TSLA — Bulls, This Is Your Chance to Punish The Club-Footed OnesTesla over the weekend said its first much anticipated Cybertruck came off the electric vehicle maker’s production line in Texas. The debut of the long-delayed, futuristic-looking pickup truck comes in the lead up to Tesla’s second quarter 2023 earnings call.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk first introduced the Cybertruck in 2019, but vehicle production has repeatedly been delayed. The truck was initially scheduled for production and delivery in 2021, but Tesla has pushed back the timing since then, citing shortages in sourcing components.
In July 2022, Musk set a new production schedule for summer 2023. During Tesla’s first quarter 2023 earnings call, the executive also promised to host a delivery event for the Cybertruck towards the end of Q3.
Musk said at Tesla’s 2023 annual shareholder’s meeting in May that the automaker could deliver between 250,000 to 500,000 units per year once production begins. Mass production is scheduled for the end of this year.
Analysts will be on the lookout Wednesday during the automaker’s Q2 earnings call for firmer details on production, delivery and specs.
While Tesla has attributed Cybertruck delays to standard supply chain issues, leaked documents have revealed other fundamental flaws in the vehicle’s basic design and engineering. In January 2022, a whistleblower leaked 100 GB of files to German outlet Handelsblatt that showed preproduction prototypes had serious braking, powertrain, suspension, sealing and structural issues. The report, which detailed unfulfilled promises from Tesla, reminded many of the first Cybertruck reveal event, when the vehicle’s designer cracked the supposedly unbreakable armor glass windows.
As of November 2022, the Cybertruck had over 1.5 million reservations, according to a report from Electrek. Tesla customers have been able to put down a $100 refundable deposit to pre-order since 2019.
Tesla originally estimated the truck would start at $39,900 for the single motor and rear-wheel drive model, which would have a towing capacity of 7,500 pounds and more than 250 miles of range. That model is now expected to start at about $50,000, according to Kelley Blue Book. The dual-motor, all-wheel drive version could start at around $60,000, and it should have a towing capacity of more than 10,000 pounds and over 300 miles of range. The priciest version, starting at around $70,000, will have three electric motors and all-wheel drive, a towing capacity of 14,000 pounds and battery range of over 500 miles.
Tesla usually changes prices in the middle of a model year, so these prices may shift again before the end of 2023. Cybertruck buyers may be eligible for the U.S.’s $7,500 federal EV tax incentives.
Tesla’s pickup truck launch will bring the automaker into another profitable EV segment in the U.S. The Cybertruck will have to compete with electric pickups like Ford’s F-150 Lightning, which is available now with a starting price of around $60,000. Other upcoming pickups include the Chevrolet Silverado EV and the Rivian R1T. The Silverado EV Work Truck starts at $77,905 and can go 450 miles on a charge. Delivery is expected in the fall of 2023. The Rivian starts at $74,000, with deliveries for certain trims starting this summer.
Technical picture in Tesla stocks NASDAQ:TSLA indicates that bearish trend is over, and this is the last chance to jump on the footboard of Tesla rocket.
Bulls, This Is Your Chance to Punish All The Club-Footed Ones
Tesla
TSLA | I Like This Entry Point | LONGTesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance services. This segment also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners; and provision of service and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty, as well as various financing options to its solar customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Palantir - Fear Worshippers of The All Seeing EyeI have to say that Palantir is a really difficult chart to read. On the one hand, looking at monthly bars, it's the kind of pattern which indicates new highs are in store.
Weekly bars are about the same. Nothing about this says you can short.
And its only that there's some divergences on the daily. But those divergences are really meaningful.
However, at the same time, although it's up some 220%+ from the bottom, the bottom did take out the IPO low, which is not bullish.
And these high prices are coming at a time when the Nasdaq and the SPX may very well have topped, which I address in my latest call:
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
Palantir is a company that is ostensibly a key component of the panopticon surveillance network that underlines the International Rules Based Order's version of the Chinese Communist Party's social credit system.
At least, this is what rightists would tell you. If you asked the people behind the West's implementation of social credit, they would say they just seek to advance an enlightened society while keeping stability and security under control, and big data collection is crucial to that.
Well, if you ask CCP members, they would tell you the same thing, just coated in Marxist jargon.
And therein lies the problem. Mankind needs to return to its 5,000 year old traditions, which were reared and established over China's long dynasties, instead of trying to go Big Atheism and reinvent The Wheel.
