Tesla Takes Flight: Is China's Approval Enough to Go Long?
Tesla's stock price recently soared after receiving "in-principle" approval from Chinese authorities to deploy its driver-assistance system in the world's largest auto market. This news undoubtedly fueled investor optimism, but is it enough justification to take a long position on Tesla stock (TSLA)? Let's delve deeper into the implications and weigh the risks before making a call.
China's Green Light: A Major Tailwind
China's tentative approval for Tesla's driver-assistance system is a significant development. China represents a crucial battleground for electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, and Tesla has faced stiff competition from domestic players like BYD. Gaining official sanction for its advanced driving system removes a potential hurdle and paves the way for increased sales in China. This could significantly boost Tesla's revenue and profitability in the long run.
Beyond China: A Broader Growth Story
Tesla's appeal extends far beyond China. The company remains a leader in the EV revolution, continuously innovating and expanding its product line. With the Cybertruck launch and the ongoing success of Model 3 and Model Y, Tesla is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing global demand for EVs. Additionally, Tesla's focus on autonomous driving technology positions it at the forefront of a potentially transformative industry shift.
Risks to Consider: Not All Sunshine and Self-Driving Cars
While the China news is positive, there are factors to consider before going all-in on Tesla. Regulatory hurdles remain, with the final details and limitations of the driver-assistance system approval in China still unknown. Additionally, competition in the EV space is fierce and constantly evolving. Established automakers are rapidly entering the fray, and new startups are nipping at Tesla's heels.
Furthermore, Tesla faces ongoing challenges related to production issues, battery supply chain constraints, and potential safety concerns surrounding its Autopilot technology. These factors can lead to stock price volatility and production delays.
Beyond the Headlines: Look at the Fundamentals
Making a sound investment decision requires looking beyond just the latest headlines. Here are some key metrics to consider for Tesla:
• Valuation: Tesla currently trades at a high valuation compared to traditional automakers. This implies that the market has already priced in a lot of future growth potential.
• Overall Market Conditions: The broader stock market can significantly impact Tesla's share price. Investors should be aware of potential economic downturns that could affect growth stocks like Tesla disproportionately.
The Verdict: A Calculated Approach, Not a Blind Leap
China's approval for Tesla's driver-assistance system is undoubtedly positive news. However, it's just one piece of the puzzle. Investors considering a long position on Tesla should conduct thorough research, understand the inherent risks involved, and carefully evaluate their risk tolerance. A diversified portfolio with exposure to other EV players and established automakers might be a prudent strategy.
Tesla is a company with immense potential, but its future success is not guaranteed. A well-informed and measured approach is crucial before taking a long position on TSLA.
Tesla
AMAZON 189 AFTER OR BEFORE EARNINGS ?Reasons Why !!
Key Financial Insights:
Stock Price: Amazon’s stock reached a peak of $189.77 on April 11, 2024, showcasing a remarkable uptrend1.
Market Performance: The company’s strong market performance is evident as the stock price hovers close to its 52-week high.
Behind the Surge:
Amazon continues to dominate the e-commerce space with innovative strategies and a customer-centric approach.
The company’s expansion into new markets and consistent investment in technology and infrastructure contribute to its financial health.
Investor Confidence:
The rise to $189 signifies a vote of confidence from investors who are optimistic about Amazon’s direction and leadership.
Analysts remain bullish on the stock, with projections of further growth and a positive outlook for the company’s profitability
TSLATsla share repumped today to retest the broken upper trend
There are a lot of movement expectations :
1- The Price close above the Key LVL 205.30 then we can find the prices go up again to try to rebuild new wave (not expected by myself)
2- The price is retesting the upper trend showing at the drawing, so later on we will see push of selling the share and this is my expectation.
if the price go down i preferer to invest on it with the suggested percentages
Thanks and Best regards
TESLA Has Elon made his miracle again? 4 month Resistance brokenNews quickly broke out that Tesla (TSLA) has received tentative approval from Beijing to launch its driver assistance software in China. This development occurred during a surprise visit by CEO Elon Musk to Tesla's largest market outside the US. Chinese authorities have agreed to allow Tesla to introduce its Full Self Driving (FSD) solution, leveraging mapping and navigation technology from Baidu (BIDU), the Chinese tech giant. This has so far pushed Tesla's shares more than +7.00% premarket.
Just 2 weeks ago (April 15, see chart below), while TSLA's price was at $166, we made a case why a potential 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bullish break-out after laying off more than 10% of its staff, could be its 'META moment', just like the social media giant did in November 2022 and bottomed:
Of course each case has its differences but as we can see, Tesla did make a similar bottom on April 22 and will most likely open above the 1D MA50 today for the first time in almost 4 months (since January 08 2024)!
