Teslalong
TESLA ! ROCKET OR SUBMARINE ?! TESLA! Rocket or submarine. We must recognize that the evolution of the company last year, ignited a lot of imagination, and a lot of minds. Many fortunes were made and many were lost, in unnecessary shorts. Whether it was raining or windy, Tesla took off. The question is what's next ?! Well technically everything looks crystal clear, just news like today's about the stimulus, can shake the price for a few minutes more. But fundamental !? Well, it has 5 consecutive quarters on profit, ending the pandemic year with a 37% yoy increase in deliveries. And this in the year of the pandemic, I repeat, when we all stayed at home. Analysts see good reporting on Wednesday, and have a price target of $ 933. And basically the company looks good. But what we do to gentlemen is that everything that grows must decrease, that's how we know. Well, we'll see on Wednesday after closing. The thing is simple: it will be either a rocket or a submarine, but both nuclear, no doubt :)
TSLA - Short Squeeze Friday = New ATH $888 targetTesla will hit new ATH due to the 10+ Million Shares that will be purchased tomorrow by outstanding naked puts. If we gap higher overnight, by $15+ a run over $900 is possible. More than likely we'll settle in the $880 range after making a new ATH at some point (likely late) in the trading day.
TSLA continues upwards relentlessly. Short-term 12% rise coming.There is no doubt about the value of Tesla as a company. The proven value they provide is obvious: reducing EV manufacturing cost, making the best energy storage, launching self-driving, Tesla insurance, and more to come. However, regardless of fundamentals, this is a technical analysis that only considers the chart. That is generally my style. Today's green candle might not be huge, but it is a very strong signal of the bullish momentum to come. Yes, there is still bullish momentum in TSLA. This ascending triangle is getting broken to the upside. Taking the height of the triangle draws a target at $770, a 12% rise . Further is a higher target at $873 which I've set some time ago based on bigger scale trend analysis and Fibonacci which I might show later. The stop loss is at two points, depending on how reckless/conservative you are. The higher one is below the last swing low at $650. I don't see this one as a very convincing stop loss because price didn't linger there long enough to establish support. The lower stop loss is the support at $605 . This makes a 1:1 Risk-Reward trade; not very lucrative. However, it is a reason to hold on to your current longs. I see this as a strong signal of upward momentum and another reason to suggest $873 is achievable soon.
Oh. You might wonder why my triangle is crooked. An ascending triangle is supposed to have its upper line horizontal. Well, that's simply my experience observing Tesla. Call it an inflation-adjusted triangle, or whatever reason is accelerating TSLA's upward moves and decelrating its corrections, but in any case, it is easily justifiable to look at TSLA chart skewed upwards.
TSLA Existing Trade Update (Breakout Pattern) The daily chart on TSLA further confirms this breakout pattern as we’re stretching out the profits for our existing medium term vertical. Immediate wave iii upside shows the 721 target and ultimately 809. So far this bullish breakout pattern is in progress, look to maximize profits on existing longs. Will reassess wave count at 809 in 2021.
US Stock In Play: $TSLA (Tesla Inc)$TSLA has recaptured its all time high (traded on 18th December 2020) at the close of this morning session at $696.60, an intraday gain of +4.32% This totals up a +56.02% rally since the breakout of its Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern. Price volatility of $TSLA has been picking since early December as Wall Street braced for the inception of $TSLA into S&P500 on 18th December, with the necessary funds (i.e Physical ETFs) adjustments to match the benchmark’s shakeup.
As current price volatility remains significant at a range of $34/day ATR-14, $TSLA has treaded into a month long consolidated Bearish Wedge chart pattern. The negation of this Bearish Wedge would require $TSLA to attain $720 level within the next 10 trading session.
Tesla "Long"As announce today and based on the dilution decision of the Tesla to sell some of its shares of its company for 5 billion $ value what is the meaning of that for stock holders?
