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Teslaanalysis

Tesla's Make-it Or Break-it!Tesla is approaching a very critical spot. There are several key technicals that all speak in favour of it having topped out in January. If that's the case it automatically means that whatever we're seeing right now is the height of its distribution phase prior to rolling over for some serious price damage. Let's go through those technical clues, one by one. 1) We have a textbook primary 5-wave impulse. A normal 2nd-wave correction is a steep price correction. In Tesla's case, we saw a retracement to the 786 fib - one that found support on it with uncanny precision. Equally so, a normal 4th-wave correction is a complex time-based correction - one that typically materialises in the shape of a triangle. According to these standard rules, Tesla abides to both. 2) Whenever you draw a fibonacci retracement from the bottom of a 5-wave impulse and to the end of the 5th-wave, the bottom of the 4th-wave correction statistically aligns with the 618. And so, too, it does here. Naturally, this further speaks in favour of Tesla having topped out for this primary and secular market cycle, as in for a long time to follow. 3) The RSI is our by far best tool in determining whenever a mark-up shifts into a distribution. What happens is that the RSI goes from consistently high levels - often overbought such - to swiftly retrace down towards the green neutral 50-line, upon which it then fails to break above the upper bearish blue line (see the red cirle on the chart). This is a pivot at which the RSI and price suffer syncronised "max pain" and is equally so THE ideal spot to open short positions. 4) The price is currently nearing in on the golden 618 ratio. This is where I will begin to ladder in shorts. Yet, if the price were to slip too far into the zone, I'll release it and re-enter again at the 786. But here's the thing. IF Tesla were to break above this critical zone I will consider laddering in leveraged longs. And there are two prime reasons for that. 1) The long RSI divergence (the dotted red line) is typical 3rd-wave behaviour. This is more standard than not. By that token, it would mean that the current triangular-looking price development in fact is the real primary 4th wave, upon which we can expect a final price pump to the north. 2) A price pump above the red danger zone would mean that the weekly RSI would break the upper bearish blue line, and hence disqualify it entirely. In this sense, as long as Tesla stays within or below the red danger zone a short play is the predominantly correct move from a statistical point of view. This is likely to result in a high risk-to-reward short spot - one in which we can utilise high leverage due to the low risk. If, on the other hand, Tesla were to break above this zone, the probabilities swiftly shift from very bearish to very bullish.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by LongLifeTrading
3
TESLAINC:FORECAST FUNDAMENTAL+PRICE ACTION|LONG SETUP🔔Not so long ago, the number of opportunities to invest in electric cars was limited: it was either Tesla or nothing. If investors were unwilling to join Musk's team, they were just out of luck. Although there has been a dramatic turnaround in the last year, and the number of options has increased significantly thanks to the strong growth in the market of electric car companies, Tesla remains the focus of investors. And with President Biden recently stating that electric cars will account for 50 percent of new car sales by 2030, investors are taking a special interest. Let's take a look at some important things potential buyers of Tesla stock should be aware of before including it in their portfolios. Since its introduction nearly two years ago, the Cybertruck has sparked interest from buyers and investors alike. About a week after Tesla unveiled the Cybertruck, orders for it soared to 200,000, and Tesla enthusiasts, through their fansite Teslarati, estimate that orders for the Cybertruck now total about 1.2 million. Tesla offers a base model with single-engine rear-wheel drive for $39,900. Dual-engine all-wheel-drive and three-engine all-wheel-drive models are priced at $49,900 and $69,900, respectively. Assuming the 1.2 million reservations are accurate, and assuming a conservative estimate that all reservations come from the least expensive model, Tesla's revenue would be about $48 billion. By comparison, the company's 2020 revenue was $31.5 billion. Clearly, the success of the Cybertruck plays an important role in Tesla's scenario. The company originally envisioned that the production of a single-engine model would begin in late 2021. However, company executives have put the brakes on that version. During Tesla's second-quarter 2021 conference call, Lars Moravy, vice president of vehicle development, said the company is "moving into beta phases of the Cybertruck later this year," and Tesla's Cybertruck booking site shows that production is scheduled for 2022. While a delay in Cybertruck production shouldn't discourage potential investors from buying stock, it's important to understand that delays allow competitors like Ford with its all-electric F-150 and Rivian with its R1T to step on the gas pedal. Like many other companies, Tesla is dealing with manufacturing problems due to a global shortage of semiconductors. In fact, Musk said during his second-quarter report that the semiconductor shortage has forced Tesla to sacrifice the production of its Powerwall energy storage unit to meet car production needs. But the semiconductor shortage isn't the only problem on Tesla's radar: Company executives may be keeping lithium supplies up at night. Tesla investors know that in September 2020, the company entered into a five-year agreement with Australian mining company Piedmont Lithium to buy lithium-containing spodumene concentrate at a fixed price (with an option to extend for another five years). Piedmont originally assumed that Tesla deliveries would begin between July 2022 and July 2023. Now that doesn't seem so likely. Residents of North Carolina, where the mineral deposit is located, have spoken out against the company's project development. Consequently, Piedmont said it was postponing supplies to Tesla indefinitely. When talk turns to Tesla stock, investors' opinions diverge sharply. In fact, Tesla stock is one of the most hotly debated tickers. For example, Piper Sandler, who sides with the bulls, puts the price target at $1,200, while Citigroup, which