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Teslaanalysis

Tesla - Confirmed BreakdownHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Tesla. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than three years, Tesla stock has been trading in a bullish flag formation. Two months ago Tesla once again retested the upper resistance trendline and failed to break out towards the upside. There are two major support levels below current market price which I do expect Tesla to retest. Then you can absolutely consider long setups again on Tesla stock. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
9
Tesla is looking very bad. 150 is my targetIn mid-December of last year, NASDAQ:TSLA broke above the falling trend line. At that point, I predicted a continuation upward to the next resistance level at 300. However, after initially rising to 263, the price began to reverse and what initially appeared to be a resumption of the upward trend turned out to be a major false break. In January, despite prevailing optimism in the stock market, Tesla's price trajectory remained bearish, diverging from broader market trends. Moving closer to recent days, the 200 support level was broken with a gap, signaling another major bearish sign. Currently, the gap has been filled, and Tesla is testing this support level as new resistance. Considering the imminent correction for US indices, we may witness a significant drop in Tesla's case. I anticipate a target of 150 for this drop, although, to be honest, the 100 zone is not out of the question.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Tesla - Go Long NowHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Tesla. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: After the massive triangle breakout in 2020 and a rally of +1.500%, Tesla has been moving sideways for over two years now. Tesla stock is currently creating a triangle formation as well as a flag pattern. I am personally waiting for a clearer setup on Tesla before I will take longs - either a triangle breakout or a retest of the lower support of the flag mentioned in the analysis. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
23
Tesla - Is It A FakeoutHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Tesla. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: After Tesla broke out of a long term triangle formation in 2019 we saw a pump of +1.500% towards the upside. Tesla is currently once again forming a (bullish) triangle pattern but broke short term support towards the downside. If we see a retest of the bottom of the triangle which I mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for longs to capitalize on a potential bullish rejection. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
3
Tesla can't catch a break (light?)! My thoughts on Week of 2/6Just when we thought TSLA was headed for a rebound, we were caught in a series of news that wasn't too hot for our favorite automaker: Everything from brake light recalls to billion dollar compensations rejected. In this Idea, I will detail my thoughts of the week, news that affected the stock, and my analysis for next week. 1/29 LAST WEEK: The graph shows we've been on a downward channel for TSLA price action. Our purple line within the channel was our expectation from prior to last week (From Idea: ). What I was not expecting was a continuous downtrend after Wednesday. Affecting news for this downtrend were: Fed rate decision (priced in), and ruled out March rate cut. Musk and $55 billion pay package Possible relocation to another state because of above Tesla dropped from "Magnificent Seven" At a point on Friday, TSLA completely decoupled from SPY price action: While SPY was up 1% hitting another record high, TSLA was punished at -3%, until making a quick recovery to the top of the channel at the 0.5 fib mark at $187.90. 2/6 and on: News, fed meetings, and price action/options flow lead me to believe we will have another choppy week. 2.2 Million vehicle recall on warning lights that are too small. (Doesn't seem like a big deal, but the word "recall" scares investors. ) Over 2400 Steering Complaints Escalated to investigation. (Yahoo Finance) Tesla settles $1.5 million CA hazardous waste lawsuit (Yahoo Finance) I also think that the Tesla relocation to Texas would be bearish due to the amount of work and opportunity cost associated to relocating. With the laundry list of bad news, I don't think we will break for lower lows this week. I think we may have a sharp dip early in the week to the 0.236 fib line of $184. Throughout the week, we have several traditionally hawkish fed members speaking. Investors on the other hand seem poised with a bullish sentiment: Options expiring 2/6 (per Barchart) Put/Call Volume Ratio: 0.79 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio: 0.69 With the average call strike price sitting around $192, average put price sitting around $181. The orange line shows my prediction to the price action based off all the above: An early dip (potential retest to $180), followed by breaking the channel sometime middle of the week, chopping through the rest of the week and ending on a higher note. I will update with any news that I think may be relevant to TSLA.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by valentine_j_
2
