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Teslaanalysis

🚀Achieving a 608% Return in 1.5 Years with Tesla🎉Strategic Accumulation and Staggered Profit Realization: A Tesla Inc. Trading Blueprint As we navigate through the dynamic realms of the stock market, strategic positioning in robust companies like Tesla Inc. has often rewarded investors with significant returns. This analysis showcases a meticulous approach to capitalizing on Tesla's stock through a well-planned buying and phased selling strategy. Starting with a foundational investment, a series of calculated purchases were executed during Tesla's undulating price journey. The initial acquisition was made at $141.80, followed by a secondary purchase at $120.05, and a strategic third buy at a favorable $81.87, each funded with $10k. This average-down approach not only reduced the overall cost basis but also positioned the investment for amplified returns during price surges. Moving on to the realization of profits, a phased selling strategy was implemented. The first tranche of stock was sold at $299, representing a significant uptrend from the averaged buying price. The subsequent sell-offs were at even more elevated price points of $637 and $1355, each constituting one-third and the final tranche a slightly larger portion of the holdings, at thirty-four percent. This trading strategy emphasizes the importance of patience and discipline, ensuring that each sell-off point was not prematurely triggered but rather aligned with substantial price appreciations, marking a staggering overall gain. By sharing this strategy and its successful outcome, I aim to inspire and equip fellow traders with a framework that underscores timing, accumulation, and strategic exits in trading sessions. May this insight serve as a beacon for your trading endeavors on the tumultuous seas of the stock market.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by srmustafabas
1
Tesla Loses Half-Trillion Dollar Shine: Bulls Feeling the SqueezTesla, the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer, has hit a rough patch in 2024. This week, the company's market valuation slipped below $500 billion, marking a significant blow to investors who had placed big bets on Tesla's continued growth. Several factors seem to be contributing to Tesla's woes. Firstly, concerns are mounting about the company's ability to maintain its breakneck growth trajectory. Recent reports indicate weaker-than-expected sales figures, leading some analysts to question whether Tesla can meet its ambitious production targets. Adding fuel to the fire, Tesla announced a round of job cuts this week, further amplifying anxieties about slowing growth. is decline coincides with a broader slump in the company's stock price, which has shed a staggering 37% so far this year. Secondly, a recent exodus of high-ranking executives has rattled investor confidence. Several key figures have departed Tesla in recent months, leaving a void in leadership This instability at the top management level has cast a shadow over the company's future direction. These developments have significantly dampened the enthusiasm of investors who had previously been bullish on Tesla. The company's stock has become one of the worst performers on the prestigious S&P 500 Index in 2024, erasing a colossal $290 billion in shareholder wealth. This decline marks a stark turnaround from the meteoric rise Tesla experienced in previous years, when its stock price soared on the promise of a revolutionary electric vehicle future. However, some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. They point to the company's continued innovation in battery technology and its lead in the EV market as reasons for hope. They argue that the recent stock price slump presents a buying opportunity for those with a long-term investment horizon. "Tesla has been through disasters before," said one analyst, "We maintain our outperform rating on the stock." This sentiment is echoed by others who believe that Tesla's core strengths remain unmatched and that the current challenges are merely temporary hurdles. Only time will tell whether Tesla can weather this storm and reclaim its former glory. The coming months will be crucial as the company strives to address concerns about slowing growth, leadership changes, and a softening market. Tesla's ability to reignite investor confidence and reignite sales growth will determine whether the bulls can once again take the reins.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
TESLA $TSLA - Feb. 16th, 2024Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ TVC:NDQ BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $195.75 - $260.50 (BUY ZONE ADJUSTABLE DOWN TO 208.50) DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $177.25 - $195.75 (DNT ZONE ADJUSTABLE UP TO $208.50) SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $113.00 - $177.25 Tesla broke out of its range lasting from Jan. 25th - Feb 15th. Breakout price was at 195.75, the Feb 15th daily candle broke and closed above this price level. This can mark a bullish trend, however; a safer bullish zone can be extended to start at 208.50, with the DNT zone also extending to end at 208.50. I personally like the early entries after a strong bullish candle yesterday with over a +6% move. Some other high frame bullish entries could be a retest of the top of the range, or a breakout of the 208.50 area. Some high frame bearish entries could be a test and rejection of the 208.50 area, or a break back into the range area. Long term targets would be the 230 - 260 area, would need another look once price moves closer. I quickly marked every recent structure 1 - 6 that I considered when looking to enter a new position to show somewhat where my mind was at. As price moves to new levels and zones and develops new structure I will update this. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TonyAiello
