Tesla's stock has plummeted and broken the limit Tesla's stock has plummeted and broken the limit
This chart shows the weekly level candle chart of Tesla stock in the past two years. The top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, Tesla's stock has plummeted and broken the limit for three consecutive weeks, falling below the 2.000 level of the top to bottom golden section in the figure, and is about to hit the strong support of 2.382 level! For a period of time in the future, Tesla's stock will be judged by the top to bottom golden split of 2.382 ($185.2) as the long short divide, with a strong range above it and a weak range below it!
Tesla
Tesla - What To Expect Until September?I heard something rather enlightening on Twitter recently, and it was someone who quoted some sort of analyst as pointing out "Tesla is its own market."
I think that's really correct, and really apt, especially in light of a recent analysis of the new JPM collar that dropped on Friday, where I anticipate a very violent and very major drop in the markets until Q3.
SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar'
The point is that Tesla can (and has; and will) go up or go down regardless of what the indexes are doing
This call is also a continuation of a very successful call I had on Tesla posted in February. Things took several months to pan out to the downside and then to the upside, but everything came to fruition:
Tesla - $250 Is Coming... Don't Lose Your Legs In the Bear Trap
The key thing with Tesla, especially for the long term holders who think this company has a $3 trillion valuation in it like Apple does, is the Q4 dump to almost exactly $100 was anything but bullish.
But fortunately, this "bearishness" has manifested in a significant bounce, and, in my opinion, the Party hasn't yet stopped here.
Speaking of "The Party," you have to be very careful with Tesla because Elon Musk decided to root a huge bulk of his company's production with a Gigafactory in Shanghai-Babylon.
This leaves this company open to exceptionally enormous geopolitical and fundamental risks as President Xi Jinping faces the possibility of having to dump the Chinese Communist Party overnight, any night, because of the battle against both the remnants of the Jiang Zemin faction inside China and the "International Rules Based Order" that's rooted itself in Taiwan.
To put it plainly, the IRBO wants to take over China using someone it has groomed from The Republic when the CCP falls, with the idea being to take down Xi with the Party.
The "Jiang Faction" is significant because it's the architect and conductor of the 24-year-long persecution and genocide of Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners.
The sins are grave to the extreme and can (and will) be weaponized to put an end to the threats to Cathay.
With Tesla, I believe it's going to dump, and with some fury. And during the process, you'll hear a lot of FUD about blah blah fundamentals this, blah blah "can you believe how this ponzi is dumping people who bought $250 will be generational bagholders" that on social media.
You need to ignore all of that, because the day Tesla breaks $100 is the day Tesla is finished.
Moreover, Tesla is about to give you a buying opportunity in the $180 range. Remember that whole adage about "buy the dip"?
You're about to get the opportunity, again, but it won't feel very good because things will be scary and it will seem like everything is going to zero, and tomorrow.
Seriously, read the JPM collar post above.
Once the dust has settled, if the April lows remain intact, then the next target is the equal highs printed in July to September before the enormous sell off, amounting to nearly another two bagger.
But perhaps what Tesla really is aiming for is something Musk can get high on.
If by early September you see the price bouncing and try to short, it'll more or less turn out as bad as it did for NVDIA bears.
No matter how you complain about P/E ratios and market cap and comparisons to Ford and Toyota, the reality is, this is what a bearish market structure actually looks like in action.
The banks sell on red and buy on green.
You buy on green and sell on red.
It's a painful reality, isn't it?
Resuming the ascent.After that extended fall, which didn't actually last long, comes the continuation of the rise or simply the other shoulder of a head and shoulders pattern. I believe what we will see is that where everyone wants it to fall, it won't, and it will continue until completing the massive flag at $380.
$TSLA -The Best to Ever Race (Supports) -Taking in to consideration an investor's POV of positioning,
aswell the point of view of Swing Trader who like to keep positions opened.
You should know that NASDAQ:TSLA is not out of the woods yet !
Here the Strong Zones of Supports to provide you with discounted Buys and high probable long opportunity outcomes for Swing Traders
TA speaking;
-First Support push occurred today at the previous High, a key level (dashed white line)
-Support Trendline should play a key role on maintaining the price to proceed
heading lower in to South direction at S/R and 166.7$ marked key level.