As Tesla is investing in Berlin and Texas for new factory lines and consecutively higher production rates, this 5 billion dollar absorption of Finance has a clear asset value and debt reduction of Tesla within 3 months. This perhaps will lead to risk reduction and lowering of current debt ratio of the company. The positive side of point of view is that now each stock has a higher value with 5 billion dollar cash flow in. Though it seems a dividend dilution for investors but in fact this strategy is a risk management approach for higher production rate and especially for future.
With this move not only the current valuation make more sense but it also will have a long term impact for holders. In addition, with S&P joining in 14th and 21th of December higher means of support for this company will be provided and will bring a positive insight especially for emergence of Electric vehicles, new batteries and solar energy products in prospective years.
TSLA - new highs Price made new all time high today. I would wait for a pull back or consolidation to enter, which you might not get considering how price behaved after break out in the past. But unless you are a positional trader, I would not consider adding at current levels due to high stoploss (below today's low)
TSLA Breakout Pattern, Bullish Trade Setup Notice a breakout pattern on TSLA with the inclusion of the stock in the S&P. Will the coming breakout pattern continue this trend and carry TSLA towards the 720-730 level? I am interested to establish some medium term Leaps or Bullish Vertical on TSLA with this breakout pattern. Check Video Updates on trade execution details.
TESLA at $700 before end of year?TSLA stock is very bullish just after the announcement of its S&P 500 inclusion.
Why $700?
I just found an old similar pattern...
Your comments are welcome.
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Legal disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The advice here given is not a financial advice even though my excitement might make it look like such. This account shouldn't be followed by anyone expecting something from me. You trade at your own risk and nobody can guarantee you results. Even if someone could, I don't.
TSLA: Tesla Gets Added to The S&P500Tesla (TSLA) is a one-of-a-kind electric vehicle company that is listed on the NASDAQ exchange. Just now, it has been announced that the stock will be added to the S&P500. In this analysis, we’ll take a look at the fundamentals of the company, as well as what this news means for Tesla.
Some of the information in this post is based on the analysis I wrote in March.
S&P500 Requirements
- There are certain requirements a company must fulfill in order to be added to the S&P500.
- The company must be a U.S. Company
- Must have a market cap of at least $8.2 Billion
- Must be highly liquid
- Must have a public float of at least 50% of its shares outstanding
- Its most recent quarter’s earnings and the sum of its trailing four consecutive quarters’ earnings must be positive.
Tesla had a hard time fulfilling the last part of the requirement, as it was not profiting for a while. They demonstrated increasing revenue, but a lot of their profits were reinvested into building infrastructures/gigafactories, and R&D.
Fundamental Analysis
- Despite the Corona Virus (COVID-19), Tesla has managed to manufacture and deliver record-high number of vehicles for 2020
- Tesla ended 2019 with 6 Billion Dollars, and early this year, they raised an additional 2 Billion through stock offering
- This indicates that Tesla had enough money to go endure the chaos caused by the viral outbreak
- Tesla is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credit regulations, racking up huge ZEV credits that other automotive companies pay billions to purchase
- In March 2020, Tesla has taken up 25% of the Chinese EV market, and further domination in arguably one of the most important markets is anticipated.
- With Biden’s winning the election almost being certain, it’s anticipated that Tesla will heavily benefit from Biden’s green policies.
Arguments against Tesla
- Tesla has a negative Earnings Per Share ( EPS ). Negative earnings are a red flag for value investors
- Tesla's operating margin is arguably too low, and not enough to be profitable for the long term
- Tesla's Debt to Equity ratio is quite high, and is a reason for concern, as it suggests that Tesla is a higher risk investment
- While gross income growth of Tesla for the past three years have been great, these are not sustainable numbers
- There are arguments against Tesla's management; some argue that Elon Musk gave himself too big of a compensation package
- This is concerning to investors, as the company has still not turned an annual profit.