Regardless of if Palantir at its current $37 billion valuation is a part of the future or a part of the past and gone with the wind, the last three months of trading have been totally one directional.
Which makes wanting to get short very deadly.
However, conditions for a short setup that is at least a scalp were formed with the July high on the 19th.
The reason for this is that price swept a key level and was met with a stiff rejection, taking a pivot.
All on its own, in the stock market with the way it just likes to go uppy or grind sideways, this makes shorting or puts hard, still.
But what we saw is daily candles double bottom at precisely $16.00, with Friday's trading session being yet another big green gainer on the back of such a bottom.
And so, as Buffet said, one should be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy only when others are fearful.
So the trade is to short somewhere between where we closed on Friday and over $18.
When another dump occurs, where it dumps to will tell us everything about the future.
If Palantir is truly bullish to more upside, it will preserve the June low at $13.56.
If it's really bullish, it should even preserve the July low at $14.62
If it's bullish, but is going to take until 2024 to go higher, we can expect prices under $12.
If it's bearish, prices under $11 are the target, with an all time low on deck and about to hit everyone on the face.
Which do I think is the most likely? Frankly, probably a dump under $15 and a new high in August.
There's no other way to put it or look at it at the moment.
For things to be different, you'd need something like a banking crisis to intervene in the markets, a prospect I undertake here:
Charles Schwab - The Harbinger Of The Next Crisis?
I believe that, all things considered, the risk side of the trade right now is people who are longing this top, regarding it as a dip to buy, expecting more highs.
Because people have capitulated, become greedy, and have taken their eyes off the clock.
You should remember that you're just standing in an equities bear market rally while central banks have their key rates pinned over 5% and no intention to cut.
This is bad news for stocks, and yet people are being told indexes are set to make a new all time high.
Repricing to the downside can come violently, aggressively, be gappy, and will give those on the wrong side of the trade no chance to get out.
Be very careful.
Apple - So, You've Been Taught To Buy That Dip...Apple has really been, perhaps arguably, the key reason the bear market rally has been as extreme as it has in 2023.
Looking back to January, there really has not been even a single genuinely bearish day.
But with Q2 earnings as a catalyst, we now have signs of a genuine and significant reversal pattern, and at an all time high. It's very evident on monthly bars.
Weekly bars are even more obvious, showing that today, we took the July low, and there's no luft to the bounce.
Long is a bad trade and short is now a good trade, is what we're being told.
"The trend is your friend, until the end" is a saying with a lot of wisdom. If you can figure out you've ran into "the end" in the first few hours, then you really will be a lucky person.
A lot of people may be about to blow their accounts trying to buy that dip, which they've been conditioned to do so like Pavlov's dog and his bell.
Apple is a company that's maintained close ties, all these years, to the Chinese Communist Party. You should always remember there is a difference between "China" and "the CCP."
China is a 5,000 year old country with a culture of dynasties that were imparted since the Great Flood by the Divine.
The CCP is a 100-year-old Red Demon whose existence was arranged to destroy humanity, the Earth, and the Cosmos itself.
Xi Jinping has ruled both China and the CCP since 2012, and it's both a blessing and a curse for him. If Xi isn't intelligent enough to go Gorbachev-style and overthrow the Party in the middle of the US night, then Xi will go down in history as the leader of the rogue regime at the end, and will be responsible for everything it has done in history.
This includes the 24-year-long persecution of Falun Dafa's 100 million spiritual cultivators.
Although the persecution was started July 20, 1999 by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and conducted by the toad's faction all these years, and Xi has been killing and bankrupting the rogue faction's minions in the Anti-corruption Campaign, the problem with being tagged as the CCP's leader is that the head is always the first thing you cut off with the guillotine.
So, here's the thing for Apple.
I expect Apple to take the $176.93 July low, probably sometime next week, based on how the markets are reacting.
From there, we may see a retrace.
What this will indicate is that Apple's market, for the first time in 2023, has finally shifted bearish.
What this is the canary in the coalmine for is a significant correction. You can actually see this kind of pattern play out strongly in Amazon's monthly bars, which I comment on in their earnings pattern below:
Amazon - Greed, Just Like Speed, Kills
I anticipated that SPX was due for numbers as low as 4,420~ in the below call:
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
And so the setup with Apple is this:
Short any bounce, with a target of $174. Then, don't get greedy. Anticipate a bounce into the August 18 options expiry.
