TESLA A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 230.26
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 214.86
Recommended Stop Loss - 239.60
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Tesla
TESLA is looking to make a run for $345 during the 5th wave.Tesla looks like it might make a run to $345 in the 5th and final Elliott Wave over the next 2 to 3 months. This identical pattern appears to have already played out in an earlier instance, which makes it slightly more likely that the pattern will repeat itself.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss.
TESLA: Monthly - 4 hour : what is going on: Up ? Down and Where?Good evening everyone
I have created video 1 of 2 for today's analysis of the market. So far we are seeing a bullish trend up however from our perspective we are still bearish transitioning into a possible bullish scenario.
I give a break down of the market from the new info provided plus wait till the end to see where the market will possibly go to so you will be a more educated trader.
Follow the market
Happy Hunting Traders
MB Trader
Tesla - This Is Still Not Bearish!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is stuck between structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Tesla continues to consolidate in the long term descending triangle pattern. Following previous price action, a bullish breakout is much more likely but Tesla is still trading below the trendline resistance. A potential bullish breakout will be followed by an incredible rally and new highs.
Levels to watch: $160, $230
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TESLA: Building up the next bullish wave to $300.Tesla is in the upper levels of neutrality on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.149, MACD = -1.520, ADX = 23.400) as it remains marginally under the 1D MA50, but a crossing over it should restore the buying sentiment. Long term the stock is inside a Channel Up that is technically in the build up of the next bullish wave after the HL on August 5th, also backed by the 1D Golden Cross of July 29th. We anticipate the new rally to cross above both R1 and R2 and target R3 (TP = 300.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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$TSLA Ready to go bullish?
First of all, the price has broken above the downtrend line, and started to moving in a uptrend market.
However, according to the trading volumes, more chips are bought in the top area, meaning that there's strong resistance above the current price.
Therefore, I think the price might continue to fluctuated below the resistance area in a short term period.
US30 | Trade ideaKey Points:
Tesla: Shares fell 1.6% after a report that the company plans to produce a six-seat Model Y in China by late 2025.
Boeing: Dropped 7.3% following a downgrade from Wells Fargo to "underweight" from "equal weight."
Nvidia: Slumped nearly 10%, wiping out a record $279 billion in market value, marking the largest single-day decline for a U.S. company.
U.S. Manufacturing: Edged up in August from an eight-month low but remained subdued, according to ISM data.
Market Performance:
S&P 500 fell 2.1%
Nasdaq dropped 3.3%
Dow declined 1.5%
This marks the biggest daily percentage decline for these indexes since early August.
Nine out of 11 S&P 500 sectors fell, with technology, energy, communication services, and materials leading the decline.
Market Sentiment: Weakened amid concerns about the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, with September being historically one of the worst months for stock market performance.
Volatility: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) jumped 33.2% to 20.72, the highest close since early August.
Trading Volume: Totaled 12.14 billion shares across U.S. exchanges, above the 20-day moving average of nearly 11 billion.
Labor Market: Traders are awaiting labor market reports ahead of the August non-farm payrolls data.
Fed Meeting: Scheduled for Sept. 17-18, with a 63% chance of a 25-basis point rate cut and a 37% chance of a 50-basis point cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Market Breadth: On the NYSE, declining issues outnumbered advancers by 2.52-to-1, while on the Nasdaq, decliners outnumbered advancers by 3.5-to-1.
Shanghai Composite. 'Arctic Fox' leaps on Shanghai street cornerReal estate has made China rich in recent years and decades. Now it looks more like radioactive kryptonite from the DC Comics universe - the birthplace of Superman.
Three months earlier, China's house prices fell 0.4% in a month, according to official statistics released in November 2023, the steepest drop since February 2015, according to Bloomberg data .
It was one sign that a key engine of the world's second-largest economy is still faltering despite Beijing's multiple stimulus packages.
At the same time, prices for secondary housing fell by 0.6% in October, which is the highest figure in nine years.
According to the Cato Institute data , private property accounts for 1/4 of China's total gross domestic product and nearly 70% of all household wealth.
This means that falling house prices have become a serious burden on the economy.