These Support are very great Buying Zones for investors and as-well market speculators
so called traders.
Losing these support, would put NASDAQ:TSLA on a huge pressure position despite stock's share
price decline.
TRADE SAFE
*** Note that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor
before partaking on any Trading Activity based Solely on this Idea.
✅TESLA TIME TO BUY|LONG🚀
✅TESLA is retesting a support level of 210$
From where I am expecting a bullish reaction
With the price going up but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
TESLA: $1,000 | Re visiting $240 zonenextflix took the lead.. a change of handler back to $214 and Tesla may follow
... for the next President of the USofA
turnover of float in play ...Distribution for SHORT
fundamentally at $1T market cap and CEO over spread .. it can only hold the hype or sentiment until BIG FUNDS start migrating to the NEXT TESLA or space
TESLA Retesting Strong Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
TESLA has hit a strong
Horizontal support level
Of 210$ after it lost
Nearly 30% of its market
Value so as the stocks is
Locally oversold I think
That we will see bullish rebound
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Swing Buy opportunity in LTIMEntry only when the 30min candle closes above 5113
TARGET: 5336
SL: 5012
NOTE: This trade is only for Equity Swing buy and not to be considered for options trading.
Please do follow Position Sizing and Risk Reward Ratio while planning any trades.
Note: This information is for education purpose only and please do your own research and consult your financial advisor prior to taking any action.
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TESLA BUYI think Tesla can move to 240-250 from here. The selling pressure in Tesla was very high, that's why we can't expect a strong upward trend from it, but we can use small reversals like this.
Also keep in mind that the price may move slightly lower and then move towards the specified targets, so don't forget to manage the risk.
Tesla at Key Resistance on earnings dayTesla NASDAQ:TSLA
Earnings today Wednesday 19th July (AFTER close)
A reminder that prior to a similar major megaphone breakout in 2019 resulting in 161% increase in 32 days, we FIRST had a 10% pull back off the upper megaphone resistance.
I believe this resistance at the $300 - $314 level for Tesla (See Chart). I am expecting a pause or pull back here of c.10% or more.
Eventually we should breach the $300 level and find support above $314. The trade becomes much safer then.
The 200 day is far away from price atm and we will revisit it at some stage. In 2019 we had a massive breakout of 161% and came all the way back down to the resistance level.... patience is king. If you intend on sitting through such a move, fine. If not and you want to pick a less stressful entry keep these things in mind and use my chart as helpful guide.
PUKA
Does Tesla Lowering Car Prices Concern Among Traders?Introduction:
In recent news, Tesla, the renowned electric vehicle manufacturer, has made headlines again by announcing a significant reduction in the prices of their car models. While this move may seem appealing to consumers, it raises concerns within the trading community regarding the potential implications for Tesla's stock value. In this article, we will explore the reasons behind Tesla's decision, examine the potential impact on the car market demand, and discuss a call-to-action for traders considering shorting TSLA amidst this situation.
Understanding Tesla's Price Reduction Strategy:
Tesla's decision to lower car model prices can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, as the electric vehicle market becomes increasingly competitive, Tesla aims to maintain its market share and attract new customers by offering more affordable options. Secondly, the company's ongoing efforts to streamline production and reduce manufacturing costs have allowed them to pass on these savings to consumers. Lastly, Tesla's long-term vision of revolutionizing sustainable transportation involves achieving economies of scale, which can be facilitated by lowering prices and increasing sales volume.
Potential Impact on Car Market Demand:
While lower prices may initially spark interest and boost sales, considering the broader implications for the car market demand is crucial. As Tesla reduces its car model prices, other manufacturers may be compelled to follow suit, leading to a potential price war. This scenario could decrease profit margins across the industry and impact the overall demand for electric vehicles. Moreover, with the global economic uncertainty caused by the ongoing pandemic, consumer spending patterns may be more cautious, further dampening the demand for higher-priced electric vehicles.
Call-to-Action: Shorting TSLA Amidst Dropping Car Market Demand
Traders, it is essential to closely monitor the evolving situation in the car market and consider the potential impact on Tesla's stock value. As the demand for cars, especially higher-priced electric vehicles, faces potential challenges, shorting TSLA could be a prudent strategy. By shorting TSLA, traders can profit from the anticipated decline in Tesla's stock value.
