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Teslaanalysis

Tesla - It was a clear fakeout!NASDAQ:TSLA just confirmed a false breakout and is now reversing towards the downside. Being able to only read price action properly can already make you a profitable trader. Tesla was attempting a triangle breakout last month but closed with a significant bearish wick. Therefore this is considered a false breakout and Tesla will head lower over the next couple of weeks since it is still trading below the resistance trendline. This was just pure price action. Levels to watch: $160, $120 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by basictradingtv
2
Tesla (TSLA) VOL 2. | Retest After The Breakout!Hi, Some months ago I shared the Tesla idea, and it worked out perfectly! Now the second opportunity, we have seen that the price of Tesla has made a breakout from the trendline. It has seen quite a few attempts to break through it, all failed but not the last attempt, the last attempt was quite powerful and the retest area is also quite strong so these are the major reasons I would like to share this idea. Obviously, do your own work but if it is matching with mine then you are probably ready to go ;) Good luck, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VaidoVeek
TSLA Bearish Trend with Key LevelsTechnical Overview: - Support Levels: Immediate support at $164 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement). Further support around $100. - Resistance Levels: Primary resistance near $260 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement). - Moving Averages: The daily 50MA is currently above the price, indicating a bearish sentiment. - Volume Analysis: Volume is relatively stable, but a decrease could indicate further bearish movement. Outlook: Tesla is currently within a descending channel, showing bearish tendencies. A breakdown below the $164 support could target $100. Conclusion: NASDAQ:TSLA current bearish trend suggests a potential move down to $100, with key support at $164. Watch for volume changes and price action at these levels.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CryptoFallen
1
Tesla - Fakeout leading to a -50% drop?NASDAQ:TSLA is currently trading at a key inflection level, forming a trend for the next years. Within a couple of hours, an entire stock can reverse and fundamentally change its trend. Tesla is still retesting a multi-year resistance trendline and is down about -8% today. If this selloff continues and Tesla rejects the resistance trendline with a massive bearish wick, then we will most likely see a correction back to the lower support of the descending triangle pattern. Levels to watch: $240, $120 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by basictradingtv
15
TSLA | TESLA is OvervaluedTesla, Inc.'s second quarter earnings confirm our view that the stock is one of the most overvalued stocks in the market. Tesla's stock has been rising this year amid a sudden shift in overall market sentiment, with many investors now pricing in a soft-landing scenario after a brutal past year of Federal Reserve rate hikes. But the shift in market sentiment doesn't change the fact that Tesla's stock fundamentals are completely disconnected from reality. Tesla is a terribly overvalued stock that we think is worth closer to $26 per share instead of its current price of about $290 per share. While Tesla is profitable, its profits are nowhere near the levels needed to justify its current valuation. We recognize that Tesla's business generates an impressive return on invested capital (ROIC), which is a key measure of profitability, especially for an automaker. However, that ROIC is already declining in the trailing-twelve-month (TTM) period. Using our reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model, we find that for the stock to have any upside at current levels, Tesla must improve its ROIC to levels not achieved by even the most profitable businesses in the world . Figure 1 shows Tesla's historical ROIC along with the future ROIC implied by its current stock price. We provide the assumptions behind this DCF scenario later in this report. Tesla's latest earnings continue to show that it is not immune to competitive challenges and will likely see lower profitability in the future. But, its valuation implies the opposite. Any investor with fiduciary duties should be aware of the growing disconnect between Tesla's current fundamentals and the future fundamentals implied by its stock price. Even in an optimistic future cash flow scenario, shares could trade as low as $26/share. All the details are below. Supply Constrained Argument Is Gone: Bulls have long argued that demand for Tesla vehicles has always exceeded the supply of vehicles. However, Tesla's multiple price cuts in 2023, along with its lackluster production levels through the first half of 2023, raise questions about just how much demand there is for Tesla vehicles, especially amid