Teslaanalysis
BUY THE TESLA DIP TO $900
For those of you who don't know, I shorted Tesla at $950 and am holding it for a swing trade. I'm currently ~30% in profit in a few days.
However, this looks primed to go up and fill the gap above at $900. At this point, it is too soon to tell if we go higher than $900 (green line) and make new highs but I want to be hedged against my position in case we blast off.
The plan:
- Shorted $TSLA at $950
- Long $750 (hedge)
- Take 50% profit at $900
- Let the rest ride until rejection
I've always stated I don't rule out the possibility of Tesla at $1,000+ in the short term. But I will be adding short anywhere above $1,000 and holding it for a long term trade. For now, buy the dip!
For those of you don't follow me on social media and missed my original short call, check it out below!
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Let's review #EngineeringRobo's $TSLA performance since 2019 together.
EngineeringRobo 1 gave" Sell 1 " at $308 , it closed at $225 as a "Buy 1 " ( You made 25% profit or saving )
EngineeringRobo 2 gave " Sell 2" at $300, it closed at $245 as a " Buy 2 " ( You made 15% profit or saving )
EngineeringRobo 3 gave " Buy 3" at $341, #Tesla shares are at $971 right now ( Over 130% profit and continue ) " You can easily take profit here"
Ang goes on....
Buy 1 generated in July,2019 at $225, The signal is still continue (Over 300% profit and continue ) " You can easily take profit here"
Buy 2 generated in July, 2019 at $245 , The signal turned to Sell 2 in Aug , 2019 at $2220 ( You made 10% loss here )
EngineeringRobo 2 felt its mistake and gave "Buy 2" signal in Oct, 2019 at $315 (Over 200% profit and continue ) " You can easily take profit here"
EngineeringRobo's #TSLA performance since 2019 ;
🌝 25% profit
🌝 15% profit
🌝 Over 130% profit and continue
🌝 Over 300% profit and continue
🌚 10% loss
🌝 Over 200% profit and continue
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ridethepig | The Tesla BubbleIt's really difficult to find any Tesla charts here lately ... maybe you guys can post some in the comments (:
Tesla adding another $20bn in market cap alone this morning...all perfectly normal valuation growth... right. I suggest selling TSLA on the open and expecting a -25% move to the downside. Lack of sizings against the bullish flow is allowing the short-squeeze to continue. Capitulation was the catalyst to go actively short, and in hindsight see how we were jumping the gun earlier into the move. TSLA will obviously benefit from the transition away from an oil driven economy, though this move does not reflect normality.
The risk-off sentiment led to a significant divergence in the surface and inversion in short-interest structure. Initially I am going to run the trade dynamically to position for both a continuation and reversal (in simple words hedging) and then when the trade starts working we can go massive on sizings !
Ahead of the technical resistance at 900, I evaluate the balance sheet path's under different assumptions for the demand. I continue to suggest the metrics are overstretched on both deliverables and PPE spending. In my models, stock is fairly valued at +/- 250.xx but with initial targets (can't believe I am saying this) of 650 and 550. If we get enough interest in the comments we can explore TSLA's financial status and short-interest resilience to date.
As usual thanks for keeping the likes, comments and etc coming!
$TSLA Elon Musk Calls in Tesla Fanboys Like Aquaman!Tesla saw a big gap down this morning from $518 to $494, followed immediately by a huge spring shortly after open in the first 5 minutes that saw the stock rebound to $509.50 on strong volume. So what's driving this:
#1) Tesla Fanboys (AKA Bulls) - there are a ton of diehard tesla bulls out there, and after the stock rose to $550 earlier this week, anyone that missed the jump was waiting for a great entry.
#2) Morgan Stanley's 'Downgrade' - there's no question analysts can move markets, so what's with the timing of this downgrade with earnings just around the corner?? Answer: The ASTOUNDING Number of Naked Puts out there.
#3) Tesla Haters (AKA Bears) - you don't see a huge price jump like TSLA's without haters jumping on the bear bandwagon. The problem is, with a stock price > $500, you can't do a whole lot of hating by shorting a block of shares - but you CAN buy NAKED PUT OPTIONS on margin. And that's where the problem lies...
