TESLA at $700 before end of year?TSLA stock is very bullish just after the announcement of its S&P 500 inclusion.
Why $700?
I just found an old similar pattern...
Your comments are welcome.
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Teslalong
TSLA: Tesla Gets Added to The S&P500Tesla (TSLA) is a one-of-a-kind electric vehicle company that is listed on the NASDAQ exchange. Just now, it has been announced that the stock will be added to the S&P500. In this analysis, we’ll take a look at the fundamentals of the company, as well as what this news means for Tesla.
Some of the information in this post is based on the analysis I wrote in March.
S&P500 Requirements
- There are certain requirements a company must fulfill in order to be added to the S&P500.
- The company must be a U.S. Company
- Must have a market cap of at least $8.2 Billion
- Must be highly liquid
- Must have a public float of at least 50% of its shares outstanding
- Its most recent quarter’s earnings and the sum of its trailing four consecutive quarters’ earnings must be positive.
Tesla had a hard time fulfilling the last part of the requirement, as it was not profiting for a while. They demonstrated increasing revenue, but a lot of their profits were reinvested into building infrastructures/gigafactories, and R&D.
Fundamental Analysis
- Despite the Corona Virus (COVID-19), Tesla has managed to manufacture and deliver record-high number of vehicles for 2020
- Tesla ended 2019 with 6 Billion Dollars, and early this year, they raised an additional 2 Billion through stock offering
- This indicates that Tesla had enough money to go endure the chaos caused by the viral outbreak
- Tesla is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credit regulations, racking up huge ZEV credits that other automotive companies pay billions to purchase
- In March 2020, Tesla has taken up 25% of the Chinese EV market, and further domination in arguably one of the most important markets is anticipated.
- With Biden’s winning the election almost being certain, it’s anticipated that Tesla will heavily benefit from Biden’s green policies.
Arguments against Tesla
- Tesla has a negative Earnings Per Share ( EPS ). Negative earnings are a red flag for value investors
- Tesla's operating margin is arguably too low, and not enough to be profitable for the long term
- Tesla's Debt to Equity ratio is quite high, and is a reason for concern, as it suggests that Tesla is a higher risk investment
- While gross income growth of Tesla for the past three years have been great, these are not sustainable numbers
- There are arguments against Tesla's management; some argue that Elon Musk gave himself too big of a compensation package
- This is concerning to investors, as the company has still not turned an annual profit.
- Most of the arguments against Tesla are in regards to their rather questionable financials, which they have now proven to be solid by being added to the S&P500
Future Projections
- While the Electric Vehicle ( EV ) Market continues to grow, Tesla's market share remains at 17~18% of a rapidly growing industry
- Tesla's gigafactories have shown unprecedented progress in terms of how fast the factory was built, as well as the automated manufacturing process
- Tesla has billions miles of autonomous driving data, which is more data than any other player in the market for self-driving cars
- Based on the vast amount of data, Tesla's self driving cars will allow the company to generate software-company-like margins
- Tesla has better battery efficiency compared to combustion engine cars, and can still benefit from economies of scale
- According to EV experts, Tesla's vehicles are at least 4-5 years more advanced than those of its competitors.
Technical Analysis
- We can look at the daily chart for some insight regarding technical analysis
- Tesla is notorious for ignoring a lot of the technical signals that appear on the chart.
- As it’s more driven by news and fundamental developments, it’s best to merely reference the technical aspect.
- We can see a clear uptrend marked by the ichimoku cloud support
- Prices trading above the 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) is a bullish sign
- We can see that we have never broken below the 200 SMA since Nov. 2019
- As we consolidate in a bullish pennant pattern, bullish news is likely to cause a breakout near the apex of the pattern.
Summary
In summary, Tesla is not for the average value investor, seeking to purchase stocks at an undervalued price. It is, however, for the investors who know how to value the company by future expectations. I believe that Tesla is an automotive company to the same degree as Amazon is a bookstore. There is a lot more potential in the fundamentals of this company that many fail to recognize, and despite the short term hardships it may face, the innovative values that Tesla prioritizes is what brought the company to the S&P500. This obviously isn’t the end for Tesla. From a conservative view, I can see the stock easily double in price from these levels. A lesson to take from this investment is that if you have an in-depth understanding of the asset or security you invest in, despite volatile price actions and bearish news, the patience of holding can greatly reward you.
If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
Tesla long buy chartsConsidering i am long and currently hold 13 shares in my portfolio (for disclosure purposes) i have and extra buy zone for Tesla included. Normally I wouldn't sell Tesla and would just recommend buying when it goes down, if you are swing trading these are zones that could be useful. The most optimal buy zone is started at 318 and below. Most likely it is unlikely we see Tesla dip that far is still is a possibility that investors would be foolish to not jump on when the time comes. The second zone starts at 319-382. If you would like to add small amounts to your position 393-420. 421-447 is a holding zone and upwards from that is where you should start taking profits
$TSLAWe need some market sentiment and movement to push foward. We bounced off support really nicely, and Id like to see those two levels get broken with some conviction to send TSLA back on track. With election news coming a we could see market wide dips but So far TSLA has stayed in range so i would expect to see TSLA consolidate and could possible present a iron condor situation.