competition from rivals Ford (F), General Motors (GM) and virtually every other automaker. Q2 2023 marks Tesla's fifth consecutive quarter in which vehicles produced were greater than vehicles delivered. Tesla is no longer selling every vehicle it can make. Should demand for EVs slow, Tesla could find itself with higher than wanted inventory levels, which could lead to further price cuts and additional pressure on already falling margins. Continued Cash Burn: Despite Tesla's top line growth, it continues to burn massive amounts of cash. Over the past five years, Tesla has burned a cumulative $4.2 billion in free cash flow (FCF), including $3.6 billion over the trailing-twelve months (TTM) alone. Tesla has generated negative FCF in all but one year (2019) of its existence as a public company. Margin Decline: Tesla's "GAAP gross margin" was 18.2% in 2Q23, down from 19.3% in 1Q23 and 25.0% in 2Q22. 2Q23's GAAP gross margin was below expectations of 18.7% and remains at its lowest level since 4Q20. Tesla's operating margin is also moving the wrong direction as it scales up. After selling 211 thousand more vehicles in 2Q23 compared to 2Q22, Tesla's reported operating margin fell 493 basis points YoY in 2Q23. Tesla noted in its press release that reduced average selling prices were one of the items that impacted margins in the quarter. We would expect Tesla's margins to fall further as competition limits pricing power across the industry. While Tesla has rapidly ramped up vehicle production and deliveries, its market share must increase almost exponentially to justify the expectations baked into its stock price. However, as it stands, Tesla holds a meager share of the global auto industry, and its share of the EV market ranks behind incumbents across Europe and China. In Europe, based on sales from May 2023, Tesla holds a 12% share of the EV market, much lower than VW Group (20%) and Stellantis (STLA) at (14%).In China, also based on sales from May 2023, Tesla holds 9% of the EV market compared to a staggering 38% share for top competitor BYD. Bulls have long argued that Tesla isn't just an automaker, but rather a technology company with multiple verticals such as insurance, solar power, housing, and, yes, robots. We've long refuted these bull dreams. Regardless of the promises of developing multiple business lines, Tesla's business remains concentrated in its auto segment. Auto revenue accounted for 86% of Tesla's TTM revenue as of 2Q23.Tesla can no longer enjoy its first mover advantage as many other major automakers are producing electric vehicles. These competitors have more experience in auto production and more resources and cash flow than Tesla to invest in the electric vehicle market. Tesla is at risk of losing market share to its competitors in the electric vehicle space and its stock price is currently not reflecting that, which is a major risk for investors. Since bottoming out at the beginning of the year, the stock has come up almost 200%, stopping just shy of $300. One could say the recent selloff is due to the earnings, but technical analysis would have suggested that a selloff was due even before the earnings. Firstly, we can see that a significant bearish divergence has been building in the RSI since June. Furthermore, we have been nearing an important area of trade as highlighted by the red rectangle. The $300 level has been a key area of trade, and you’d expect to see some resistance. So if a pullback has begun where can we expect it to end? As I see it, we have formed an initial ABC structure from the lows in wave 1 of a five-wave impulse. This means that wave ii could now take us down to the 61.8% retracement of this rally, which lands us at $198. We can see that this is also a very important area of support, as shown by the Visible Range Volume Profile. And, of course, we have the 200 day Moving Average offering support around this level, too.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by moonypto
Tesla - Finally exiting consolidation...NASDAQ:TSLA has been consolidating for four years and is ready for a (bullish) breakout. We have a beautiful repetition of cycles on Tesla: Long term consolidation followed by a qiuck and agressive move higher followed once again by a long term consolidation. Tesla entered such a consolidation about four years ago and is now simply ready for another bullish breakout and an agressive move higher. It is just a matter of time until the triangle pattern breaks... Levels to watch: $120, $220 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
28