represents the bears, thinks the stock will fall to $209. Let's leave the price targets to Wall Street. After all, analysts often have much shorter time horizons for investing than we prefer. Instead, let's just look at stock valuations. Tesla stock has soared more than 862% in the past three years, but don't be fooled: its valuation has recently declined. The stock is currently valued at about 86.6 times operating cash flow. That may seem expensive, but consider that the average five-year stock cash flow ratio is 134.3. Sure, the stock still trades at a high multiple, but it has been growing at an impressive rate since the company began generating positive cash flow. As demand for the company's cars remains strong, the company's cash flow will likely continue to grow. Unconvincing? Let's look at it from a different perspective. Today, Tesla stock is trading at 147 times forward earnings. Exorbitant, you say? Think again. Stocks often reflect inflated investor expectations for growth. For example, earlier this summer, on June 30, the stock traded at 161 times projected earnings, while a year ago on the same day, the P/E ratio was 370. Cybertruck release delays. Semiconductor shortages. Lithium problems. Sure, Tesla has a lot of problems right now, but the company has faced challenges before -- and won. These problems, while undesirable, are hardly something that makes potential investors look elsewhere. In fact, it's at times like these, when things seem bleak, that savvy and patient investors can buy the stock at a low price. Although electric car traffic is on the rise as competitors such as Lucid Motors and Fisker prepare to ramp up production, there is definitely room for more than one success story in the electric car market, and Tesla will certainly remain one of them.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by FOREXN1
13
TESLA STOCK:FORECAST FUNDAMENTAL & Price Predictions 5/10 YEARSTESLA STOCK FORECAST & Price Predictions 2021 - 2025 - 2030, 5 years, 10 years : While most businesses worldwide have strived to withstand that crazy 2020, Tesla has been involved in making history. In less than 12 months, the electric car maker marked numerous achievements, with its stock soaring above $2,000 per share, undergoing a split, and being included in the S&P 500 Index. So, considering the impressive results, some may be wondering what is in store for the company and what results investors should be expecting. In this article, we will analyze the current state of the company, will see what the experts` predictions are, and will try to figure out what is going to happen to the Tesla stock within the next five or ten years. Tesla`s background : The history of Tesla goes back to the period when the U.S. set the task of getting rid of dependence on hydrocarbons, including the improvement of alternative power sources for motor vehicles. And the creation of electric cars was one of the areas of research. Tesla was founded in 2003, but investor confidence, which led to an increase in investment attraction, manifested itself in 2013 - then mass production of electric cars began. Tesla began to show phenomenal growth from the second half of 2019. After several years of losses, Tesla showed three consecutive profitable quarters (starting in the third quarter of 2019) and surprised investors with the stability of receiving orders in the first quarter of 2020, despite the outbreak of the virus. The company has often found itself at the center of lawsuits and disputes, in part because of (at times) outrageous behavior by Musk. One example of this occurred in August 2017, when he tweeted that he had solid funding to take the company private to the tune of $420. That claim later turned out to be false. Thus, since the beginning of 2020, Tesla's share price has increased fivefold. According to several analysts, Tesla's rapid growth in value looks unnatural against the background of its relatively small number of tangible assets and the current state of the electric car market. For example, in 2019 the company's car sales were less than 4% of those of Volkswagen, the global leader in this indicator. In addition, the company has only four plants, and the concern Toyota motor has 50 plants. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas notes: "It might be worth reminding investors that battery-powered cars account for no more than 2% of global sales. In other words, about 98% of the world's cars are still powered by internal combustion engines." He gave Tesla an Underweight rating ("worse than the market") and a target price of $360 per share. So, how did these events affect TSLA's stock price? We can see how its stock price has changed since that period in the chart Above.( Check Trading view chart please ) It shows how stratospheric Tesla's growth has been in 2020. Before this year, TSLA's stock price was only $70 - since then, that figure has jumped nearly 900% to $695. Tesla made more than $100 in December 2020 alone, opening at $584.76 at the beginning of the month and now trading at $695. It's a jump that has many investors and analysts wondering, "Is Tesla stock overpriced?" For others, however, its success was a huge reassurance after the coronavirus crash back in March 2020. When investor uncertainty peaked in response to news of the COVID-19 outbreak sweeping the world, the stock market suffered one of the biggest collapses in history. The collapse began on March 9, 2020, when the Dow fell 7.79% in just one day. Like most companies, TSLA was not immune to this collapse. Between March 6 and March 16, Tesla's stock price fell from $140,696 to $89,014, its lowest level in a year. The fact that it has recovered so much is the result of various factors: 1. Split of shares; 2. The introduction of Model 3; 3. The success of SpaceX. No doubt, everybody knows that the CEO, ideological inspirer, and "face" of the company is Elon Reeve Musk. Unlike most executives of other automobile companies, Musk is a media persona, open to communication with the public and capable of extravagant actions and statements, which immediately become an occasion for publications in the media. Musk's impressive fame is a consequence of this image. And fame is one of the incentives for investor confidence. However, at present, this trust is not primarily based on the media character. The company actively produces press events not only by loud fantastic statements of the "first-person" but thanks to achievements and real facts. Musk has a solid background