Teslaanalysis
How Far shall we hold the short position of Tesla?Welcome Back to Tesla Chart.
We point out the possible take profit and the reversal zone of Tesla .inc
please read the chart carefully to implement the idea on your trade.
if you have any questions please feel free to comment below.
Thank you and trade safely.
TESLA ! ROCKET OR SUBMARINE ?! TESLA! Rocket or submarine. We must recognize that the evolution of the company last year, ignited a lot of imagination, and a lot of minds. Many fortunes were made and many were lost, in unnecessary shorts. Whether it was raining or windy, Tesla took off. The question is what's next ?! Well technically everything looks crystal clear, just news like today's about the stimulus, can shake the price for a few minutes more. But fundamental !? Well, it has 5 consecutive quarters on profit, ending the pandemic year with a 37% yoy increase in deliveries. And this in the year of the pandemic, I repeat, when we all stayed at home. Analysts see good reporting on Wednesday, and have a price target of $ 933. And basically the company looks good. But what we do to gentlemen is that everything that grows must decrease, that's how we know. Well, we'll see on Wednesday after closing. The thing is simple: it will be either a rocket or a submarine, but both nuclear, no doubt :)
TSLA. Don't exit your longs just yet!TSLA has reached the target we set last week, but that's not all. There are many factors that suggest we should not exit our longs, at least not completely. But before I list those factors, let me first clarify that I'm talking about leveraged longs, not stock. If you own shares in Tesla, then I would not advise selling them, even if the stock price went down 50%. I'm talking about your trading position, not your long-term investment.
Positive Indicators:
Price gapping up for the past two days is a strong signal for bullish momentum.
The shape of the last candle is bullish.
The candle body is fully above the major resistance trend line in black.
RSI still has more room to go up before it hits record high.
Despite negative indicators which I will list below, TSLA is one of the safest stocks to hold when the whole market is red.
Even though the entire market was struggling in the past two days, TSLA was going up very strongly, which suggests that if the market was doing well in general, we would've seen even more gains. This is a sign of strength and real demand.
Negative Indicators:
TD Sequential on the daily shows that the last candle is a green 9, which is a sign of reversal. The way to trade it is you take profit, and wait until you can identify the direction of the next momentum. However, historically, TSLA has not responded well to such reversal signals.
On the weekly, TD Sequential shows the last candle as a green 8, which means there is one more week to the bullish momentum to go before it is exhausted. The problem is we can't tell whether the 9 candle will be green or red. Combined with the daily signal, the way it could play out is that we get a red weekly candle that completes the 9 count.
We see general weakness in TVC:SPX and signs of the start of a bullish momentum in TVC:DXY . Now when DXY is going up, it means that the dollar is becoming more valuable, so people start cashing out of their positions, which affects the stock market negatively. However, like I said earlier, TSLA has proven to be one of the safest stocks to hold when fearing a market drop or correction.
The last candle stopped at exactly the crossing of two Fib lines that I drew a long time ago. One is horizontal, and the other is descending. So I feel like there are too many resistance points there.
The Trade:
In my chart, I have a big black thick broadening wedge.
I have a small ascending parallel channel that starts from Nov 2020 and has already been broken upwards.
I have a descending Fibonacci retracement just above the last candle. This line has not been tested so we cannot be confident that it will resist the price. I'm assuming that it will resist it, together with the broadening wedge.
I also assume that the top of the parallel channel can hold the price if it drops.
I'm also assuming that the bottom will come after four daily candles. That is the typical correction time expected after a TD sell setup completes on a 9 candle. The correction could finish sooner of course.
I picked my stop loss to be the bottom of the last full green candle. That is at $722.90, which also crosses the top of the parallel channel.
A lower stop loss is at the bottom of the parallel channel and is below all the gaps. If gap-filling OCD is your thing.
My target is the next descending Fib line, so it is around $1050.
I've drawn two paths that are conservative, in my opinion, on where price might be heading based on my trend lines.