However, exercising caution and conducting thorough research is crucial before making any investment decisions. Analyze Tesla's financials, monitor market trends, and stay updated with the latest electric vehicle industry news. Remember, shorting a stock involves risks, and it is advisable to consult with a financial advisor or professional trader to determine the best course of action based on your individual risk tolerance and investment goals.
Conclusion:
As Tesla lowers car model prices, it is natural for traders to express concern about the potential impact on the company's stock value. By closely monitoring the evolving car market demand and considering shorting TSLA as a possible strategy, traders can capitalize on the anticipated decline in Tesla's stock value. However, it is crucial to approach this decision with caution and seek professional guidance to mitigate risks and make informed investment choices.
TSLA — Bulls, This Is Your Chance to Punish The Club-Footed OnesTesla over the weekend said its first much anticipated Cybertruck came off the electric vehicle maker’s production line in Texas. The debut of the long-delayed, futuristic-looking pickup truck comes in the lead up to Tesla’s second quarter 2023 earnings call.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk first introduced the Cybertruck in 2019, but vehicle production has repeatedly been delayed. The truck was initially scheduled for production and delivery in 2021, but Tesla has pushed back the timing since then, citing shortages in sourcing components.
In July 2022, Musk set a new production schedule for summer 2023. During Tesla’s first quarter 2023 earnings call, the executive also promised to host a delivery event for the Cybertruck towards the end of Q3.
Musk said at Tesla’s 2023 annual shareholder’s meeting in May that the automaker could deliver between 250,000 to 500,000 units per year once production begins. Mass production is scheduled for the end of this year.
Analysts will be on the lookout Wednesday during the automaker’s Q2 earnings call for firmer details on production, delivery and specs.
While Tesla has attributed Cybertruck delays to standard supply chain issues, leaked documents have revealed other fundamental flaws in the vehicle’s basic design and engineering. In January 2022, a whistleblower leaked 100 GB of files to German outlet Handelsblatt that showed preproduction prototypes had serious braking, powertrain, suspension, sealing and structural issues. The report, which detailed unfulfilled promises from Tesla, reminded many of the first Cybertruck reveal event, when the vehicle’s designer cracked the supposedly unbreakable armor glass windows.
As of November 2022, the Cybertruck had over 1.5 million reservations, according to a report from Electrek. Tesla customers have been able to put down a $100 refundable deposit to pre-order since 2019.
Tesla originally estimated the truck would start at $39,900 for the single motor and rear-wheel drive model, which would have a towing capacity of 7,500 pounds and more than 250 miles of range. That model is now expected to start at about $50,000, according to Kelley Blue Book. The dual-motor, all-wheel drive version could start at around $60,000, and it should have a towing capacity of more than 10,000 pounds and over 300 miles of range. The priciest version, starting at around $70,000, will have three electric motors and all-wheel drive, a towing capacity of 14,000 pounds and battery range of over 500 miles.
Tesla usually changes prices in the middle of a model year, so these prices may shift again before the end of 2023. Cybertruck buyers may be eligible for the U.S.’s $7,500 federal EV tax incentives.
Tesla’s pickup truck launch will bring the automaker into another profitable EV segment in the U.S. The Cybertruck will have to compete with electric pickups like Ford’s F-150 Lightning, which is available now with a starting price of around $60,000. Other upcoming pickups include the Chevrolet Silverado EV and the Rivian R1T. The Silverado EV Work Truck starts at $77,905 and can go 450 miles on a charge. Delivery is expected in the fall of 2023. The Rivian starts at $74,000, with deliveries for certain trims starting this summer.
Technical picture in Tesla stocks NASDAQ:TSLA indicates that bearish trend is over, and this is the last chance to jump on the footboard of Tesla rocket.
Bulls, This Is Your Chance to Punish All The Club-Footed Ones
TSLA | I Like This Entry Point | LONGTesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance services. This segment also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners; and provision of service and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty, as well as various financing options to its solar customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Palantir - Fear Worshippers of The All Seeing EyeI have to say that Palantir is a really difficult chart to read. On the one hand, looking at monthly bars, it's the kind of pattern which indicates new highs are in store.