$TSLA - MOMENT OF TRUTH! Bullish pattern forming$TSLA is in a moment of truth here. #TSLA formed a bullish pennant after hitting all time highs. Pennants are considered continuation patterns (in this case a continuation of the violent uptrend). The volume is also declining in typical fashion during these types of continuation patterns. The Stoch RSI is oversold which TSLA responds well to on the 1D chart.
The yellow arrows are when TSLA reported delivery numbers too. These have typically been the launch point to new breakouts. If TSLA can break out of the pennant, the expected mid term move is towards $616 where the 1.272 Fib extension is. This would also coincide with its inclusion in the S&P 500 at the end of the year or the beginning of 2021.
Bullish pennants aren't a guaranteed bullish continuation though. They break to the upside a little more than half the time so prudent traders will want to watch for the breakout first.
Like & share! 👍🏼📣
TSLA Squeeze is comingHave any of the TSLA bears paid any attention to the earnings call at all? Hello?
Shorts will be burned as usual.
Wedge pattern + Ascending triangle.
1st PT: 525-535
2nd PT: 625-635
I imagine we will get squeezed for the next 2-3 weeks. If Biden wins, it's good for EV/Clean energy. If Trump wins, it's good for EV/Clean energy.
Companies that practice ESG will win.
I bet Musk will become the first Trillionaire.
Tesla buyI want to show my future perspective on $TSLA with a technical analysis.
It is a super loved action among the staff of this community, that looking at it, we see that it has a fairly clean 𝐮𝐩𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐝.
From August until now, 𝐚 𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐥𝐞 𝐩𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐞𝐝, breaking it upwards.
At the bottom of the triangle is an area that touched 3 times before breaking it, so that area is 𝐚 𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲 𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐮𝐩𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭 ( 𝟑𝟑𝟖.𝟓𝟖 )
However, in the upper part of the triangle, it is a virgin area, it is 𝐚 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 ( 𝟓𝟏𝟎.𝟖𝟓 ) that sooner or later has to touch it at least, although it will surely end up breaking it as well.
In the middle we have 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐩𝐢𝐯𝐨𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐚 ( 𝟒𝟐𝟎.𝟔𝟐 ), it is an area that in the short term has to remain as support, 𝐨𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚 𝐠𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐲 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭.
If it respects that zone, and continues up, 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐲'𝐬 𝐓𝐏 destination would be at resistance 𝟓𝟏𝟎.𝟖𝟓.
The 𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐲´𝐬 𝐒𝐋 will be at 𝟒𝟎𝟒.𝟗𝟐 .
So with this trade if it goes well, it offers us with a 𝐒𝐋 -𝟑.𝟓𝟖%, a 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝟐𝟏.𝟑𝟏%. What is a 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 / 𝐫𝐞𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨 𝐨𝐟 𝟓.𝟗𝟔.
🅴🅰🆂🆈 🆂🆄🅼🅼🅰🆁🆈
𝐁𝐮𝐲 ➡️ 𝟒𝟐𝟎.𝟔𝟐
𝐒𝐋 ➡️ 𝟒𝟎𝟒.𝟗𝟐
𝐓𝐏 ➡️ 𝟓𝟏𝟎.𝟖𝟓
𝐑𝐢𝐬𝐤 / 𝐑𝐞𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝 𝟓.𝟗𝟔
TESLA (Y20.P4.E1).Macro.Upward pressureHi,
Keeping it short with the following observations:
With the news on Tesla having a better battery technology product, it doesn't surprise me that the price doesn't want to fall.
Generally this type of structure, I would look to the downside as it has a similar structure to GOLD at the top end, a fractal.
However I have the following reasons to justify why this will likely to go up some more.
a) Symmetrical triangle squeeze in an uptrend;
b) Daily 50 EMA lately acting as support with historical 21 EMA with the daily trend;
c) Fib levels has confluence with the daily ema support levels;
d) 2 indicators on the daily showing confluence with the price action; no bearish divergences, if anything, stoch shows bullish divergence; Note, RSI on the daily is above 50%, 54.9% to be accurate.
2 entry points on the chart; point E (based on elliot wave methodology for symmetrical triangle) is likely confirmed at the 0.382 level already.
Hence price is likely to go up as support seems to be holding at this level.
Please give me a tick or like for this post.
Regards,
S.SAri
Ref. A.Chart
GOLD Fractal, if price doesn't hold at point C
Gedankenexperiment: Vollständige Ladung in 12,5 min?Wer Batteryday verfolgt hat, konnte sehen, das Sie einen Akku Produzieren werden der "6 times Power" besitzt.
Das bedeutet an sich, dass das Fahrzeug das sechsfache an Leistung aus der Baterie entnehmen kann und das bei einer deutlich besseren Kühlung.
