2024 is gonna be a worst year for tesla ?yess ,, tesla is going to die in 2024 ,, after studied structure and wave theory and pattren carefully iam going to post my view .. the chart is totally based on market structure and wave pattrens .. its weekly based prediction it will take time to procede .. good luck
Tesla
Where Does TSLA Land?
Trend
- Downtrend confirmed.
- Components of the channel chart:
The original downtrend channel plus a 100% extended channel.
Both channels divided in half by blue dotted lines.
The shaded zones furthest from the center represent "overbought/oversold forces," which counterbalance each other.
- Currently, the price is descending into the extended channel, suggesting a chance of reaching the lower band of the extended channel.
- Note that when the price enters the orange shaded zone, it could move rapidly in one direction, as there is minimal previous support and resistance.
- The trend lines serve as potential support and resistance levels.
100% Symmetrical Projection: Downtrend “N” Patterns
- A 100% Symmetrical Projection of the previous swing (from A to B) and then projected from C. As a result, D is the initial target price on the short side.
- The 0.5 level from C to D serves as a clear support, enhancing the value of this projection.
N Pattern’s Target Price & Fibonacci Price Cluster
- The target price of $116 at level D aligns with a major prior low on the weekly chart.
- Levels 1 & 2 are significant due to the price cluster effect, demonstrating the validity of the extension of the prior major swing.
- Consequently, Level 3 has a good chance of becoming a critical support and a potential target price.
Conclusion
- In comparison with symmetrical analysis, TSLA's trend channel chart provides higher reference value.
- The dynamic target price is the lower band of the extended channel.
- The fixed target price (strong support) could be $122, followed by $116.
Not Financial Advice
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
TESLA: Oversold. Can the price cuts stop the bleeding?Tesla announced aggressive price cuts globally on their main model lines as well as its FSD and is reported that a 20% headcount reduction is pushed. Further decline on today's opening has pushed the 1W technical outlook to the brink of oversold territory (RSI = 32.105, MACD = -19.430, ADX = 47.504) and bottom of Channel Down that started last July.
So can these brave measures to a dismal Q1 delivery report counter the declining global demand and price competition from Chinese EV producers and restore the stock price to where it was earlier this year?
Well one thing's for sure, TSLA has been in this situation before. The growth pattern from 2019 to today is very much like the one from 2012 to 2017. Both started with immense parabolic growth that peaked and declined towards the 0.382 Fibonacci and rallied again after forming a bottom. We are now at the stage where Tesla founf support in late 2016 near the 0.786 Fib of the corrective wave. The 1W RSI patterns are similar as well.
As long as the 0.786 Fib holds we expect at least $500 by mid 2025. It is very likely that tomorrow's earnings report coupled with the price cuts will be the fundamental base that the company needs to restore investing appetite back. On the long term this appears to be a worthwhile low risk entry for the undisputable leader of the EV market.
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$TSLA #TESLA On an important wedge.NASDAQ:TSLA #TESLA
Is currently testing a significant 4 years old wedge for the 3rd time.
The stock has lost more than 60% in the last 10 months.
Inflation and Tesla's layoffs are the obvious drivers for the recent fall.
Below current level, is a free fall to a hard to anticipate zones.
Keep it simple.
#AHMEDMESBAH
Tesla Inc. ($TSLA) Announced Price Cuts Across its Electric CarsTesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) recently announced sweeping price cuts across its electric vehicle (EV) lineup and Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, signaling a strategic shift amidst mounting challenges. However, as the stock continues its downward spiral, investors are left pondering whether these aggressive pricing maneuvers will be enough to steer the company back on course.
A Strategic Pivot Amidst Turbulent Times
Tesla's decision to slash prices on EVs and FSD comes at a critical juncture for the company. With Elon Musk postponing a highly anticipated trip to India and reports swirling about delayed plans for a Tesla factory in the region, the EV giant finds itself navigating choppy waters both at home and abroad.
The latest round of price cuts underscores Tesla's efforts to stay competitive in an increasingly crowded market while grappling with supply chain disruptions, geopolitical tensions, and regulatory scrutiny. Yet, amidst these headwinds, questions loom large about the sustainability of Tesla's growth trajectory.