under his belt that has a lot to tell investors. His major milestones: Creation of the first Internet payment system, PayPal; The creation of the first private space company, SpaceX (May 30, 2020, was the first manned launch of a spacecraft, which was a proprietary development of the company, which first demonstrated the ability to automatically return to the launch pad after separating a stage from a rocket); Creation of several more or less successful diversified companies (artificial intelligence, neuro-interfaces, solar energy, construction); The transformation of the Tesla startup into the world's most famous electric and automatically piloted car manufacturing firm. No doubt, these merits encouraged investors to tolerate the company's chronic unprofitability for many years. Tesla Stock Price Today : Tesla stock began 2021 with record growth - on January 4, the value of the company's securities surpassed the $800 per share mark for the first time and was at a high of $884. The rise in Tesla stock by several hundred percentage points was due, in part, to investor confidence in Tesla's ability to increase vehicle sales and production in 2021. Those who have long invested in the company are still confident that Tesla will remain the leader in the growing electric car market, despite competition from traditional manufacturers, which are also slowly beginning to tread new waters. Thus, in February, analyst firm Argus Research sharply raised its target for Tesla's stock from $556 to $808. So, it was a price that analysts considered fair for the electric car maker. Tesla stock remained at a record high price for a few weeks, but the company had a correction in March as it plunged to $540 at the beginning of the month. By the end of May, they were worth no more than $650 on average. In May, the share price was negatively affected by an unexpected refusal of the company to accept bitcoin for payment and sales in China, which were worse than forecasts. On July 26, Musk's company reported financial results for the second quarter of 2021. At the postmarket, the company's securities reacted with growth. Let's consider the results of the report in more detail and see what is the current situation of the company. Q2 revenue rose 98% YoY, from $6.03 billion to $11.95 billion. Regulatory loan sales decreased 17% to $354 million, about 3.5% of the company's total revenue. GAAP net income rose 10-fold to $1.14 billion, and adjusted earnings per share were $1.45 compared to $0.44 a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 106% to $2.48 bln. Free cash flow increased by 48% YoY to $619 mln. The results significantly exceeded analysts' average expectations. Tesla reported revenue from the company's energy segment, which includes solar photovoltaic cells and home energy storage systems, rose 60% QoQ to $801 million. Almost all sales in the electric car segment came from the Model 3/Y. Shipments of these models increased 121%. Tesla will begin production of the Cybertruck at a new plant in Texas in late 2021. The company said it had received $951 million in service fees. Tesla sees future revenue growth in the energy segment. With the transition to renewable energy, Musk said, there is likely demand for "more than a million Powerwall per year" - a battery developed by the company, which is designed to conserve energy for household use, load shifting consumption, and backup power. Tesla's financial performance has improved significantly. A good signal is a decrease in the share of the revenue from the sale of regulatory credits. The company continues to increase the number of fast-charging stations and service stations. Tesla did not report earnings and EPS guidance for the year. A 60% q-o-q increase in revenue in the energy segment could signal the start of more business diversification. GW energy storage capacity has doubled in the last year. The company could generate as much as $25 billion in revenue annually if it opens up its refueling facilities to other electric vehicles. Tesla may soon have a significant share of its revenue coming from the energy generation and storage segment. It could be Musk's possible response to recent difficulties. Tesla will face high competition in this area from U.S. utilities and new startups, which have begun to actively seek to build networks of fast refueling stations across the country. Electric car sales are breaking records in the U.S. Should the U.S. government adopt an additional $3.5 trillion plan to invest in "human infrastructure," Tesla could become one of the beneficiaries of the government's decision. Tesla Stock Price Forecast 2021-2022 : Interesting fact - Elon Musk himself warned in early December about a possible collapse of the company's stock. In a letter sent to company employees, he wrote: "If you look at our actual profitability, it is very low - about 1% for the past year. Investors are hoping for our future profits, and if they decide we can't get them, our stock will immediately collapse - like a soufflé from a sledgehammer blow." According to its predictions, Tesla's stock price will not reach $1,000 in 2022 and will continue to trade in the $870 to $970 range for most of 2023. However, it will rise to more than $1,000 very briefly in November and December. WalletInvestor believes that TSLA will be able to defend its position more consistently in 2024 and 2025, with the stock price reaching $1,200 by July 2025. While this is less optimistic than forecasts from platforms like Long Forecast, which believe TSLA will reach $1,000 much sooner, it is showing a steady growth rate, which should reassure investors. A more bearish forecast comes from LeoProphet.com. For exactlyTesla stock prediction 2022, LeoProphet.com predicts negative growth rates, with the stock price eventually ending the year at a disappointing $561. That would be an improvement over the November forecast, which is only $533. Tesla Stock Forecast 2023-2027 : We could not but mention here one of the most optimistic Tesla stock price prediction 2025. Kathy Wood's Ark Invest fund predicts that Tesla's stock price will rise to $3,000 by 2025. Based on the number of shares outstanding, at that price, Tesla would be worth nearly $3 trillion. That means the stock has about 347% upside. And that's just the base-case scenario Ark Invest is considering. Under the optimistic scenario, the stock will rise to $4,000, and the capitalization of the electric carmaker will reach $4 trillion. Experts estimate the probability of such