Tesla: More Room in Wave 4With the recent increases, TSLA approached the more significant local high from early April. Although we locate the price in a turquoise downtrend impulse, the internal corrective upward move of wave 4 still has some more room. With the following wave 5, the stock should then fall below the support at $215.01 to complete the magenta wave (3), which is also part of a downtrend impulse. Meanwhile, our alternative scenario suggests a much faster progression. We consider it 27% likely that with the low on April 7, the blue wave alt.(II) and thus the major corrective movement have already ended. In this case, the path would be clear for a new uptrend of the blue wave alt.(III), which would lead to increases above the resistance at $488.50. Primarily, however, we expect the corrective movement to conclude at a later time and at lower levels.
Teslaidea
Tesla Suspends Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Were Often WrongTesla Pulls the Plug on Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Weren't Worth Much Anyway
Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth that has captivated and often confounded investors for over a decade, has made another move guaranteed to stir debate: it's suspending its forward-looking guidance. For many companies, withdrawing financial forecasts signals significant uncertainty or a major strategic shift, often sending shares tumbling. While Tesla's stock undoubtedly reacts to such news, a deeper look reveals a compelling argument: Tesla's official guidance, particularly in recent years, had become such a moving target, so frequently untethered from eventual reality, that its predictive value was already deeply questionable. Suspending it might simply be acknowledging the obvious.
For years, Tesla's earnings calls and investor communications were punctuated by ambitious, often audacious, targets set by CEO Elon Musk and the company. These weren't just vague aspirations; they were often specific numbers for vehicle deliveries, production ramps, timelines for new technologies like Full Self-Driving (FSD), and launch dates for anticipated models like the Cybertruck or the Semi. The market, enthralled by Tesla's disruptive potential and Musk's charismatic pronouncements, frequently hung on these words, baking them into valuation models and trading strategies.
However, the history of Tesla meeting these self-imposed targets is, charitably speaking, inconsistent. The guidance often veered into the quixotic, reflecting a potent blend of extreme optimism, engineering ambition, and perhaps a dash of Musk's famed "reality distortion field."
Consider the infamous "production hell" of the Model 3 ramp-up. Initial targets were wildly optimistic, projecting volumes that the company struggled immensely to achieve, facing bottlenecks in battery production and assembly line automation. While Tesla eventually overcame these hurdles, the timeline and cost deviated significantly from early guidance. Similarly, the promise of Full Self-Driving has been a perennial "next year" phenomenon. While the capabilities of Tesla's Autopilot and FSD Beta have advanced significantly, the arrival of true Level 4 or 5 autonomy, capable of operating without driver supervision under virtually all conditions – as often implied by the timelines suggested in guidance – remains elusive, years behind schedules hinted at in past forecasts.
The Cybertruck provides another stark example. Unveiled in 2019 with a projected start date that came and went multiple times, its eventual, limited launch in late 2023 was years behind schedule, and scaling its unique manufacturing process remains a challenge. Guidance around its ramp-up has been adjusted repeatedly.
This pattern isn't necessarily born from deliberate deception, but rather from a confluence of factors inherent to Tesla's DNA and the volatile industries it operates in:
1. Aggressive Goal Setting: Musk is known for setting incredibly ambitious "stretch goals" intended to motivate teams to achieve breakthroughs. While effective internally, translating these aspirational targets directly into public financial guidance is fraught with risk.
2. Underestimation of Complexity: Bringing revolutionary products to mass market – whether it's a new vehicle platform, a complex software suite like FSD, or novel battery technology – involves navigating unforeseen engineering, manufacturing, supply chain, and regulatory hurdles. Initial guidance often seemed to underestimate these complexities.
3. Market Volatility: The EV market itself is dynamic. Consumer demand shifts, government incentives change, raw material costs fluctuate, and competition intensifies – all factors that can derail even well-laid plans and render guidance obsolete.
4. The "Musk Factor": Elon Musk's public statements, sometimes made spontaneously on social media or during earnings calls, often became de facto guidance, even if not formally enshrined. His optimism could inflate expectations beyond what the operational side of the business could reliably deliver on a set schedule.
Given this history, why did the market continue to pay such close attention? Part of it was the sheer scale of Tesla's ambition and its undeniable success in revolutionizing the automotive industry. Investors betting on disruption were often willing to overlook missed targets, focusing instead on the long-term vision. Past stock performance also created a feedback loop; as the stock soared despite missed guidance, it reinforced the idea that the specific numbers mattered less than the overall trajectory and narrative. Guidance served as a signal of intent and ambition, even if the execution timeline slipped.