The situation is exacerbated by a seemingly endless debt crisis that has left the country's two largest property developers on the brink of collapse, with both Evergrande and Country Garden defaulting on bond repayments in recent years.
Evergrande serves as an example of how an industry that contributed to China's economic boom and prosperity for decades has become toxic and has become a point of weakness and decline.
The company was founded in 1996 and built huge residential complexes in the city center, helping to accelerate China's shift away from a socialist agrarian economy. The company eventually expanded beyond real estate, opening separate businesses selling bottled water and electric vehicles, and in 2010 it bought a Chinese soccer club that would go on to become the country's most successful team.
These days, the former giant is struggling for cash and facing liquidation.
China's fragile housing market is back in the spotlight at the start of 2024, following the release of a batch of fresh statistics.
China's troubled property market ended last year with the worst decline in new home prices in nearly nine years, despite government efforts to prop up a sector that was once a key driver of the second-largest economy.
New home prices in December showed their sharpest fall since February 2015, while property sales measured by area fell 23% in December from a year earlier, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Wednesday, January 17, 2024.
Of the 70 cities included in the NBS house price data, 62 reported falling prices.
Markets immediately responded with a strong decline, exacerbating the accumulated negative returns since the start of 2024.
Big China Indices Crash by Mid-January, 2024
At the same time, property developer investment in December fell year-on-year at the fastest pace since at least 2000, according to Reuters calculations based on NBS data. Overall, real estate investment fell 9.6% in 2023, roughly matching the decline in 2022.
Several Chinese developers, including China Evergrande Group HKEX:3333 and Country Garden HKEX:2007 defaulted on their offshore debts and entered into restructuring processes.
Country Garden, the country's largest private real estate developer, warned this week that it expects the real estate market to remain weak into 2024.
The technical main chart is dedicated to the Shanghai Composite Stock Index, which, judging by the current scenario, will experience far from the best year in its history, as a result of the index breaking down its narrowing multi-year range.
// Photo: “Arctic fox” leaps on Shanghai street corner .
💡 February, 2024 Notes
👉 Chinese stocks are falling for the 6th month in a row by February 2024 against the backdrop of the weakness of the Chinese economy, while SSE:000001 Shanghai Composite Stock Index fell below its 200-month SMA for the first time in its history.
👉 An extremely rare Bearish Super Combo in the Chinese financial market of 6 consecutive monthly declines is the result of disappointment with economic data and PRC government measures to support the economy.
👉 Industrial activity in China fell for the fourth month in a row in January, official data showed on Wednesday.
PMI indexes point to a bleak picture of continued contraction in manufacturing, roughly unchanged activity in the services sector and a slowdown in construction, Nomura analysts said.
👉 Weak economic recovery and limited support measures have affected investor sentiment.
The Hang Seng Tech Index of Hong Kong-listed tech giants HSI:HSTECH fell 20% in January, while Hong Kong-listed shares of mainland property developer Hang Seng index fell 19%.
Tesla 4 hour- Daily are we correcting up if so how high ? Good afternoon traders
Currently basing on my thesis I see a correction of some sort how high this correction will go I am unsure however we do have some levels in place that will allows to understand where this market can go to.
Currently right now lets see how the market opens and see which levels hold which levels break.
Watch the video and let me know if you like it, hate it or want me to create more videos on how I trade and why in more specific detail.
Happy trading everyone
MB Trader
Tesla Video Analysis on the Monthly and Weekly Bearish ? Good morning everyone MB Trader here
Hopefully everyone is gearing up for a great week of trading:
Based on what we are currently seeing some current levels we will be hitting lower down to 150 range possibly lower if this market breaks down further.
Let me know what you think of the video; hate it , love it , want me to make more videos on something in particular let me know
Happy Sunday
MB Trader
Tesla Stock Correction: Eyeing a $300 Target? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Tesla stock chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price entered the supply zone at $235. After reaching this level, the stock faced a decline and corrected down to $210! It is likely that we will see further correction in Tesla's stock price. However, as mentioned in the previous analysis, due to the recent interest rate cuts, we might gradually witness a price increase after this initial correction. I am forecasting a mid-term target for Tesla stock above $300.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Tesla High Timeframe Analysis - Targeting 2023 HighsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only, showing how I intend to participate in this market. Trading involves significant risk. Do your own due diligence.
