Tesla
Why the Nasdaq may not capture the full growth potential of AIThe start of 2023 has marked the return of tech growth stocks alongside the surge of generative artificial intelligence (AI) and large language models (LLMs). The biggest tech companies in the world have benefitted from the buzz created by ChatGPT and rapidly rising enthusiasm around AI in general. Nvidia, a leading semiconductor company seen as one of the main AI beneficiaries, has advanced the most within the Nasdaq-100 and even joined the trillion-dollar market cap club just weeks ago.
The year-to-date rally of ‘Big Tech’, led by Nvidia, has resulted in a strong return differential of 22.33%1 between the widely followed tech gauge (the Nasdaq-100) and the broad equity exposure (the S&P 500). The top 10 holdings in the Nasdaq-100 by contribution to return (CTR) have jointly posted 30.45% year-to-date, representing more than 82% of the total index return. This advance of the top Nasdaq-100 holdings, capitalising on the buzz around AI, is begging the question from investors whether allocation to the Nasdaq-100 already offers good exposure to the long-term investment potential associated with the AI megatrend.
To answer this question, we have to take a step back and think of the concept of megatrends and benchmarks in the portfolio construction process. Benchmarks are usually viewed by investors as a core allocation, while thematic investing is being used as a return enhancement play that benefits from the evolution of various megatrends. In the case of the Nasdaq-100, we can point to several arguments why a thematic strategy focused on the AI theme might be a better option if an investor’s goal is to benefit from the long-term growth potential offered by AI.
1. The AI space represents a wide variety of areas that can achieve wider adoption and success at various points in the future. A targeted AI strategy can build exposure to the theme and its evolving trends through a diversified basket of more pure-play companies involved in various AI activities. In turn, the Nasdaq-100 will tap into the space only through a handful of companies that would offer a less comprehensive and less pure exposure to the theme.
2. A targeted AI strategy has the potential to capture the mega caps of tomorrow early on and with a meaningful weight within the portfolio. Investing in AI through the Nasdaq-100 might be seen by investors as a safe way to avoid losers and focus on more successful AI companies that made it into the benchmark. However, this approach does not allow investors to reap the return potential associated with exciting smaller companies early on. After all, the growth potential driving the returns in the tech space is highest for smaller and younger companies.
Investing Tesla and Nvidia (the latest two companies that managed to hit a $1 trillion market cap) in them 3 months after they went public would have resulted in much higher annualised returns in comparison to returns after they joined the Nasdaq-100. In addition, it took both companies around 2-3 years to join the tech benchmark and, after they did, their starting weights were only 0.40%-0.50%. In contrast, thematic strategies might invest in companies shortly after their IPO (initial public offering) dates and might allocate a more meaningful weight to them.
3. A satellite thematic exposure can improve the risk-adjusted portfolio returns through increased diversification. The concept of diversification was first formalised by H. Markowitz as early as in 1952. However, in practice, it’s not feasible to hold all stocks in the investable universe and investors stick to broad benchmarks to build their market exposure. In this situation, thematic investing represents a novel way to split the universe of investable companies and identify promising opportunities aligned with megatrends shaping our future. Relatively low overlap of thematic strategies with broad benchmarks is what makes them particularly attractive for a satellite exposure.
Trying to kill two birds with one stone (that is, building a core tech exposure and capturing the potential of the AI theme) by using the Nasdaq-100 could backfire. It could deteriorate diversification and risk-adjusted returns for two reasons: 1) Sticking just to AI companies within the Nasdaq-100 narrows down the return drivers associated with the AI megatrend; 2) Investors increase idiosyncratic risks in their portfolios associated with the biggest tech companies, most likely captured in some other portfolio allocations, for example, the S&P 500.
Thematic strategies specifically focused on AI might represent a better option for investors seeking to benefit from the long-term growth potential associated with the megatrend in contrast to the theme exposure offered through the Nasdaq-100. When selecting the specific AI strategy it’s important to understand how each strategy captures the space and to align it with investor’s beliefs about the future development of the megatrend. Diversification benefits and potential return drivers associated with the theme are yet other important considerations that help to govern the strategy selection process.
Sources
1 As of 27 June 2023.
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Tesla: The Only Foreign Automaker Committed to China's CompetitiI am excited to share that Tesla, the renowned electric vehicle manufacturer, has become the only foreign automaker to sign China's competitive pledge. This remarkable commitment showcases Tesla's dedication to the Chinese market and its determination to lead the sustainable transportation revolution in the region.
China, the world's largest automotive market, presents immense potential for growth and innovation. By signing this pledge, Tesla has positioned itself as a unique automaker in China, setting it apart from its competitors. This move solidifies Tesla's presence in the Chinese market and reinforces its commitment to fostering healthy competition and driving the industry forward.
As savvy investors, we must identify companies with a competitive edge, especially in emerging markets like China. Tesla's decision to sign this pledge highlights its strategic vision and ability to adapt to local market dynamics, which bodes well for its long-term success.
I encourage you to take a closer look at Tesla's operations in China as they continue to expand its manufacturing capabilities and strengthen its foothold in the region. By doing so, you will gain valuable insights into the company's growth potential and ability to capitalize on the immense opportunities presented by the Chinese market.
As with any investment, thorough research and analysis are essential. I recommend exploring Tesla's recent achievements, such as the impressive sales figures and the positive reception of their locally produced Model 3 in China. These milestones validate Tesla's commitment to the Chinese market and provide a glimpse into the company's future prospects.