But that bounce may be no better than a flirt with $190.
From there, you can consider it a "Godshort" with a target below the 2022 $124 low.
And what I want to say is that if Apple has topped, everything is topped.
Everyone is greedy and blinded by greed, buying highs without fear. Buying highs without fear.
Buying highs without fear!
"We are fearful when others are greedy, and greedy only when others are fearful" is something Warren Buffett is notable for stating.
And although Buffett doesn't qualify as any kind of a good man, the Truth is the Truth, even if a toad states it.
Be careful. Things are about to change extremely quickly. Can you keep up? Can you enlighten to it?
Missing the chance, there may be no further opportunities.
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering IcebergLast week's SPX call was pretty accurate in terms of levels. What was wrong was only the order of operations and timing.
ES SPX Futures - Welcome to FOMCmageddon
I had felt it made sense for the market maker to sweep out the lows before taking the highs, but the plan was the opposite, and this actually adds credence to the theory that the markets are topping.
Something to keep in mind about calls for new all time highs, that we're hearing everywhere now, is that equities generally don't moon in high interest rate environments, and every central bank that matters in the world except for Japan is playing with 3-5%.
And nobody is cutting.
Warren Buffet said to "be fearful when others are greedy" and it's really a piece of wisdom you ought to take to heart, right now.
Something I would like to tell you is that tops and bottoms are, 100% of the time, hindsight calls. There is no way to actually accurately predict a top and a bottom before it unfolds.
What you can do as a trader, however, is anticipate that certain levels are the target, and look to see if price action and other covariances and fundamental factors confirm the theory if price trades to that level.
Then, using risk management and some rational logic, one can take the position, and shift their bias. If you can read the map and execute, you'll make a lot of money.
Otherwise, you can only make money if you're lucky, and few are particularly lucky, since we're all just mortals.
There's some problems with the "more uppy for more longer" theory.
A core factor is that the beginning of July marked a quarterly shift, and the entire month has been even more up.
There are now only August and September remaining. If it's not SPX 5,500 coming this year, the reversal is probably going to be violent, it stands to reason.
Another really crucial core factor is the geopolitical situation between the International Rules Based Order, which Washington ostensibly heads, and the Chinese government under Xi Jinping.
A really noticeable characteristic of all the clamoring in the propaganda machine is that they never go after "The Chinese Communist Party," they always go after "China" and Xi.
You should always remember this adage: "China is not the CCP."
You should always remember that when someone is attacking the world's only 5,000 year old culture and nation, the world's largest and most rich in natural resources and talent, they're likely to be Fabians.
Although Xi is, and has been for a decade, the leader of the CCP, the most notable thing about him is that he has never persecuted Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners, who have been subjected to organ harvesting genocide under the edict of former Chairman Jiang Zemin starting July 20, 1999.
In fact, Xi has actually protected Falun Gong in Hong Kong, hitting thugs who target the practice's spiritual cultivators with the Anti-corruption Campaign, after the National Security Law and John Lee were installed as Chief Executive.
It's notable that John Lee has been denied entry to San Francisco for the APEC economic summit in November by Joe Biden, on that account.
All of this is to say the geopolitical chatter you hear on "China" is a disaster waiting to happen with "Taiwan."
Speaking of Taiwan, I really believe that TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation) is a significantly potent long to hedge with if the U.S. equities market goes sideways:
]TSM - Taiwan, Your Semiconductor Long Hedge
But "Taiwan War" does not mean that Xi is going to invade. The CCP is heavily weakened from the pandemic and in no position to be attacking an island that will become the Ukraine proxy war, but on a whole other level.
If Xi were really an idiot, the IRBO and the Jiang Faction would have been able to kill him years ago.
Instead, the CCP is about to fall, and what the IRBO is looking to do is depose Xi and replace him with a submissive and groomed toady from Taiwan, Maidan Revolution style (see Oliver Stone's film Ukraine on Fire).
If Xi is smart, he will weaponize the persecution of Falun Gong to defend China and himself, because Wall Street and the world government have been continuously going to Shanghai to train Marxism with the Jiangling toads, which means bloodying their hands in the persecution as "insurance."
Google the Neil Heywood story and give it some sober thought.