Utilizing my Multi Timeframe strategy, I have identified that I would like to look for LONGS on Tesla. To clarify, I'm not saying I'm blindly longing this market. If I see price action that checks the boxes for this strategy, I will take the long. Until then, I do NOTHING.
Feel free to shoot me a message with any questions.
Have a great week!
TSLA cybertruckin' it to $243-$258 price range - 4-5 Elliot WaveNASDAQ:TSLA drawing a 4th to 5th Elliot Wave potentially all the way to the $243-$258 price range
Moving averages consolidating around that area too. I track the 20, 50, 100, and 200, but mostly the 50 and 200 for confirmation, and trendlines, but mostly the Elliot Wave when I see it straight out of Ralph Nelson Elliots playbook..
Invest smart, invest hard.
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NASDAQ:TSLA
TESLA broke above the 2-month Resistance and is aiming for $300Last month (August 15, see chart below) we gave a pull-back buy signal on Tesla (TSLA) and the price action swiftly responded with a August 28 Low and then rebound:
The rebound was on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and today we see a strong bullish break-out above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This alone is enough to confirm the start of the next phase of the Bullish Leg, since the long-term pattern is a Channel Up, as closing above 228.00 will constitute a Higher High.
Technically the structure is similar to the previous mid-Bullish Leg consolidation (April 30 - June 24), even the 1D MACD sequences between the two fractals are similar. In that sense we can't rule out some more ranged trading for September but on the long-term our Target remains unchanged.
We expect the $300 level to break before November.
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Tesla Four Hour surprising correction but how far will it go up?So Based on previous analysis the thesis is we would drop down however this did not occur.
With the new thesis we are seeing possible 5 scenarios take shape plus one which is Tesla takes off like a rocket and makes higher highs: however unless confirmed on the Weekly I dont see that being likely as of yet.
Currently the 235-238 area is what I am more leaning towards: however that being said the market can drop at one of those five levels shown in the image. So please be beware of it.
Any thoughts or questions? What do you like and dont like? Always open to feedback
MB Trader
Tesla Daily: Correcting up but how high will it go? So based on our previous analysis Tesla didn't break down which then allowed us to change our thesis that we are still correcting.
Based on what we see 235-238 range is what I see however it breaks that we can go to 252 which is not out of the question either
Currently I have given 4 analysis on the chart on where we see this market moving to.
Using technical analysis with fibs the probability for me hitting 235 and going down is high however we dont control the market our job is to follow it.
What are your thoughts on this analysis ? Like it ? Hate it? What more lower time frames or something else let me know
MB Trader
Tesla Set to Launch Six-Seat Model Y in China by 2025Tesla Inc. is gearing up to introduce a six-seat version of its Model Y vehicle in China starting in 2025, aiming to refresh the appeal of its top-selling but maturing electric car model. The company has initiated preparations with suppliers to ramp up Model Y production significantly at its Shanghai facility. While details on the expansion of the production plant remain concealed, pending approval for a 70-hectare expansion on former farmland, Tesla continues to show robust performance with a 6% year-on-year increase in Model 3 deliveries in the first half of the year.
This move to expand and innovate within the Chinese market is part of Tesla's broader strategy to maintain its competitive edge and adapt to evolving consumer preferences and technological advancements in the electric vehicle sector.
