SPX 5500 BY 2025 ? REASONS WHY !!!
Optimistic Market Forecasts: Analysts and strategists, such as those from Deutsche Bank and Infrastructure Capital Advisors CEO, have made bullish predictions for the S&P 500. Deutsche Bank's forecast for the S&P 500 to reach 5,100 in 2024, and Infrastructure Capital Advisors CEO Jay Hatfield anticipates the S&P to reach as high as 5,500 points by the end of 2024.
These forecasts indicate a strong belief in the market's potential to continue its upward trend.
Strong Earnings and Valuations: The trailing 12-month P/E ratio for the S&P 500 of 25.7 is above the 5-year and 10-year averages. This suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for stocks, which could be a positive sign for further market growth.
Historical Performance: The S&P 500 has already hit 23 new records in 2024 and has been performing above average historical years. This indicates strong market momentum and investor confidence.
Cumulative Weight of Top Stocks: The cumulative weight of the top 5 stocks in the S&P 500 has hit a 50-year high. This indicates that the market's performance is being significantly influenced by the performance of a small number of large-cap companies, which could potentially drive the index higher if these companies continue to perform well.
Market Resilience and Recovery: The market has shown resilience and recovery from the economic downturn, with the S&P 500 already up by 9.6% this year, which is above the average year since 1950. This resilience could be a sign of continued growth throughout the year.
Positive Outlook from Analysts: Analysts like CFRA Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall predict that the S&P 500 will hit 5,400 by year-end and 5,610 within the next 12 months, indicating a positive outlook for the market's performance.
Potential Rate Cuts: The expectation of rate cuts by the European Central Bank could provide a boost to the global economy and the U.S. markets, including the S&P 500.
Positive Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment seems to be positive, with a bullish outlook on the S&P 500 from various analysts and strategists. This positive sentiment could drive further investment and growth in the market.
Technology Sector Performance: The technology sector has been a leading performer, soaring 50%, indicating strong growth in this sector, which could help drive the S&P 500 higher.
Economic Data Surprises: The U.S. economy has been showing positive surprises in economic data throughout 2023, suggesting that the economy is stronger than expected, which could support the market's growth.
Tesla
META ENTER 408 TP 416 AFTER EARNINGS NASDAQ:META
Growth and Profitability: Bank of America Securities analyst Justin Post maintains a bullish stance on Meta stock, citing potential for growth and profitability1. His analysis anticipates a fourth quarter revenue surpassing the consensus estimates, driven by a 22% year-over-year increase1. This optimistic outlook is fueled by the positive momentum of Reels and advancements in artificial intelligence1.
Monetization of Reels and Messaging: Post believes that Meta is in the early stages of monetizing Reels and messaging, and that ongoing AI and machine learning integrations will enhance user engagement and advertising spend1.
New Products Leveraging AI: The anticipation of new products leveraging Meta’s AI assets, combined with an attractive valuation excluding Metaverse losses, further supports the Buy recommendation1.
Bullish Diagonal Spread: Some investors are going bullish on Meta stock with a diagonal spread2. This strategy involves buying a call option and selling a shorter-term call option against it2.
Advancements in Tech Tools: Meta continually advances its next-gen tech tools, like their AI Code Llama for coding assistance3.
Investment in Metaverse: Meta Platforms is investing billions into the metaverse4. Changes to iOS have stalled Meta’s top line, but Wall Street thinks this will be short-lived
ENTER 408 TP 416 After Earnings
AMAZON ENTER 162 TP 165 AFTER EARNINGS NASDAQ:AMZN
ENTER 162 TP 165 AFTER EARNINGS
Amazon
Revenue Growth: Analysts expect Amazon’s revenues to rise 11.4% YoY in Q4 and hit a record high of $166.2 billion1. The company’s Q3 operating margin of 7.8% was the highest since early 20211.
Profitability: Amazon posted record net profits in Q3, and the metric almost hit a milestone of $10 billion1. Analysts expect Amazon to post per-share earnings of $0.81 in Q4, which is 285% higher than the corresponding quarter last year1.