- Most of the arguments against Tesla are in regards to their rather questionable financials, which they have now proven to be solid by being added to the S&P500
Future Projections
- While the Electric Vehicle ( EV ) Market continues to grow, Tesla's market share remains at 17~18% of a rapidly growing industry
- Tesla's gigafactories have shown unprecedented progress in terms of how fast the factory was built, as well as the automated manufacturing process
- Tesla has billions miles of autonomous driving data, which is more data than any other player in the market for self-driving cars
- Based on the vast amount of data, Tesla's self driving cars will allow the company to generate software-company-like margins
- Tesla has better battery efficiency compared to combustion engine cars, and can still benefit from economies of scale
- According to EV experts, Tesla's vehicles are at least 4-5 years more advanced than those of its competitors.
Technical Analysis
- We can look at the daily chart for some insight regarding technical analysis
- Tesla is notorious for ignoring a lot of the technical signals that appear on the chart.
- As it’s more driven by news and fundamental developments, it’s best to merely reference the technical aspect.
- We can see a clear uptrend marked by the ichimoku cloud support
- Prices trading above the 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) is a bullish sign
- We can see that we have never broken below the 200 SMA since Nov. 2019
- As we consolidate in a bullish pennant pattern, bullish news is likely to cause a breakout near the apex of the pattern.
Summary
In summary, Tesla is not for the average value investor, seeking to purchase stocks at an undervalued price. It is, however, for the investors who know how to value the company by future expectations. I believe that Tesla is an automotive company to the same degree as Amazon is a bookstore. There is a lot more potential in the fundamentals of this company that many fail to recognize, and despite the short term hardships it may face, the innovative values that Tesla prioritizes is what brought the company to the S&P500. This obviously isn’t the end for Tesla. From a conservative view, I can see the stock easily double in price from these levels. A lesson to take from this investment is that if you have an in-depth understanding of the asset or security you invest in, despite volatile price actions and bearish news, the patience of holding can greatly reward you.
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I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
Tesla long buy chartsConsidering i am long and currently hold 13 shares in my portfolio (for disclosure purposes) i have and extra buy zone for Tesla included. Normally I wouldn't sell Tesla and would just recommend buying when it goes down, if you are swing trading these are zones that could be useful. The most optimal buy zone is started at 318 and below. Most likely it is unlikely we see Tesla dip that far is still is a possibility that investors would be foolish to not jump on when the time comes. The second zone starts at 319-382. If you would like to add small amounts to your position 393-420. 421-447 is a holding zone and upwards from that is where you should start taking profits
$TSLAWe need some market sentiment and movement to push foward. We bounced off support really nicely, and Id like to see those two levels get broken with some conviction to send TSLA back on track. With election news coming a we could see market wide dips but So far TSLA has stayed in range so i would expect to see TSLA consolidate and could possible present a iron condor situation.
$TSLA - MOMENT OF TRUTH! Bullish pattern forming$TSLA is in a moment of truth here. #TSLA formed a bullish pennant after hitting all time highs. Pennants are considered continuation patterns (in this case a continuation of the violent uptrend). The volume is also declining in typical fashion during these types of continuation patterns. The Stoch RSI is oversold which TSLA responds well to on the 1D chart.
The yellow arrows are when TSLA reported delivery numbers too. These have typically been the launch point to new breakouts. If TSLA can break out of the pennant, the expected mid term move is towards $616 where the 1.272 Fib extension is. This would also coincide with its inclusion in the S&P 500 at the end of the year or the beginning of 2021.
Bullish pennants aren't a guaranteed bullish continuation though. They break to the upside a little more than half the time so prudent traders will want to watch for the breakout first.
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TSLA Squeeze is comingHave any of the TSLA bears paid any attention to the earnings call at all? Hello?
Shorts will be burned as usual.
Wedge pattern + Ascending triangle.
1st PT: 525-535
2nd PT: 625-635
I imagine we will get squeezed for the next 2-3 weeks. If Biden wins, it's good for EV/Clean energy. If Trump wins, it's good for EV/Clean energy.
Companies that practice ESG will win.
I bet Musk will become the first Trillionaire.