However, the context has shifted dramatically. Tesla is no longer the lone wolf in a nascent EV market. Competition is fierce, particularly from Chinese automakers like BYD, but also from legacy manufacturers finally hitting their stride with compelling EV offerings. Global EV demand growth, while still present, has slowed from its previously exponential pace. Tesla itself has engaged in significant price cuts globally to maintain volume, putting pressure on its once-stellar automotive margins.
In this more challenging environment, the luxury of consistently missing ambitious targets wears thin. The decision to suspend guidance now can be interpreted in several ways:
• Pragmatic Realism: Management may genuinely lack visibility into near-term demand, production capabilities (especially with new models or processes), or the impact of macroeconomic factors. Suspending guidance is arguably more responsible than issuing forecasts they have low confidence in.
• Strategic Pivot: Tesla is increasingly emphasizing its future potential in AI, robotics (Optimus), and autonomous ride-sharing (Robotaxi). These ventures have even longer and more uncertain development timelines than vehicle production. Focusing investor attention away from quarterly delivery numbers might be part of a strategy to reframe the company's narrative around these future bets.
• Avoiding Accountability: A more cynical take is that suspending guidance removes a key benchmark against which management's performance can be judged, particularly during a period of slowing growth and heightened competition.
Regardless of the primary motivation, the practical implication for investors is clear: the already thin reed of Tesla's official guidance is now gone entirely. This forces a greater reliance on analyzing tangible results – actual deliveries, reported margins, cash flow generation, progress on FSD adoption rates, and demonstrable advancements in new ventures – rather than promises of future performance.
The suspension underscores that investing in Tesla requires a strong belief in its long-term vision and its ability to execute on extremely complex technological and manufacturing challenges, often without a clear, company-provided roadmap for the immediate future. The focus must shift from parsing guidance to meticulously evaluating performance, competitive positioning, and the plausibility of its next-generation bets.
In conclusion, Tesla's decision to stop issuing formal guidance is less of a shockwave and more of a formal acknowledgment of a long-standing reality. Its forecasts were often more aspirational than operational, reflecting a culture of ambitious goal-setting within a highly volatile industry. While the absence of guidance introduces a new layer of uncertainty, savvy investors likely already applied a significant discount factor to Tesla's projections. The company's future success now hinges more transparently than ever not on what it promises for tomorrow, but on what it demonstrably delivers today. The quixotic forecasts may be gone, but the fundamental challenge of execution remains.
TSLA at Key Resistance—Breakout or Rejection?Hi Traders! 🚀 TSLA is approaching a key resistance zone—will it break out or face rejection?
🔹 Scenarios:
📈 Buy if it breaks above $284, with a stop loss at $275 and targets at $290 and $320.
📉 Sell if it rejects $284 and falls below $270, with a stop loss at $280 and targets at $260 and $230.
📊 RSI is recovering from oversold territory—momentum could push prices higher! Keep an eye on the price action.
📢 Watch out for earnings reports and macro news! These could add volatility.
🔥 Smash that like button and show some energy! Let’s trade like pros! 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Tesla What Next? TSLA Buy Bargain OR Bust?✅️Now you guys know my thoughts on this and although TESLA has been beaten ⚫️black⚫️ and 🔵blue🔵 recently somehow there may be an opportunity on the horizon.🚀
ℹ️ The way I look at it is unless you think TSLA is dead forever and to be cast to the dustbin 🟢SeekingPips🟢 would be looking for a buying opportunity.
👌I don't know who coined the phrase first however it's one that 🟢SeekingPips🟢 loves and uses often it's
⭐️"BUY WHEN THERES BLOOD IN THE STREETS"⭐️
⚠️Now don't get me wrong it doesn't mean I will be loading up gun ho RIGHT AT THIS MOMENT but it certainly DOES MEAN I'M NOT A SELLER AND STALKING BUYING OPPORTUNITIES✅️
❓️What's you thoughts on Tesla❓️
Share your thoughts with 🟢SeekingPips🟢
Tesla LongTesla Long Analysis
Tesla (TSLA) currently presents potential long opportunities near key support zones at $194 and $186. These levels align with historical demand zones and provide a favorable risk-to-reward setup for bullish trades.
Key Analysis:
Support Levels:
$194: A critical zone where buying activity has previously increased, indicating strong institutional interest.
$186: A lower support level that historically acts as a buffer against further downside.
Technical Indicators:
A confluence of moving averages and trendline support near these zones bolsters their significance.
Catalysts:
Upcoming earnings or positive developments in Tesla’s production or delivery numbers could act as bullish triggers.
General market sentiment and Nasdaq trends will also play a role in TSLA's price action.
Strategy:
Entry: Long positions near $194 and $186 with stop-losses below respective levels.