growth at 25%. The negative scenario, the probability of which the analysts also estimated at 25%, envisages that in 2025, the shares will cost $1500 or less. The company predicts that Tesla will sell between 5 and 10 million cars in 2025 if capital efficiency improves. The company's revenues from electric vehicle sales will be between $234 billion and $367 billion by 2025. By comparison, nearly 500,000 Tesla electric cars were shipped worldwide in 2020, and the company had total revenues of $31.5 billion. Ark Invest predicts that Elon Musk's company will be able to reduce the cost of electric cars from the current $50,000 to $36,000. The fund believes that Tesla will create an insurance business that will generate operating income from $23 billion to $100 billion by 2025, and with a 50% chance that it can refine autonomous driving technology and launch a Robo-taxi service. The $3,000 target level on Tesla stock is well above all forecasts collected by Refinitiv. The maximum estimate among the 36 experts surveyed is $1200 per paper. The consensus forecast is $621.5 over the next year, which is about 7% below the current price. Analysts also added Tesla's insurance business, which the company could launch in more states over the next few years (so far only available in California) at above-average margins thanks to the "very detailed driving data" the company collects. The Ark model did not consider Tesla's energy storage activities or the fluctuations in the company's bitcoin holdings. Tesla Stock Forecast 2028-2032 : Tesla's profits will grow through Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscription sales from $600 million in 2021 to $102 billion by 2032. That's according to reports from research firm Loup Funds. Tesla has been working on a Full Self-Driving (FSD) autopilot for several years. The company aims to provide its customers with Level 5 autonomous driving. Currently, the U.S. electric car manufacturer recently launched a subscription option for FSD. It will be able to greatly expand its target market through monthly payments. Subscribing to this system will shift the cost of a one-time payment from $10,000 to $200 per month. That will accelerate its adoption. According to Loup Funds, about 20 percent of Tesla owners will at least try out the feature, and about 3 percent will use it on a permanent basis. However, as the system develops over the next five years, those numbers will increase to 31% and 15%, and in ten years to 45% and 34%, respectively. Tesla Stock Forecast: Price Predictions by Experts : esla has never been free of skeptics, and many analysts believe its stock price is highly overvalued. Elon Musk himself agrees. In a leaked email to Tesla staff, the CEO warned that projections of skyrocketing stock prices are only achievable if the business manages to cut costs. With margins as low as 1 percent, he added, the stock price also depends on investor confidence: "If at some point they conclude , our stock will immediately profit. Crushed like a soufflé with a sledgehammer! ". Let us look at different forecasts so we can understand the general outlook of the experts in terms of the future of Tesla. According to Patrick Hummel, an analyst at Swiss bank UBS, Tesla remains the global leader in electric vehicles. However, the analyst maintained a "neutral" rating and lowered his target price on Tesla stock from $730 to $660. As a result, Tesla stock fell on the news. There are two main reasons for the decline: increased competition and global problems with the supply of chips. Hummel believes that it is the competitors that will affect Tesla's share price in the short term, especially in the largest electric car market in the world, China. Tesla has already had to reduce the price of its cars in the Middle Kingdom several times to compete, which leads to a decrease in the company's gross profit in the region. In addition, Tesla has faced reputational problems in China, and the latest misstep by the U.S. automaker was a recall of more than 285,000 cars in China because of safety concerns related to the cruise control function. While the recall does not involve returning the cars, since the fixes will be done remotely via an online software update - this is not the news Tesla investors want to hear amid fierce competition in China. Nonetheless, long-term investors should keep in mind that despite all the temporary difficulties, Tesla remains the "undisputed leader" in UBS's electric car stock portfolio. Analysts at the investment company Wedbush believe that the shares of the company of American businessman Elon Musk - Tesla - is open to the growth of up to $1 thousand. One of the drivers of the company's growth, according to analysts, was its inclusion in the S & P 500 index. The new position allowed Tesla to enter the "club" of blue chips. The changes, analysts believe, strengthened the company's position in the eyes of institutional investors. Also, Wedbush paid attention to the potential of Tesla's business development. According to their calculations, there is a growing demand for electric cars in the world. Now, their share of sales in the market is 3%. By 2025, according to analysts, the figure may increase to 10%. Wedbush believes that China's share of Tesla's orders could rise to 40%. The interest in the company's products from the PRC, according to analysts, will also be an important driver of the growth of the manufacturer's shares. Another item that could become a support for the positive dynamics of prices for the securities of Tesla, according to Wedbush, is the victory of Joe Biden in the presidential elections in America. The fact is that his election program included work on improving environmental performance. Tesla electric cars are up to the task. Jefferies analysts upgraded the stock rating, predicting a 22% gain over the next 12 months, noting that the electric carmaker continues to prove it is a leader and innovator in the mass market for electric cars and batteries. In a research report for Jefferies clients, analyst Philippe Houchois and his team upgraded Tesla stock to a "Buy" rating from "Hold" and an estimate of its target price to $850/pc. from $700 on expectations that automakers, in general, could improve their margins as they operate with smaller, but better-allocated capital. Specifically for Tesla, Houchois and his team said they expect the pioneer in promoting electric cars, led by its CEO, Elon Musk, to benefit compared to other automakers entering the electric-car game because