That is a major bullish break-out for at least the medium-term as each time the stock did that in 2023, it didn't stop there and rather went for a Lower High on the dotted trend-line. Technically it should make contact with as least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), in order to allow the market given the fundamentals at the time to decide upon the longer term trend.
As you can see, there is a huge Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI, which has been trading within a Channel Up against the price's Channel Down since late January. As a result we set a minimum $210.00 Target on a 6-week horizon and then we will re-evaluate the longer term on the 1W time-frame.
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TSLA ON A DEMAND ZONETSLA is clearly playing inside a bearish channel and we have witnessed a bullish reversal recently on the demand zone identified. If this level remains strong enough, we will see a potential continuation of the rally. Also on the lower timeframes, we see a bearish channel which indicates a bullish breakout.
TESLA Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 147.01 pivot level.
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 155.99
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
JP Morgan Chase & Co. Hitting The Top The JPMorgan Chase CEO's WSJ was interviewed recently with Wall Street Journal Editor-in-Chief Emma Tucker, for a range of topics.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Jamie Dimon ranked geopolitics as his top worry and said he's less optimistic about a soft landing than Wall Street in an interview on Thursday.
While Wall Street seems to be betting of a roughly 70% chance of avoiding a recession in a so-called soft landing in the economy, Dimon said he sees the odds about half that.
The green economy, the remilitarization of the world, fiscal deficits and geopolitics are all factors that could keep inflation higher for longer, he said.
"When I look at the range of possible outcomes, you can have that soft landing," Dimon said. "I'm a little more worried it may not be so soft and inflation may not quite go away as people expect. I'm not talking about this year - I'm talking about 2025 or 2026."
While the economy continues to do well for the majority of Americans due to low employment, rising home values and stronger stock prices, the threat of slow growth and inflation - stagflation - from roughly 45 to 50 years ago could return.
"It looks a little bit like the 70s to me," Dimon said. "Things looked pretty rosy in 1972. They were not rosy in 1973. Don't get lulled into a false sense of security."
Dimon said he has "enormous respect" for Jerome Powell when asked whether the Fed chairman is doing a good job as the central bank signals that it's not in a hurry to cut interest rates.
"I think the Fed was probably late in raising rates," Dimon said. "They caught up. They're probably right in watching right now. We don't know what's going to happen. They might as well wait."
Dimon declined to state a preference in presidential candidates and said the bank would work with whomever is in the White House.
Biden's economic policies are working "partially," he said, party due to the huge amounts of economic stimulus such as the Bipartisan infrastructure bill, which Dimon praised.
But the bottom 20% of wage earners in the U.S. continues to struggle.
"If you go to rural America, or inner cities, I'm not sure they feel they're being lifted up by this economy," he said.
He avoids social media but said he pulls up popular destinations such as TikTok once a year to see what's happening on them.
"I am not a fanatic on the phone....I think people should spend a little less time on that and a little more time thinking," Dimon said. "I'm not on any social media."
In technical terms, JPMorgan Chase's stock (JPM) has risen 14.43% so far in 2024 (compared to a 7.48% gain by the S&P500), hit the Upper side of Long-Term upside channel near $200 per share, able to further technical declines.
⭐️ XAU/USD : First LONG, Then a huge SHORT (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the gold chart on a weekly timeframe, we observe that after closing at $2393 last week, the price began a steep decline and even corrected to $2295! After constructing bullish candles for five consecutive weeks, this week we are witnessing the formation of a bearish candle, and it remains to be seen how far this decline will continue. If the price closes below $2344, we can expect further declines in gold next week. The $2344 mark is significant as it was last week’s opening price. This analysis will be updated, and we will discuss it further. Finally, I must mention that if we have a bearish candle next week as well, we could anticipate a medium-term decline in gold to $2225.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TESLA $TSLA | TESLA MOMENTUM AFTER EARNINGS - Apr. 24th, 2024TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA | TESLA MOMENTUM AFTER EARNINGS - Apr. 24th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $165.00 - $181.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $160.00 - $165.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $141.25 - $160.00
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H/2H: DNT, lean bullish
NASDAQ:TSLA earnings report yesterday had price move around 16% to the upside. Currently price has pulled back to around only a 10% gain. I tightened the new DNT zone so bears and bulls can have early entries in their respective directions. Bulls should be looking for a close above 165.00 and bears should be looking for a close below 160.00.
I did not label every level of importance because I didn't want to make the charts too messy and I used the 2H timeframe today instead of the 4H because I wanted to show the extra price action.