Technical analysis of Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA)
Examining Tesla's stock to offer insights into potential trading strategies:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current Trend : the stock exhibits an upward trend, recently regaining momentum above the key support level
Short-term Target : if the uptrend persists, the immediate target is at 266.00 USD, contingent upon breaking through the resistance at 235.50 USD
Medium-term Target : a successful breach of the current resistance could propel the stock towards 300.00 USD
Key Support : the crucial support level to watch is at 181.45 USD
Reversal Scenario : if the stock breaks below this support, it could signal a potential downtrend, with a downside target of 140.00 USD
Market outlook
As Tesla prepares to produce the new Model Y variant in China, its stock could see increased investor interest, particularly if it continues demonstrating innovation and market expansion capability. The technical setup is currently bullish, suggesting that, if Tesla can maintain its trajectory and break
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Tesla’s China-Made EV Sales Rise Amid Strong CompetitionTesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) continues to make significant strides in China, the world’s largest electric vehicle (EV) market. According to the latest data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), sales of Tesla’s China-made EVs rose 3% year-over-year in August. Deliveries of the Model 3 and Model Y surged by 17% from July, driven by Tesla’s aggressive strategies to attract local buyers. As the company expands its influence, a closer look at both the fundamental and technical aspects of Tesla’s stock reveals an intriguing narrative for investors.
Rising Sales Amid Fierce Competition
Tesla’s growth in China is particularly impressive given the fierce competition it faces from domestic EV makers like BYD, Leapmotor, and Li Auto. BYD, Tesla’s biggest rival in China, reported a staggering 35.3% year-over-year increase in sales, reaching a record high of 370,854 units in August. Despite this, Tesla’s consistent performance indicates that it is holding its own, thanks to several strategic moves:
1. Extended Incentives and Financing Options: Tesla has been offering zero-interest loans of up to five years since April, catering to cautious buyers amid a sluggish economy. This strategy has proven effective, especially in smaller cities, where Tesla saw a 78% year-on-year increase in deliveries in tier-three cities and a 47% rise in second-tier cities like Hangzhou and Nanjing.
2. Government Endorsement: Tesla has gained significant government backing, with several local authorities recently approving Tesla models for official car purchases. This endorsement helps Tesla penetrate segments of the market previously closed off due to regulatory restrictions, boosting both its sales and brand credibility.
3. Expanding Product Line: Looking to keep its offerings fresh, Tesla plans to produce a new six-seat Model Y in China starting in late 2025. This move is seen as an effort to appeal to family-oriented buyers and differentiate Tesla from other competitors in the market.
Despite a global downsizing of its sales force, Tesla’s China operations have maintained strong sales momentum, thanks to these strategic adjustments. Analysts project that if the current trend continues, Tesla could hit a record quarterly sales volume in China for Q3 2024.
Navigating a Mixed Market Environment
Tesla’s stock has shown a mixed performance recently, with technical indicators presenting both opportunities and cautionary signals for traders:
1. Price Action and Chart Patterns: Tesla’s stock was up 3% in Friday’s extended trading session but dipped 0.18% in premarket trading on Tuesday. The chart shows a bullish engulfing pattern, a positive signal suggesting that buyers are stepping in at current levels. This pattern, coupled with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 50.21, indicates a potential uptrend in the near term. If the RSI dips to 40, near the one-month low pivot of $183, a rebound could be expected.
2. Support and Resistance Levels: Tesla’s stock is poised to hold its current levels, with analysts maintaining a “Hold” rating on the stock. Key support lies around $183, while resistance levels hover near $200, indicating that Tesla could be gearing up for a potential breakout if buying pressure increases.
3. Investor Sentiment and Volume: Trading volume and investor influx are critical factors. A surge in these could further propel the stock upward. With the introduction of Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) feature in China expected by year-end, sentiment could turn increasingly positive, leading to higher trading volumes and bolstered prices.
Outlook: A Balanced Perspective
Tesla’s ongoing success in China and strategic initiatives point to a promising future, but investors should also be mindful of the broader market conditions. With high competition, economic pressures, and evolving consumer preferences, Tesla’s path forward in China will be closely watched. Technically, the stock shows signs of resilience, but maintaining its trajectory will depend on continued strong sales performance, positive regulatory developments, and the successful execution of new product rollouts.
For traders, Tesla offers a balanced risk-reward profile at current levels. The fundamentals provide a strong backdrop, while the technicals suggest that the stock is at a critical juncture. Whether you’re looking to hold for the long term or capitalize on short-term price movements, Tesla remains a key player in the evolving EV landscape. As always, keep an eye on macroeconomic trends and market signals to navigate this dynamic market.