Target: First target around $240 and extended target near $350, depending on momentum.
This setup provides an opportunity for scalpers and swing traders to capitalize on Tesla’s volatility with managed risk.
Tesla at a Crossroads: $257 or a Dive to $242? Alright, Tesla fam—big decision point ahead. Do we hold $257 and drop to $242, or are we about to rip to $280 and start pushing for higher highs? Either way, something big is brewing. How are you playing this?
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trader Smarter Live Better
TSLA’s Next Big Move: Collapse or Skyrocket? Key Levels to WatchTesla (TSLA) is approaching key price levels that will determine its next move.
Potential Downside:
-If TSLA drops below $297, the next level to watch is $292.
-A break below $292 could lead to $283.
-If $283 fails, the price may drop significantly toward $222.
Potential Upside:
-If TSLA reverses, it could rise back to $384.
-A breakout above $384 could push it to $431 and beyond.
If this analysis added value to you, please like and share!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Tesla Stock $TSLA monthly imbalance. Bullish price action to buyTesla Stock NASDAQ:TSLA monthly imbalance at $273 has taken control. Bullish price action to buy shares of Tesla stock. Expecting a decent reaction for this stock in the following days. You can use smaller timeframe stock strategies, bullish option strategies and intraday stock strategies to trade this imbalance.
Tesla in next few dayshello traders i think tesla path in next few days be like this base on price action I read. and it have to decide where its going to continuing up or down. we should wait and see i think odds will be in favor of down trend after that but till then we should do no thing. myself as day trader will trade by risking 2% of my account base on this idea till it rech my destination and then decide to risk more or not.
Tesla has a Cup&Handle target of 500 dollarsHello Tradingview people!
Before i explain my idea... I just want to make it clear this is an idea and nothing more! if NASDAQ:TSLA doesn't do this specific pattern I'm showcasing, then don't come crying to me (Do your own research before investing)
Alright it's fairly simple as you can see.. Tesla is atm making a classic "Cup and handle" pattern that's famous in the TA world! This certain pattern (on my chart at least) has a target of 450-550 dollars.
Could this fail? Of course.. Some say a "cup and handle" pattern has a success rate of 95% but some other sources shows around the 70% mark (so I guess 70-95% chance)
I will update this post in the near future to see if its still "working" or if Tesla has completely dumped to hell and destroyed our "cup" - we shall see.
Please leave a friendly comment and share your opinion down below! (ty)
NFA DYOR <<<----
What’s Next for Tesla: $440 or $340?Good Morning, Trading Family!
Here’s the plan: if Tesla moves up to $398 and breaks above it, we could see it head to $440. But if it starts to drop, it might go down to $374 and bounce back up. If it falls below $374, we could see it drop further to $340.
This Sunday, I’m hosting a webinar about how emotions can hurt your trading and how to stay in control.
Send me a message or check my profile for more info. If this analysis helped, like, comment, and share it with others.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange ( ME)
Trade What You See
Tesla's Unhealthy Rise Could Correct Tesla's Unhealthy Rise Could Correct 🚨
Tesla has experienced a significant and rapid price rally recently, creating a potential imbalance in the market. However, this chart highlights a few key areas that traders should watch for potential corrections:
1️⃣ Gap Formation: A noticeable gap formed during the rally (highlighted on the chart). Gaps often act as magnets, and markets tend to revisit them over time. This suggests the possibility of Tesla retracing to this level.
2️⃣ Resistance Zone (~$420): The price is currently testing a resistance zone after the recent pullback. If Tesla fails to break and sustain above this level, it could trigger further bearish momentum.
3️⃣ Potential Targets:
First Target (~$360): If the bearish move begins, this level, marked as a prior area of support, could act as the next stopping point.
Second Target (~$316): A deeper correction could bring Tesla back to a more balanced price range, aligning with longer-term support zones.
TESLA $TSLA | FROM SUPERCHARGE TO SHORT CIRCUIT Dec28'24TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA | FROM SUPERCHARGE TO SHORT CIRCUIT Dec28'24
Tesla Zones:
Tesla BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $434.00 - $480.00
Tesla DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $421.00 - $434.00
Tesla SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $360.00 - $421.00
Tesla Trends:
Tesla Weekly Trend: Bullish
Tesla Daily Trend: Bullish
Tesla 4H Trend: Bullish
Tesla 1H Trend: Bearish
The trend indicator displayed also shows that Tesla has now flipped to a bearish trend on the 1H timeframe, however; there is a glitch when publishing that turns the 1H Trend to Bullish. A screenshot will be posted below.