Tesla Analysis!NASDAQ:TSLA Analysis on a Weekly Timeframe! Multiyear trendline breakout in Tesla! Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern formation at Support! Neckline breakout in Tesla! Of course we have missed the entry in a Tesla but take is as a learning. Where I have combined Multiyear Resistance trendline with Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern. So what we need to do is ,Identify the chart pattern on a longer timeframe and after that on the event of breakout need to come down to lower timeframe. As I marked all the levels on a weekly timeframe but we can enter in the stock on a Daily Timeframe. Disclaimer = Consider my analysis for Educational Purposes only. Before entering into any trade - 1) Educate Yourself 2) Do your research and analysis 3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio 4) Don't trade with full capital
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Avinash9087
Tesla - Breakout leading to four digits!NASDAQ:TSLA is attempting to break out of the long term descending triangle consolidation. If you cannot wait patiently for your textbook setups, there is no chance you will make money trading. For almost four years, Tesla has been consolidating in a huge triangle formation. And it seems like Tesla is finally breaking out towards the upside. This breakout was actually not unexpected at all and provides a very high probability trading opportunity in the near future. Levels to watch: $250 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
3
$TSLA #Tesla Inverse Head & ShouldersNASDAQ:TSLA #Tesla Inverse Head & Shoulders The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is a popular technical analysis indicator used to predict a reversal in a downtrend. Here's a description: ### Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that often marks the end of a downtrend and the beginning of an uptrend. It consists of three main components: two shoulders and a head, formed by three successive troughs with the middle trough (head) being the deepest. #### Key Features: 1. **Left Shoulder:** - The price declines to a new low and then rises to form a peak. 2. **Head:** - The price falls again, creating an even lower trough (the head), and then rises once more. 3. **Right Shoulder:** - The price declines for a third time but does not fall as low as the head, forming the right shoulder, before rising again. 4. **Neckline:** - A horizontal or slightly upward-sloping line drawn through the peaks between the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder. This line acts as a resistance level. #### Trading the Pattern: - **Identification:** - Look for a clear formation of the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder during a downtrend. - **Neckline Break:** - The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks above the neckline. This breakout signals a potential reversal and is considered a buying opportunity. - **Volume:** - Volume typically decreases as the pattern forms and then increases on the breakout above the neckline, adding validity to the reversal. #### Measuring the Target: - **Price Target:** - The projected price target is typically calculated by measuring the distance from the bottom of the head to the neckline and then adding this distance to the breakout point at the neckline. #### Example: If the bottom of the head is at $50, the neckline is at $60, the difference is $10. If the price breaks the neckline at $60, the target price would be $70 ($60 + $10). ### Summary The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is a reliable indicator used by traders to identify potential reversals from bearish to bullish trends. When identified correctly, it provides a clear signal to enter long positions, aiming for the measured target based on the pattern's structure.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AlgoTradeAlert
5
Chapter 10 | Tesla Bankruptcy Update - Next Stop: Ch. 11I first identified the Tesla short in April 2022 (linked to this post). Since then we have seen a -75% selloff, followed by a ferocious BAILOUT in January 2023, only to be left for dead at -55% from ATH. Although the Elon-EV cult remains in utter denial, the facts are the facts. Electric vehicles, car vending machines, "the future", robots, aliens, crypto trucks, crypto wallets, crypto dipto, whatever other narratives correlate, are all done. Over. ... wait a minute.. wait a minute.. Am I suggesting that Tesla was actually "bailed out". Yes. Think about it. This cult has become so far-reaching that people were allocating significant portions of their retirement into the Tesla #EV #cult #fantasy... that's a problem. So the company was bailed out in January 2023, some time was "bought", and now here we are. Going nowhere 🤣, as the market enters yet another correction / selloff phase. Only this time, there won't be a multi-trillion dollar stimmy-bailout. Ya'll, this market is SATURATED with fraud and tall tales. Example: Tesla is valued higher than the "Big 3" combined. But Tesla 🤣 has less than 6% of the automotive market share. Think about that. This is a level of speculation that makes 1929 look like a game of Candyland... all thanks to podcasts and social media.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ChiefMacro
