doubled down.
twitter.com
If/when token supply becomes fixed, we could see significant appreciation in price but do manage your risk. This is not a financial advice.