Cost-cutting Initiatives: Amazon has undertaken several cost-cutting initiatives that have helped to improve its profits, despite slowing revenue growth1.
Bullish Target Price: The 210 price target from Wedbush places the firm among the most bullish for Amazon stock2. The average 12-month target price for AMZN stock from Wall Street analysts is 179, according to FactSet2.
Amazon Web Services (AWS): The top-line growth of Amazon’s enterprise-focused AWS has been gradually falling, and YoY revenue growth slipped to an all-time low of 12% in Q31. However, Amazon has stressed that the segment’s growth is "stabilizing"1.
Consumer Sentiment and Business Spending: During their Q3 earnings call, Amazon said consumers are trading down amid still-high inflation and a challenging macro environment1. It will be crucial to watch for commentary on the business spending environment in 2024
TESLA 206 - 216 - 230 TP
Why Tesla is Poised for a Bull Run
Tesla Inc., the leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential, making it a strong candidate for a bull run. Here are some key reasons:
1. Strong Financial Performance
Tesla’s financial performance has been impressive. The company’s revenue reached $81.5 billion in 20221, and its stock price has seen a 5-year total return of 795.71%, placing it in the top 10% of its industry2. Despite a decrease in net income in Q3 20233, Tesla’s overall financial health remains strong.
2. Market Leadership
Tesla continues to lead the EV market. It was the most valuable automotive brand worldwide as of June 20231 and led the battery-electric vehicle market in sales1. Despite increased competition, Tesla’s market share in the U.S. and Canada is growing, heading towards 3%, while in Europe and China, 2% is within range4.
3. Production and Delivery Growth
Tesla’s vehicle deliveries reached a record 1.31 million units in 20221, showing a steady year-over-year growth. The company’s long-term target is to increase electric car sales by an average of 50% year-over-year4.
4. Expansion Plans
Tesla is expanding its manufacturing capacity with new factories in Germany and Texas5. These new facilities will help meet the growing demand for Tesla’s vehicles, potentially driving further growth.
5. Innovative Product Line
Tesla is not resting on its laurels. The company plans to launch new models, including the Cybertruck, Semi, and Roadster6. The introduction of these new vehicles could attract new customers and boost sales.
6. Charging Infrastructure
Tesla’s plans for the world’s largest Supercharger station in California7 indicate the company’s commitment to developing a robust charging infrastructure. This will not only benefit current Tesla owners but also make EVs more appealing to potential buyers.
7. Strategic Market Moves
Tesla is making strategic moves to capture more market share, such as lowering the price of its cars in China and emphasizing online sales8. These strategies could significantly impact future earnings.
In conclusion, Tesla’s strong financial performance, market leadership, production growth, expansion plans, innovative product line, development of charging infrastructure, and strategic market moves position it well for a bull run
SPX 4800 LONG SANTA RALLY UNTIL 2024 Key Factors to Consider:
Economic Indicators: Monitor key economic indicators such as GDP growth, employment data, and inflation. Positive economic data may support the upward movement of the S&P 500, while negative indicators could lead to volatility.
Interest Rates: Changes in interest rates can impact the cost of borrowing and influence investor behavior. Keep an eye on central bank announcements and monetary policy changes.
Corporate Earnings: Earnings season can significantly affect the S&P 500. Track corporate earnings reports for insights into the health of individual companies and the overall market.
Geopolitical Events: Geopolitical developments, such as trade tensions or political instability, can impact market sentiment. Stay informed about global events that could affect the S&P 500.
GOLD LONG UNTIL 2033Throughout history, gold has been recognized as a reliable store of value. It doesn't corrode, tarnish, or decay over time, making it an enduring asset. This stability makes gold an attractive option for preserving wealth across generations.
Hedge Against Inflation:
Gold has often been considered a hedge against inflation. When inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies, the value of gold tends to rise. Investors often turn to gold as a way to protect their wealth from the negative effects of inflation.