Can Humanoid Robots Propel Tesla to a $25 Trillion Market Cap?Elon Musk's Optimus Gambit: Can Humanoid Robots Propel Tesla to a $25 Trillion Market Cap? Elon Musk, the ever-optimistic CEO of Tesla, sent shockwaves through the financial world at the company's 2024 annual shareholder meeting. He claimed that Tesla's humanoid robots, codenamed Optimus, have the potential to skyrocket the company's market capitalization to a staggering $25 trillion – a figure exceeding half the current value of the entire S&P 500! This ambitious statement has ignited a firestorm of debate, with analysts and investors left to ponder the feasibility of Musk's vision. Tesla's current market cap sits around $580 billion, a significant achievement but a far cry from Musk's $25 trillion target. To reach that level, Tesla's stock price would need to undergo a monumental increase. For context, the entire S&P 500, a collection of the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the US, boasts a market cap of $45.5 trillion. For a single company to surpass half that value signifies a monumental shift in the technological and economic landscape. Musk's optimism hinges on the capabilities of Optimus robots. These machines, still under development, are envisioned as general-purpose humanoid robots capable of a wide range of tasks. At the shareholder meeting, Musk offered glimpses of a future where Optimus robots seamlessly integrate into human lives, performing everything from domestic chores and factory work to potentially even childcare and education. If Tesla can deliver on these promises, the ramifications could be immense. Imagine a world where tireless robots handle repetitive and potentially dangerous tasks, freeing up human labor for more creative and strategic endeavors. Manufacturing could be revolutionized, with robots handling intricate assembly lines with unmatched precision and efficiency. The potential economic benefits are undeniable, and this is likely the vision that fuels Musk's bullish prediction. However, skepticism abounds. Critics point to the numerous hurdles Tesla needs to overcome before Optimus can become a reality. Developing truly versatile and capable humanoid robots remains a significant technological challenge. The cost of production, the robots' safety and reliability, and the impact on human employment are all significant concerns that need to be addressed. Furthermore, some analysts argue that Musk's $25 trillion target is simply unrealistic. While Optimus robots hold promise, it's difficult to envision a scenario where they single-handedly propel Tesla to such an unprecedented valuation. The overall market size for humanoid robots and the timeline for widespread adoption are significant uncertainties. Despite the skepticism, Musk's vision should not be entirely dismissed. Tesla has a history of disrupting industries, and its track record in electric vehicles and autonomous driving is undeniable. If Optimus lives up to its potential, it could become a game-changer, not just for Tesla, but for society as a whole. The coming years will be crucial in determining the fate of Musk's audacious claim. Tesla will need to demonstrate significant progress on the Optimus project, effectively navigate the technical and ethical challenges, and convince investors of the robots' transformative potential. Whether Optimus becomes the key to a $25 trillion Tesla or remains an ambitious dream is a story that will continue to unfold.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by bryandowningqln
Tesla - Indecision with the triangleNASDAQ:TSLA has been consolidating for almost 4 years and is definitely ready for a breakout! +3.300% was the previous rally on Tesla which started back in 2019. But at the moment Tesla is not looking bullish whatsoever, considering that Tesla is trading at the same level as it was about four years ago. However, there is a long term descending triangle formation forming and therefore it is quite likely that we will (soon) see a breakout, either towards the upside or towards the downside. Levels to watch: $210, $120 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
11
⚠️Tesla is not bullish now ⚠️☝️The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌 ☝️ALL videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Yelli_trades
8
Musk Prioritizes Other Ventures Over TeslaMusk Prioritizes Other Ventures Over Tesla: AI Chips Diverted to X and xAI A recent leak from internal Nvidia emails obtained by CNBC has raised questions about Elon Musk's leadership of Tesla. The emails reportedly show Musk directing the chipmaker to prioritize shipments of thousands of artificial intelligence (AI) processors originally reserved for Tesla to two of his other companies, X and xAI. This move has caused delays in Tesla's receipt of these crucial components, potentially impacting the company's AI development goals. This news comes amidst Musk's ambitious push to establish Tesla as a leader in the AI and robotics space. Tesla has significantly increased its purchases of Nvidia's flagship AI