Notice the similarity of this candle to Friday 10 July 2020. It was also a green 9. RSI was at a similar level. It was followed by a red candle, some sideways movement for a month, which calmed down the RSI, and then of course a new bullish momentum followed.
The conclusion is that even though a small pullback is expected, it will be very hard to trade, very hard to call the bottom of the swing, and it's a much better option to hold your longs, or simply move your stop loss higher; because after all, TSLA might just do what it's been doing for the past year, ignore all the reversal signals and gap up!
TESLA LONG position entry levels TSLATSLA stocks experienced a huge BULLish run. But be aware because we have a GAP at Tesla chart that should be closed. This could cause good possibilities for BUYERS. I still hope for a bigger correction.
Here you have entry levels to jump in:
$814
$780
$653
If TSLA stock breaks $900, then buy with pullback with $1000 target. Volumes are still solid.
Bearish divergence on TESLAThere is a bearish divergence between the price and RSI (as well as Stochastic, not on the chart). MACD has been in overbought territory for quite sometime now. This doesn't mean the price has to go down but since there are a few indicators pointing to a move down as well as the fact the price is now at the top of the channel, I would not be surprised if TESLA revisited the lower line of the current channel, around $670-$690. I sold some shares for a huge profit at $700 and $716 (bought at $422). If the price retraces to the lower line of the channel I will add more to my position. My strategy for TESLA is to hold shares for the long term and take advantage of the big swings to trade a few shares and keep some profits in my pocket.
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***THE IDEAS SHARED HERE ARE MY OPINION. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE TO PLACE TRADES. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND ANALYSIS BEFORE BUYING/SELLING STOCKS.***
Almost 30% Tesla correction Tesla has been in a steep uptrend since it broke out from the $500 zone at the end of November and price seemed to be overstretched at the moment. I think Tesla will hit between $710-$720 before finally triggering a huge selloff for a correction back to the $500 zone. Price is forming a rising wedge, showing bearish divergence, and it has yet to retest the $500 zone it was struggling to get past before late November. I would never sell Tesla but I'll definitely be looking for buys around that $500 zone that should become a new support.
US Stock In Play: $TSLA (Tesla Inc)$TSLA has recaptured its all time high (traded on 18th December 2020) at the close of this morning session at $696.60, an intraday gain of +4.32% This totals up a +56.02% rally since the breakout of its Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern. Price volatility of $TSLA has been picking since early December as Wall Street braced for the inception of $TSLA into S&P500 on 18th December, with the necessary funds (i.e Physical ETFs) adjustments to match the benchmark’s shakeup.
As current price volatility remains significant at a range of $34/day ATR-14, $TSLA has treaded into a month long consolidated Bearish Wedge chart pattern. The negation of this Bearish Wedge would require $TSLA to attain $720 level within the next 10 trading session.
Sorry Elon Musk! The BIG SHORT for Tesla? This analysis is based on Elliott Waves and fundamentals.
Have a small profit target or a break-even and let your profits run.
I have just three questions:
Tesla is one of the top biggest car companies in the world?
How many sales they have actually?
Is this an illusion?
For more information contact me on my website: vitezabraham.com
Best wishes,
Vitez
Ps.
Always do your own research before taking any trades and only risk what you can afford to lose.
MTF killer zoneThis MTF Killer Zone, its drawn when yesterday or the last period closes, it so powerful .
The way I use it is buying and selling as a support and resistance zone (but its not support and resistance analysis) or at a retest when it break, and if its not touched by the price today or in the current period ... than the zone will be still valid for any time in the near future (3 to 4 days or periods in this example).
You can use it as a target if you already have an open position in the market, or using a time frame for entry and another for target.
I can send for you on request different time frame the MTFkillerzone, such as weekly and monthly also good for yearly.
I recommend to use it only major pairs, also any other financial instrument ( Commodities , indices, bonds, and equities) .
Enjoy the setup please! :)