Back to price action and trading on the most important index right now: other risks are that both the Nasdaq and the Dow also took out the same pivot, and reacted in identical ways:
Another is that the VIX, which is already anomalously low, but won't print a single digit handle, has printed higher lows, followed by a breakout and retracement:
While 10-Year Treasury bonds, important because they represent the "Risk Free Rate," meaning huge, long term money can park cash here instead of taking risk in equities, look like a nightmare. (Rates up = bonds down)
It looks like a nightmare because Jerome Powell again said during the Q&A portion of the FOMC press conference that the inflation target is 2% while it's still 3.8% (What's 90% among friends?), that rate cuts aren't coming, and further pausing is totally contingent on economic data being spectacular in favour of deflation.
(Is not happening).
And all of the above is confirmed by the US Dollar Index's higher time frame candles showing the dump under 100.00 was really just a raid, and we're about to get our upside to 108+ on.
So, here's what I expect to happen as soon as Monday:
I believe, based on the price action that unfolded Thursday and Friday of this week, that the market makers will take advantage of Monday, July 31 to print the high of the month, breaking the 4,630 level to roughly 4,650.
This will kill all the short traders who entered early and shorted Friday, and bring in a great number of breakout traders.
I am anticipating (the key word is anticipating!) this will be a major bull trap and price will reverse.
The confirmation will be if price does retrace and takes the 4,544 level.
If so, this is no longer a dip to buy, and entering shorts on retrace will be difficult because the market makers are likely to reprice aggressively away from their trap at the top.
It may seem like a dump to 4,544 compared to 4,557 isn't very significant, being 13 points after all, forming just another "higher highs lower lows" expansion pattern.
But what taking 4,544 shows, in reality, is that the biggest money now wants to take sell stops and begin to capitalize on "The Big Short."
The first target for August, if this pans out, will be the 4,411.25 level.
It looks really far away on the chart, but it's only 200 points. Only 5 percent. Compared to last year's volatility and ranges, it's not really that big of a deal, especially for a while month.
You've just been Pavloved to follow the ring of a bell.
Moreover, the 4,411 level is also July's low.
A factor that I believe may lead to the destruction of the markets is latent malignancy in the banking sector, with Charles Schwab being the standout problem, I chronicle below:
Charles Schwab - The Harbinger Of The Next Crisis?
A lot of people are going to kill themselves buying the dip and getting stopped out and buying the dip again and getting stopped out again, if this all transpires according to the thesis.
And people who don't use stops are going to get gapped down on.
And those gap downs will be runaways that don't come back this time.
Equities bulls are going to get gapped on like every day and have Barstool Sports Dave Portnoy '22-style meltdowns.
However, if all of this does not transpire and price continues to reach over 4,700, then we can only say that the target the market makers really aspire for is ALL the liquidity over the 2021 all time highs circa 4,800.
What we have is dueling possibilities, one far more likely than the other: topping being a lot more likely than a new all time high because the the environment is one where the Fed Funds Rate is going to be 6%+ by year end.
But we need price action to confirm the theory.
All of the above is my gift to you, as readers, followers, and even trolls.
Our human race and this Planet Earth may really be in for an "early autumn" this year. The implications will shock not only the equities markets, but every aspect of our daily lives.
I wish you all a bright future, but you have to believe and execute before you can see and harvest fruit.
It's up to the individual to cultivate their hearts and minds accordingly.
Tesla: Bearish till 200 SMA Tesla's current trajectory suggests a bearish sentiment taking hold, hinting at a forthcoming test of the pivotal 200-SMA at USD 220. A decisive breach of this level could open the door to an initial target at 210, and if the bulls falter there, the spotlight may turn towards the 180 mark as the next potential support zone.
Tesla (TSLA) Correction Remains in ProgressTesla (TSLA) cycle from July 19, 2023, high remains in progress. The cycle has a 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension area target of 198.9 – 227.6. Near term, cycle from July 31 high is in progress as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from July 31 high, wave ((i)) ended at 250.49 and wave ((ii)) rally ended at 264.79 as the 30 minutes chart below shows. The stock then extended lower in wave ((iii)). Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 253.1 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 257.5. Wave (iii) lower ended at 242.76 and wave (iv) ended at 252.48. Final wave (v) ended at 241.32 which completed wave ((iii)).
