Get started

Teslalong

The Secret Behind TSLA's 8% Jump on 11/23 - just getting startedI noticed the stars aligning on TSLA, and now much that has happened since Elon took over Twitter is starting to make sense. 1) Elon mentioned back in October it was likely TSLA would do a $5-10B buyback 2) Biden's inflation reduction act creates a 1% excise tax on all Stock Buybacks starting 1/1/23. At a $10B buyback, this represents a $100,000,000 unnecessary liability to the company - meaning Tesla is either going to do a buyback before end of year...or never. A $10B leaves the company in a very strong position w/ a Debt Ratio of .27. The benchmark for a strong company is .4 - meaning Tesla could easily buy back anywhere between $10B or as much as $13.5B of stock and stay in a strong position. 3) TSLA's super hyped and long anticipated Semi 1st delivery event is slated for 12/1. These events have typically sent TSLA shares soaring (even the cybertruck debacle) 4) The chart below shows abnormal relative volume by time period. I recognized a similar pattern when Elon was SELLING shares to finance Twitter earlier this month. Tesla's board isn't dumb and w/ Elon as CEO knew this would depress the price and create a buyback opportunity. 5) Tesla is presently flush with cash ($21B) and has easily manageable debt ($3B). A $10B buyback at $170-180/share would equate to 56M shares. Tesla's 3M average daily volume: 74.7M - volume today: 108.2 (45% ABOVE avg volume) - 33.5M excess shares. This likely indicates TSLA bought back around 25-28M shares. 6) TSLA is well in the green this year - yet the don't issue dividends. I'm not 100% certain on this point, but I believe a company purchasing it's own stock can offset profits and reduce it's tax liability. Tesla doesn't issue dividends, so there's no reason to hold the cash reserves to incur the 21% corporate tax rate. Add to this the fact that the stock got crushed the last 2 months - falling from $308 to $168 (45%), and every Tesla share holder is very eager to stop the bleeding. What to do...what to do??? 7) Elon's tweets have been a hotbed for moving TSLA, DOGE, and TWTR shares in the past. Since the Twitter takeover, Elon has been mostly mum aside from some very vanilla posts about TSLA - nothing that would dramatically impact the price. 8) Short volume, while not excessive, will add some fuel to the fire as they cover positions. Tesla will rebound in dramatic fashion the next few weeks as will the broader market. Corporations saw record profits in Q2 of this year, and if my assumptions on buybacks reducing a corporations tax liabilities are correct - the entire market will likely see a very merry santa rally. Even if a corporation is forced to pay tax on stock buy backs that is similar to corporate tax of 21%, delaying beyond 12/31/21 makes zero financial sense for companies in a strong financial position like Tesla. My very bold prediction: Tesla finishes 2022 in dramatic fashion over $250/share. Closer to $300/share isn't out of the question.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DontListenToThisClown
1
Buying TSLA break higher.Tesla - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 238.11 (stop at 221.98) Weekly bullish divergence is expected to support prices. A break of the recent high at 237.40 should result in a further move higher. Trading has been mixed and volatile. The primary trend remains bullish. Our profit targets will be 279.29 and 289.29 Resistance: 238 / 255 / 280 Support: 210 / 198 / 180 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Saxo
Tesla 20 % bounce comingRecently we published where we explained that there´s more downside coming. So far the idea is playing out as expected. We expect the price continue down as angles of the Keltner channel are still pointing to the downside . We expect the price to reach the buy zone in the next days. Next we expect the bounce and filling the gap which corresponds with the price resistance . Summary of the trade: 20 % gains to be made by bulls. Buy at the support Sell at the resistance / the gap Good luck
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by vf_investment
4
Tesla is rising. TSLAI never thought this would happen so soon, but I am putting in a long on this occasion on Tesla, after multiple shorts on this stock over the last five months. C Wave of an upgoing zigzag appears to have reached confirmation. Looking at the morphology - hands down impulsive. Fibs show the rest. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Rykin_Capital
Tesla deliveries fall. Is its stock price next?Tesla's stock price last Friday jumped from $673.42 to $681.79, gaining 1.24% after the end of the session. Tesla stock showed signs of range contraction during the day, making an intraday range from $666.36 day low to a day high of $690.69, the narrowest in the last seven days. The stock volume was 79% of the average volume on the previous trading day, down by 11 million shares and $14 billion in value. This low volume might signify possible price changes for the subsequent trading sessions. For a longer-term view, Tesla's stock price, which is currently on a downtrend, is down by 35% this year, slightly more than the Nasdaq Composite (at -30%). Tesla stock might continue this downside as the market digests its quarterly report for the second half of this year. Tesla reported just over 250,000 deliveries, its first decline in deliveries since quarter one, 2022. On the technical side, looking at the 4-hour chart, a trend channel indicator shows a clear downtrend as candles create lower highs and lower lows. --- The price, now sitting at the top of the falling trend, might see a continued move to the downside and create another lower low at $560 after breaking the $620 support and potentially targeting the $450 price point. However, a break to the upside on the $785 resistance might indicate a potential short-term buy and target at least $865 to fill the gap. Watch for trading in the tight range of $734 and $784 in this case. Price rejecting at the $785 resistance or $620 support level means that we will see an extension to its period of consolidation in this price range, which it has held since May 11, 2022.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BlackBull_Markets
Will Elon musk & Tesla change the WorldThe statistics are between $732 - $950 (1 Year). After delaying virtually all new vehicle launches for the last few years, Elon Musk has now set a strong timeline for Tesla to bring Cybertruck, Roadster, and Tesla Semi to production in 2023. Once these products and more come out, Tesla will blow up again by at least $1.500. Cathie Wood's Ark Invest says Tesla stock will more than quadruple in price by 2026 if it can deliver a network of self-driving taxis. ARK Invest reiterated its bullish view on Tesla on Monday with a $4,600 price target by 2026.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TraderMentorX
Tesla: Hooting all the way?!Tesla Short Term - We look to Buy at 688.08 (stop at 625.32) Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Posted a Double Bottom formation. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Further upside is expected. Our profit targets will be 837.27 and 880.00 Resistance: 840.00 / 960.00 / 1100.00 Support: 680.00 / 545.00 / 400.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’ ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VantageMarkets