EV Price Wars:
By reducing the entry prices of key models like the Model Y, Model S, and Model X, Tesla aims to stimulate demand and maintain its market dominance. However, with production constraints still a concern, the impact of these price cuts on profitability remains uncertain. Will lower prices be enough to offset rising costs and dwindling margins?
Moreover, the decision to leave Cybertruck and Model 3 prices unchanged raises eyebrows, hinting at potential supply chain constraints or strategic prioritization. As competitors ramp up their EV offerings and governments incentivize electrification, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) faces heightened pressure to deliver on its promises while staying ahead of the curve.
FSD: A Price Cut or a Pricing Conundrum?
Tesla's ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) move to reduce the price of its FSD technology reflects a broader push to democratize autonomous driving. However, the disparity between the subscription and purchase options raises questions about the company's revenue model and long-term viability.
While a lower FSD price may entice more customers to opt in, the subscription model could cannibalize upfront sales and erode profitability over time. With Musk doubling down on autonomous driving as a cornerstone of Tesla's future, striking the right balance between accessibility and profitability remains a formidable challenge.
Earnings Call Anticipation: Seeking Clarity Amidst Uncertainty
As Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) prepares to release its quarterly earnings, all eyes are on Musk and company executives to provide clarity on the company's strategy and outlook. Amidst swirling rumors of workforce layoffs and production setbacks, investors are hungry for reassurance that Tesla can weather the storm and emerge stronger than ever.
Conclusion:
Tesla's pricing gamble represents a calculated bet on the company's ability to navigate the turbulent waters of the EV market. As competition heats up and external pressures mount, Tesla must tread carefully to strike the right balance between growth and sustainability.
While price cuts may provide a short-term boost to demand, the long-term success of Tesla hinges on its ability to deliver on its promises, innovate in the face of adversity, and stay ahead of the curve in a rapidly evolving industry.
As investors brace for Tesla's earnings call, one thing remains clear: the road ahead is fraught with challenges, but for those willing to take the journey, the rewards may be greater than ever imagined.
Tesla on important triangle support, great risk-rewardTesla is getting way oversold and has reached an important support of the line linking the lows which represents the bottom of its large triangle pattern.
We are expecting at least a rebound here but potentially the start of a new upleg as long as the $136 area holds.
A break above the upper line of the triangle near $235 would open much higher levels while a break below would invalidate this bullish view.
BItCOiNa has a path to 120k and you aren't gonna like itI mean, this is it. It run up to 120k right to the number. but the rejection needs to be seen around 76-81 and maybe 84 but idk yet.
It would absolutely covid crash the price and wick it down to like almost zero.
The return and I imagine where most people get in will be right around 25k maybe 29k.
It climbs really fast at that point.
retraces into may and june and then we get a big push to 1.2mil to round out the year.
Then big crash.
That is all should this scenario play out. Otherwise this chart is worthless.
I'm telling you, this is a very real scenario that could occur.
But probability wise, it's low.
But it fits, and it's possible.
Keep an eye out.
am crazy.
okay. ty.
Alt coins need to spring and crash before bitcoin crashes, which takes them all down together, the alt coins mostly die and the profits likely pump bitcoin to those levels.
Oh and then probably TSLA, META, MSFT, NVDA, APPLE and a few other all start saying they bought the dip. BIG jump. Followed by everyone saying "well it's a long term hold ya know, I play the long game, it'll come back to a mil."
🚀Achieving a 608% Return in 1.5 Years with Tesla🎉Strategic Accumulation and Staggered Profit Realization: A Tesla Inc. Trading Blueprint
As we navigate through the dynamic realms of the stock market, strategic positioning in robust companies like Tesla Inc. has often rewarded investors with significant returns. This analysis showcases a meticulous approach to capitalizing on Tesla's stock through a well-planned buying and phased selling strategy.
Starting with a foundational investment, a series of calculated purchases were executed during Tesla's undulating price journey. The initial acquisition was made at $141.80, followed by a secondary purchase at $120.05, and a strategic third buy at a favorable $81.87, each funded with $10k. This average-down approach not only reduced the overall cost basis but also positioned the investment for amplified returns during price surges.
Moving on to the realization of profits, a phased selling strategy was implemented. The first tranche of stock was sold at $299, representing a significant uptrend from the averaged buying price. The subsequent sell-offs were at even more elevated price points of $637 and $1355, each constituting one-third and the final tranche a slightly larger portion of the holdings, at thirty-four percent.