Rally in wave ((iv)) ended at 251.80 with internal subdivision as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended t 244.4, pullback in wave (b) ended at 242, and wave (c) higher ended at 251.80 which also completed wave ((iv)). The stock has resumed lower in wave ((v)) with internal subdivision as an impulse. Down from wave ((iv)), wave (i) ended at 238.02, and rally in wave (ii) ended at 243.79. Wave (iii) lower ended at 233.75, and wave (iv) ended at 240.65. Near term, as far as pivot at 264.79 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
Tesla Slashes Model 3 and Model Y Prices in ChinaIntroduction:
In a surprising move, Tesla recently announced a significant price reduction for its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in China. This strategic decision aims to boost sales and maintain Tesla's stronghold in the world's largest electric vehicle (EV) market. However, as traders, it is essential to exercise caution and carefully evaluate the current stock outlook before making any investment decisions. Let's explore the details and why a pause on Tesla might be prudent until the stock outlook turns up.
The Price Cut:
Tesla's decision to reduce prices for its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in China has undoubtedly captured the attention of consumers and investors alike. The price reduction, ranging from 8% to 20%, reflects the company's ambition to remain competitive in China's rapidly evolving EV market. By aligning its prices more closely with domestic competitors, Tesla aims to attract a broader customer base and maintain its regional dominance.
The Rationale:
While Tesla's price cuts may initially appear concerning to traders, it is essential to understand the underlying rationale. China's EV market is becoming increasingly saturated, with numerous domestic manufacturers offering competitive alternatives. By adjusting its prices, Tesla seeks to solidify its market share and continue its growth trajectory in this crucial market. This move demonstrates Tesla's agility and willingness to adapt to market dynamics.
Evaluating the Stock Outlook:
As traders, it is crucial to remain cautious and evaluate the stock outlook before making investment decisions. Tesla's price cuts in China signify a potential shift in the company's profitability and future earnings. While the move may lead to increased sales volume, it could also impact Tesla's profit margins and overall financial performance. Therefore, monitoring the stock's performance closely and analyzing the long-term implications of this strategic decision is prudent.
A Cautious Call-to-Action:
Considering the current circumstances, traders should exercise caution and pause on Tesla until the stock outlook turns up. Traders can make more informed investment decisions by taking a step back and thoroughly assessing the market's response to the price cuts. This pause allows for a comprehensive evaluation of Tesla's financial performance, market positioning, and the potential impact of the price cuts on long-term profitability.
Conclusion:
Tesla's recent price cuts for the Model 3 and Model Y in China highlight its determination to maintain its dominance in the world's largest EV market. While this move aims to boost sales and adapt to market conditions, traders should approach the situation cautiously. Evaluating the stock outlook and considering the long-term implications of this strategic decision is essential. By exercising patience and prudence, traders can make informed investment choices that align with their financial goals.
Long Tesla Long Tesla here 60% of position allocation. Deviation out the wedge, Daily RSI crazy. Stops set at -2%. Still plan on shorting Tesla to the 200 weekly MA but think we get a reversion to mean here on daily. I posted my $281 tesla short and closed those positions yesterday. Perfect stop sweep on the June 23rd low. News is noise. Not advise, good luck.
Tesla may reverse from hereBased on the analysis, it appears that Tesla's stock price has gone through a specific pattern known as the Elliott Wave Theory (i,ii,iii, and iv looking to be completed. This theory suggests that markets move in predictable patterns consisting of five waves in the direction of the main trend and three waves against the trend. In this case, you're indicating that Tesla's stock has completed its 4th wave, which retraced approximately 38% of the prior price move.
If this analysis is accurate and Tesla's stock price is following this Elliott Wave pattern, it suggests that the stock might be preparing to enter its 5th wave. The 5th wave is typically an upward-moving wave that aligns with the overall trend of the stock. The upside may be 300-317-335 $.
However, it's important to recognize that Elliott Wave Theory, as well as the use of Fibonacci retracements, relies on interpreting price charts and patterns. While these tools can provide insights into potential price movements, they are not foolproof predictions. Market behavior is influenced by a multitude of factors such as news, events, economic data, and overall market sentiment. These factors can lead to unexpected price movements that may deviate from the predicted patterns.
Disclaimer : As a reminder, trading and investing come with inherent risks. Decisions should be made with careful consideration of various factors, including both technical analysis (like Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci retracements) and fundamental analysis (such as a company's financial health, competitive landscape, and industry trends). Consulting with financial professionals, conducting thorough research, and implementing risk management strategies are advisable before making any investment decisions.