Dreht man den Spieß um, bedeutet das auch, dass die Baterie mi der sechsfachen Leistung geladen werten kann.
Unter berücksichtigung der aktuellen Ladezeiten von rund 75 min von 0 auf 100 % bedeutet das:
75 Min/6= 12,5 Min!!
Schöner finde ich allerdings folgende Rechnung mit der Ladezeit von 0-80 %:
40 Min/6=~4 Min
Meine Einschätzung:
Solid State hin oder her: Die wird lange Zeit zu teuer sein. Selbst wenn diese 50 oder gar 100 % mehr Energiedichte und auch Leistung hat, werden diese nicht an den Preis ran kommen welcher am Bateryday vorgestellt wurde.
Das Patent schützt Tesla ersteinmal vor einer Kopie, wie lange ist allerdings offen und sollte immer im Blick bleiben!
Andere Hersteller müssen erstmal an diese Ladezeiten kommen, was mit der alten Technologie nicht möglich ist. Unabhängig von der Kühlleistung des Akkus!
Es sieht echt nicht gut aus für die Konkurenz...
Langfristig gesehen hat Tesla mehr chancen als GM und Ford zusammen, da diese erstmal Ihre Schulden begleichen müssen (GM+Ford=300 Millarden; Tesla=30 Millarden) bevor Sie wirklich anfangen können Geld in die Forschung für Elektrofahrzeuge zu stecken.
Allerdings müssen SIe dafür die allten Fahrzeuge erstmal loswerden und das deutlich mehr als Sie bereits Produziert haben! Allerdings denke ich das viele so denken wie ich: "mein nächstes wird ein elektro"
Dann wähle ich rein nach Zahlen aus...
Hat jemand seine Eigenen gedanken dazu? Ich freue mich über Kommentare!
Dies sehe ich als mein Tagebuch und soll nicht als Handelsempfehlung angesehen werden.
Gedankenexperiment: Vollständige Ladung in 12,5 min?Wer Batteryday verfolgt hat, konnte sehen, das Sie einen Akku Produzieren werden der "6 times Power" besitzt.
Das bedeutet an sich, dass das Fahrzeug das sechsfache an Leistung aus der Baterie entnehmen kann und das bei einer deutlich besseren Kühlung.
Dreht man den Spieß um, bedeutet das auch, dass die Baterie mi der sechsfachen Leistung geladen werten kann.
Unter berücksichtigung der aktuellen Ladezeiten von rund 75 min von 0 auf 100 % (Quelle: de.wikipedia.org) bedeutet das:
75 Min/6= 12,5 Min!!
Schöner finde ich allerdings folgende Rechnung mit der Ladezeit von 0-80 %:
40 Min/6=~ 4 Min
Meine Einschätzung:
Solid State hin oder her: Die wird lange Zeit zu teuer sein. Selbst wenn diese 50 oder gar 100 % mehr Energiedichte und auch Leistung hat, werden diese nicht an den Preis ran kommen welcher am Bateryday vorgestellt wurde.
Das Patent schützt Tesla ersteinmal vor einer Kopie, wie lange ist allerdings offen und sollte immer im Blick bleiben!
Andere Hersteller müssen erstmal an diese Ladezeiten kommen, was mit der alten Technologie nicht möglich ist. Unabhängig von der Kühlleistung des Akkus!
Es sieht echt nicht gut aus für die Konkurenz...
Langfristig gesehen hat Tesla mehr chancen als GM und Ford zusammen, da diese erstmal Ihre Schulden begleichen müssen (GM+Ford=300 Millarden; Tesla=30 Millarden) bevor Sie wirklich anfangen können Geld in die Forschung für Elektrofahrzeuge zu stecken.
Allerdings müssen SIe dafür die allten Fahrzeuge erstmal loswerden und das deutlich mehr als Sie bereits Produziert haben! Allerdings denke ich das viele so denken wie ich: "mein nächstes wird ein elektro"
Dann wähle ich rein nach Zahlen aus...
Hat jemand seine Eigenen gedanken dazu? Ich freue mich über Kommentare!
Dies sehe ich als mein Tagebuch und soll nicht als Handelsempfehlung angesehen werden.
TESLA ABOUT TO BREAKDOWN - RECOVERY TREND LOOKS ON WAYDepending on new chart study it looks that tesla can recovery from 420+ area.
This depending on the USA market. US30 and nasdaq looking for a new Dip.
It can show some fake effect increase, but expecting that it wil end the market with -
Have good time all (:
Follow for more updates
Thank you
NO WORRY ABOUT TESLA - IT WILL RECOVERY HUGE BACK!As the most in panic about the panic of selling, will the hodl users win at last.
Tesla are a company with long term vision. and as the new car of 25K coming into the market the stock will increase more, and we should also not forgot the possible list on SP500.
Expecting price recovery back, and still that tesla will hit all time high. ( above 500 +)
Have good time all(: