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Netflix - I Hope You Like Catching KnivesNetflix is that $200 billion company trading at $441.44 that everyone seem to have forgot about, even though it more than doubled in a year. Personally, I think these streaming services are a colossal waste of your time and money. What you're watching is the intellectual equivalent of a Big Mac or a bag of potato chips, and permeated with the things of socialism and atheism. And Netflix is really quite woke and some of the content is unforgivably degenerate. You shouldn't look at warped mirrors and shouldn't cast your eyes on ugly things, or they'll twist your heart and your soul. When it comes to the markets-at-large, I believe we're definitely going to see a correction, rather than a new all time high, which I detail in the two calls below: Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' If there's to be a new all time high, let's wait and see what Q4 has in store for us. There's a lot of geopolitical risk in the markets right now. The War between the Russian Federation and NATO via Ukraine is a big one, and a bigger one is the situation in Mainland China with Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party. More or less, I believe the globalists want to topple the Party to have their men from Taiwan go in and take control of China and depose Xi. But I believe Xi is likely to topple the Party himself before that can happen. Big gaps will come that day and things will be very hard because Wall Street won't be in any kind of a risk-on mood. The 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and the Shanghai toad faction is something Xi can weaponize to implicate the entire world. Because to do business in Shanghai you've needed the Jiang Faction's approval. To get its approval, you've had to dirty your hands in the persecution and swear vows to the Flag of Blood. And unfortunately, most of the world has wanted what the Party has. Read the story of British billionaire Neil Heywood, who decided to court Jiang's minion Bo Xilai. Bo told Heywood that to prove his loyalty he had to divorce his wife. Heywood refused, and so Bo's wife poisoned him. Heywood died in 2011. Bo Xilai was ruined in Xi's Anti-corruption Campaign in 2013, stripped of all his assets, and sentenced to life in prison in a CCP dungeon. Gambling with the Party is one foot in the grave and the other in prison. Live a virtuous life instead. Moreover, they always say zoom out. Looking at Netflix on the yearly, it's hard to say you're not in the crosshairs of a savage trend reversal. And you can see these daily bars far more clearly on the weekly chart: There might be that fat gap above that you have your eye on, but you're dealing with a very long and very steep ramp in the first place, and this is in a stock which stayed away from a true gap between April and August of '22. Another notable factor is that the FINRA short volume for Netflix, while still notably low, is the highest it's been in three months and posted its first green month since April and only its second of '23. Short volume This is quite notable in light of the fact that June was one of the best months for equities in a long time Netflix doesn't have an ETF, except for a 3x levered ETF on the Mexico exchange. Insignificant except for it fell from 5 pesos to 5 pennies. What's sad is even if it Netflix was to fall 50% in value the thing would still only be worth like 30 cents. % base levered ETFs will kill you. So, here's the call. Netflix printed a proper daily pivot in mid June (you'll have to look yourself because I can't zoom the chart in for the post) and has been flirting inside that range ever since. If she makes a new high I suppose then it's time for more uppy and you can buy calls at the top and feel pretty good. But if she breaks the $420 range the next area to watch is the June low, which Netflix printed on a green candle and on the first day of the month at $393 After that, things might happen and happen fast. If bearish momentum and level breaking manifests, then where I believe it will return to is the $180 to $160 range. For Netflix to have a chance to return above $500, it will have to hold the $162.71 bottom. If you can catch that falling knife you'll feel pretty smart if you can hold the bag for a few months. But if you try to go long before the bottom you'll cut your hands and cut your hands some more.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by LordWrymouth
6
ES SPX Futures - Welcome to FOMCmageddonIn reading the title of this post, I'm sure you can tell what I want to say. Since the new habit is to guffaw and lmao at any thesis that isn't bullish, because "we" all "know" US equities "always go up" and a new all time high is "in store," I'd like to point out the Nasdaq already shows signs of having topped. That July 20, 2023 candle was some 2%+ in range and on absolutely no news. And yet the SPX has not yet taken its equivalent intermediate term high. The significance of the intermediate term highs that the Nasdaq took and the SPX is probably about to take is that they represent the March of 2022 failure swing. Why does it matter? Because that swing and its destruction was the trumpet-backed announcement that the Coronavirus Disease 2019 stimmie QE bull run had come to an end. And so coming back to raid it at a time when Big Jerome Powell openly told reporters at the last FOMC meeting that no rate cuts were scheduled AND that inflation would take years, not months, to come back to levels they regard as apropos, is a very dangerous situation. The thing about tops and bottoms is that whoever calls them is always wrong, because you can only see a top or a bottom on hindsight. In the interim, as they unfold, you can only anticipate that at a certain key price level, over a certain high or a certain low, that reversal patterns might manifest. The geopolitical situation is very sharp. I note in a new call that oil is likely headed for a literal 3 handle this year. Oil - A New Long Leg Down Soon Begins And I note that the US Dollar Index is due for a rally to at least 108. DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia The cornerstone of the international chessboard is now, and always has been, Mainland China and its 5,000 year old country and culture, which has been ruined by the Chinese Communist Party over the course of its century of insanity. What's going on in the equities market is heavily wedded to the "War With Taiwan" narrative being espoused by the propaganda machine, which I discuss in my call on Taiwan Semiconductor TSM, a company that I believe is a significant long hedge during a potential upcoming downtrend. TSM - Taiwan, Your Semiconductor Long Hedge So as for this week's call, I would like to note that, unlike the Nasdaq, the SPX has not raided its March '22 intermediate high. This high at 4,631 happens to coincide with the new "JP Morgan Chase Collar," where one of the SIB's big funds sold calls at 4,665. I discuss this collar below: SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' Something to understand about the big banks' business model is this: The first thing is that when they sell calls at a certain level, there is a buyer, and that buyer might be their clients. Their clients may have paid the bank the standard 10% fee in exchange for providing the liquidity. The reason the client would buy calls that JPM sells at a 10% premium is because they understand that the market will be made, in exchange, for those calls to be made worth more than they paid. Those calls were purchased at the end of June when the indexes traded circa 4,400. Why would JPM sell the calls and get themselves underwater? Because by September 29, Q3 end, they won't be underwater anymore, for one. For two, they're hedged long and are making money on the way up on the hedge. So they get to make money on the hedge, the calls ultimately expire worthless, and the client is happy because they got a big bag of cheap options at 4,400 to dump on the head of retail and Cathie Wood-style funds at 4,660. And all of this is to say that the 4,631 failure swing/pivot is very likely to be raided, and it is likely to be raided on Wednesday, FOMC day. During Monday's trade session, we will find out a lot about the intentions of the MMs. I believe they will only raid the 4,544 level on Monday market open, making it a buying opportunity to sell 100 points higher. However, if ES/SPX is to dump significantly to under 4,500 again, it stands to reason that the real target is the 4,800 ATH somewhere early in August. But I think, for a lot of reasons, this is just so less likely. Thus, SPX is likely to raid 4,544, which is to say the 4,550 psychological level, and trade over the 4,650 psychological level before Jerome Powell starts yapping. This FOMC is really significant because there isn't another rate hike until September, the end of Q3. So the trade is to long 4,540, sell it allllll at 4,650, and the target is under where JPM went long on puts and has been under water all month under 4,200 heading into the end of August and middle of September.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by LordWrymouth
Tesla -> Bullish Or Bearish?Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Tesla 💪 After Tesla stock retested the last strong support zone for bulls, the 0.786 fibonacci level at the $100 level, the recent pump over the past couple of months of more than 100% was no surprise at all. Weekly market structure on Telsa is currently a little bit overextended so we could certainly see a retest of the 0.382 fibonacci retracement level which is sitting roughly at $245. With the recent drop on Tesla after earnings we could certianly see some more bearish pressure and I would love to see a retest of the previous daily support at $245 and then from there I eventually do expect the creation of a new all time high. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
39
Tesla's Stock on a Bearish Rampage: Short-Selling OpportunityCurrent Status As of the latest data point on July 24, 2023, Tesla closed at $258.17. The Macro PVVM stands at 89.91, indicating a bullish long-term trend, while the Micro PVVM is at 35.25, suggesting a bearish short-term movement. Recent Trend In the past few days, we have seen a decrease in both the Macro PVVM and Micro PVVM scores. On July 18, 2023, the Macro PVVM peaked at 110.49, and the Micro PVVM was at 69.10. Since then, the Macro PVVM has fallen by 18.66% to 89.91, and the Micro PVVM has decreased by 49.04% to 35.25. This points to a bearish trend in both the long-term and short-term. Key Takeaways The recent decrease in both Macro and Micro PVVM scores suggests a bearish momentum in both the short-term and long-term trends for NASDAQ:TSLA . Although the Macro PVVM score is still positive, indicating a bullish long-term trend, the fact that it is decreasing should be taken as a warning sign. The Micro PVVM score is positive but is trending downwards, suggesting a bearish short-term movement. Trade Idea Given the recent bearish signals from both the Macro and Micro PVVM, traders might consider short-selling NASDAQ:TSLA . However, one should keep in mind the inherent risk associated with short-selling and the current bullish long-term trend indicated by the positive Macro PVVM. It's advisable to wait for a confirmation of the bearish trend by the Macro PVVM falling below zero before considering a short position.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by SwingSwiss
$TSLA -The Best to ever Race- Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) beat Earnings Report Date of Fiscal Quarter Q2/23 on 19th of July. So far so good fundamentally speaking for Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) Moreover, jumping to the charts *3D(tf); we can spot a Triangle being formed with its Apex approaching end soon. Note how the red Trendline Resistance managed to reject the price by a lofty -12% negative Moving on the *Daily (tf) short-term momentum is biased to the downside. On the *Daily (tf) we can see a Bearish Pattern having formed (rising wedge) which has broken to the downside with strong selling volume momentum above average. (VRVP's POC sitting at 230-225$) *D(tf)
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Mr_J__fx
2
The Two Reasons I Might Go Long On TeslaOn the weekly timeframe for NASDAQ:TSLA , I noticed two things immediately. - A candle closed above the downwards trendline indicating strength in buyers - NASDAQ:TSLA recently bounced off of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) Given these two reasons, I am bullish on NASDAQ:TSLA as of now. Stop Loss / Take Profits Stop loss: The stop loss of this trade is set at a close below the low of the candle that bounced off of the FVG. A close below the FVG would signify that the bounce was fake, and there is still more downside. Take Profits: All of these take profits are set at levels that were recent highs. My plan would be to scale out half of my position at TP1, 1/2 of the remaining position at TP2, and fully out at TP3 Let me know what you think of this trade!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by fluxchart
19
Tesla 2019 Vs 2023 Breakout Comparison Tesla 2019 Vs 2023 - Repeat Megaphone pattern? - Repeat Megaphone breakout? - Repeat 10% pull back before major move? If we confidently break through and close above resistance or get a 10% pull back, it could be worth putting in place a position with a stop under resistance or a tighter stop if its the 10% pull back scenario. We could still revisit the 200 Daily SMA... and we need to be aware of that. That's why you have a stop because the 200 DSMA is idyllic but given the similarities of this pattern, it could play out and it might be worth taking a position SUBJECT TO having a tight stop under the resistance level (once we break above it) or having a tight stop under the 10% decline entry. It will be interesting to see how this chart plays out. It could hardly be as exponential as 2019? but it could be a nice move. PUKA
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PukaCharts
9
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the trend reversal move: or the Bullish Pennant Pattern: Then analyzing the options chain of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 280usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2023-9-15, for a premium of approximately $21.65. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by TopgOptions
8
