TESLA: New long term uptrend starting. $600 end of year possibleTesla has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.952, MACD = -6.270, ADX = 56.430) and crossed under the 1W MA200 for the first time since October 30th. Even though further decline up until the Fed Meeting (January 31st) is possible, on a wider perspective, this is a long term buy opportunity in disguise.
Why? Because the stock's Channel Down since July is repeating the same pattern of April-November 2016, which was eventually a Bullish Flag. The chart speaks for itself, they both started very low but grew exponentially on a parabolic curve, which after topping, it pulled back to the 1W MA200. After the Bullish Flag, Tesla hit the -0.118 Fibonacci extension seven months later. The 1W RSI patterns are equally identical.
It is therefore more than realistic to expect a test of the new -0.118 Fibonacci level by the end of the year (TP = 600.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Tesla
RIVN Is Rivian the next TSLA?Yesterday, I observed some unusual blocks of calls in the options chain expiring on Feb 23, following the earnings release.
One of the most substantial positions was in the $20 strike price call, with options traders paying $1.7 million in premium.
Listening to analysts, some mentioned they expect a 'TSLA Model 3 moment' from RIVN as well.
In addition to Amazon, which has agreed to purchase 100,000 delivery vans from Rivian, AT&T is set to acquire its electric vans and R1 vehicles in a new pilot program starting in early 2024.
On the other hand, the CEO stated that he anticipates Rivian reaching a break-even point on each EV built by the end of this year. We will likely hear more about this on the earnings call.
I am extremely bullish on Rivian's upcoming earnings release!
$TSLA Tesla Parallel Down Trend Continues In a technical analysis focused on Tesla's parallel downtrend below the 50-day moving average (MA), we're examining the stock's price movement concerning its short-term moving average. The 50-day MA is often used to gauge the intermediate-term trend.
If Tesla is in a parallel downtrend below the 50-day MA, it suggests that the stock's recent price movements are consistently lower than this moving average. Traders and investors may interpret this as a bearish signal, indicating potential weakness in the short-term trend.
Key points to consider:
1. **Price Movement Below 50-Day MA:** Tesla's stock prices are consistently trading below the 50-day MA.
2. **Lower Highs and Lower Lows:** Within this downtrend, you'd likely observe a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downward trajectory.
3. **Support and Resistance Levels:** The 50-day MA could act as a dynamic resistance level, with the stock struggling to move above it. Meanwhile, parallel trendlines may define the channel within which the downtrend is occurring.
4. **Volume Analysis:** It's crucial to assess trading volume accompanying the downtrend. An increase in volume during declines could signal stronger selling pressure.
As always, remember that technical analysis is just one tool, and it's essential to consider other factors and perform a comprehensive analysis before making any trading decisions. If you have specific data points or a particular time frame you'd like me to focus on, feel free to provide more details.
The Bullish Case for TESLAOne of the biggest misconception on Tesla is that it is just an Electric Vehicle Company but that is not the case. Tesla is also a Robotics, AI and energy company. If you look at it from that lens, TESLA is undervalued and has a great future!!
TESLA recently bounced off the $212 Support level and believe this is the start of a bullish trend. Targeting the $300 Price point and we may even see $300 by the end of 2024.
For context Elon recently tweeted this on TESLA
"I am uncomfortable growing Tesla to be a leader in AI & robotics without having ~25% voting control. Enough to be influential, but not so much that I can't be overturned.
Unless that is the case, I would prefer to build products outside of Tesla. You don't seem to understand that Tesla is not one startup, but a dozen. Simply look at the delta between what Tesla does and GM. As far as stock ownership itself being enough motivation, fidelity, and other similar stakes to me, why don't they show up for work?"
In this tweet, Elon Musk expresses his desire for greater control over Tesla's direction as the company expands into AI and robotics. He believes that his current 13% stake in the company is not enough to make significant decisions in these areas.