of the "lack of legacy issues" and continued growth in demand for electric vehicles. According to Houchois, dealer inventory recovery will be the first test for companies, while less product complexity and higher direct sales will be future drivers for structurally better industry profitability. Basically, as we can see from the Tesla stock price forecast 2021 and further, analysts are more than optimistic about the company's prospects despite the increasing number of rivals and unclear epidemiological situation in the world. Risks of buying Tesla stock : Let's look at the factors that could cause a significant pullback in quotes. Market crash Market declines caused by the economic crisis, and the coronavirus pandemic could affect Tesla stock, which is now virtually the only driver of growth in the U.S. market. But even such a leading company may not survive the impact of the global crisis. Someone will overtake Although Tesla has been successful in developing new technology, the result may not be as impressive. What if the promised full autopilot technology isn't introduced by the end of 2021, or the super-efficient battery packs aren't created by Tesla but by Lucid Motors, for example? Porsche, Ford, and General Motors are zealous for Tesla's success. The up-and-coming Nicola Motor is preparing an electric truck for mass production. Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos is also interested in creating an original electric car. Volkswagen is launching its brand of electric cars in 2020. "It's a race, Volkswagen CEO Herbert Diess told Bloomberg at the Davos Forum. - We're confident we can keep up with Tesla, and at some point, even overtake it." Research firm Wood Mackenzie predicts that Volkswagen will overtake Musk's firm by 2028. The superiority of detractors Comparing Tesla and Toyota, some may say that despite the difference in development dynamics, Toyota outperforms Tesla in many ways (objectively Tesla is a small company). There are plenty of giants with great capabilities in the market for internal combustion engines. We also cannot rule out the lobbying activities of oil tycoons and the realization of the interests of political circles of entire countries (for example, Russia and the UAE). These very heterogeneous and even hostile to each other forces may well join forces for the "final solution of the Tesla problem". Musk's unreliability Elon Musk himself, despite his consistency in pursuing his goals, has not always looked trustworthy enough from an investor's point of view. He once sold the PayPal payment system, so why can't he think of selling Tesla as well? Tesla Stock Technical Analysis : During last week, the shares were up 1.7%. Tesla said it would open its charging network for other brands of electric cars in the U.S. as part of President Joe Biden's infrastructure project. It will allow access to funding as part of the project. Interestingly, representatives from Elon Musk's company were not invited to a meeting on the electrification of cars, which the U.S. president held last week. On Sunday, Tesla officially confirmed that the production and delivery of the Cybertruck model will be postponed until 2022. The company has previously warned about this possibility more than once. Tesla stock prediction: at the beginning of the week, a slight rise and then a decline in the share price to $685 is most likely. If the stock fails to hold that level, it will continue falling to $665. We may speak about the possible formation of a growth wave if the price comes back above $716. The consolidation scenario within the range of $680-710 is a priority for the coming week. In the case of Tesla, any corporate news can lead to a revision of the forecast. The consensus forecast from Refinitiv analysts on Tesla stock is at $711 per share, up 2% from the last closing price. What Is the Future Price of Tesla Stocks? Market Watch, citing Fact Set, notes that only 42 percent of analysts advise buying Tesla stock. At the same time, Tesla's competitor, China's Nio, has 65 percent. Analysts also believe that Tesla stock will be trading at $699 shortly. That is, more or less at the same level at which they are trading now. Other data is cited by CNN. Based on the forecasts of 33 analysts, the channel derived a median value of Tesla stock for the next 12 months at $730. At that, the most optimistic forecast of the experts says that Tesla shares will skyrocket to $1.4 thousand, while the most pessimistic one says that Tesla's share price will fall to $67. However, most experts advise buying shares of Musk's company. Wall Street Zen also has a similar Tesla stock prediction 2025 based on the opinion of 26 experts. They also believe Tesla stock is worth buying. Even leaving behind all these investment aspects, we can say that Tesla`s popularity is growing exponentially, not only among traders and investors. So, Tesla stock prediction 2025 can be nothing but positive. so.... Are Tesla Stocks a Good Investment? Tesla's position among competitors remains quite strong. The market capitalization of Elon Musk's company exceeds $600 billion. As Market Watch notes, this is more than all of its closest competitors combined. By comparison, Volkswagen's market capitalization is about $130 billion, and, for example, Toyota's is just under $240 billion. The company's production is growing. Tesla reached 500,000 cars a year in 2020, and it produced 185,000 electric cars in the first quarter of 2021 - twice as many as it did in the same period in 2020. At the same time, the company's plants in the U.S. and China can potentially produce more than a million cars a year, which means there's still room to spare. Plus, the company is building plants near Berlin and in Texas. The company also announced in late April that its Model 3 had become the world's best-selling premium sedan, overtaking the respective BMW and Mercedes models. The company is more than confident about its future. In a call with investors in March, for example, Tesla said it expects a 50 percent compound annual growth rate in the supply of its cars, in which case by 2030 the company will be shipping 40 times as many electric cars as it does now. Whether such a plan is achievable is not yet very clear. On the other hand, some advise against buying shares of this company. Some experts believe that Tesla will be affected by the lack of chips, which, according to some forecasts, may last until 2022. Yes, Elon Musk reassured investors in early April on his Twitter account, thanking