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A Macro Analysis of TESLA: The Case For Being Range BoundHi guys and Welcome! As a trader its empowering to overanalyze an asset you would like to trade. To think of various potential associations or the direction that price action can have or go. It reduces any surprises and allows for you to be ready and strategize adjustments. And just NOTE: That this is just an idea/ theory and it does not have to play out as mentioned but i would urge us to atleast keep this idea in the back of our heads. Things have been great this year, with many big names booming in price. Many people calling for New ALL TIME HIGHS for many names. This is also true for TESLA. But what if we don't see all time highs in Tesla? What if in fact we are range bound, hitting the top of the range only to travel to the bottom of the range for a duration of time before we attempt new all time highs. It sure is a possibility, as we have done so previously. From July 2013 till the breakout in December 2019, we managed to stay in a RANGE. (Roughly 2345 days or 6ish years). This is not a bad thing per se. It helps the asset consolidate, create market structure and allows companies to stabilize, allowing them to fulfill the desires of investor sentiment, thus moving higher eventually. If you can determine the levels of the range, it is also tradeable. More on that in future posts, as i will be monitoring TSLA like a hawk. Now looking at our current RANGE. We've gone so far 1093 days. If history is any indication, we are about almost half way through our RANGE bound journey. Note that if we are range bound, it doesnt have to mirror our previous data point. Also that Investor SENTIMENT for TSLA is different now. Also don't discount the fact that currently we are bullish in TSLA, so possibilities of seeing $400 sooner than later is likely, until proven otherwise. Could we break out or do we double top/ stay range bound? That would be the place to re-assess the situation. One major factor in my opinion to help us determine what might happen is VOLUME. I think for us to really solidfy this idea of making New ALL TIME HIGHS, volume has to continue to increase and really spike when we reach the $400, RANGE TOP. We don't want to see volume below the PURPLE LINE DRAWN, but rather have it follow the GREEN arrow. Showing consistent growth and high volume. Also another thing to watch is the RSI. NOTICE the Black trend lines drawn. When we broke out of our 2013-2019 Range, RSI broke past the Black trend line to continue into our HIGHS. Come to current time, we are quite far off the Black Trendline drawn. This is something to watch. Again, history does not have to repeat in current price action BUT it does provide data on what could potentially happen. As a trader it is important to always try to see different angles. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on TSLA in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy
NASDAQ:TSLA
by SafofAllTrades
2
Tesla Pullback Targets + Major Bull Signal NearingHi Guys! This is a Technical Analysis on Tesla (TSLA) on the 3 Day Timeframe. So we are continuing the move on Target from our Rejection, our Downtrend held by the Resistance Trend Line. A break and confirm above the Resistance Trend Line will indicate a "Trend Change". Till then we are being pushed DOWN in track on hitting our Targets: 1. 0.618 FIB level, around $224 2. Blue Moving Average, the 100 SMA 3. Green Moving Average, the 50 SMA 4. 0.5 FIB level, around $200 Our 1st target is the 0.618 FIB level, but notice how the 100 SMA is hovering just below it. So its likely that we test both. So the natural order of things is that when Price moves above a Moving Average, we need to test it as SUPPORT before moving higher. So this is why i believe we test both 0.618 level and 100 SMA, since we have not yet tested SUPPORT. Watch how we interact with this moving average. Depending on when momentum comes in (indicated by indicators), we may have a strong bounce here due to convergence of 100 SMA & 0.618 FIB and continue upwards. For this reason, this would be my 1st BUY ZONE. Also Note the 50 SMA: We are currently curved upwards, indicating further movement UP. So this line is continuosly changing. Since currently its ABOVE 0.5 FIB level, this area would be my 3rd target to watch. If we end up breaking the 50 SMA, we may go to the 0.5 FIB level. But for now its less probable. A Major event is also nearing. The 50 SMA/ 100 SMA GOLDEN CROSS. Notice on your own charts, how everytime this occurs, TSLA explodes in price. This cross may also prevent TSLA from reaching the 0.5 FIB level. We would need to keep an eye out on the Macro timeframes for further specifics as well. To get details on the Momentum lets look at the MACD. We have recently crossed BEARISH on the MACD. With increasing size and number of RED histogram bars. We need to see lighter colored RED