chip, the H100, aiming to grow its active chip count from 35,000 to 85,000 by the end of 2 024. To support this growth, Tesla reportedly allocated a significant portion of its budget to AI training and inference, estimated at $10 billion for the year. Diverting these chips to X and xAI throws a wrench into Tesla's plans. The delay in receiving over $500 million worth of processors could potentially slow down Tesla's AI development initiatives. This raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and the prioritization of Musk's various ventures. Here's a deeper dive into the implications of this situation: • Impact on Tesla's AI Development: The delayed arrival of AI chips could hinder Tesla's progress in areas like autonomous driving and other AI-powered features planned for its vehicles. This could lead to delays in the rollout of new features or impact the performance of existing ones. • Investor Confidence: Tesla's investors might be wary of Musk's leadership if they perceive a lack of focus on Tesla's core business. Diverting resources to other ventures could raise questions about his commitment to Tesla's success. • Conflict of Interest: Some may question the ethical implications of a CEO prioritizing chip allocation for his other companies over the one he leads. This could raise concerns about Musk's use of his position for personal gain. • Transparency and Communication: The lack of transparency surrounding the chip allocation decision could further erode investor confidence. Tesla shareholders deserve clear communication regarding the rationale behind this move. While the exact purpose of X and xAI remains unclear, some speculate these companies might be involved in ventures related to Neuralink, another of Musk's ventures focused on brain-computer interfaces. The situation warrants further investigation. Here are some key questions that need answers: • Justification for Chip Diversion: What is the rationale behind prioritizing X and xAI over Tesla for these crucial AI chips? • Impact on Tesla's Roadmap: How will the delay in receiving the chips affect Tesla's AI development roadmap and the rollout of new features? • Disclosure and Transparency: Were Tesla shareholders made aware of the potential delays caused by chip allocation to other companies? Only time will tell how this situation unfolds. However, one thing is clear: the decision to divert AI chips away from Tesla has raised serious concerns that demand proper explanation and a commitment to Tesla's continued success in the AI race.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
Elon Musk Faces $7.5B Insider Trading Allegation From Tesla SharTesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) CEO Elon Musk has been accused of insider trading after selling shares worth over $7.5 billion in the last two months of 2022. The lawsuit, filed by shareholder Michael Perry in the Delaware Chancery Court, claims that Musk sold a total of over $7.5 billion worth of Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) shares in late 2022 before the disclosure of disappointing fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers. Perry alleges that Musk, using his access to real-time data, was aware of the lower-than-expected numbers when he sold shares worth $3.95 billion in November 2022 and $3.58 billion in December 2022. Tesla's stock ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) fell to $108.10 on January 3, down from the $123.18 it closed on December 30, and the lawsuit pegged Musk's "insider profits" for the aforementioned share sales at about $3 billion. The lawsuit also accuses then-Tesla directors of breach of fiduciary duty of loyalty for allowing Musk's sales and is seeking a directive from the court that all profits obtained from these share sales be returned. The lawsuit is the latest of legal hurdles for the EV giant, as Musk's 2018 pay package, worth $56 billion at the time of award, was rescinded by a Delaware court earlier this year. Tesla's board is trying to have it reinstated by a shareholder vote again in June. Tesla stock ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) closed Friday's trading session down 0.4% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 52.21 which is moderate. Tesla is in a consolidation zone for the past 3 weeks.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by DEXWireNews
Tesla - Triangle and -33% drop!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Tesla . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: With Tesla stock breaking above previous resistance in 2019 and coming back to retest it in 2020, this stock then took off and created one of the most insane rallies which I have ever seen. At the moment though, Tesla is consolidating in a descending triangle formation and there is a high chance that Tesla will again come back to retest the lower support at $110 for a third time. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by basictradingtv
8