Tesla has a great future and as long as Elon is the captain, this ship will continue to go to mars and beyond. cheers
Tesla: It's time to turn around🔄Tesla has fallen sharply in recent days and has now reached more or less the levels at which we expect the low of the blue wave (ii). Accordingly, our primary expectation is that the price will soon reverse and continue to rise - we expect it to rise above the $258.74 mark. Only the 35% probable alternative would shift this reversal into the future. This scenario comes into effect on a drop below $193.81 and still sees the price in the magenta wave alt. (ii).
Inflation Higher = Stock Market LowerWhile higher inflation should be an indicator of a booming stock market since the consumers are spending more and the companies make more profit, this time the case is different.
The simple macroeconomics behind it:
Higher Inflation=Higher Interest Rates, which=Higher Borrowing Costs for the S&P companies
And as you have already connected the dots higher borrowing costs mean less profit, so that is indeed what we are expecting to see in the stock market.
The Seasonality for January for the S&P tends to be neutral to slightly bullish which is another confluence that we can see some pain in the coming weeks.
This is our second trade on the S&P as the first one was with half of the risk and tight stop loss which was triggered, so now is the perfect opportunity for our second part of the trade.
REMEMBER- Patience is the key for being consistently profitable
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Comment your opinion below:)
TSLA Bullish Volume DetectedTSLA on a 15 minute chart is showing bullish volume trend as detected by the Unusual Market Volume Detector indicator.
Green color showed up after consistent Red for the last week or so. The bullish Price Action is consistent with the bullish volume trend. Watch out for any Divergence i.e. Purple color in the lower panel. More importantly what color shows up after the divergence will be the key.
Tesla should target 300 after crossing the resistance lineOn the daily chart, the pattern being drawn, and indicators RSI and MACD are showing the stock is going to trade in zigzag until crossing the resistance line (blue), the target is 300
Crossing 300, will open the probability to target 560 in the long term (monthly chart)
Stop loss (225 - 220) should be considered.
TESLA Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 218.79
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 240.72
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TESLA: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy TESLA.
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$TSLA #Tesla, just dump it...The TSLA chart indicates a notable presence of lower gaps that are yet to be filled. These lower gaps signify potential areas where the stock might experience downward movements to reach previous price levels. The current situation suggests that if the support levels represented by rectangles do not hold, there is a higher likelihood of rapid downward penetration.
Investors and traders should closely monitor these support levels as they play a crucial role in determining the stock's future trajectory.
TESLA Breaking below the 1W MA50 again but NOT a BUY yet.Three weeks ago we mentioned the importance of the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line on Tesla (TSLA) and how critical it would be for the price to finally break above it for the first time in more than 2 years:
The 'Do or die moment' as we called it failed to deliver and the price got emphatically rejected on the Lower Highs for the 5th time. This rejection has brought the price below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) yet again on pre-market. The natural zone of Support now is the January 06 2023 Higher Lows trend-line (Cycle bottom) and the April 27 2023 Higher Lows (dashed) trend-line. As long as it holds, we expect a short-term bounce and another test of the ATH Lower Highs trend-line.
If the stock breaks above the ATH Lower Highs, we will buy for a long-term rally and target 345.00. If the price breaks below the (dashed) April 27 2023 Higher Lows, we can expect a bottom as low as even 180.00, which is the Lower Lows (bottom) trend-line) of the Channel Down that started on the July 19 2023 High. If the 1D RSI though breaks first the 30.00 oversold barrier, we will take the profit on shorts and turn into a long-term buy (Target at $345.00 again) as every time the RSI turned oversold at 30.00, since December 2022, it was the most efficient buy opportunity we could get.
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TSLA_1WTesla shares are in the position of buying and long-term investment
In Time Weekly, there is a possibility of the formation of the head and shoulder pattern of the floor, and with the breaking of the upward trend line, it is a confirmation for the growth and value of Tesla shares, which can advance the 500 target.
The main and important support is the 215 range.