Linked below are the two previous ideas from this year!
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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TESLA ready to start it's run? Long with a 300$ TARGETTesla has been one of the worst performing NASDAQ100 listed stocks for the past year.
Now its the time for the trend to change. In our humble opinion of course.
We finally have an actionable set up with a falling wedge and the completion of a bullish 886 harmonic. The trade set up is standard and what really were looking for, for a long term run, is a break and confirmation of 180$, as shown below.
The 4h targets are traditional targets for the 4h set up.
COIN 260 - 273 AFTER EARNINGS ?Why Coinbase Could Soar to $260 Post-Earnings
Coinbase, the renowned cryptocurrency exchange platform, has been making headlines with its impressive financial performance. As we approach the next earnings release, there’s a palpable buzz around the possibility of the stock price hitting the $260 mark. Here are some compelling reasons why this could become a reality:
Strong Earnings Report: Coinbase recently reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.04 for the quarter, significantly surpassing analysts’ consensus estimates1. This positive surprise is a testament to the company’s robust revenue generation and cost management strategies.
Revenue Growth: The company’s net revenue reached $905 million in the fourth quarter, marking a 45.2% increase from the previous quarter2. This surge in revenue reflects Coinbase’s ability to attract and retain a substantial user base, despite the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market.
Profitability: For the first time since the fourth quarter of 2021, Coinbase reported a net income of $273 million2. This return to profitability could be a strong indicator of the company’s financial health and operational efficiency.
Market Position: With a mission to increase economic freedom worldwide, Coinbase has established itself as a leading platform in the crypto economy3. Its comprehensive suite of services, including trading, staking, and safekeeping, positions it well to capitalize on the growing interest in cryptocurrencies.
Analyst Optimism: Some analysts have set high price targets for Coinbase, with predictions reaching as high as $2764. This optimism is fueled by the company’s consistent performance and the expanding adoption of crypto assets.
Technological Edge: Coinbase is not just a marketplace for crypto transactions; it’s also a technology provider that enables developers to create innovative crypto products3. This dual role could be a key driver in the company’s future growth and stock price appreciation.
Macro Factors: The broader financial market’s sentiment towards cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology can significantly impact Coinbase’s stock. Positive developments in the crypto space often translate into increased trading volumes and higher revenues for exchanges like Coinbase.
META 529 AFTER EARNINGS ? REASONS WHY !!
AI Integration and Advancements: Meta has been prioritizing the integration of artificial intelligence across its applications, which has played a crucial role in the company’s rally2. The market has responded positively to Meta’s efforts in developing and monetizing AI applications, leading to a boost in the stock price.
2. Digital Advertising Market Recovery: The digital advertising market has seen a rebound, which has directly benefited Meta’s core revenue stream. As one of the leaders in digital advertising, Meta’s financial performance has improved with the market’s recovery.
3. Operational Cost Reduction: Meta has implemented several rounds of layoffs, reducing its operating costs significantly. This move has improved the company’s profitability and margins, making it more attractive to investors.
4. Strategic Shifts: Meta has made strategic shifts, such as scaling back its investments in the metaverse, which were initially met with skepticism. This change in strategy has improved investor confidence and contributed to the stock’s growth.
5. Market Conditions: The overall market conditions, including interest rates and economic policies, have also played a role in Meta’s stock performance. A favorable environment for tech stocks has helped propel Meta’s stock to new heights.
⭐️ EUR/USD - Amazing Bullish move , What's Next ? (READ)By checking the #Euro_Dollar chart in the 2-hour time frame, we can see that the price moved to higher targets exactly as we expected, and we have seen +90 pips yield up to this moment! As you can see on the chart, the price has currently reached a supply range and that is why the initial reaction to it was negative! Therse is a possibility of price correction up to 1.067 and after that, by stabilizing the price above this level, we can enter another LONG position again!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TESLA $TSLA - April 8th, 2024TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA - April 8th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $181.00 - $208.50
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $162.00 - $181.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $135.00 - $162.00
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: DNT - Lean Bearish
4H: DNT
NASDAQ:TSLA has been trading through a clean range for about a month now. There was strong bearish momentum that ran through my DNT zone and into my bearish zone before creating the range. There have been four tests to the bottom level of the zone @ 166.00/162.00 and three tests to the top level of the zone @ 177.50/181.00, currently approaching a potential fourth test of the top of the zone.
For early entries for bulls and bears all of the zones can be adjusted as follows (shortening DNT zone, extending bearish and bullish zones):
Bullish: $177.50 - $208.50
DNT: $166.00 - $177.50
Bearish: $135.00 - $166.00
The weekly timeframe has strong bearish structure, the daily timeframe has the range shown but still holds bearish structure, and the 4H timeframe most recently has developed bearish structure but has created the range so I have labeled it as DNT as there is no clear direction that price is following.