Tesla's Production Numbers in Last QuarterI wanted to bring to your attention the recent news regarding Tesla's Q1 2024 deliveries. There are reports that deliveries fell short of expectations compared to the previous quarter. This development, along with concerns about the economy and evolving consumer preferences in the electric vehicle market, could have an impact on Tesla's stock price. It's important to consider this news along with other factors, such as Tesla's long-term position in the EV space and overall market conditions when making investment decisions. As always, it is important to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Please feel free to reach out in the comments if you have any questions or would like to discuss this further.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
Is The EV Hype Over? How The Fed Is Destroying TeslaThe first quarter of 2024 is now over, closing in a record +10% YTD rally and an exceptional +43% YOY increase in the QQQ. Despite the markets pushing higher, Tesla is experiencing significant challenges, with a -30% decrease YTD and a -9% decline YOY. This performance has positioned Tesla as the worst performing megacap so far. Given these circumstances, it's essential to delve into both macroeconomic factors and technical analysis to understand what has happened and what is likely to happen moving forward. The Macroeconomic Impact on Tesla Two years ago, the Federal Reserve initiated a historic rate-hiking cycle, increasing interest rates from 0% to 5.5% within just over a year and maintaining this rate since July 2023. This shift in monetary policy has notably affected car financing rates, now at 8.2% for a five-year loan, which significantly discourages consumers from buying new vehicles, especially EVs. The chart clearly illustrates an inverse correlation between Tesla stock and interest rates. Moreover, Tesla has operated exclusively during periods of historically low interest rates. Despite the Federal Reserve pausing rate hikes nine months ago, the interest rate on car loans continues to rise. Further examination of inflation trends indicates that most common inflation measures have either plateaued or slowed their pace of deceleration, at a level inconsistent with the Fed's 2% inflation target. The M2 money supply and inflation expectations are critical indicators for predicting the direction of inflation. The peak in the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) followed the peak in M2 YOY by 16 months, recently bottoming just three months before CPI YOY stopped making progress to the downside. This lagged correlation suggests that headline CPI is unlikely to continue its strong downward trend moving forward. Moreover, inflation expectations, which remain well anchored, have also appeared to stop making progress to the downside, all remaining above 2%. This, combined with unchanged interest rates for nine months, suggests that the neutral rate of interest must be significantly higher than the pre-COVID trend. Historically, recessions have played a key role in helping the Fed bring down inflation to their 2% target. However, current economic indicators, including low unemployment levels and easy financial conditions, suggest that a recession is unlikely in the near future, despite the fed funds rate staying unchanged at a two-decade high. The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) captures the stimulative effects on the economy from the U.S. government's expansive fiscal policy. By borrowing and spending trillions directly from the Reverse Repo (RRP), the U.S. government has ingeniously counterbalanced the constrictive effects of tighter monetary policy without exerting upward pressure on long-term yields. The prolonged inversion of the yield curve, significantly extended by the U.S. government's financial strategies, could mark this cycle as having the longest inversion in history. Typically, a steepening yield curve is a precursor to higher unemployment and economic recession. However, the steepening of the yield curve remains unlikely in the short term, with excess reserves still available in the RRP and the Treasury General Account (TGA). With the U.S. employment sector still robust, showing historically low unemployment levels and low initial and continued claims, the likelihood of a significant uptrend in the unemployment rate seems low, as job openings are absorbing most of the excess labor supply and still remain well above the historical trend. This suggests that the fed funds rate may remain at around 5% this year, maintaining car loan rates at a higher level for an extended period and consequently making EVs increasingly less affordable for the average consumer. This scenario is likely to lead to a continuation of price cuts and greater margin contractions. Tesla's Technical Analysis Outlook From a technical analysis perspective, Tesla stock faced rejection at the $205 horizontal resistance line and might be rejected from the $180 level, marked by the 0.236 Fibonacci level. The next significant support level is at $155, with a possibility of revisiting the January 2023 low of $110, given Tesla's stock has been in a downward trend ever since November 2021. From a trend-based perspective, we can clearly see that TSLA stock is in a strong downtrend both in the 4H and daily timeframe with the EMAs and 20- week SMA trending lower. Despite this unfavourable outlook, caution is advised when considering short positions in Tesla due to its market dominance and relatively stable financial position, making it a riskier target than other less financially secure EV manufacturers. Concluding Thoughts While the broader market demonstrates resilience, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is significantly shaping the EVs industry future. With the economy likely transitioning away from historically low interest rates into a higher interest rate environment, caution is advised. Investors may benefit from considering less interest-rate-sensitive options until a clearer picture of the inflationary landscape and its impact on the economy emerges. Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ingeforberg
2
Tesla - Wait For The CloseHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Tesla. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: After Tesla started an insane pump of + 3.200% in 2019, we saw a top being created in 2021 and since then, Tesla has been trending towards the downside. You can also see that there is a significant horizontal structure level at the $200 area and Tesla is about to break this level towards the downside. It is best to wait for the monthly candle close before taking new trades. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
6
TESLA BUY ZONEThe data provided gives us insights into the analyst sentiment and price targets for Tesla (TSLA) stock over the last three months. According to 34 Wall Street analysts, the average price target for TSLA is $207.74. This average is derived from a range of forecasts, with the highest forecast being $320.00 and the lowest forecast at $23.53. It's important to note that this represents a 21.61% change from the last recorded price of $170.83. Furthermore, in the current month, TSLA has received ratings from analysts, with 28 Buy Ratings, 43 Hold Ratings, and 11 Sell Ratings. This diverse set of ratings indicates a mixed sentiment among analysts regarding the future performance of Tesla stock. In the context of a trade, it's mentioned that there's a small stop loss in place, suggesting a risk management strategy to limit potential losses. Additionally, there's a profit target set at 99.99, indicating the desired profit level for the trade. With these parameters in mind, the trade aims to capitalize on potential price movements in TSLA stock. The trade outlines a potential profit of 1667 pips. As TSLA is a stock, the term "pips" might not be the most appropriate unit of measurement. Nevertheless, it's understood that the trade aims to achieve a significant profit based on the perceived movement in TSLA stock price. Overall, the trade strategy appears to be based on the analyst sentiment and price targets, with a focus on risk management and setting profit targets. Traders implementing this strategy aim to capitalize on potential price movements in TSLA stock while managing their risk exposure effectively.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by MOAZAM1133
Tesla - Confirmed BreakdownHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Tesla. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than three years, Tesla stock has been trading in a bullish flag formation. Two months ago Tesla once again retested the upper resistance trendline and failed to break out towards the upside. There are two major support levels below current market price which I do expect Tesla to retest. Then you can absolutely consider long setups again on Tesla stock. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
9
Tesla is looking very bad. 150 is my targetIn mid-December of last year, NASDAQ:TSLA broke above the falling trend line. At that point, I predicted a continuation upward to the next resistance level at 300. However, after initially rising to 263, the price began to reverse and what initially appeared to be a resumption of the upward trend turned out to be a major false break. In January, despite prevailing optimism in the stock market, Tesla's price trajectory remained bearish, diverging from broader market trends. Moving closer to recent days, the 200 support level was broken with a gap, signaling another major bearish sign. Currently, the gap has been filled, and Tesla is testing this support level as new resistance. Considering the imminent correction for US indices, we may witness a significant drop in Tesla's case. I anticipate a target of 150 for this drop, although, to be honest, the 100 zone is not out of the question.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Tesla - Go Long NowHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Tesla. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: After the massive triangle breakout in 2020 and a rally of +1.500%, Tesla has been moving sideways for over two years now. Tesla stock is currently creating a triangle formation as well as a flag pattern. I am personally waiting for a clearer setup on Tesla before I will take longs - either a triangle breakout or a retest of the lower support of the flag mentioned in the analysis. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
23
Tesla - Is It A FakeoutHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Tesla. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: After Tesla broke out of a long term triangle formation in 2019 we saw a pump of +1.500% towards the upside. Tesla is currently once again forming a (bullish) triangle pattern but broke short term support towards the downside. If we see a retest of the bottom of the triangle which I mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for longs to capitalize on a potential bullish rejection. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
3
Tesla can't catch a break (light?)! My thoughts on Week of 2/6Just when we thought TSLA was headed for a rebound, we were caught in a series of news that wasn't too hot for our favorite automaker: Everything from brake light recalls to billion dollar compensations rejected. In this Idea, I will detail my thoughts of the week, news that affected the stock, and my analysis for next week. 1/29 LAST WEEK: The graph shows we've been on a downward channel for TSLA price action. Our purple line within the channel was our expectation from prior to last week (From Idea: ). What I was not expecting was a continuous downtrend after Wednesday. Affecting news for this downtrend were: Fed rate decision (priced in), and ruled out March rate cut. Musk and $55 billion pay package Possible relocation to another state because of above Tesla dropped from "Magnificent Seven" At a point on Friday, TSLA completely decoupled from SPY price action: While SPY was up 1% hitting another record high, TSLA was punished at -3%, until making a quick recovery to the top of the channel at the 0.5 fib mark at $187.90. 2/6 and on: News, fed meetings, and price action/options flow lead me to believe we will have another choppy week. 2.2 Million vehicle recall on warning lights that are too small. (Doesn't seem like a big deal, but the word "recall" scares investors. ) Over 2400 Steering Complaints Escalated to investigation. (Yahoo Finance) Tesla settles $1.5 million CA hazardous waste lawsuit (Yahoo Finance) I also think that the Tesla relocation to Texas would be bearish due to the amount of work and opportunity cost associated to relocating. With the laundry list of bad news, I don't think we will break for lower lows this week. I think we may have a sharp dip early in the week to the 0.236 fib line of $184. Throughout the week, we have several traditionally hawkish fed members speaking. Investors on the other hand seem poised with a bullish sentiment: Options expiring 2/6 (per Barchart) Put/Call Volume Ratio: 0.79 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio: 0.69 With the average call strike price sitting around $192, average put price sitting around $181. The orange line shows my prediction to the price action based off all the above: An early dip (potential retest to $180), followed by breaking the channel sometime middle of the week, chopping through the rest of the week and ending on a higher note. I will update with any news that I think may be relevant to TSLA.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by valentine_j_
2
TESLA - MUSK LATE TO THE PARTY? HE IS THE PARTY! (TARGET $315)If I had to describe this analysis in one sentence, here's what I'd say: the lower the better. In the current climate, Tesla's stock might seem volatile due to the challenges it faces, including production hurdles and market competition. However, it's essential to look beyond these short-term obstacles and recognize the underlying strengths and strategic advantages Tesla holds. This isn't just about being bullish on Tesla without reason; it's about recognizing the company's potential to overcome current challenges and continue leading the EV revolution. As always, it's crucial to balance optimism with due diligence and consider Tesla's position within a diversified investment portfolio. So what's on the chart? (follow the steps) 1. Liquidity Zone as a Bull Target: The liquidity zone is acting as a magnet for bulls right now. It's an area where we often see a concentration of trading activity, making it a prime target for those looking to capitalize on upward movements. This zone indicates strong interest and potential for price support, making it an attractive entry point. 2. Weekly FVG for Long-Term Entry: The Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the weekly chart is particularly noteworthy. Historically, these gaps have served as solid foundations for bullish accumulation, often marking the beginning of significant upward trends. The way the price has previously lifted off from such an area suggests it's a credible entry point for long-term investors. 3. Current Nesting in Weekly FVG: Interestingly, the price is currently sitting in another weekly FVG, which could indicate a consolidation phase before the next move up. This nesting phase is crucial as it could provide a stable base from which the price might springboard. 4. Weekly Flag Pattern: While I typically don't trade based on flag patterns, it's hard to ignore the large weekly flag formation here. Even if one doesn't trade these patterns directly, they offer a good visual representation of the current price movement and the potential continuation of the trend. 5. Reaction to CPI Data and FED Rates: The upcoming CPI data will be pivotal, especially with the Federal Reserve's current hesitation to cut rates in March. A large leg down into the FVG could potentially mark the bottom, but much depends on how the CPI data plays out, influencing the Fed's stance on interest rates. 6. Second Potential Long-Term Entry: Given the rough patch and the potential bottom formation, there's a second viable entry point for long-term believers in Tesla. The key is to get in before the tide turns too positively, as waiting for good news could mean missing out on significant gains, much like what happened with Meta's 20% surge post-news. 7. Targeting Premium Areas from Discounted Entries: The strategy here is to buy at a discount with the aim of moving towards a premium. This means entering the market at current levels, which are perceived as undervalued, and holding with a view toward future gains as the market re-evaluates Tesla's worth. In essence, for those who believe in Tesla's fundamentals and long-term prospects, the current market conditions present a series of strategic entry points. As always, I hope you appreciate the work put in and have a great Sunday! ;)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Lexi_Is_Trading
TESLA: 2-Hour Order Block Support - Green Close Expected! 📈🟢Explore the potential of Tesla stock on a 2-hour timeframe, where it might find support at an order block, signaling an upside move. There's optimism for a green close today, adding an exciting element to the market dynamics. Trading decisions should align with thorough research, and market conditions can change rapidly. Keep an eye on Tesla's 2-hour chart for potential opportunities and adapt your strategy accordingly. Note: We are not responsible for any profit or loss resulting from trading decisions. Trade responsibly and consider consulting a financial advisor. Dive into the Tesla market, navigate the charts, and stay informed with this analysis. 🚗💹 #TESLA #StockAnalysis #UpsidePotential #GreenCloseExpected
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by NEOALGO_PRO
Massive Recovery 1/29 and thoughts for TSLA through WeekA huge surprise with a massive recovery today, ending the day with a cup-handle formation, and there is plenty of upside left for TSLA. We may even potentially close up the gap to $208; but I believe it is dependent on a few factors. Here are my thoughts on price action for TSLA this week: Possibility #1: Run up to 0.5 Fib level $195.41 Tuesday. (Orange arrow) With major earnings coming (such as MSFT/GOOG on Tuesday) I expect the entire market to go up in anticipation to positive earnings. Since TSLA just bounced off a major support of $180, TSLA is a candidate to move faster than the market (such as today with a 4.3% run vs the S&P500 under 1%.) We may also have a run up compounded with an anticipation to positive news from Wednesday's FOMC meeting (buy the rumor sell the news.) If given positive news (anything not already priced in) we may even have a run up to closing the gap at $208 later in the week. Possibility #2: Choppy trading through Tuesday until FOMC (purple line) for the following reasons: Per Yahoo Finance: "Markets see rates unchanged in January and Predict 48% probability of a rate cut at the next meeting in March." If some expectation is priced in, we may have a low volume day until further confirmation. Since we just hit ATH on S&P500, investors may be more reluctant in trading and we go side ways until the FOMC meeting. If nothing major comes from the FOMC meeting, we may have continued sideways trading for the rest of the week, bouncing off $188. I believe possibility 2 is a bit more likely, but not much more than possibility 1. Coming off a recent ATH on S&P500 we may see a retracement overall tomorrow, but options flow on TSLA indicate to me that we are bullish for the week. There is a strong possibility that the market has already priced in rate cuts, so this may lead to a sell the news scenario (we may bounce down to $185-$190 before moving to the next level.) As of writing, options expiring 1/30 on SPY put/call volume ratio sits at 1.18, open interest ratio at 1.47. (Figures from Barchart) TSLA options expiring 2/2 have volume put/call ratios at 0.87, open interest ratio at 0.74. (Figures from Barchart) S&P Futures at -0.025% in the PM. 1/29. In the news: First Neuralink chip has been implanted for the first time. (This may bring positive views on Elon and by proxy to TSLA.) Capital Expenditure of Tesla may decrease from $10 Billion from current fiscal year to $8-10 Billion by fiscal 2025 and 2026 (per Yahoo Finance.) Two Tesla executives to sell stock, up to 281,116 and 115,500 respective shares (per Yahoo Finance.) Lastly, my own plan: I may or may not take a position depending how we open in the AM. From the graph, the lines you see to the left of the cup-handle were my previous possibilities I set up from last week. Friday, I was expecting TSLA to retest it's lows and I took some put positions through the weekend. (See ) Sold them immediately in the AM today when a strong bull signal was built, and went calls on SPY (should have gone calls on TSLA instead with that massive recovery, but hindsight is 20/20) I don't plan on holding anything through FOMC for personal risk tolerance reasons. I am a bit reluctant because TSLA has the potential to swing hard, so I may have relatively small positions. This week will be crucial for knowing if we will try for breaking through the upper channel at $240 in the medium to long term (see: ) -OR- we bounce back down to $180. Those are all my thoughts, I'll update this if I see any interesting news that I find relevant to TSLA this week.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by valentine_j_
2