bars. Eventually seeing GREEN bars for momentum to change BULLISH. Also NOTE -> I'd prefer the BLue/Orange lines stay ABOVE the 0 level, indicating the continuation of the overall BULL trend in TSLA. The STOCH RSI -> Also a momentum indicator. We have moved below the 20 level. It's crucial to watch out for the BULLISH cross (Blue line over Orange line) back above the 20 level. This will indicate injection of momentum back into TSLA. The RSI -> Notice our current pattern where the Orange line has CROSSED below the Black line. Normally this indicates Price Declines. So watch where the downward curve of the Black Line and downtrend of Orange line stops Look for a Bullish cross of Orange line getting ABOVE Black line. And just to give perspective, the Price we are at right now while i post this idea. We are 20% cheaper from th current highs. TSLA has out performed many stocks in 2023. So this pullback presents great opportunity. Continue to watch these levels. Take action accordingly. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. ***Read my Previous Analysis BELOW From 08/03/23 For More Context! Stay tuned for more updates on TSLA in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by SafofAllTrades
Tesla's stock trend is likely to rise and fallIs Tesla's stock likely to turn bullish into bearish? This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Tesla's stock over the past two years. The top to bottom golden section of November 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, Tesla stock has already surpassed the 1.618 position on the golden section in the past two weeks, and is about to challenge the next strong pressure, which is the 1.382 position on the golden section in the figure! Due to factors such as the global consumer downgrade and the imminent launch of Tesla's affordable models, Tesla's stock is likely to turn bullish into bearish! In the future, just use the 1.382 and 1.000 positions of the golden section in the figure as the long short water separation interval operation! Sell high and buy low within the range, and chase up and kill down outside the range!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Think_More
We Like TSLA but Stay Away from it Now !!Technical Analysis: - TSLA is doing a WXY structure where the wave X in blue is in progress - We expect that the correction will end when wave Y in blue will be completed at around 130 ~ 140 - WARNING : The invalidation level in green can not be crossed but if it's crossed then TSLA will go into more down side - TSLA H1 and H4 Right Side is turning up. So we expect that the near term will extend higher Technical Information: - If you're a swing trader , don't buy TSLA now - You must wait for the correction to be completed in wave Y in blue
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Market-Right-Side
4
TSLA Is Very Close To BounceTechnical Analysis: - Tesla(TSLA) is now doing a WXY correction in blue. We expect it to be completed the wave ((2)) in the next 1~2 days - TSLA must find the strong buyers at around HKEX:150 - $155 where we like to buy - TSLA can't cross the green validation level in order to support higher bounce in wave 3 Tesla Right Side - H1 right side is turning down - H4 right side is turning up Technical Information: - Don't sell TSLA now - Wait for wave ((2)) to be completed in 1~2 days to buy
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Market-Right-Side
2
Tesla -> Is The Rally Already Over?Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe Tesla stock is actually quite overextended towards the upside; just the past 7 weeks we had a short covering rally of about 100%. Therefore I just do expect a short term correction towards the downside before the market will then create the longer term continuation towards the upside and retest a major bearish trendline at the $240 area. On the daily timeframe I am now just waiting for the market to retest a very obvious previous resistance zone which is now turned support from which I definitely do expect the next impulse towards the upside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by basictradingtv
49
TSLA - Possible Inverse H&S Pattern?Looking at this 4HR chart, we can clearly see an Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern forming. It is currently at the neckline right at around $198. Interestingly, we see a Bearish divergence right near the neckline (as marked) where price action is going up, but the RSI is going down. This gives us a small bearish signal. So unless this gets invalidated by a candle breaking and closing above 198.24, we are most likely going down to the $166 - $164 area. That will be the decider area where TSLA can either bounce back and complete the Inverse H&S or it breaks down and goes for lower price support levels. (which I will update later). Possible trades (options) that can be taken: Option 1: Feb 17th $195 PUT at around Option 2: Feb 