TESLA - MUSK LATE TO THE PARTY? HE IS THE PARTY! (TARGET $315)If I had to describe this analysis in one sentence, here's what I'd say: the lower the better. In the current climate, Tesla's stock might seem volatile due to the challenges it faces, including production hurdles and market competition. However, it's essential to look beyond these short-term obstacles and recognize the underlying strengths and strategic advantages Tesla holds. This isn't just about being bullish on Tesla without reason; it's about recognizing the company's potential to overcome current challenges and continue leading the EV revolution. As always, it's crucial to balance optimism with due diligence and consider Tesla's position within a diversified investment portfolio. So what's on the chart? (follow the steps) 1. Liquidity Zone as a Bull Target: The liquidity zone is acting as a magnet for bulls right now. It's an area where we often see a concentration of trading activity, making it a prime target for those looking to capitalize on upward movements. This zone indicates strong interest and potential for price support, making it an attractive entry point. 2. Weekly FVG for Long-Term Entry: The Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the weekly chart is particularly noteworthy. Historically, these gaps have served as solid foundations for bullish accumulation, often marking the beginning of significant upward trends. The way the price has previously lifted off from such an area suggests it's a credible entry point for long-term investors. 3. Current Nesting in Weekly FVG: Interestingly, the price is currently sitting in another weekly FVG, which could indicate a consolidation phase before the next move up. This nesting phase is crucial as it could provide a stable base from which the price might springboard. 4. Weekly Flag Pattern: While I typically don't trade based on flag patterns, it's hard to ignore the large weekly flag formation here. Even if one doesn't trade these patterns directly, they offer a good visual representation of the current price movement and the potential continuation of the trend. 5. Reaction to CPI Data and FED Rates: The upcoming CPI data will be pivotal, especially with the Federal Reserve's current hesitation to cut rates in March. A large leg down into the FVG could potentially mark the bottom, but much depends on how the CPI data plays out, influencing the Fed's stance on interest rates. 6. Second Potential Long-Term Entry: Given the rough patch and the potential bottom formation, there's a second viable entry point for long-term believers in Tesla. The key is to get in before the tide turns too positively, as waiting for good news could mean missing out on significant gains, much like what happened with Meta's 20% surge post-news. 7. Targeting Premium Areas from Discounted Entries: The strategy here is to buy at a discount with the aim of moving towards a premium. This means entering the market at current levels, which are perceived as undervalued, and holding with a view toward future gains as the market re-evaluates Tesla's worth. In essence, for those who believe in Tesla's fundamentals and long-term prospects, the current market conditions present a series of strategic entry points. As always, I hope you appreciate the work put in and have a great Sunday! ;)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Lexi_Is_Trading
TESLA: 2-Hour Order Block Support - Green Close Expected! 📈🟢Explore the potential of Tesla stock on a 2-hour timeframe, where it might find support at an order block, signaling an upside move. There's optimism for a green close today, adding an exciting element to the market dynamics. Trading decisions should align with thorough research, and market conditions can change rapidly. Keep an eye on Tesla's 2-hour chart for potential opportunities and adapt your strategy accordingly. Note: We are not responsible for any profit or loss resulting from trading decisions. Trade responsibly and consider consulting a financial advisor. Dive into the Tesla market, navigate the charts, and stay informed with this analysis. 🚗💹 #TESLA #StockAnalysis #UpsidePotential #GreenCloseExpected
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by NEOALGO_PRO
Massive Recovery 1/29 and thoughts for TSLA through WeekA huge surprise with a massive recovery today, ending the day with a cup-handle formation, and there is plenty of upside left for TSLA. We may even potentially close up the gap to $208; but I believe it is dependent on a few factors. Here are my thoughts on price action for TSLA this week: Possibility #1: Run up to 0.5 Fib level $195.41 Tuesday. (Orange arrow) With major earnings coming (such as MSFT/GOOG on Tuesday) I expect the entire market to go up in anticipation to positive earnings. Since TSLA just bounced off a major support of $180, TSLA is a candidate to move faster than the market (such as today with a 4.3% run vs the S&P500 under 1%.) We may also have a run up compounded with an anticipation to positive news from Wednesday's FOMC meeting (buy the rumor sell the news.) If given positive news (anything not already priced in) we may even have a run up to closing the gap at $208 later in the week. Possibility #2: Choppy trading through Tuesday until FOMC (purple line) for the following reasons: Per Yahoo Finance: "Markets see rates unchanged in January and Predict 48% probability of a rate cut at the next meeting in March." If some expectation is priced in, we may have a low volume day until further confirmation. Since we just hit ATH on S&P500, investors may be more reluctant in trading and we go side ways until the FOMC meeting. If nothing major comes from the FOMC meeting, we may have continued sideways trading for the rest of the week, bouncing off $188. I believe possibility 2 is a bit more likely, but not much more than possibility 1. Coming off a recent ATH on S&P500 we may see a retracement overall tomorrow, but options flow on TSLA indicate to me that we are bullish for the week. There is a strong possibility that the market has already priced in rate cuts, so this may lead to a sell the news scenario (we may bounce down to $185-$190 before moving to the next level.) As of writing, options expiring 1/30 on SPY put/call volume ratio sits at 1.18, open interest ratio at 1.47. (Figures from Barchart) TSLA options expiring 2/2 have volume put/call ratios at 0.87, open interest ratio at 0.74. (Figures from Barchart) S&P Futures at -0.025% in the PM. 1/29. In the news: First Neuralink chip has been implanted for the first time. (This may bring positive views on Elon and by proxy to TSLA.) Capital Expenditure of Tesla may decrease from $10 Billion from current fiscal year to $8-10 Billion by fiscal 2025 and 2026 (per Yahoo Finance.) Two Tesla executives to sell stock, up to 281,116 and 115,500 respective shares (per Yahoo Finance.) Lastly, my own plan: I may or may not take a position depending how we open in the AM. From the graph, the lines you see to the left of the cup-handle were my previous possibilities I set up from last week. Friday, I was expecting TSLA to retest it's lows and I took some put positions through the weekend. (See ) Sold them immediately in the AM today when a strong bull signal was built, and went calls on SPY (should have gone calls on TSLA instead with that massive recovery, but hindsight is 20/20) I don't plan on holding anything through FOMC for personal risk tolerance reasons. I am a bit reluctant because TSLA has the potential to swing hard, so I may have relatively small positions. This week will be crucial for knowing if we will try for breaking through the upper channel at $240 in the medium to long term (see: ) -OR- we bounce back down to $180. Those are all my thoughts, I'll update this if I see any interesting news that I find relevant to TSLA this week.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by valentine_j_
2
1/25 Massive Tesla Red Day Recap and 1/26 Prediction From DataAfter today's price action, it is clear that investors are at disarray and uncertain for the future of Tesla. Here I will detail my analysis of today 1/25, and my predictions for tomorrow 1/26. In the graph, I plotted three possibilities pre-market 1/25 (from previous Idea, "Looking at Possible Dead Cat Bounce Levels"): Purple line-arrow (Most optimistic): A bounce of it's low and decay to $188-$190. Yellow line: Bounce off 0.618 fib line and decay to $185-$186. Red line (least optimistic): Minimal bounce, straight to $180. It looks like we went worst case scenario, hitting my $180 target faster than I expected. This confirms investor sentiment; at least until we get some good news from Tesla and guidance. For tomorrow's price action, I also have three possibilities in mind, so I will look at previous price movements in similar scenarios, as well as use what we know after today to get an some possibilities. During the last two (Q2, Q3) quarterly earnings, Tesla stock continued dropping for the two subsequent days. Q2: An additional 2.75% down from previous close. Q3: An additional 4.3% down from previous close. Today's event seems different, where the 12%-15% dip that Q2 and Q3 earnings experienced over multiple days seem to have happened in one day. I'll list the possibilities by what I believe is least probable to most probable: Blue line: bounce of $180 support and rise to $186-$188 range. I call this less probable because an increase on the day after a dip after earnings is odd (compared to Q2 and Q3 earnings.) Not impossible though, in the case that today's dip was an over exaggeration and a bulk of investors remain optimistic. (Buyers sitting on the sidelines?) Yellow line: Bounce between channel $180 - 183.50. I think this is a bit more possible because investors may be sitting in indecision, hoping to wait it out until more news is revealed (low volume perhaps?) Pink line: Dip below $180 to next fib line $176, and possibly lower. I personally think this is more likely, because it will be line with Q2 and Q3 instances (a dip of 4% from today.) Investors may begin thinking about opportunity cost in holding a stock with no guidance, expectations not met. Investors are in Tesla not because it is a value stock, but because it's a growth stock, and if there is no exciting growth, they may start looking to sell off for competitors that are showing the 100%+ quarterly growth in EV sales. I may revisit a long term analysis of the stock in the future, but for now, those are all my thoughts for tomorrow.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by valentine_j_
4
TESLA - IF THE SHOW MUST GO ON, IT IS NOW! (TARGET $315)The markets are starting strong this year except for one late bloomer: TESLA! But I thinks it is time for Musk's prodigy to go fourth to new heights. Here's my perspective on things: What is on the chart? 1) An attractive liquidity level that will be our swing target of $315 (oh no spoiler alert). 2) We have not only a bullish gap but also a bullish weekly FVG that accompanied the break of structure (high taken out that shifted the market structure from bearish to bullish). 3) Huge accumulation structure which clearly to me is bullish but who knows maybe a Cybertruck will drive into a playground (jk). 4) This is the biggest driver (vroom vroom) of this analysis. A huge weekly wick in a weekly bullish GAP. What else do you want? 5) Our last chance to enter. If we're bullish, this is where you want to enter. Price is giving you a gift. Take it. 6) This would mark the continuation of the bullish price action. A higher high is often under looked and can provide enough info for a strong reliable bias. 7) This is our primary target. Nothing else to say here. As always, happy trading and enjoy your weekend!! ;)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Lexi_Is_Trading
13
Tesla - Make It Or Break ItHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Tesla. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: In 2020 we saw a major triangle breakout on Tesla which was followed by an incredible pump of +1.500%. Since 2021 Tesla has been again trading in a triangle pattern with support at the $120 level and at the $200 level. If Tesla breaks above the trendline mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for long setups. But Tesla could still also break below the $200 support area. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
11
TSLA Stock going upDespite Tesla (TSLA) hitting the resistance level at $208, my analysis suggests the stock won't break through this barrier just yet. However, I'm optimistic about its trajectory. The resistance has tested the stock's resilience, and it's holding steady, indicating a solid foundation. The current market dynamics, combined with Tesla's robust fundamentals, lead me to believe we're on the cusp of an uptrend. While it's essential to approach with caution, given the resistance hurdle, the indicators I'm observing support a positive outlook for TSLA's near future.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by kao_la