suppliers for supplying "critical" components for production. But how long this favorable situation will last for the company is the question. In addition, the current drop in the value of Tesla shares may indicate that investors are no longer willing to turn a blind eye to losses and other "chronic" problems of the company. The company's critics point out that Tesla did not end any year of its existence without a loss, and the money the manufacturer earns from selling cars is not enough to cover costs. Other complaints are that the company fails to deliver cars within the specified time frame, and Tesla itself is highly overvalued, which makes its position very shaky. It partly explains the sharp change in the share price. However, it can also be explained by the relative waning of the coronavirus pandemic and the return of the global economy to life. In this regard, investors are beginning to invest not in IT companies, but in more "cyclical" businesses that depend on the macroeconomic situation. Thank you to have read our article ! FOREXN1
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by FOREXN1
5
Tesla Weekly analysis, Good time to buy ?Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :) _________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________ The Tesla stock is at 709.67 and last week was able to reach the first resistance line at 714.08 but couldn't close above it, The market price seems to be moving in a Triangle pattern and there is a big possibility for a breakout in the next period of time. Both the short-term and long-term trends are positive. This is a very positive sign. The major trend for Tesla seems to be Bullish and am seeing 2 different scenarios for the market movement in the next few weeks : Scenario 1 : The stock price will be able to breakout from the first resistance line at 714.08 and will be headed for the second resistance line at 740.95. if the Bulls were able to keep control of the trend then we could be seeing the TSLA stock reaching the 800 to 900 range. Scenario 2 : The stock price will drop and hit the support line 643.79 then a battle will happen between the bulls and the bears with the outcome most likely to be for the bulls and the price will bounce back up and start testing around the resistance lines again. But if the bears were able to take control then we could be seeing the stock dropping to the range of the second support line at 600.37. Different indicators showing that the market is bullish tho as we see : 1) The market price is trending above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA. (Bullish sign) 2) The MACD is at 13.19 showing that the market is in a Bullish state with a positive crossover happening between the MACD line and the Signal line. 3) Stoch is in a Bullish state with a positive crossover between %K and %D, %K reached the overbought zone. Support & Resistance points : support Resistance 1) 643.79 1) 714.08 2) 600.37 2) 740.95 3) 573.50 3) 784.37 Fundamental point of view : TSLA has a Profit Margin of 5.14%. This is better than the industry average of 2.51%. The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 172.10% over the past year. Piper Sandler keeps it pretty simple in reiterating an Overweight rating on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and calling it one of its favorites. Piper points out that the Q2 margin beat was not "fishy" and thinks automotive gross margin for TSLA could top the mid-20s next year. Tesla is higher in morning trading and is looking to record its fourth straight session of gains. The strong push today is being tied to good reads from Chinese automakers Nio, XPeng and Li Auto on demand. The round of reports on deliveries for July is more than offsetting concerns over Beijing regulation moves. Looking ahead, Shanghai-based analyst Gao Shen thinks China EV start-ups XPeng and Li Auto pushing over the 10K monthly unit mark is a meaningful threshold to watch because after exceeding that level - a carmaker will be "viewed as a powerful player" in the automotive industry. Last week, Tesla announced that the price of the standard range Model 3 after subsidy would be reduced about 6% or 15,000 yuan ($2,320) to 235,900 yuan. This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view , not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !! Thank you for reading.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by GabiDahduh
A Technical Approach to Tesla (TSLA)In this post, I'll be going over Tesla's chart (TSLA) to discuss the technical aspect of the stock. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk. Analysis - To begin with, what's most important to understand is the fact that the overall uptrend for Tesla is still intact. - The simple moving averages (SMAs) are all aligned in order, and the long term trend line, marked in green, is still valid. - We are seeing a textbook descending wedge in play. - The price has technically broken out of the pattern, and has retraced back to the support-turned-resistance, before it can form higher highs. - I would like to see a break and close above the 60 Simple Moving Average, marked in orange, as a sign of bullish confirmation. - Tesla's Artificial Intelligence (AI) Day will be taking place in Aug 19, which could serve as a stimulant for the bullish momentum. - Based purely on the structure of the chart, a move up to $1,400 is a probable case. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Michael_Wang_Official
4
TESLA Potential BREAKOUT!Since the major breakout in November of last year, Tesla has been trading in a downward trend. Now we're on the verge of a possible bullish breakout. The price has been forming a triangle structure since the start of this year. As seen in the chart, TSLA has managed to break two resistance levels of the triangle pattern. We even see a re-test of the breakout on July 8th. Price also seems to be gaining momentum with three bullish candles since the re-test as well as a strong gain yesterday.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EmpowerTrader
1
TESLA - SHORT / 3 TPsTesla has lost a lot of volume and clearly moving downwards. There are three Take Profit opportunities highlighted in the chart. Slowly and surely, the potential energy is dropping and if we follow the laws of conservation of energy, we are kinetic energy taking the price down. The trendlines have been well respected in the past and should be the direction of the vectors. I will be closely monitoring TESLA and updating this analysis continually. If you find my analysis useful and helpful, please do consider subscribing and liking my work. This helps me stay motivated. For any questions or comments, do let me know! -- For educational purposes only. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by v4runs