This trading strategy emphasizes the importance of patience and discipline, ensuring that each sell-off point was not prematurely triggered but rather aligned with substantial price appreciations, marking a staggering overall gain.
By sharing this strategy and its successful outcome, I aim to inspire and equip fellow traders with a framework that underscores timing, accumulation, and strategic exits in trading sessions. May this insight serve as a beacon for your trading endeavors on the tumultuous seas of the stock market.
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t bought the dip on TSLA:
nor sold the regional top:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $20.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook: Buy the dip or sell the rip?We move on from a week where strong momentum markets (AI names, NAS100, JPN225, Mexican peso) were sold down hard, with traders better buyers of the VIX, US30, gold, CHF, USD, and defensive equities (utilities).
Notably, the NAS100 recorded its worst week since November 2022, driven in part by market players part-liquidating an incredibly extended position in Nvidia, with 87m shares traded on Friday alone. Tesla and Super Micro Computers also seeing steep declines on the week, with Tesla remaining front and centre with Q124 earnings due after-market on Tuesday – many ask whether we see a fifth consecutive quarter where shares closed lower on the day of reporting?
Long US30 / short NAS100 positions have worked well and remain a tactical play I like into the new week - although with so many heavyweight tech names reporting through the week, NAS100 shorts will watch the reaction to earnings closely and will be prepared to react if the market likes what they see from the respective outlooks.
While sentiment has turned more negative, there is absolutely no panic at all and I’d to see if the buyer’s step in and support the S&P500 a little lower into 4935. That said, the price action and technical set-up suggests selling rallies in the US500 and NAS100 is the play – and if one is compelled to ‘buy dips’, then waiting for the rip after early traders buy the dip seems the higher probability play.
Geopolitical headlines remain fluid and have been a key reason for keeping buyers of risk at bay – many will remain focused on these developments as we roll into the new week. The news flow was certainly a key reason why gold closed higher for a fifth straight week and at a new all-time closing high on Friday, as it was why the CHF was the star currency on the week.
That said, with Brent crude closing the week 3.1% lower, one could argue it was the move higher in US bond yields – with the US 10yr Treasury pushing above 4.6% - that was really the big kicker that promoted rotation out of tech/AI names and supported the USD.
Short GBPUSD and long USDMXN on any retracement remains a compelling trade on my radar.
Watch US PCE inflation on Friday as the marquee risk on the data front – for a playbook, we could see outsized market moves on a US core PCE print above 0.4% m/m (USD up, gold, NAS100 down) or below 0.25% m/m (USD down, NAS100 and gold higher). A read above 0.4% m/m and the idea of a cut before the US Presidential election would be further dialled back.
There will be a focus on the BoJ meeting, but it is too soon for them to alter policy, and the market gives a change in rates no chance at all. If we get a move in the JPY, it will likely come from any changes to the bank’s inflation forecasts and the post-meeting conference call. We remain on JPY intervention watch, and signs that we are getting closer to the point where Japanese authorities look to step up the fight against JPY's weakness.
PMIs are due in the UK, EU, and US and they could move markets, notably if the service’s PMI outcome misses/beats expectations by a wide margin. Australia Q1 CPI poses a risk to AUD exposures, although, with such little priced into Aussie interest rate futures, it would need to big surprise to have a lasting effect on AUD pairs.
Bitcoin moves past the highly anticipated halving and while we predictably didn’t get any kneejerk reaction in price, the set-up on the higher timeframes is starting to look more compelling from the long side. There was clear support from the market to buy on the move below $60k and this is a level many are guiding for stops on longs. An upside break of $66k could be the trigger for a push into the top of the range of $72k.
Key event risk for traders to navigate:
Monday
• China 1 & 5-year Loan Prime Rate decision (11:15 AEST / 14:15 BST) – No change expected with the 1-year rate left at 3.45% and the 5-year rate at 3.95%.
Earnings – SAP (Germany) – one to watch for clients trading the GER40, with SAP holding a 10% weight on the index.