Navigating Tesla's 2023 Surge: A Closer Look at Investing ...Navigating Tesla's 2023 Surge: A Closer Look at Investing in the Electric Pioneer
Introduction
The year 2023 has been a remarkable one for the Nasdaq Composite index, witnessing a robust 32% surge (as of August 9th), effectively erasing the memories of the significant double-digit losses experienced in the preceding year. This resurgence in the tech-heavy index is undoubtedly a testament to renewed investor optimism. Within this upbeat backdrop, few stocks have shone as brightly as Tesla, the electric vehicle (EV) giant, which has outperformed the broader market with an astonishing 100% surge in its shares during the same period, driving its market capitalization to nearly $800 billion.
Tesla's Resilience and Performance
The EV behemoth's meteoric rise begs the question: what should investors do with their Tesla holdings? Buying, selling, or holding—each decision carries its own set of considerations. To make an informed choice, let's delve into a comprehensive analysis of Tesla's journey in 2023 and its future prospects in the ever-evolving automotive landscape.
Tesla's financial performance has been impressive, with the company surpassing Wall Street expectations for the quarter ending June 30th. Reporting revenue of $24.9 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.91, Tesla showcased its resilience and ability to navigate challenges. However, even in the face of positive results, the company's stock experienced a 15% decline following the announcement of its second-quarter earnings. This underscores the complexity of investor sentiment and the market's scrutiny of even the slightest deviations.
Profit Margins and Ongoing Challenges
Tesla's management has been making pricing adjustments that have impacted profit margins, leading to concerns among investors. In Q2 2023, the company's gross margin and operating margin stood at 18.2% and 9.6%, respectively, marking a substantial drop from the same period a year ago. Yet, it's essential to contextualize these figures. Despite the decline, Tesla's profitability metrics continue to outperform established automakers such as Ford and General Motors.
Addressing these fluctuations, Elon Musk, Tesla's charismatic CEO, emphasized the long-term perspective during the Q2 earnings call. He stated, "The short-term fluctuations in gross margin and profitability are relatively insignificant in comparison to the long-term outlook. The advancement of autonomy will render these figures inconsequential." Investors now face the pivotal decision of whether to trust Musk's vision or approach it with a degree of skepticism.
Growth Trajectory and Industry Leadership
Beneath the surface, Tesla's growth remains impressive. Its automotive revenue, excluding energy storage products and services, has surged by a formidable 46% year over year, reflecting a staggering 533% increase over the past five years. The company's production volume is equally noteworthy, with 1.7 million vehicles manufactured in the last 12 months. Musk's audacious goal of achieving an annual production volume of 20 million vehicles by 2030 reflects his unwavering ambition to reshape the automotive landscape.
Beyond the financials, Tesla's brand resonance and premium image have played a pivotal role in its success. As the unrivaled leader in the EV market, Tesla has created an extraordinary brand identity that resonates with consumers worldwide. Its vehicles, known for their cutting-edge design and sophisticated features, provide a distinct competitive advantage that could continue to drive sustained success.
Investment Decisions: To Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Amidst Tesla's remarkable surge, the decision to buy, sell, or hold Tesla shares may not be straightforward, yet it encapsulates the essence of investing—evaluating risks, rewards, and personal circumstances.
For investors considering buying or retaining Tesla shares, the company's pivotal position in the EV industry and Musk's visionary leadership could offer compelling reasons to maintain confidence. The advent of fully self-driving capabilities, coupled with Tesla's energy initiatives, could potentially reshape its financial landscape, providing a strong case for long-term growth.
Conversely, those pondering selling Tesla shares after the remarkable ascent in 2023 might be driven by the desire to lock in profits. It's crucial to recognize that Tesla's stock comes at a premium, trading with a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 70, a substantial increase from the P/E of 30 at the beginning of the year. Sellers may seek alternative investment avenues where valuations appear more attractive.
Conclusion
As Tesla continues to chart its course in the dynamic world of EVs and technology, the decision to invest, divest, or maintain holdings must be rooted in individual perspectives and goals. Tesla's impressive growth, visionary leadership, and brand equity make it an enticing option for those bullish on the EV industry's future. Simultaneously, the stock's substantial ascent and premium valuation underscore the importance of conducting thorough research and aligning investment choices with one's unique circumstances. Just as Tesla's journey is marked by innovation and transformation, investors must navigate their own path, weighing the allure of growth against the realities of the market.