NASDAQ:TSLA had a strong bullish rally, but has recently seen struggles to continue the upwards momentum. My previous bullish target on Tesla was hit almost immediately after publishing at 400.00, so I held on for the ride to catch more movement and did not consider any new DNT or Bearish zones until a retracement below 449.90. The bullish rally peaked at 488.50, until we saw a drop of over 10% reaching all the way to 427.00. Price then pulled back to the start of the bearish trend where we saw strong momentum to the downside (break over 434.00 with a retest of 465.00). Bears recently broke down structure and continued the trend that initially started at 465.00; now we see price currently resting below my level at 434.00.
My previous Tesla analysis will be linked below, use the forward area to see how it played out!
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Tesla (TSLA): Big Levels Ahead—Here’s What to Watch!Good morning, trading family!
Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is at a key point, and here’s what could happen:
-If the price breaks above $439.57: We’re likely headed toward $500.
-If the price falls below $410: A drop to $358 or even lower could be next.
These are big levels to watch, so let’s stay focused and trade smart!
Wellness Tip of the Day:
Make time to eat meals at the same time each day. Keeping a regular eating schedule helps maintain energy and focus, so you’re sharp and ready to trade.
Comment, like, follow, or send me a message if you want more insights on this setup!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Tesla’s Next Big Move: Here’s What to WatchQuick Tip:
If you’re on a losing streak—three trades down—it’s okay to take a break. Don’t let FOMO (fear of missing out) get to you! Set a timer for 15 minutes, step away from your screen, and do something else. Go for a walk, change rooms, or just breathe. No charts for those 15 minutes. You’ll come back clearer and ready to make better decisions.
What’s Up With Tesla?
Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is at a crossroads, and things could get interesting soon. Here’s what to watch for:
1) If Tesla breaks above $440:
We could see the stock climb toward $544, which would be a strong move for the bulls.
2) If Tesla drops below $417:
It might head down to $389 or even lower, so be cautious.
Keep it simple: watch these levels, stay patient, and let the market show you where it’s going.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Tesla at the Crossroads: Breakout to $522 or a Slide to $420?Tesla’s price action is heating up as it hovers between $452 resistance and $441.54 support. A breakout above $452 could ignite a rally toward $522, while a breakdown below $441.54 might signal a drop to $420 or lower. This is the moment to stay sharp—will Tesla soar or stumble? Let’s dive into the key levels, actionable tips, and what to watch for next!
Any questions about this chart or any others send me a message
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Tesla: Are We Dropping to $350 or Climbing to $480?Good morning, trading family.
Tesla is sitting at a key level, and it looks like we’re about to see a big move. Here’s what I’m seeing:
Option 1:
We could see a drop of $50-$60, taking Tesla down to $350-$360 before it finds support and bounces back.
Option 2:
If Tesla holds here and starts pushing higher, it could climb to $440. After that, we might see either:
A pullback of $50-$60, OR
A continued run all the way to $480.
This is one of those times where the chart is doing the talking. Trade what you see, not what you hope for.
If this breakdown makes sense, hit like, follow, and share your thoughts below. Where do you think Tesla is headed next? Let’s figure it out together.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
TESLA bounced right where it was supposed to! NASDAQ:TSLA bounced right where it was supposed to!
Tesla has had resistance turned support turned back to resistance dating back to 2021 on the chart, as seen by the white circles. It has broken the $300 level for the second time in the past three or so years. Now that it's broken, it has pulled back to the 9ema on the weekly chart, and the area that was once resistance has turned...you guessed it... SUPPORT. See you at $400 plus!
-HighFiveSetup is still intact with massive measured moves higher from our 1 and 3-year inverse H&S patterns.
-Tesla is up over 3% on a day, and the market is pulling back, which shows even more bullishness.
NFA
Tesla’s Update Wild Ride: Targeting $360+ or Revisiting $287?Good morning, trading family! At the Mindbloome Exchange, we trade what we see, not what we hope for. Today, we’re watching Tesla closely. If it can break $327, the next targets are $338 and $360+. But if $327 holds as resistance, we could see a pullback to $307, and possibly even deeper moves to $298 or $287.
Breakdown of What We See:
Tesla’s Big Picture
The ultimate goal right now is $360+, but there’s work to do before we get there.
Key Resistance: $327
Tesla must break above $327 to show it has momentum for the next leg higher.
Next Target: $338
If $327 breaks, $338 is the next checkpoint to watch on the way to $360+.
Pullback Alert
If Tesla struggles at $327, we could see it pull back to $307 support.
Lower Levels to Watch
A break below $307 could mean deeper retracements to $298 or $287.
The Mindbloome Way
At the Mindbloome Exchange, we keep it simple: trade what you see. Stay patient, stay focused, and let the charts guide your decisions.
Kris/ Mindbloome Trading