Tesla
$RIVN Getting ready for a HTF move to $15-$16
Global liquidity is trending down
Bearish RSI divergence on AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ
NASDAQ:RIVN like practically all EV stocks and Tech stocks are over-extended from MA's
Daily TD 8 Count
$27.16 may have been the HOY. If not, I'm expecting for big money to push price up to $28 before we see a steep pullback or reversal. NASDAQ:RIVN has not tested the daily 50, 100, or 200 in a long time. The daily 9-EMA has been holding every test recently. Will look for break of the daily 9-EMA for confirmation.
I've dabbled in options. Might look for some December puts and short an equity position for intraday moves.
Remember, we want to lose on the idea, not the execution. Make sure to look for entries near levels you can risk against.
Good luck!
Tsla, looks like battery drain... If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
Followed green path, but looking like a ZZ up.
Still think the reaction to this 238.40 area could be a good clue. A bounce to another ZZ at the lower degree, would be looking for some further downside.
TESLA MONTHLY UPDATES
This idea still valid for me.
Not changing the analysis.
Im still looking below.
I made a predictions way back july.
Trade at your own risk
This is not a financial advice.
As you can compare on SPY/SPX500 same scenarios.
If we break the SPY 456 then tesla can go higher.
If SPY falls or failed to break the 456 then we see my idea on TEsla would be right.
TESLA Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 244.94
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 254.15
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPX ES Futures - A Great Deal of Caution Is AdvisedIt can be said that it's no surprise whatsoever that Jackson Hole was used so that options sellers could make various positions expire worthless, since it occurs on a Friday and was widely expected to be a high volatility day.
Although indexes closed with sub-1% moves, the intraday range was actually very significant.
Perhaps with Wednesday's apparent bounce and Friday's recovery, and the VIX trading at a 15-handle again, traders have been told to become bullish again because "new bull market."
Yet when we look at the ES monthly, we see that price action has already taken out the July low.
And we see from the Weekly that the weekly bounce simply swept into the wicks by a half handle before retracing upwards of 3%.
The Nasdaq swept even higher, into the week of August 7's wicks:
And the Dow is actually just really, really bearish:
The biggest problem bulls face heading into the end of September and the end of Q3 is the situation in Mainland China with Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party he has still yet to throw away.
While many people may still feel that a sub-10% move on ES futures for the month of August, that will take out the July low circa-4,100, is a dream too good to come true with four days remaining...
Consider that China's Hang Seng Tech Index, in an economy where every single company is a de facto state-run enterprise that must report to the CCP in every way, has an almost 17% range this month while dealing with a similar numerical value to the SPX:
What hangs over the head of all of humanity is the 24-year persecution of Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners by the CCP under former Chairman Jiang Zemin (it died) starting July 20, 1999.
In order to go to places like Tsinghua and Shanghai and do business as a foreigner, one has had to "transfuse blood" and swear vows to the Red Regime and the Jiang Faction, and this has formed significant skeletons in the closet of many of the companies that support the indexes.
If you don't believe it. Just go look up the Neil Heywood saga, or look at Canadian establishment journalist Sam Cooper's book "Wilful Blindness: How A Network Of Narcos, Tycoons And Chinese Communist Party Agents Infiltrated The West" and take a calloused look at reality.
The start of August has marked a bearish shift in market structure. And although there are significant fractals that show a retrace to the highs is actually very realistic, the reality is that with how price action has played out, every bounce has occurred to rape bears and trap bulls.
And this means that if there is to be a bounce, it's likely in Q4, which means there's another month of megadoom ahead.
JP Morgan's big fund has been long puts from 4,225 since the end of June, and those puts have been significantly under water this entire time.
JPM doesn't lose money and is hedged, of course, but the reality is that because of time decay, price must now trade significantly below 4,225 for those puts to even break even, the 4,665 calls to finally expire worthless, and the 3,550 puts they sold to a client to even have a remote chance of mitigating their losses.
The truth is that the target, since indexes took the July low and have not truly bounced, is the June low.
For ES SPX futes, this means 4,178, and more likely, a raid on the 4,100 big figure to complete August.
There's only four trading days left, and this amount of volatility will be significant. But at the same time, it's only a -5.34% week from where we closed on Friday.
A quarter-handle raid on the low will result in a sub-10% loss this month for the SPX.
Compare that to the Hang Seng Tech and tell me how unrealistic reality is at a time that all of humanity is in great danger.
So, what are the news drivers? On Monday, there's nothing in the economic calendar, but Tuesday is JOLTS, Wednesday is ADP Non-farm and GDP, Thursday, the 31st is PCE and Unemployment, and Friday, September 1, is the most volatile day of the month, Non-farm Payroll.
Anyways, bulls, buying the dip is cool, but your calls better expire January of 2024. Anything less, and you're probably just donating money to some Hedgie's son's fraternity fund.
Tsla: The sequence has changed #Tsla: The sequence has changed.
The earlier updated chart's sequence has been change. Tsla is seems to have formed a leading diagonal, where wave 4 enters the area of wave 1. It has retraced more than 50% for wave 4. Now wave 5 may or may not go beyond the wave 3 high. When a leading diagonal is formed the price retrace badly after wave 5 completion. But the longer term horizon has no problem.
This is purely an educational idea not a trading advice. Please consult your financial advisor before any trade execution.
Thank you keep following for such updates and new charts or comment for any chart to be viewed for elliott wave patterns.
Keep faith on you no on me...!
Copper - Did Social Media Tell You To Long The CCP Again?They call copper "Doctor Copper" because it's said to forecast the overall world economic conditions on account of being tightly wed to manufacturing.
Well, what people are really yammering about with that over the last 20 years is whether or not the Chinese Communist Party is healthy, and the world by proxy being healthy because it tied itself to the most heinous regime in history, the one responsible for the 24-year persecution of Falun Gong by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and the accompanying organ harvesting and genocide.
Unfortunately for all the blind bulls, the early 2021-2022 price action was a pretty good indication of a top, and that top is really confirmed by the fact that since October of '22, this bounce has been pretty weak, and starting this month, with all the drama surrounding the slow collapse of the Chinese economy, took out the previous two months' lows.
Monthly shows you that August price action took both the July and June lows.
Like, that's not the kind of "signal" you want to see to get long for a new all time high.
When something is retracing to take out major highs, you want to see lows rarely violated with something of a freight train towards the old highs.
Weekly bars show us something of a subtle pattern where it looks like it's just taken some lows and is consolidating and continually flirting with going back up.
But in reality the market makers are, most likely, just selling more under the previous $4.00 area.
And if that's really true, it means another gap down is imminent, especially after an entire quarter of ranging.
If you ask me, the first area that you can look for a long that is more than a scalp on copper is under $2.8, which is a critical pivot from September.
And a more likely target in the next 12 months is the $2.00 mark, which was barely swept out in the COVID drama.
The reality is, my friends, the Chinese Communist Party is going to fall overnight in our lifetimes. Not five or ten years from now. But very shortly, and everything is going to change.
Whether that is caused by Xi Jinping throwing away the CCP to protect himself and China from being taken over by the International Rules Based Order as it uses Taiwan as a soft proxy war, or because the whole world collapses under the results of the persecution of Falun Dafa, since everyone's been going to Shanghai to worship the toads and the Devil Red to get financial benefits.
This is the danger.
The danger is imminent.
But copper trades painfully slowly, so if you want to do this you have to have long duration, ignore the noise, and be willing to suffer some drawdown.
China under the CCP is never going to recover. Things are never going to be okay ever again.
Things will be okay once mankind returns to tradition.
But there won't be an international stock market like this anymore that day.
TESLA Is turning into one of the hottest buys right now.Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is on a strong 1D green candle, approaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line0 for the first time since the August 04 break. The 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross yesterday indicating that the stock has confirmed the start of the new Higher High sequence towards the top of the year long Channel Up pattern.
This could be either near the 2.236 Fibonacci extension or a +80% rise (decreasing rate). Our target of $350.00 is within both parameters.
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Tesla has never been so simple Tesla's trajectory is remarkably aligned with specific Fibonacci levels. A straightforward yet potentially effective strategy emerges: A decisive breach beyond 240 would pave the way for an upward progression towards 264. Conversely, a breach below 240 would likely trigger a descent towards 210. Be patient and act accordingly.
Tesla -> Wait For The 3rd Timeframe!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Tesla 💪
After Tesla stock broke out of the parallel channel all the way back in 2019 there was a super solid rally of more than 1500% towards the upside on this stock.