$TSLA Deep Dive TA LONGSo, as you can see on the chart 240 has provided strong reversals to the upside and of course is a large cost basis on the daily (see PBS video) So a gap down under this mark and hungry bears will eat that gap below. If we Bounce, then we have a gap above and I think this very dynamic will create range. A gap down would change that as we only have opinions above the chart and its triggers. Now above us we have 252, which is an area where buyers control the price. I expect if price settles above this, we will attempt a break of cost basis 257.00-.35. This mark is a HUGE sell wall on the daily and has been responsible for capturing price and pulling it down. Breaking this would displace the heavy sellers above and move us up.
$TSLA Punchback Long? Tomorrow's gap will tell us exactly where we will be heading for the week. We are currently in a potential range between two large earnings gaps. Giving me the feeling, we will stay in a wide range.
I use my own strategy Call the Potterbox Strat. Of course, there are lots of way to place consolidation, but I have learned the market is mechanical through years of observation. Therefore, I use no volume, no indicators, and still come out with accurate price marks.
Tesla (TSLA): Major BULLISH signalBased on my analysis, I believe that the price of TSLA is likely to rise. When assessing the support zones, it is important to consider the overall trend of the asset, especially when it is strongly bullish in the long term. In this case, we can observe that the resistance zone was broken in February and has now become a new support level (refer to the chart). This development indicates a potential upward movement in price.
Although the momentum indicators are currently high, it does not necessarily imply that the stock is overbought, especially for stocks with strong growth potential like TSLA. It is important to monitor the situation closely. However, at present, I maintain a strongly bullish outlook.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Tesla's Electric Journey: A Bullish Outlook Amidst Market...Tesla's Electric Journey: A Bullish Outlook Amidst Market Fluctuations
Tesla's recent performance reports brim with optimism. The first quarter witnessed a staggering 69% surge in production compared to the previous year, consequently propelling an impressive 87% year-on-year escalation in car sales revenue. This surge, outpacing the growth in production, yielded enhanced margins per vehicle, a feat attributed partly to the strategic price hikes of 2021 and amplified production efficiencies in the luxury Model S and X variants.
These triumphs resoundingly reverberated in the financial realm, where quarterly net income soared by an astounding 658% in comparison to the preceding year. Notably, Tesla's net profit margin, towering at 17.7%, vaulted it into an echelon of distinction within the automotive landscape.
Tesla's trajectory now finds it on the brink of luxury car margins. A valuation reminiscent of automotive stalwart Ferrari, trading at 35 times earnings, appears more fitting than juxtaposing it with General Motors at 6 times earnings or Toyota boasting a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.6. While Tesla's valuation remains rooted at 90 times earnings, the pursuit of sustained growth could inexorably nudge it closer to this zenith.
In a symphony of shareholder gratification, Tesla's management orchestrates a crescendo of promise: an anticipated annual growth of 50% in car deliveries over the forthcoming years. Embracing this projection as a melodic foundation to compose a sonata of revenue expansion while retaining Tesla's laudable 17.7% profit margin, an enticing overture unfolds. By the denouement of 2022, Tesla could bask in a $14.9 billion profit panorama. This envisages Tesla's stock trading at a modest 49.5 to earnings ratio for the entire year—a rational estimate for a venture poised to burgeon at a resounding 50% annual clip.
The recent stock market tempest dissipates any apprehensions about Tesla's valuation, a contrast to the era when Tesla's shares danced above the $1,000 threshold. Fortified by robust growth and an equitable valuation, Tesla's stock emerges as an enchanting investment prospect. Yet, beyond the numbers, the bedrock of Tesla's enterprise model warrants unwavering scrutiny before capital placement.
What alchemy grants Tesla the elixir of exalted profit margins, distinct from the traditional automaker ilk? The answer weaves through the tapestry of Tesla's unique modus operandi: eschewing intermediaries. Through a direct-to-consumer sales approach, Tesla sidesteps profit-sharing with dealers, a strategy that may raise eyebrows but unfailingly engenders substantial gains.