Central bank speeches – BoE’s Benjamin speaks (19:05 AEST / 10:05 BST)
Tuesday
• EU HCOB manufacturing and services PMI (18:00 AEST / 09:00 BST) – Service PMI eyed at 51.8 (from 51.5 in the prior read) & manufacturing at 46.5 (from 46.1)
• UK S&P manufacturing and services PMI (18:30 AEST / 09:30 BST) - Services at 53.0 (53.1) & manufacturing at 50.4 (50.3)
• US S&P Global manufacturing and services PMI (23:45 AEST / 14:45 BST) - Services at 52.0 (51.7) & manufacturing at 52.0 (51.9)
Earnings – Tesla (after-market), Visa (after-market)
Central bank speeches – BoE Haskel (18:00 AEST), BoE Huw Pill (21:15 AEST), ECB Nagel (22:30 AEST)
Wednesday
• Australia Q1 CPI (11:30 AEST / 02:30 BST) – The economist consensus looks for headline CPI at 0.8% QoQ / 3.5% YoY (4.1%), and the trimmed mean CPI measure eyed at 3.8% YoY (from 4.2%). With Aussie interest rate futures pricing in just one rate cut in 2024, it would take a big beat/miss vs consensus to drive significant volatility in the AUD, with the AUD more sensitive to geopolitical headlines and broad market sentiment.
• Mexico Bi-weekly CPI (22:00 AEST / 13:00 BST) – the consensus is for headline CPI to come in at 4.49% (4.37%) and core CPI at 4.38% (4.41%)
Earnings – Lloyds (UK), Boeing (before-market), IBM (after-market), Meta (after-market)
Thursday
Anzac Day – ASX200 closed.
Earnings – Barclays (UK), Caterpillar (before-market), Alphabet (after-market), Intel (after-market), Microsoft (after-market)
Central bank speeches – ECB’s Schnabel speaks (00:00 AEST and 17:00 AEST)
Friday
• Tokyo CPI (09:30 AEST / 00:30 BST) – headline CPI is eyed at 2.5% (2.6%) and core CPI at 2.2% (2.4%) – shouldn’t be a volatility event for the JPY or JPN225
• Bank of Japan meeting with updated GDP and inflation forecasts (no set time but likely between 12:00 and 15:00 AEST / 03:00 to 06:00 BST) – no change in policy expected, so the focus falls on the bank's inflation projections and the post-meeting conference call.
• ECB 1- & 3-year CPI expectations (18:00 AEST / 09:00 BST)
• US core PCE inflation (22:30 AEST / 13:30 BST) – headline PCE inflation is expected at 0.3% m/m and 2.6% y/y (from 2.5%) and core PCE at 0.3% m/m and 2.7% y/y (2.8%).
Earnings – Exxon (Before market), Chevron
👀 Three Black Crows. Bear Market Candlestick PatternThree Black Crows is a term used to describe a bearish candlestick pattern that can predict a reversal in an uptrend.
Classic candlestick charts show "Open", "High", "Low" and "Close" prices of a bar for a particular security. For markets moving up, the candlestick is usually white, green or blue. When moving lower they are black or red.
The Three Black Crows pattern consists of three consecutive long-body candles that opened with a gap above or inside the real body of the previous candle, but ultimately closed lower than the previous candle. Often traders use this indicator in combination with other technical indicators or chart patterns to confirm a reversal.
Key points
👉 Three Black Crows is a Bearish candlestick pattern used to predict a reversal to a current uptrend, used along with other technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
👉 The size of the Three black crow candles, timeframe they appeared on, the gaps when they opened, the downward progression sequence, as well as their shadows can be used to judge whether there is a risk of a pullback on a reversal.
👉 The “Three Black Crows” pattern should be considered finally formed after the sequential closure of all three elements included in it.
👉 The opposite pattern of three black crows is three white soldiers, which indicates a reversal of the downward trend. But maybe more about that another time.
Explanation of the Three Black Crows pattern
Three Black Crows is a visual pattern, which means there is no need to worry about any special calculations when identifying this indicator. The Three Black Crows pattern occurs when the bears outperform the bulls over three consecutive trading bars. The pattern appears on price charts as three bearish long candles with or without short shadows or wicks.
In a typical Three Black Crows appearance, bulls start the time frame with the opening price or gap up, that is, even slightly higher than the previous close, but throughout the time frame the price declines to eventually close below the previous time frame's close.
This trading action will result in a very short or no shadow. Traders often interpret this downward pressure, which lasted across three time frames, as the start of a bearish downtrend.