Weekly bars are about the same. Nothing about this says you can short.
And its only that there's some divergences on the daily. But those divergences are really meaningful.
However, at the same time, although it's up some 220%+ from the bottom, the bottom did take out the IPO low, which is not bullish.
And these high prices are coming at a time when the Nasdaq and the SPX may very well have topped, which I address in my latest call:
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
Palantir is a company that is ostensibly a key component of the panopticon surveillance network that underlines the International Rules Based Order's version of the Chinese Communist Party's social credit system.
At least, this is what rightists would tell you. If you asked the people behind the West's implementation of social credit, they would say they just seek to advance an enlightened society while keeping stability and security under control, and big data collection is crucial to that.
Well, if you ask CCP members, they would tell you the same thing, just coated in Marxist jargon.
And therein lies the problem. Mankind needs to return to its 5,000 year old traditions, which were reared and established over China's long dynasties, instead of trying to go Big Atheism and reinvent The Wheel.
Regardless of if Palantir at its current $37 billion valuation is a part of the future or a part of the past and gone with the wind, the last three months of trading have been totally one directional.
Which makes wanting to get short very deadly.
However, conditions for a short setup that is at least a scalp were formed with the July high on the 19th.
The reason for this is that price swept a key level and was met with a stiff rejection, taking a pivot.
All on its own, in the stock market with the way it just likes to go uppy or grind sideways, this makes shorting or puts hard, still.
But what we saw is daily candles double bottom at precisely $16.00, with Friday's trading session being yet another big green gainer on the back of such a bottom.
And so, as Buffet said, one should be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy only when others are fearful.
So the trade is to short somewhere between where we closed on Friday and over $18.
When another dump occurs, where it dumps to will tell us everything about the future.
If Palantir is truly bullish to more upside, it will preserve the June low at $13.56.
If it's really bullish, it should even preserve the July low at $14.62
If it's bullish, but is going to take until 2024 to go higher, we can expect prices under $12.
If it's bearish, prices under $11 are the target, with an all time low on deck and about to hit everyone on the face.
Which do I think is the most likely? Frankly, probably a dump under $15 and a new high in August.
There's no other way to put it or look at it at the moment.
For things to be different, you'd need something like a banking crisis to intervene in the markets, a prospect I undertake here:
Charles Schwab - The Harbinger Of The Next Crisis?
I believe that, all things considered, the risk side of the trade right now is people who are longing this top, regarding it as a dip to buy, expecting more highs.
Because people have capitulated, become greedy, and have taken their eyes off the clock.
You should remember that you're just standing in an equities bear market rally while central banks have their key rates pinned over 5% and no intention to cut.
This is bad news for stocks, and yet people are being told indexes are set to make a new all time high.
Repricing to the downside can come violently, aggressively, be gappy, and will give those on the wrong side of the trade no chance to get out.
Be very careful.
Apple - So, You've Been Taught To Buy That Dip...Apple has really been, perhaps arguably, the key reason the bear market rally has been as extreme as it has in 2023.
Looking back to January, there really has not been even a single genuinely bearish day.
But with Q2 earnings as a catalyst, we now have signs of a genuine and significant reversal pattern, and at an all time high. It's very evident on monthly bars.
Weekly bars are even more obvious, showing that today, we took the July low, and there's no luft to the bounce.
Long is a bad trade and short is now a good trade, is what we're being told.
"The trend is your friend, until the end" is a saying with a lot of wisdom. If you can figure out you've ran into "the end" in the first few hours, then you really will be a lucky person.
A lot of people may be about to blow their accounts trying to buy that dip, which they've been conditioned to do so like Pavlov's dog and his bell.
Apple is a company that's maintained close ties, all these years, to the Chinese Communist Party. You should always remember there is a difference between "China" and "the CCP."
China is a 5,000 year old country with a culture of dynasties that were imparted since the Great Flood by the Divine.
The CCP is a 100-year-old Red Demon whose existence was arranged to destroy humanity, the Earth, and the Cosmos itself.