Portfolio Diversification:
Including gold in an investment portfolio can contribute to diversification. Its value tends to move differently than stocks and bonds, which can help reduce overall portfolio risk. Many investors view gold as a "safe haven" asset during times of economic uncertainty.
Global Acceptance:
Gold is universally recognized and accepted as a form of payment or exchange. Its value is understood across cultures and nations, making it a global medium of exchange. This acceptance can contribute to the stability and reliability of a gold-backed currency.
ETF BTC APROVAL LONG 46000 "Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Disruption: Unleashing the Power of Financial Inclusion"
Introduction:
In recent years, the rise of decentralized finance (DeFi) has been nothing short of revolutionary in the world of cryptocurrencies. This bullish idea explores the potential of DeFi as a game-changer in the financial industry, bringing about increased financial inclusion, accessibility, and empowerment.
TESLA 300 By DECEMBER Happy 4 of july !!!!!If tesla Pulls Back Hard , good Buy Area will be 205 - 215
Be Patience , Buy and Hold until December . Until 300 . i Would Sell at this point but do your own Research and take action !!
STAY PROFITABLE !!
Next year will be a lot of competition for Tesla because the Aston Martin / Lucid Deal
and NIO already taking the Chinesse market .
Have a Great 4 of July God Bless america and enjoy the Holidays !!!
Stay humble Be a better person.
CAFE CITY STUDIO COMING SOON 2024 !!
SELL SPX FROM 4100 OR 4000 AND TP ON 3800 AND WAIT Patience !! Time to Sell or Wait to 4100 anyways Going back to 3800 TP and wait for second confirmation Going back to 3200 !!!
stay Profitable
do not add to losers
add to winners
do not over leverage
do not open many positions
only trade what you know
dot get sentimental with trades . close it if did not work !!!
HAVE A GOOD WEEKEND !!!
SEE YOU GUYS ON PROFIT FRIDAYS !!!
TESLA Every pull-back is a buy opportunity. Is $1000 possible?It was almost 6 months ago (June 26, see chart below) when we made a seemingly unrealistic bullish call on Tesla (TSLA) for the time being, setting $400 as our first Target:
In fact, it was 8 months ago (April 15, see chart below) when we called Tesla's exact bottom, expecting its own 'Meta recovery moment' following lay offs of more than 10% of staff:
Obviously, you can say that you couldn't see that coming. Tesla not only broke above $400 but is about to hit the next psychological level of $500. In order to make better sense of this logarithmic rise and display it in a more effective way to you, we have borrowed some of our Bitcoin analysis tools: the Pi Cycle and the Mayer Multiple Bands.
What you see on this chart, are the Pi Cycle trend-lines 1 (orange) and 2 (green), which have been key Resistance and Support levels respectively during the majority of Tesla's historic run, combined with the MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) and MMB SD3 below (black trend-line), which have historically been the extreme Resistance and Support levels respectively. In the middle of all these is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during the Parabolic Rally phases (like the one we are currently on), is Tesla's major Support.
All the above are applied on Tesla's key historic pattern: a Channel Up, defined by its middle Fibonacci retracement levels (0.618, 0.5, 0.382) and its extremes, the -0.382 Fib (caught the June 2019 market bottom) and the 1.382 Fib (caught the February 2014, February 2021 and November 2021 market tops).
At the moment the price just broke above Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) and hit the 0.618 Fib. While this is a strong short-term Resistance cluster and may force some investors to take profits, every such pull-back should technically be a buy opportunity from now on, as the market as already started its Parabolic Rally phase.
As you can see both previous Parabolic Rally phases hit the 1.382 Fib extension extreme, trading on the way up considerably above the 1W MA50 and with the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) as its loose Support.
Even though another test of that extreme would take the stock to incredibly high capitalization levels and cannot be justified without an applicable expansion of their product lines (from electric vehicles to A.I. and robotics), a $700 - $1000 target range by the end of 2025, doesn't seem so unrealistic if those products hit the market with real world applications.
In any case, every break above the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) has historically started Tesla's largest rallies (exception of course the March 2020 COVID flash crash, which was quickly recovered), so plan your strategy accordingly.
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