Example of using Three black crows
As a visual pattern, it is best to use the Three Black Crows as a sign to seek confirmation from other technical indicators. The Three Black Crows pattern and the confidence a trader can put into it depends largely on how well the pattern is formed.
Three Black Crows should ideally be relatively long bearish candles that close at or near the lowest price for the period. In other words, candles should have long real bodies and short or non-existent shadows. If the shadows are stretching, it may simply indicate a slight change in momentum between bulls and bears before the uptrend reasserts itself.
Using trading volume data can make the drawing of the Three Black Crows pattern more accurate. The volume of the last bar during an uptrend leading to the pattern is relatively lower in typical conditions, while the Three Black Crows pattern has relatively high volume in each element of the group.
In this scenario, as in our case, the uptrend was established by a small group of bulls and then reversed by a larger group of bears.
Of course, this could also mean that a large number of small bullish trades collide with an equal or smaller group of high volume bearish trades. However, the actual number of market participants and trades is less important than the final volume that was ultimately recorded during the time frame.
Restrictions on the use of three black crows
If the "Three Black Crows" pattern has already shown significant downward movement, it makes sense to be wary of oversold conditions that could lead to consolidation or a pullback before further downward movement. The best way to assess whether a stock or other asset is oversold is to look at other technical indicators, such as relative strength index (RSI), moving averages, trend lines, or horizontal support and resistance levels.
Many traders typically look to other independent chart patterns or technical indicators to confirm a breakout rather than relying solely on the Three Black Crows pattern.
Overall, it is open to some free interpretation by traders. For example, when assessing the prospects of building a pattern into a longer continuous series consisting of “black crows” or the prospects of a possible rollback.
In addition, other indicators reflect the true pattern of the three black crows. For example, a Three Black Crows pattern may involve a breakout of key support levels, which can independently predict the start of a medium-term downtrend. Using additional patterns and indicators increases the likelihood of a successful trading or exit strategy.
Real example of Three black crows
Since there are a little more than one day left before the closing of the third candle in the combination, the candlestick combination (given in the idea) is a still forming pattern, where (i) each of the three black candles opened above the closing price of the previous one, that is, with a small upward gap, (ii ) further - by the end of the time frame the price decreases below the price at close of the previous time frame, (iii) volumes are increased relative to the last bullish time frame that preceded the appearance of the first of the “three crows”, (iv) the upper and lower wicks of all “black crows” are relatively short and comparable with the main body of the candle.
Historical examples of the Three Black Crows pattern
In unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, the Three Black Crows pattern is generally quite common.
The weekly chart of the S&P500 Index (SPX) below, in particular, shows the occurrence of the pattern in the period starting in January 2022 and in the next 15 months until April 2023 (all crows combinations counted at least from 1-Month High).
As it easy to notice, in each of these cases (marked on the graph below) after the candlestick pattern appeared, the price (after possible consolidations and rollbacks) tended to lower levels, or in any case, sellers sought to repeat the closing price of the last bar in series of the Three Black Crows candlestick pattern.
Bottom Line
👉 As well as in usage of all other technical analysis indicators, it is important to confirm or refute its results using other indicators and analysis of general market conditions.
👉 Does History repeat itself? - Partially, yes.. it does. This is all because financial markets (as well as life) is not an Endless Rainbow, and after lovely sunny days, earlier or later, dark clouds may appear again, and again.
Tesla Shares Reached a New Low for More Than a YearOn Thursday, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) shares reached a new low for more than a year after Deutsche Bank expressed concerns over the company's growing focus on autonomous vehicle products while its profit is under pressure. The electric automaker's shares dropped 2.7% to $151.26 after the brokerage downgraded the stock to "Hold" and decreased its price target to $123 from $189.
Deutsche Bank's commentary followed a Reuters report earlier this month that Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) decided to cancel its long-promised affordable car that investors hoped would drive growth, while continuing to develop Robotaxis on the same vehicle platform.
Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) has been striving for greater adoption of its full self-driving advanced driver assistance software ahead of unveiling Robotaxi in August. However, the brokerage pointed out that achieving full driverless autonomy represents a significant technological, regulatory, and operational challenge.
"The delay of Model 2 efforts creates the risk of no new vehicle in Tesla's consumer lineup for the foreseeable future, which would put downward pressure on its volume and pricing for many more years," stated Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner.