Xi Jinping has ruled both China and the CCP since 2012, and it's both a blessing and a curse for him. If Xi isn't intelligent enough to go Gorbachev-style and overthrow the Party in the middle of the US night, then Xi will go down in history as the leader of the rogue regime at the end, and will be responsible for everything it has done in history.
This includes the 24-year-long persecution of Falun Dafa's 100 million spiritual cultivators.
Although the persecution was started July 20, 1999 by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and conducted by the toad's faction all these years, and Xi has been killing and bankrupting the rogue faction's minions in the Anti-corruption Campaign, the problem with being tagged as the CCP's leader is that the head is always the first thing you cut off with the guillotine.
So, here's the thing for Apple.
I expect Apple to take the $176.93 July low, probably sometime next week, based on how the markets are reacting.
From there, we may see a retrace.
What this will indicate is that Apple's market, for the first time in 2023, has finally shifted bearish.
What this is the canary in the coalmine for is a significant correction. You can actually see this kind of pattern play out strongly in Amazon's monthly bars, which I comment on in their earnings pattern below:
Amazon - Greed, Just Like Speed, Kills
I anticipated that SPX was due for numbers as low as 4,420~ in the below call:
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
And so the setup with Apple is this:
Short any bounce, with a target of $174. Then, don't get greedy. Anticipate a bounce into the August 18 options expiry.
But that bounce may be no better than a flirt with $190.
From there, you can consider it a "Godshort" with a target below the 2022 $124 low.
And what I want to say is that if Apple has topped, everything is topped.
Everyone is greedy and blinded by greed, buying highs without fear. Buying highs without fear.
Buying highs without fear!
"We are fearful when others are greedy, and greedy only when others are fearful" is something Warren Buffett is notable for stating.
And although Buffett doesn't qualify as any kind of a good man, the Truth is the Truth, even if a toad states it.
Be careful. Things are about to change extremely quickly. Can you keep up? Can you enlighten to it?
Missing the chance, there may be no further opportunities.
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering IcebergLast week's SPX call was pretty accurate in terms of levels. What was wrong was only the order of operations and timing.
ES SPX Futures - Welcome to FOMCmageddon
I had felt it made sense for the market maker to sweep out the lows before taking the highs, but the plan was the opposite, and this actually adds credence to the theory that the markets are topping.
Something to keep in mind about calls for new all time highs, that we're hearing everywhere now, is that equities generally don't moon in high interest rate environments, and every central bank that matters in the world except for Japan is playing with 3-5%.
And nobody is cutting.
Warren Buffet said to "be fearful when others are greedy" and it's really a piece of wisdom you ought to take to heart, right now.
Something I would like to tell you is that tops and bottoms are, 100% of the time, hindsight calls. There is no way to actually accurately predict a top and a bottom before it unfolds.
What you can do as a trader, however, is anticipate that certain levels are the target, and look to see if price action and other covariances and fundamental factors confirm the theory if price trades to that level.
Then, using risk management and some rational logic, one can take the position, and shift their bias. If you can read the map and execute, you'll make a lot of money.
Otherwise, you can only make money if you're lucky, and few are particularly lucky, since we're all just mortals.
There's some problems with the "more uppy for more longer" theory.
A core factor is that the beginning of July marked a quarterly shift, and the entire month has been even more up.
There are now only August and September remaining. If it's not SPX 5,500 coming this year, the reversal is probably going to be violent, it stands to reason.
Another really crucial core factor is the geopolitical situation between the International Rules Based Order, which Washington ostensibly heads, and the Chinese government under Xi Jinping.
A really noticeable characteristic of all the clamoring in the propaganda machine is that they never go after "The Chinese Communist Party," they always go after "China" and Xi.
You should always remember this adage: "China is not the CCP."
You should always remember that when someone is attacking the world's only 5,000 year old culture and nation, the world's largest and most rich in natural resources and talent, they're likely to be Fabians.
Although Xi is, and has been for a decade, the leader of the CCP, the most notable thing about him is that he has never persecuted Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners, who have been subjected to organ harvesting genocide under the edict of former Chairman Jiang Zemin starting July 20, 1999.
In fact, Xi has actually protected Falun Gong in Hong Kong, hitting thugs who target the practice's spiritual cultivators with the Anti-corruption Campaign, after the National Security Law and John Lee were installed as Chief Executive.