There have been slight level adjustments compared to my previous post that better fit the current structure price has created. I have drawn arrows on the range for easier distinction for what I am looking at, combined with potential breakout arrows and potential breakdown arrows. Both the bulls and the bears have roughly a 15% +/- price change as the targets I have shown.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Tesla - Don't get caught up!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Tesla.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2020 Tesla stock created a beautiful break and retest of the previous all time high which was followed by significant continuation towards the upside. After this pump Tesla stock entered a long term consolidation phase, forming a bullish flag formation. Considering that Tesla just retested and rejected the upper resistance, there is a quite high chance that we will retest the next support at $120.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Musk LoveI am looking for potential pivot points near any of the drawings. I marked some examples from the past price action. You can look at this like at a project created by something similar to artificial intelligence. Let's just sit back and wait and see what happens, if any potential signals for pivot points or bounces appear at the shapes. This has been done before in previous ideas that I have provided and the concept is pretty straight forward. Sometimes the price can just follow a shape and not bounce from it, but I consider that to be an interesting occurrence as well.
The purple zone is a zone where no drawings were simulated/required. Marked letters of ABC are potential time zones of interest with interesting events.
TESLA 130 AFTER EARNINGS !! High Valuation: Tesla’s market capitalization has skyrocketed in recent years, leading some to argue that its current valuation is not justified by its earnings or sales figures. If these critics are correct, Tesla’s stock could be overpriced, and a market correction could be on the horizon.
2. Competition: The EV market is becoming increasingly crowded. Traditional automakers like General Motors and Ford are ramping up their EV production, and newcomers like Rivian are making waves as well. Increased competition could erode Tesla’s market share.
3. Regulatory Risks: Tesla operates in a highly regulated industry. Changes in policies related to EVs, self-driving technologies, or environmental standards could have a significant impact on Tesla’s operations.
4. Production and Delivery Challenges: Tesla has faced criticism for production delays and quality control issues in the past. If these problems persist, they could harm Tesla’s reputation and bottom line.
Tesla Stock in Limbo: A 43% Plunge Leaves Investors Wary Ahead oTesla, once the undisputed champion of the electric vehicle (EV) market, finds itself in a precarious position. The company's stock price has been on a downward spiral, tumbling nearly 43% in the last month. This dramatic decline has left investors apprehensive as Tesla prepares to report its earnings.
Several factors are contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding Tesla. Firstly, concerns are swirling about the company's business strategy. Sales of electric vehicles have dipped, raising questions about whether Tesla can maintain its growth trajectory. The much-anticipated Cybertruck has yet to materialize, and delays in the rollout of the cheaper electric vehicle have further dampened investor enthusiasm.
Elon Musk, Tesla's enigmatic CEO, hasn't helped matters. His focus on ventures outside of Tesla, coupled with his penchant for making controversial pronouncements, has sown seeds of doubt among some investors. They worry that Musk's attention is divided, potentially hindering Tesla's ability to navigate the increasingly competitive EV landscape.
Adding to the woes is the overall market correction. Rising interest rates and inflation have dampened investor appetite for growth stocks, a category Tesla once dominated. Tesla's lofty valuation, currently sitting at nearly 47 times forward earnings, also makes it a prime target for a sell-off. This high valuation is particularly concerning given the recent sales slump and the uncertain outlook for the EV market.
However, there is a silver lining. The recent plunge has pushed Tesla's stock price into what some analysts call "no man's land." This means there's a significant gap between the current price and potential downside. While the stock could fall further, the dramatic decline has already priced in a considerable amount of negativity. This could pave the way for a "relief rally" if Tesla's earnings report isn't a complete disaster.
Some analysts believe the negative sentiment has been overblown. They argue that Tesla's brand recognition and technological prowess still position it well for the future. The upcoming launch of the Robotaxi service in August could be a game-changer, generating new revenue streams and reigniting investor confidence.
The coming weeks will be crucial for Tesla. The earnings report will be a watershed moment, determining whether the company can regain its footing or succumb to the current headwinds. Investors will be keenly watching for any signs of a turnaround in sales, updates on the Cybertruck and the cheaper EV rollout, and any concrete plans for the Robotaxi service.
Tesla's story is far from over. The company's future hinges on its ability to navigate the current challenges, deliver on its promises, and adapt to the evolving EV market. Only time will tell if Tesla can emerge from this "no man's land" and reclaim its pole position in the electric vehicle revolution.