TSLA How do you like the scenario of Tesla shares falling -80% ?Looking at the trading chart for TSLA shares, it seems to us that they are being sold. Also, growth on falling volumes does not inspire confidence. In the coming days, We would like to see a fall to $550 , then a rebound to the $670 area, where the further future of the price movement will be decided. Fixing the price above $670 will pave the way for a rise to $1100. But we are more inclined to assume that the TESLA share price wants to test the strength of the $340-350 zone first. And after it, can be a scenario of fall down to $170-180 area for the retest. It was from there that the Covid fall of the market began in March 2020, a strong level that would be good to check for strength.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by P_S_trade
32
TSLA (TESLA) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (1DAY)CHART SHOWS A FULL BREAKDOWN OF PRICE ACTION & SCENARIOS TO BE AWARE OF Period End Date TTM 12/31/2020 12/31/2019 12/31/2018 12/31/2017 12/31/2016 12/31/2015 12/31/2014 Period Length 12 Months 12 Months 12 Months 12 Months 12 Months 12 Months 12 Months 12 Months Total Revenue- 35,940.00 31,536.00 24,578.00 Cost of Revenue- 28,329.00 24,906.00 20,509.00 Gross Profit- 7,611.00 6,630.00 4,069.00 Selling, General and Administrative- 3,574.00 3,145.00 2,646.00 Research and Development- 1,833.00 1,491.00 1,343.00 Unusual Expense/Income- -101.00 0.00 149.00 Total Operating Expense- 33,635.00 29,542.00 24,647.00 Operating Income- 2,305.00 1,994.00 -69.00 Interest Income Net- -779.00 -832.00 -593.00 Other Income Net- 91.00 -8.00 -3.00 Net Income Before Taxes- 1,617.00 1,154.00 -665.00 Provision for Income Taxes- 359.00 292.00 110.00 Net Income- 1,112.00 690.00 -870.00 Income Avail. to Common Excl. Extraord.- 1,112.00 690.00 -870.00 Income Avail. to Common Incl. Extraord.- 1,112.00 690.00 -870.00 Diluted Average Shares- 1,107.00 1,083.00 887.00 Diluted EPS Excl. Extraord.- 0.99232 0.63712 -0.98083 Diluted EPS Incl. Extraord.- 0.99232 0.63712 -0.9808 Insider Trading Relationship Date Transaction Cost #Shares Value ($) #Shares Total SEC Form 4 Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Jun 07 Sale 587.83 903 530,814 18,997 Jun 08 08:13 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Jun 07 Sale 587.84 1,813 1,065,747 19,681 Jun 08 08:26 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Jun 05 Option Exercise 0.00 1,786 0 19,900 Jun 08 08:13 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Jun 05 Option Exercise 0.00 3,668 0 21,494 Jun 08 08:26 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. May 27 Option Exercise 41.57 1,000 41,570 19,614 Jun 01 07:08 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. May 27 Sale 620.17 1,500 930,255 18,114 Jun 01 07:08 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer May 17 Sale 575.34 1,250 719,175 54,734 May 19 07:08 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Heavy Trucking May 10 Option Exercise 55.32 10,000 553,200 60,598 May 12 07:19 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Heavy Trucking May 10 Sale 644.06 10,000 6,440,627 50,598 May 12 07:19 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Apr 27 Option Exercise 41.57 1,000 41,570 20,114 Apr 29 08:20 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Apr 27 Sale 717.17 1,500 1,075,755 18,614 Apr 29 08:20 PM DENHOLM ROBYN M Director Apr 26 Option Exercise 52.38 62,500 3,273,750 67,500 Apr 28 09:41 PM DENHOLM ROBYN M Director Apr 26 Sale 740.97 62,500 46,310,388 5,000 Apr 28 09:41 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Apr 19 Sale 718.00 1,250 897,500 55,984 Apr 21 08:23 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Heavy Trucking Apr 12 Option Exercise 55.32 10,000 553,200 60,598 Apr 14 07:13 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Heavy Trucking Apr 12 Sale 697.87 10,000 6,978,659 50,598 Apr 14 07:13 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Apr 05 Option Exercise 54.67 4,090 223,586 22,279 Apr 07 08:04 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Apr 05 Sale 696.57 4,453 3,101,831 17,826 Apr 07 08:04 PM Musk Kimbal Director Apr 01 Option Exercise 74.17 12,000 890,040 611,740 Apr 05 07:51 PM Musk Kimbal Director Apr 01 Sale 675.85 12,000 8,110,149 599,740 Apr 05 07:51 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Mar 29 Option Exercise 41.57 1,000 41,570 20,614 Mar 31 07:59 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Mar 29 Sale 615.75 1,500 923,625 19,114 Mar 31 07:59 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Mar 17 Sale 655.81 1,250 819,762 57,234 Mar 19 07:20 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automative Mar 10 Option Exercise 55.32 10,000 553,200 60,598 Mar 11 07:32 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automative Mar 10 Sale 711.30 600 426,778 50,598 Mar 11 07:47 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automative Mar 10 Sale 681.20 8,900 6,062,696 51,198 Mar 11 07:32 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Mar 08 Sale 595.08 1,844 1,097,328 18,189 Mar 09 09:05 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Mar 08 Sale 595.08 2,818 1,676,935 58,484 Mar 09 07:33 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Mar 08 Sale 595.08 609 362,404 50,598 Mar 09 08:30 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Mar 08 Sale 595.08 897 533,787 19,614 Mar 09 08:36 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Mar 05 Option Exercise 0.00 1,785 0 20,511 Mar 09 08:36 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Mar 05 Option Exercise 0.00 1,211 0 51,207 Mar 09 08:30 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Mar 05 Option Exercise 0.00 6,295 0 61,302 Mar 09 07:33 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Mar 05 Option Exercise 0.00 3,667 0 20,033 Mar 09 09:05 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Mar 01 Option Exercise 41.57 1,000 41,570 20,226 Mar 03 08:20 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Mar 01 Sale 690.11 1,500 1,035,165 18,726 Mar 03 08:20 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Feb 17 Sale 778.17 1,250 972,712 55,007 Feb 19 08:28 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Feb 10 Option