It's notable that John Lee has been denied entry to San Francisco for the APEC economic summit in November by Joe Biden, on that account.
All of this is to say the geopolitical chatter you hear on "China" is a disaster waiting to happen with "Taiwan."
Speaking of Taiwan, I really believe that TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation) is a significantly potent long to hedge with if the U.S. equities market goes sideways:
]TSM - Taiwan, Your Semiconductor Long Hedge
But "Taiwan War" does not mean that Xi is going to invade. The CCP is heavily weakened from the pandemic and in no position to be attacking an island that will become the Ukraine proxy war, but on a whole other level.
If Xi were really an idiot, the IRBO and the Jiang Faction would have been able to kill him years ago.
Instead, the CCP is about to fall, and what the IRBO is looking to do is depose Xi and replace him with a submissive and groomed toady from Taiwan, Maidan Revolution style (see Oliver Stone's film Ukraine on Fire).
If Xi is smart, he will weaponize the persecution of Falun Gong to defend China and himself, because Wall Street and the world government have been continuously going to Shanghai to train Marxism with the Jiangling toads, which means bloodying their hands in the persecution as "insurance."
Google the Neil Heywood story and give it some sober thought.
Back to price action and trading on the most important index right now: other risks are that both the Nasdaq and the Dow also took out the same pivot, and reacted in identical ways:
Another is that the VIX, which is already anomalously low, but won't print a single digit handle, has printed higher lows, followed by a breakout and retracement:
While 10-Year Treasury bonds, important because they represent the "Risk Free Rate," meaning huge, long term money can park cash here instead of taking risk in equities, look like a nightmare. (Rates up = bonds down)
It looks like a nightmare because Jerome Powell again said during the Q&A portion of the FOMC press conference that the inflation target is 2% while it's still 3.8% (What's 90% among friends?), that rate cuts aren't coming, and further pausing is totally contingent on economic data being spectacular in favour of deflation.
(Is not happening).
And all of the above is confirmed by the US Dollar Index's higher time frame candles showing the dump under 100.00 was really just a raid, and we're about to get our upside to 108+ on.
So, here's what I expect to happen as soon as Monday:
I believe, based on the price action that unfolded Thursday and Friday of this week, that the market makers will take advantage of Monday, July 31 to print the high of the month, breaking the 4,630 level to roughly 4,650.
This will kill all the short traders who entered early and shorted Friday, and bring in a great number of breakout traders.
I am anticipating (the key word is anticipating!) this will be a major bull trap and price will reverse.
The confirmation will be if price does retrace and takes the 4,544 level.
If so, this is no longer a dip to buy, and entering shorts on retrace will be difficult because the market makers are likely to reprice aggressively away from their trap at the top.
It may seem like a dump to 4,544 compared to 4,557 isn't very significant, being 13 points after all, forming just another "higher highs lower lows" expansion pattern.
But what taking 4,544 shows, in reality, is that the biggest money now wants to take sell stops and begin to capitalize on "The Big Short."
The first target for August, if this pans out, will be the 4,411.25 level.
It looks really far away on the chart, but it's only 200 points. Only 5 percent. Compared to last year's volatility and ranges, it's not really that big of a deal, especially for a while month.
You've just been Pavloved to follow the ring of a bell.
Moreover, the 4,411 level is also July's low.
A factor that I believe may lead to the destruction of the markets is latent malignancy in the banking sector, with Charles Schwab being the standout problem, I chronicle below:
Charles Schwab - The Harbinger Of The Next Crisis?
A lot of people are going to kill themselves buying the dip and getting stopped out and buying the dip again and getting stopped out again, if this all transpires according to the thesis.
And people who don't use stops are going to get gapped down on.
And those gap downs will be runaways that don't come back this time.
Equities bulls are going to get gapped on like every day and have Barstool Sports Dave Portnoy '22-style meltdowns.
However, if all of this does not transpire and price continues to reach over 4,700, then we can only say that the target the market makers really aspire for is ALL the liquidity over the 2021 all time highs circa 4,800.
What we have is dueling possibilities, one far more likely than the other: topping being a lot more likely than a new all time high because the the environment is one where the Fed Funds Rate is going to be 6%+ by year end.