Moreover, Tesla's single-minded devotion to electric vehicles (EVs) is a potent undercurrent. Irrespective of individual sentiments toward electric cars, the automotive arena charts a course toward electrification. While conventional automakers are still embracing the infancy of full-scale EV production, Tesla surges forth with an unwavering momentum. It grasps the vanguard, magnetizing swaths of patrons, as other marques remain ensnared in the web of prototyping or nascent production. Evidencing this triumph, all four Tesla production models—the 3, S, Y, and X—find themselves ensconced within the upper echelons of satisfaction per Consumer Reports, seizing top accolades from first to tenth place.
In the backdrop of escalating U.S. gasoline prices, a seismic shift toward EV contemplation beckons. As consumers ponder their vehicular destiny, Tesla beckons with an unprecedented advantage, poised to capture hearts before the conventional competition can unfurl its offerings.
Nonetheless, the spiraling cost of raw materials, particularly nickel and cobalt, integral to battery production, challenges the cost-effectiveness of Tesla's creations. The perennial concern of EV range anxiety finds its echo. Yet, for those content with standard range models, Tesla's lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) batteries proffer a harmonious compromise, a performance symphony sans the toll of escalating costs.
In this symposium of innovation, Tesla orchestrates a magnetic opus, fueled by growth, innovation, and a resolute vision. As the world yearns for a cleaner automotive crescendo, Tesla wields the baton, heralding a future where brilliance and sustainability harmonize.
Tesla -> Two Bullish Scenarios Now!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Tesla💪
After Tesla stock retested the last strong support zone for bulls, the 0.786 fibonacci level at the $100 level, the recent pump over the past couple of months of more than 100% was no surprise at all.
With Tesla stock retesting the 0.382 weekly fibonacci retracement level we could already see a weekly bullish rejection away towards the upside from here.
However I am still waiting for bullish confirmation at the currect $245 support level - if we drop below the zone then I do expect a rejection at the next support which is sitting around the $215 level.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
SIGNS OF WEAKNESSHi Guys, MrBanker is here.
SP500 had been in a long uptrend starting from June 2020. During this period, the trend was succesfully tested 7 times. However, that trend has changed after exactly 19 Months.
- This was the first sign of weakness in the trend.
Additionally, the price-action broke below 200D EMA since FEB 2020.
- This is the second sign of weakness .
Currently, there is a trading war between bears and bulls, therefore, 200D EMA is tested again to validate a bullish or bearish trend.
I cannot judge the direction of the trend based on this analysis but there is an obvious bearish sentiment in the markets.
Trade Safe,
MrBanker
Update with full count TSLAElliott Wave Theory , which is a technical analysis approach used to analyze and forecast financial market trends. The text seems to be describing the potential Elliott Wave pattern of Tesla's stock price movement.
AT the low of $101.86 Tesla has formed its bottom, which is higher degree wave II .
This means that at a price level of 101.86, Tesla's stock reached what is considered a significant low point. This low point is identified as a higher-degree "wave II." In Elliott Wave Theory , higher-degree waves are larger in scale and represent broader market trends.
Thereafter it formed higher high and higher lows and formed miner degree waves 1, 2, 3, and it is under miner degree 4 as of now and 4th wave seems to be under completion.
After the higher-degree wave II, Tesla's stock price started to form a series of smaller movements: higher highs and higher lows. These smaller movements are referred to as "minor degree waves." Tesla has completed minor degree waves 1, 2, and 3, and is currently in the process of completing minor degree wave 4. This indicates a series of price movements within the broader trend.
We expect the higher degree (1) will complete near the minor degree 5th wave target of $335.
Once minor degree wave 4 is completed, the stock's price will likely move upward, forming a higher-degree wave (1). This higher-degree wave (1) is expected to reach a target price of $335. In other words, the stock's price is predicted to rise in a significant movement.
After completing wave (1), it will move for wave (2) with a target price of $191.
Once the higher-degree wave (1) is completed, there will likely be a corrective movement in the form of higher-degree wave (2). This corrective wave (2) is projected to have a target price of $191, indicating a temporary decrease in the stock's price after the expected rise of wave (1).
Disclaimer: Financial markets are subject to significant volatility, uncertainty, and various external factors that can impact price movements. Any investment decisions made based on the information in the chart are at your own risk. Before making any financial decisions, it is strongly recommended that you conduct thorough research, seek advice from qualified financial professionals, and consider a range of reliable sources.
The use of technical analysis tools such as Elliott Wave Theory involves a degree of subjectivity and interpretation, and past performance is not indicative of future results. All investments carry inherent risks, and there are no guarantees of specific outcomes or returns.