At the present time (10:30a Thu), there are more than 48 THOUSAND OPEN PUTS between $500 and $525, and another 14 THOUSAND OPEN PUTS between $500-$490. When these put options are purchased, the investor's broker shorts the shares on the sellers behalf - usually on margin. When there are this many put options out there that expire in less than 2 days, we can start to see margin calls from brokers on any move up.
Thus, bears start devouring bears. Margin calls force investors out of put positions, forcing them to BUY the stock when they close their put position. Momentum to the upside shocks other bears, and any increase in price brings more and more buyers who cover their positions. That's one of the big reasons TSLA shot from $492.17 (intraday low) to $509.42 - a span of $17.25....in THREE MINUTES. The people at Morgan Stanley know this, and also encourage the sell off by the bears while undoubtedly holding their long positions - basically turning on a giant vacuum and sucking up all the option premiums on the short side from thousands of bears that can't afford to short the stock itself at $500/share.
Bottom line, there's a huge number of puts still on the books at the 510 level (8k w/ volume of only 3k). We usually see volume inline w/ open interest on the last 2 days before an option expires or is exercised. Expect TSLA to slowly trend up the rest of the day, some 'analyst' to come along and reaffirm their faith in TSLA, and the stock price to easily fill the gap and open tomorrow right around that $518 level it gap'd down from (likely followed by another run up to the $530-540 range).
TSLA Overheating !!TSLA overheating and valuations are currently stretched for even the most optimistic assumptions. Based on current valuations at $490, Tesla would need to be delivering 1,300,000 cars within the next 5 years. In my models, stock is fairly valued at +/- 280 but with an initial target of 360.
On technical side at the top here you will notice exhaustion as predicted deliveries enter into "overpromised" territory. Of course the usual crowd will defend with China plant opening and unicorns expected. Based on current expectations, TSLA will need to deliver almost 475k cars this year and with demand starting to cough via late cycle fears this is looking doubtful to say the least.
Flow wise, actively selling 490 overshoots with initial targets at 360 followed by 280 extensions. While to the topside, invalidation and reassessment necessary at 525. Tracking closely delivery numbers for 2020 but with the boat fully loaded on one side and short interest as a percentage of float still below 20% it is a screaming sell.
Good luck all those on the sell-side in TSLA over the coming sessions.
Tesla bearish dog pattern formationA rare YET powerful formation has formed, technical analysis is not a science but and art...thus you get this. Markets evolve and our perception must evolve as well thats why some may think this looks like a dinosaur. Updates to come-
“Elon, you are so kind. Thank you for being an inspiration. And thank you for being kind to me,”-“I owe you a lot — my life. Thank you. And I will always believe in the good. It’s who I am. Thank you.”-some randowm tweet
TESLA MANIPULATIONHello Traders.
Stochastic RSI is sky high.
Would like to bring to your alert that Tesla is a "Castle in the Sky".
I have done the fundamental analysis on Google and bring to you a message.
Facebook and Google are both funneling money into Tesla.
Tesla is the last castle in the sky for the "New World Order".
Apparently, Elon knew the whole time. This was an Irish pyramid scheme.
Apple is in on it too even.
If you watch the MACD Moving Time Frame (composite moving average) signals on the third chart from the top, we see a sky high signal line with oscillation between buy and sell.
Why?
They're faking out the day traders.
Rise. Destroy Tesla. They "cannot" crash? They are. The one castle in the Sky.
Exposed.
Wait for the South Korean whales to move first.
Britain should be in on this too.
- dysonring2050
Tesla Broadening Ascending WedgeHello Traders,
I am looking at Tesla just from a TA chart perspective here.
As you can see price is inside a broadening ascending wedge. Price was caught by the monthly 100 MA at the bottom of my wave 4. I am expecting resistance in the area marked with a possible fake out / throw over.
The bearish divergence on the monthly RSI doesn't look great.