As profitability takes a hit from price cuts to boost demand for its electric vehicles, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) laid off more than 10% of its global workforce earlier this week, even as it continues to try to revive Musk's huge pay deal from 2018.
The company has requested its shareholders to reaffirm their approval of Musk's $56 billion pay that was set in 2018, but was rejected by a Delaware judge in January.
After shedding 37.4% of its value so far this year, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) shares fell to their lowest in nearly 15 months on Thursday, making it the second worst-performing stock on the S&P 500 index. While the company's market capitalization is set to fall by more than $17 billion to about $478 billion, if losses hold, it remains the most valuable automaker in the world.
Technical Outlook
Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock tanked by 3.55% reaching new lows and trading below the 200-day Moving Average (MA) with a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 31.86
Tesla stock might be heading down to 118 $ Stock : Tesla
Share price : 171.70 $
Stock financially : Down, as the stock price overvalue
Trend ( technically ) : down
Recommendation : Sell
Reason : mentioned on the chart
Technical analysis failure at price 192 $ : ( Where the resistance and downtrend line have been breached )
Technical analysis success at price 118 $ : ( Where the bear flag pattern target is achieved )
Tesla Valuation back to 2010 IPO$TSLA has had wild swings in valuation from under 2 times sales and over 20 times sales in the past few years. Granted, you have to know the future to know what the sales are, but in 2019 it was insanely cheap just as the Model Y was just starting to sell. The MODEL Y is why Tesla has done so well in my opinion. It has dominated and is still growing insanely fast and taking out the competition. The car is amazing. From the first moment I drove it using Turo out in the snow in Montana in 2020 I knew it was a world-car and it was in the largest segment which is Crossover SUV. After the Model Y started dominating, the valuation of Tesla then got up to over 20 times sales, which is beyond insane.
Markets provide you with opportunities to buy when things are cheap, but there are uncertainties. Then the market provides you with opportunities to sell when things are expensive, but the momentum and price gains are so strong that it is tempting to hold on. The best thing you can do is learn how to act in both situations. Also, it is OK to watch a stock go higher AFTER you sell. Let go of the need to think you are the smartest person in the market. The person buying from you deserves the right "to be right" for awhile too.
So where does $TSLA stand now? In the middle between expensive and cheap. If Tesla goes lower, it gets cheaper and as sales growth continues it will drive the PSR down near 5-4 within 12 months. Will Tesla see 2 times sales again? I doubt it because at 2 times sales before it had a lot of debt ($10B and there were survival concerns at that time along with a VERY LOW investment grade rating in the junk-status category.) Now the opposite is true. Tesla has billions in cash and enough capital to buy back stock and still meet their capital spending for many years.
To step back and view the situation from a rational perspective, you have to look at the extremely high valuation that Tesla reached in the bubble of 2020-2021-2022. Step back and look at the long term valuation and trends.
Stay tuned.
Tim
9:20AM-9:37AM Thursday, November 10, 2022
184.24 last $TSLA
Tesla Loses Half-Trillion Dollar Shine: Bulls Feeling the SqueezTesla, the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer, has hit a rough patch in 2024. This week, the company's market valuation slipped below $500 billion, marking a significant blow to investors who had placed big bets on Tesla's continued growth.
Several factors seem to be contributing to Tesla's woes. Firstly, concerns are mounting about the company's ability to maintain its breakneck growth trajectory. Recent reports indicate weaker-than-expected sales figures, leading some analysts to question whether Tesla can meet its ambitious production targets. Adding fuel to the fire, Tesla announced a round of job cuts this week, further amplifying anxieties about slowing growth. is decline coincides with a broader slump in the company's stock price, which has shed a staggering 37% so far this year.
Secondly, a recent exodus of high-ranking executives has rattled investor confidence. Several key figures have departed Tesla in recent months, leaving a void in leadership This instability at the top management level has cast a shadow over the company's future direction.
These developments have significantly dampened the enthusiasm of investors who had previously been bullish on Tesla. The company's stock has become one of the worst performers on the prestigious S&P 500 Index in 2024, erasing a colossal $290 billion in shareholder wealth. This decline marks a stark turnaround from the meteoric rise Tesla experienced in previous years, when its stock price soared on the promise of a revolutionary electric vehicle future.