In conclusion, Tesla's status as the only foreign automaker to sign China's competitive pledge is a significant milestone that sets them apart. Their unwavering dedication to the Chinese market positions them as a unique player in the industry, making them an intriguing investment opportunity.
I encourage you to delve deeper into Tesla's operations in China and assess its potential impact on its growth trajectory. We can make well-informed investment decisions that align with our goals and aspirations by staying informed and proactive.
Thank you for your time, and I wish you continued success in your investment journey.
TESLA LONG AT THE PARABOLIC INFLECTION POINTmy thesis is that Tesla is now a matured, deep moated, multi-sector innovation enterprise
areas of focus
transporation
manufacturing
commodities
logistics
big data
synthesizations
memetics
artifical intelligence
debt leverage
decentralization
neo-feudal globalization
I'm Long Here.
Pure Play - Electric Vehicles LONG: TSLA NIO RIVNWhy EVXX?
The electric vehicle (EV) market is growing. In 2022 14% of all new cars sold were electric, up from 9% in 2021 and less than 5% in 2020. There are more than 26 million electric cars worldwide as of 2022, 60% more than in 2021.1 EVs are a crucial part of the sustainable future but it’s not always clear which specific manufacturers will come out on top.Show less
Objective
The Defiance Pure Electric Vehicle ETF (the “Fund”) seeks to provide investment results, before fees and expenses, that track the performance of a basket of common shares, which are equally-weighted on a quarterly basis, of the five largest (by market capitalization) electric vehicle manufacturers (the “Underlying Securities”) included in the Solactive Pure US Electric Vehicle Index (the “Pure EV Index”).
My prediction influenced by the Elon-Zucker fightSo I'm sure you've all heard about the Elon -Zucker fight that is now being hyped up and seeming more and more like it is actually going to happen.
This leads me to believe that this a DEFINITE influencer on Tesla stocks as well as the chart patterns looking good for a quick little shooting climb up hype mountain... So far since market opened, my trades in the win!
$TSLA - The ONLY CHART you need to know for the long term!Monthly chart is everything long term. TSLA has finally forked off its previous rising channel since IPO. Now, it has created a new channel. This is extremely bullish since it is just the start! Squeeze mod and MACD is also curling to a bullish long term run.
TESLA One last push possible before August correction.Tesla has started yet another week on a green opening, making a new 2023 High.
The price is approaching Resistance (1) at 315, which is a little over the Falling Resistance from the November 2021 All Time High as well as the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Be prepared for a correction around that juncture.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Sell on the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 307.
Targets:
1. 307 (0.786 Fibonacci).
2. 245 (0.618 Fibonacci and Rising Support from the market bottom).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1w) just touched the overbought level (70.00). As with the Feb-Apr correction, it technically requires a pull back to the MA line in order to get normalized. That can be an additional buy signal for you.
Please like, follow and comment!!
TSLA Forms Bullish Expanding Channel, Targets Breakout above $35TSLA has formed an expanding channel on the weekly timeframe, indicating potential bullish momentum. Currently, there is a bullish rally approaching the daily resistance and the upper boundary of the channel. Once the price reaches these levels, it's crucial to monitor closely for signs of either a breakout or a reversal in the price action at these key levels.
Should TSLA manage to break out above the daily resistance and the upper boundary of the expanding channel, it could trigger a significant rally to the upside, potentially surpassing the $350 mark. Traders and investors should keep a watchful eye on these price levels to make informed decisions based on the evolving market structure and price behavior.
TSLA SMA Cross Signals Growth Opportunities - Time to Invest!Exciting News! TSLA SMA Cross Signals Growth Opportunities - Time to Invest!
As a fellow Tesla enthusiast, I couldn't wait to share the latest developments. Brace yourself for profound positivity because Tesla's future is brighter than ever!
You might have heard about Tesla's exceptional performance recently, but let me clarify the specifics. Tesla has been ramping up its production, delivering more cars than ever, and exceeding expectations. This remarkable growth has caught the attention of many investors, and rightly so!
Now, here's where it gets even more enjoyable. As Tesla continues to deliver more cars and increase its production capacity, we can expect a significant technical indicator to come into play - the TSLA Simple Moving Average (SMA) cross. For those unfamiliar with this term, it's a powerful tool to identify potential shifts in the stock's momentum.
With Tesla's expanding production, the TSLA SMA cross will likely signal an upward stock value trend. This means now is an opportune time to consider investing in TSLA stock. By taking advantage of this growth opportunity, you could be part of Tesla's remarkable journey toward a sustainable future while reaping the benefits of a potentially profitable investment.
So, my dear TSLA fan, I encourage you to seize this moment and seriously consider investing in TSLA stock. With Tesla's unwavering commitment to innovation, sustainability, and pushing the boundaries of what's possible, the potential for long-term gains is genuinely remarkable. Don't just be a fan; become an investor and be a part of Tesla's incredible success story!
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Wishing you an electrifying future with Tesla,
Tesla POPRisk assets have been getting absolutely clapped in the past few weeks. However Tesla has been moving down a bit too quickly, and might see some relief into the golden pocket.
We have a few potential catalyst's coming up, earnings being one, but most importantly the interest rate hike decision which may help propel risk assets to get some relief.
Last time Tesla dumped aggressively, it pumped right into the CC before heading lower.
Only time will tell.