$TSLA - TESLA LONG TERM ANALYSIS (W)Quick sketch up of some possible paths for TESLA ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) long-term. According to this, we are in the middle of the 2nd leg of a 3-wave long-term weekly correction that started in Nov 2021. Wave A completed at the end of 2022, kicking off Wave B for 2023. Expecting some short-term turbulence on the way up back to the ATH at (B); could see a small dip back to the trend at around the 38.2%-50% fib lines before heading back up (yellow solid arrows). We could also see a rejection at the upper trend (in white) and head down to (C) now, shown by the dashed arrow. If we get to (B) and this long-term correction is still in play, we should expect a move down back for Wave C to complete the long-term correction. There is also a chance we can fly from the ATH once getting to (B), invalidating this pattern, shown by the second dashed arrow. These are all the possible paths I'm seeing now. I will monitor how she progresses and purchase more shares accordingly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PHICAPITALINVESTMENTS
TESLA: Is it still a buy after today's fall?Tesla is having an approximatelly -7% decline at the time of this analysis, the strongest we've seen since the April bottom. This was enough to turn the 1D timeframe neutral in an instant (RSI = 54.820, MACD = 15.050, ADX = 39.955). The question is obviously, is the stock still a buy? Yes but as close to the 1D MA50 as possible. This is a 1W chart, so the 1D MA50 is portrayed in green. The fractal is basically the same as November 2019. And the price action that led to it starting in 2018, is almost the same as the 2022 Bear Market for Tesla. In November 2019 the stock made the second (and last) small correction before skyrocketing on a multi-week rally. With the price already past a 1D MA50-1W MA50 Cross, we are going long on the first green 1W candle near the 1D MA50 and will target the All Time High (TP = 415.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:TSLA
by InvestingScope
12
Tesla's Q2 2023:Accelerating into the Future with Record RevenueIn the recently released Q2 2023 earnings report, Tesla Inc. presented a record quarter on multiple fronts, showcasing its resilience and innovation in a challenging macroeconomic environment. The electric vehicle and clean energy company reported a 9.6% operating margin, GAAP operating income of $2.4 billion, GAAP net income of $2.7 billion, and non-GAAP net income of $3.1 billion. Despite price reductions in Q1 and early Q2, Tesla's operating margin remained robust, reflecting the company's ongoing cost reduction efforts, successful production ramp-ups in Berlin and Texas, and strong performance in the Energy and Services & Other sectors. The company's cash and investments increased by $0.7 billion in Q2, reaching a total of $23.1 billion. Tesla's Cybertruck factory tooling is progressing as planned, with the company currently producing RC (release candidates) builds. The Model Y, one of Tesla's most popular models, became the best-selling vehicle globally in Q1, demonstrating the company's growing market dominance. The company's total automotive revenues reached $21,268 million, marking a year-over-year (YoY) increase of 46%. The Energy generation and storage sector also saw significant growth, with revenues of $1,509 million, a YoY increase of 74%. Services and other revenue rose by 47% YoY to $2,150 million. Overall, Tesla's total revenues for Q2 2023 were $24,927 million, a 47% YoY increase. In terms of production, Tesla manufactured 19,489 Model S/X vehicles and 460,211 Model 3/Y vehicles in Q2 2023, representing YoY increases of 19% and 90% respectively. The total deliveries of Model S/X were 19,225, a YoY increase of 19%. The total deliveries of Model 3/Y were 446,915, a YoY increase of 87%. Tesla's installed annual vehicle capacity continues to expand. In California, the capacity for Model S/X is 100,000, and for Model 3/Y it's 550,000. In Shanghai, the capacity for Model 3/Y is over 750,000. In Berlin, the capacity for Model Y is 375,000. In Texas, the capacity for Model Y is over 250,000. The company also highlighted its commitment to AI development, with the production of Dojo training computers commencing. This development is expected to satisfy Tesla's immense neural net training needs using in-house designed Dojo hardware, which will enable faster and cheaper neural net training. For new Model 3 or Y customers, Tesla launched the "Get To Know Your Tesla" experience. This initiative allows users to adjust their seats, mirrors, and steering wheel, set up the phone key, and learn about topics such as regenerative braking. In conclusion , Tesla's Q2 2023 shareholder deck paints a picture of a company that continues to innovate and grow despite external challenges. With a focus on cost reduction, new product development, investments in R&D, continuous product improvement, and the generation of free cash flow, Tesla is well-positioned for long-term success. Read more in the comment section...
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by financialflagship
42