You can also see that Tesla just retested and started to reject previous weekly structure and in confluence with bullish moving averages we could see more continuation towards the upside.
Finally I am waiting for a daily shift back to a bullish market which will happen if Tesla breaks the current daily resistance level and then all 3 timeframes are pointing towards a move higher.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
TESLA LONG *ONCE PULLBACK IS COMPLETE* WEEKLY CHARTI believe Tesla will continue to pull back into its .50 - .618 fib zone, after breaking up above its downtrend (black line). I will be waiting patiently and looking to buy between approx $207 – $223. My take profit targets are listed on the chart, with TP #1 at approx $498. This would be a long-term trade for me.
Snowflake - Is It Time To Stop Gambling On Chop?Snowflake, a Nasdaq company, has earnings looming post-market, which has IV on weekly calls and puts juiced to 150%.
Yet people are still gambooling on the next big instawin. The problem is you'll blow your account and won't need TradingView anymore and won't be able to have any fun in your community.
Really, a far better proposition if you want 5 and 8:1 odds on things that are like 10 or 20:1 against to hit is to deposit on a sportsbook and put the same risk into a 3-bet parlay on late season MLB.
If you're right you'll even get paid the same day and not have to mess around with charts and bars all day.
Snowflake is one of the tech sector dump casualties, but has never bounced.
The monthly shows very clearly we're simply sitting in $90 worth of range spanning almost a year and a half.
And while $90 in range is pretty good, the problem is that it doesn't pump. There will eventually be a change in market structure and the most likely target is under $110.
Weekly bars show us that the May low has been taken out before earnings, and this is a factor that is not consistent with bank/fund sponsorship to take out the highs.
Which hints to us that the largest players who can move the market of a company that is still valued at $49 billion while printing $650~ million in quarterly revenue are probably targeting the bottom of "the flag" and not the top.
While the failure swing at $190 forms a double top and becomes a target, the problem is that everything is set up, with Jackson Hole as the Federal Reserve and the world's most critical financial policy decision pending on Friday, to continue to correct and correct violently into the fourth quarter.
Nasdaq Futures - The Trend Is Your Friend, Until The End
Moreover, a lot of the worldwide economic situation is being heavily driven by what's going on Mainland China with Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party he still hasn't thrown away.
Word in the Western media is that the regime's de facto state run corporations, for whatever reason, are sitting on something like $3 or $4 trillion in real estate debt that's about to explode in their hands.
There's still the problem of natural disasters like the Beijing floods, economic calamities like the International Rules Based Order jawing and chattering about "de-risking" from China, and the impact of the virus that has claimed many, many more people than the few hundred thousand the CCP has officially reported to John Hopkins for the official trackers.
Worst of all is the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million spiritual practitioners looms over the head of the Party. Even though Xi isn't responsible for the persecution and hasn't participated, it was done by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and the toad faction nested in Shanghai-Babylon, Xi is the one with his head in the prisoners' box because he's now the Chairman of the Party.
And on top of that is an epidemic of arsons masquerading as climate change that have burned to death tens of thousands of hectares of trees and forests and their associated plants and animals.
This world is out of control, but it's not allowed to stay out of control for long.
And while it's on the brink, you're being told to get long by furus, Discord, Telegram, Wechat, Stocktwits, and Reddit, and are happy to take the bait, because you don't see the danger.
So here's what's up for SNOW on earnings.
A really likely theory is that it doesn't do much at all because the option sellers will just hold the price where it is in advance of Jackson Hole, let IV decline, collect all the premium from you as everything expires worthless on Friday and laugh.
And somewhere along the way, Snowflake will have a $12 retrace to bring in breakup traders and take out short sellers to $165. But this $165 will be another form of optimal short entry to target the $100 mark before Q4 expires.
If there's to be upside on this stock, based on the length of time and range of the chop and the specific price action amid the overall market and macro conditions, it would be a lot more likely to come after the lows get taken.
Be careful.
Long DCFCLong DCFC last few days, average price around $1.00. Pretty heavy. Chart is beautiful.....massive H and S reversal pattern. If Daily closes like this epic hammer candle. Electric vehicle narrative only going to heat up. TP is retirement (just kidding lol). Not advise, good luck.