Exercise 51.64 4,000 206,560 23,226 Feb 12 09:10 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Feb 10 Option Exercise 55.32 10,000 553,200 59,959 Feb 12 07:55 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Feb 10 Sale 817.58 10,000 8,175,763 49,959 Feb 12 07:55 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Feb 10 Sale 807.88 4,000 3,231,540 19,226 Feb 12 09:10 PM Musk Kimbal Director Feb 09 Sale 852.12 30,000 25,563,510 599,740 Feb 10 08:20 PM Gracias Antonio J. Director Feb 09 Sale 846.59 150,747 127,621,080 2,545 Feb 10 07:53 PM Gracias Antonio J. Director Feb 08 Option Exercise 58.15 150,747 8,765,754 153,292 Feb 10 07:53 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Jan 27 Option Exercise 41.57 1,000 41,570 20,726 Jan 28 09:15 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Jan 27 Sale 870.35 1,500 1,305,525 19,226 Jan 28 09:15 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Jan 19 Sale 837.74 1,250 1,047,175 56,257 Jan 21 08:43 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automative Jan 11 Option Exercise 55.32 10,000 553,200 59,959 Jan 14 06:14 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automative Jan 11 Sale 833.75 10,000 8,337,533 49,959 Jan 14 07:30 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Jan 06 Option Exercise 54.67 4,100 224,139 20,778 Jan 08 09:56 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Jan 06 Sale 762.99 4,463 3,405,242 16,315 Jan 08 09:56 PM Wilson-Thompson Kathleen Director Dec 31 Option Exercise 44.95 13,885 624,131 15,685 Jan 05 08:49 PM Wilson-Thompson Kathleen Director Dec 31 Sale 697.57 13,885 9,685,703 1,800 Jan 05 08:49 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Dec 28 Option Exercise 41.57 1,000 41,570 21,226 Dec 30 08:58 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Dec 28 Sale 674.68 1,500 1,012,020 19,726 Dec 30 08:58 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Dec 17 Sale 628.59 1,250 785,738 57,507 Dec 21 09:12 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Dec 10 Option Exercise 55.32 10,000 553,200 59,959 Dec 14 08:05 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Dec 10 Sale 613.48 10,000 6,134,794 49,959 Dec 14 08:05 PM DENHOLM ROBYN M Director Dec 07 Option Exercise 51.99 43,610 2,267,284 48,610 Dec 09 09:36 PM DENHOLM ROBYN M Director Dec 07 Sale 609.55 43,610 26,582,465 5,000 Dec 09 09:36 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Dec 05 Option Exercise 0.00 6,296 0 61,920 Dec 08 07:53 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Dec 05 Option Exercise 0.00 1,211 0 50,568 Dec 08 09:40 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Dec 05 Option Exercise 0.00 3,667 0 18,521 Dec 08 08:30 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Dec 05 Option Exercise 0.00 1,786 0 21,123 Dec 08 08:57 PM Wilson-Thompson Kathleen Director Nov 30 Option Exercise 44.95 12,500 561,875 14,300 Dec 02 08:51 PM Gracias Antonio J. Director Nov 30 Buy 567.60 10 5,676 1,304,390 Apr 05 08:06 PM Wilson-Thompson Kathleen Director Nov 30 Sale 592.99 12,500 7,412,426 1,800 Dec 02 08:51 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Nov 17 Sale 460.26 1,250 575,325 55,624 Nov 19 08:23 PM DENHOLM ROBYN M Director Nov 16 Option Exercise 51.99 43,610 2,267,284 48,610 Nov 18 09:18 PM DENHOLM ROBYN M Director Nov 16 Sale 408. 01 43,610 17,793,506 5,000 Nov 18 09:18 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Nov 10 Option Exercise 48.39 600 29,034 20,437 Nov 12 09:13 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Nov 10 Sale 420.00 1,100 462,000 19,337 Nov 12 09:13 PM Wilson-Thompson Kathleen Director Oct 30 Option Exercise 44.95 12,500 561,875 14,300 Nov 03 08:56 PM Wilson-Thompson Kathleen Director Oct 30 Sale 399.99 12,500 4,999,815 1,800 Nov 03 08:56 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Oct 27 Option Exercise 5.69 10,000 56,900 66,874 Oct 29 08:38 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Oct 27 Option Exercise 48.39 10,000 483,900 29,837 Oct 29 09:17 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Oct 27 Sale 424.60 10,000 4,245,980 19,837 Oct 29 09:17 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Oct 27 Sale 427.13 10,000 4,271,350 56,874 Oct 29 08:38 PM Gracias Antonio J. Director Oct 27 Sale 424.41 155,000 65,784,227 2,545 Oct 28 08:37 PM DENHOLM ROBYN M Director Oct 26 Option Exercise 51.99 43,610 2,267,284 48,610 Oct 28 09:12 PM Gracias Antonio J. Director Oct 26 Option Exercise 50.54 155,000 7,833,300 157,545 Oct 28 08:37 PM DENHOLM ROBYN M Director Oct 26 Sale 417.98 43,610 18,228,306 5,000 Oct 28 09:12 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Oct 19 Sale 446.24 1,250 557,800 56,874 Oct 21 08:51 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Oct 12 Option Exercise 48.39 1,000 48,390 21,337 Oct 14 08:04 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Oct 12 Sale 442.00 1,500 663,000 19,837 Oct 14 08:04 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Oct 05 Option Exercise 54.67 4,105 224,416 19,203 Oct 07 08:26 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Oct 05 Sale 425.17 4,404 1,872,444 14,799 Oct 07 08:26 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Oct 01 Option Exercise 51.64 15,000 774,600 64,357 Oct 05 09:10 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Oct 01 Sale 442.43 15,000 6,636,511 49,357 Oct 05 09:10 PM Wilson-Thompson Kathleen Director Sep 30 Option Exercise 44.95 12,500 561,875 14,300 Oct 05 08:45 PM Wilson-Thompson Kathleen Director Sep 30 Sale 426.97 12,500 5,337,111 1,800 Oct 05 08:45 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Sep 17 Sale 416.15 1,250 520,188 58,124 Sep 18 08:16 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Sep 10 Option Exercise 48.39 1,000 48,390 21,837 Sep 14 08:26 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Sep 10 Sale 387.44 1,500 581,160 20,337 Sep 14 08:26 PM Taneja Vaibhav Chief Accounting Officer Sep 05 Option Exercise 0.00 3,666 0 17,324 Sep 09 08:07 PM Baglino Andrew D SVP Powertrain and Energy Eng. Sep 05 Option Exercise 0.00 1,784 0 21,894 Sep 09 07:48 PM Kirkhorn Zachary Chief Financial Officer Sep 05 Option Exercise 0.00 6,664 0 63,319 Sep 09 09:18 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Sep 05 Option Exercise 0.00 1,211 0 50,074 Sep 09 09:43 PM Musk Kimbal Director Sep 03 Option Exercise 74.17 20,375 1,511,214 638,240 Sep 03 09:26 PM Guillen Jerome M President, Automotive Sep 01 Option Exercise 51.64 15,000 774,600
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MavRich_Trading