However, some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. They point to the company's continued innovation in battery technology and its lead in the EV market as reasons for hope. They argue that the recent stock price slump presents a buying opportunity for those with a long-term investment horizon.
"Tesla has been through disasters before," said one analyst, "We maintain our outperform rating on the stock." This sentiment is echoed by others who believe that Tesla's core strengths remain unmatched and that the current challenges are merely temporary hurdles.
Only time will tell whether Tesla can weather this storm and reclaim its former glory. The coming months will be crucial as the company strives to address concerns about slowing growth, leadership changes, and a softening market. Tesla's ability to reignite investor confidence and reignite sales growth will determine whether the bulls can once again take the reins.
Simple chart analysis for Tesla on H1The other one that I post was a weekly one.
Elliot Wave finished. ABC correction finished. Waiting for second abc.
Chart has recently finished E.W. but it can reach a little more toward 338%. Even so, I don't sugest to wait for it since it can go down any moment.
I use fibonacci between peak 1 and peak 4 of E.W. to know fifth wave limit.
TESLA lays off more than 10% staff. Is this its 'META moment'?It was reported this morning that Tesla (TSLA) "will lay off more than 10% of its global workforce, an internal memo seen by Reuters on Monday shows, as it grapples with falling sales and an intensifying price war for electric vehicles".
The market has so far reacted with strong selling of more than -3% in early trading. But is this really bad news?
Not so long ago (November 09 2022), another high tech giant that was heavily decimated at the time, Meta Platforms (META), announced lay offs of around 13% of the company (more than 11000 employees). This was just 5 days after the November 04 2022 market bottom. The result (chart on the right) was an aggressive recovery above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which turned into a Support for 240 days straight.
Of course the fundamental difference is that the 2022 Low for Meta was the Bear Cycle bottom of the Inflation Crisis while Tesla's Channel Down has been the picture of its underperformance for almost a year relative to the rest of the market (and the Magnificent 7 in particular).
However it shouldn't be overlooked that such cost driven news are fundamentals capable of turning the profitability of a company around and Meta's case is such a representative example. Meta was massively oversold in November 2022 (-75% from ATH) and similarly Tesla is massively oversold now (-60% from ATH). Meta managed to completely recover and smash through to new All Time Highs (+38% from previous ATH). In November 2022 it was all doom and gloom for the social media giant and it is worth searching for news headlines at the time to see the similarities with Tesla's situation today.
Time will tell of course, but we wanted to bring this comparison to you and help you draw your own conclusions.
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Tesla Set to Lay Off More Than 10% of its StaffIn a recent development, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), the electric vehicle (EV) giant, has announced plans to lay off more than 10% of its global workforce, marking a significant shift in its operational strategy. This decision comes amidst a series of challenges facing the company, including declining vehicle deliveries and the abandonment of its plans for an inexpensive car.
According to reports from tech publication Electrek, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) aims to streamline its operations by identifying critical team members and reducing production at Gigafactory Shanghai. Additionally, the company has paused some stock rewards and canceled annual reviews for certain employees. These measures signal a concerted effort by Tesla to navigate through a period of market turbulence and streamline its operations for future growth.
With approximately 15,000 workers expected to be affected by the layoffs, Tesla's ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) workforce reduction reflects a strategic realignment in response to changing market dynamics. Despite its status as the world's largest automaker by market value, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) has encountered challenges in recent quarters, including a decline in vehicle deliveries – its first in nearly four years.
The announcement also comes at a pivotal time for Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), as it prepares to report its quarterly earnings on April 23. Investors and industry analysts will closely monitor these results to gauge the company's financial performance and its ability to navigate through current market challenges.
Furthermore, Tesla's decision to abandon plans for producing an inexpensive car underscores the shifting priorities within the EV industry. While CEO Elon Musk has long championed the goal of making affordable EVs accessible to the masses, the company's strategic pivot reflects the need to adapt to changing market dynamics and consumer preferences.
Despite these challenges, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) remains a dominant force in the EV market, with its innovative technology and brand recognition continuing to drive interest among consumers. However, as competition intensifies and market conditions evolve, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) faces mounting pressure to deliver sustainable growth and maintain its position as a market leader.
Technical Outlook
Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock is down 3.22% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 39.72 indicating an oversold position for the stock. The Monthly price chart indicates a Bearish Pennant for the stock.