But we need price action to confirm the theory.
All of the above is my gift to you, as readers, followers, and even trolls.
Our human race and this Planet Earth may really be in for an "early autumn" this year. The implications will shock not only the equities markets, but every aspect of our daily lives.
I wish you all a bright future, but you have to believe and execute before you can see and harvest fruit.
It's up to the individual to cultivate their hearts and minds accordingly.
Tesla: Bearish till 200 SMA Tesla's current trajectory suggests a bearish sentiment taking hold, hinting at a forthcoming test of the pivotal 200-SMA at USD 220. A decisive breach of this level could open the door to an initial target at 210, and if the bulls falter there, the spotlight may turn towards the 180 mark as the next potential support zone.
Tesla (TSLA) Correction Remains in ProgressTesla (TSLA) cycle from July 19, 2023, high remains in progress. The cycle has a 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension area target of 198.9 – 227.6. Near term, cycle from July 31 high is in progress as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from July 31 high, wave ((i)) ended at 250.49 and wave ((ii)) rally ended at 264.79 as the 30 minutes chart below shows. The stock then extended lower in wave ((iii)). Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 253.1 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 257.5. Wave (iii) lower ended at 242.76 and wave (iv) ended at 252.48. Final wave (v) ended at 241.32 which completed wave ((iii)).
Rally in wave ((iv)) ended at 251.80 with internal subdivision as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended t 244.4, pullback in wave (b) ended at 242, and wave (c) higher ended at 251.80 which also completed wave ((iv)). The stock has resumed lower in wave ((v)) with internal subdivision as an impulse. Down from wave ((iv)), wave (i) ended at 238.02, and rally in wave (ii) ended at 243.79. Wave (iii) lower ended at 233.75, and wave (iv) ended at 240.65. Near term, as far as pivot at 264.79 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
Tesla Slashes Model 3 and Model Y Prices in ChinaIntroduction:
In a surprising move, Tesla recently announced a significant price reduction for its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in China. This strategic decision aims to boost sales and maintain Tesla's stronghold in the world's largest electric vehicle (EV) market. However, as traders, it is essential to exercise caution and carefully evaluate the current stock outlook before making any investment decisions. Let's explore the details and why a pause on Tesla might be prudent until the stock outlook turns up.
The Price Cut:
Tesla's decision to reduce prices for its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in China has undoubtedly captured the attention of consumers and investors alike. The price reduction, ranging from 8% to 20%, reflects the company's ambition to remain competitive in China's rapidly evolving EV market. By aligning its prices more closely with domestic competitors, Tesla aims to attract a broader customer base and maintain its regional dominance.
The Rationale:
While Tesla's price cuts may initially appear concerning to traders, it is essential to understand the underlying rationale. China's EV market is becoming increasingly saturated, with numerous domestic manufacturers offering competitive alternatives. By adjusting its prices, Tesla seeks to solidify its market share and continue its growth trajectory in this crucial market. This move demonstrates Tesla's agility and willingness to adapt to market dynamics.
Evaluating the Stock Outlook:
As traders, it is crucial to remain cautious and evaluate the stock outlook before making investment decisions. Tesla's price cuts in China signify a potential shift in the company's profitability and future earnings. While the move may lead to increased sales volume, it could also impact Tesla's profit margins and overall financial performance. Therefore, monitoring the stock's performance closely and analyzing the long-term implications of this strategic decision is prudent.
A Cautious Call-to-Action:
Considering the current circumstances, traders should exercise caution and pause on Tesla until the stock outlook turns up. Traders can make more informed investment decisions by taking a step back and thoroughly assessing the market's response to the price cuts. This pause allows for a comprehensive evaluation of Tesla's financial performance, market positioning, and the potential impact of the price cuts on long-term profitability.
Conclusion:
Tesla's recent price cuts for the Model 3 and Model Y in China highlight its determination to maintain its dominance in the world's largest EV market. While this move aims to boost sales and adapt to market conditions, traders should approach the situation cautiously. Evaluating the stock outlook and considering the long-term implications of this strategic decision is essential. By exercising patience and prudence, traders can make informed investment choices that align with their financial goals.