Was Tesla the Canary in the Coal Mine for the Stock Market? After the SEC went after Elon Musk, we saw the stock drop 30%, but the chart already showed that a big reversal was in store for Tesla with a bearish divergence and a swing high failure on the RSI on the daily chart as well as the weekly chart.
We also see that magical Canfield Fibonacci level show up at 17.944 as the top for Tesla.
I debuted these fibonacci extensions in my last post here if you'd like to learn more about them and how I calculated them:
This was the same level that Gold and Bitcoin were rejected at.
You will see that Tesla hit the 17.944 Fibonacci extension and formed a massive bearish divergence and a swing high failure that we’ve seen on the Dow Jones, Amazon, Apple and many of the other charts I highlighted.
AMAZON CURRENTLY FACING THE 17.944 with the same bearish divergence.
Dow Jones facing the same bearish divergence.
After this bearish divergence, Tesla had one more run back to the 17.944 before getting rejected and is currently retracing to the 11.09 Fibonacci extension.
We saw a 50% fall from it’s all time high around $383 for a bounce around $194.
Do the other charts and indexes I highlighted have the same fate in store?
Monday will be a big day for stocks as they’ve already had one of the worst downward slides since May of this year.
Bitcoin is still in undecided territory and I have highlighted both a bearish and a bullish scenario.
Let me know what you guys think of the new Canfield Fibonacci levels and if they're helping you with your analysis.
Monday will be a very interesting day...
Teslamotors
Tesla Will Be Okay!!! Don't Sell!!The reason Tesla will grow again! Tesla has gone through way worse stuff that Elon smoking some weed! He would be fine if guilty and so would the stock. if he has to make the decision to step down, which he wouldn't do he's too crazy to do that, but if he did Tesla would go on to be bought by google and would boost the stock again!
Tesla Analysis + PredictionsTesla is going to be trailing with some negative correlation at around a $315 price point. Tesla as a whole has been undervalued lately though as a stock due to short bets against Tesla's company. Numerous Wall Street analyst don't seem to be seeing positive growth for Tesla. This is likely the reason the company is transferring to private ownership. With many people concerned over Tesla's stock price and all the news surrounding shortening, it likely prevents Elon Musk from continuing growth or increasing morale for its corporate culture.
$TSLA | Heading Lower | Counter Trend MoveHello Traders,
Model suggests further decline in in Tesla. This is a counter trend move so any of the following targets can have a strong reaction and start a reversal in price. Idea becomes invalidated if new high is created, which is common with counter trend moves.
Bullish Before EarningsKey points
- Started parabolic run Feb 2016.
- Found heavy support at the 61.8 fib extension
- Down -20% this year, putting it in bear territory.
Last report, Tesla beat estimates virtually across the board. Elon predicts profitability Q4. Options are implying a 8-10% move up or down which is huge, larger than the usual 5% shift. Notice how the 78.6 extension has served as heavy resistance and we've failed to break $325 three times.
Decreasing volume and MACD crossover could give bulls momentum for a breakout with a $315 target. I would expect a correction soon after however, and generally sideways action until Q4 when the most important earnings report is released, going into 2019. I don't see it going higher than $315 short-term since weekly chart is bearish. Also, multiple failed retests and lower highs this month. Trade war prospects significantly impact Tesla's bottom line, and investors are showing caution based on technicals.
Bottom line
Cautiously Bullish (short-term)
Entry: $300
Exit: Sell 25% at $307, 33% at $310 and let rest (58% long) ride until signs of bearish reversal.
Stop loss: $296
Tesla Elliott Wave Analysis: Correction Sill In ProgressHello Traders,
In this Elliott Wave Analysis, we will have a look at Tesla in the 1-hour timeframe.
Tesla ended the cycle from 04/02/18 low (245.19) at the peak of 06/18/18 (373.85) in blue wave (1). Below from there, the stock is in the progress of correcting the cycle from 04/02/18 low in 3-7 or 11 swings lower in blue wave (2). The internals of blue wave (2) pullback is unfolding as an Elliott Wave double correction where red wave W ended at 07/05/18 low (296.05).
The internals of red wave W unfolded as a flat structure, where it ended black wave ((a)) at 06/26/18 (325.54), black wave ((b)) pullback at 07/02/18 peak (366.85) and black wave ((c)) of red wave W at 07/05/18 low (296). Up from there, it ended red wave X pullback at 07/10/18 peak (329.44). Below from that peak, it ended blue wave (w) at 07/24/18 low (292.35) and blue wave (x) pullback at 07/26/18 peak (310.63).
Near-term focus remains towards the area of 272.92-264.22, which is 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of blue wave (w)-(x) before a reaction higher can be seen. As long as the pivot at 329.44 peak stays intact, we expect it to extend lower as the right side remains still to the downside.
Tesla Stock: $300 Short TargetPeople love to be overwhelmingly critical of Tesla Motors, especially given yesterday's analyst call. However, Tesla is seemingly going to expand throughout 2nd quarter 2018. Even given how much money they burnt, they still technically surpassed revenue expectations and are a growing car company. Given where electric cars are heading as well as the moderate success of the Roadster and Model S, it is unreasonable to consider Tesla a failing company. The continuous bidding against it shows some short biases.
tesla on the brinkFounded by Elon Musk, the company, has some rather concerning fundamentals. Don’t get me wrong, electric vehicles are the future; we need renewable sources of energy before the world reaches peak oil. Big Energy companies are slowly moving away from oil as a source of energy we are witnessing electric cars solar panels pop up everywhere the future is here and it is happening. The energy sector is changing but we shouldn’t get carried away. If you would indulge me for a few pages I will give you some numbers and you can decide for yourself whether one should be cautious or not. The charts I will put up in this report were obtained from the company’s earnings reports.