17th $160 PUT (risky) Option 3 (Put Spread): Leg 1: Buy Put 2/24 $165 Leg 2: Sell Put 2/17 $165 (Good R:R ratio). Please feel free to message me if you are new to options or are confused. Option 4 (Butterfly) - Risky but high reward: Leg 1: Buy Put 2/17 $185 (1 Qty) Leg 2: Buy Put 2/17 $145 (1 Qty) Leg 3: Sell Put 2/17 $165 (2 Qty) Note: This whole will be a single order. Again, please feel free to ask in comments or message me if you are confused. These are the potential option trades that can be taken next week. For a stop loss look for 198 area to break. If the price goes above that and closes we must exit the position in a loss. Other ride it till 165. Make sure to exit if you're in a good enough profit (according to you). Do you own research before taking this trade. Let me know what you guys think :) Happy Trading!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MoneyChartz
2
Tesla Analysis 08.01.2023Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. I will personally reply to every single comment! If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
33
$60 to $40 Tesla in the Next 3 MonthsIn the short term I could see a $66 to $40 $TSLA.... There's concern that the brand image has been damaged. Investors are calling for proper evaluations of the damage done, others are seeking to have Elon flat out replaced at Tesla.... simply spending $44Bn on Twitter and having 100M followers hasn't put a smile on everyones faces. Recent antics continue to have Tesla at the forefront of public discourse for rather trivial and immature reasons. Strong selling pressure supports the negative sentiment, & the disapproval of his "neglect" of Tesla. There's a desire for him to focus more on Tesla.... why not spend the money necessary to get Twitter to where it needs to be. He should just rebrand w/ a gold bird and step back. Tesla needs his attention. Its not the end of the world.... $66 to $40 is a fantastic buy zone. Personally I don't see Elon finding a CEO for Twitter in the next 3 to 4 months. I don't see him managing his impulses to troll. I don't see him rebranding twitter. He spent $44bn.... and he should spend another $2 to $5 billions so it can run itself while he focuses changing the direction of Tesla. One of the things that exacerbate the situation is the lack of communication between the board and investors.... yet he owns Twitter. Tesla is incredibly unsophisticated when it comes to communications. 15 to 20 years from now it will be but a blip on the radar. At the core of things the future of Tesla is bright... and we're still so early on the adoption curve, but there's nothing that can stop the slide....except a change of behaviour, and a refocusing of Elon's attention. Also, once you by-pass the Twitter noise.... and Elon's antics, there's macro pressure on the stock as well. And these are things outside of the Fed. Take it for what it is, and recognize that the best buying opportunities are months away. This should be a $300 stock, but those verticals wont get unlocked until years down the road.... if it doesn't bounce by the end of Jan, adjust perspective. Be prepared to visit $40, before retesting $60. It's a strong sell imo... for the time being. What your buying now can be bought for half price. It's not even worth scalping till after the next big drop.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by BIG-BLACK-CRYPTO
2
Tesla Analysis 20.12.2022Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. I will personally reply to every single comment! If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis:
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
21
Tesla Analysis 04.12.2022Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. I will personally reply to every single comment! If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis:
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
3
Tesla Analysis 15.11.2022Welcome to the BasicTrading channel. My name is Philip and in todays analysis I quickly go over the situation which we currently have on Tesla. I will analyse the asset both from a weekly and daily timeframe to show you the best possible trading opportunities. If you enjoyed this analysis, let me know in the comment section which asset I should analyse tomorrow. I will personally reply to every single comment. Dont forget to smash that rocket and I will see you tomorrow with a new analysis.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by basictradingtv
Tesla: when are sellers coming back? Tesla Short Term We look to Sell at 774.80 (stop at 827.00) We look to sell rallies. Trading within a Bearish Channel formation. A higher correction is expected. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. Previous resistance located at 775.00. Our profit targets will be 621.11 and 539.00 Resistance: 775.00 / 1000.00 / 1240.00 Support: 621.00 / 540.00 / 350.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Saxo