TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip here:
or sold the top:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 255usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $7.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Teslamotors
Tesla Stock: The Best Case Might Be Going NowhereTesla TSLA 0.51% earnings are on tap this week—and the stock isn’t making the bulls feel as bullish as they usually are. They would feel a lot better if profit margins looked like they were bottoming out.
Tesla (ticker: TSLA) is due to report third-quarter numbers Wednesday evening. Wall Street is looking for earnings per share of about 73 cents, down from 77 cents a couple of weeks ago. It’s coming in a little after the company delivered some 435,000 vehicles in the third quarter, missing Wall Street estimates by about 20,000 units.
Price targets are coming down with the estimates. On Monday, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter cut his target on Tesla stock to $290 a share from $300, though he still has a Buy rating on Tesla stock. While Cybertruck is due to be delivered soon, he sees shares trading “sideways, at best, in the coming months.” He wants profit margins to bottom and delivery growth to accelerate before investors get more excited about the stock.
He has a point about margins. Automotive gross profit margins have been coming down with prices for new Tesla vehicles. The price for a new long-range Model Y is down roughly 25% from peak levels. Tesla’s automotive gross profit margin in the second quarter came in at about 18%, down from a peak of about 30% in the first quarter of 2022.
Wedbush analyst Dan Ives agrees that investors will be “laser-focused” on profit margins. He sees automotive gross profit margins coming in around 17% for the third quarter, but investors are probably ready for a weak third quarter. What they want is a sign from management that margins are bottoming out.
Tesla 12/10 MovePair : TESLA
Description :
After Corrective Waves " abc " it has Completed Impulsive Waves " 1234 ". Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame. Impulse Correction Impulse with Divergence
Entry Precautions :
Wait Until it Breaks the Upper or Lower Trend Line and Retest
Tesla (TSLA) -> 300% Is The GoalMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Tesla.
With the Covid19 Crash in March of 2020 Tesla stock perfectly entered a solid rising channel and and pumped more than 1000% towards the upside before retracing 70%.
Following this bullish trajectory I do expect another short term pullback to retest the $200 level before we could see a pump at least back to the previous all time high at $400.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Tesla -> Will Hisory Repeat ItselfMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only focus on price action and market structure 🖥️
I am trading the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Tesla.
All the way back in 2020 Tesla stock broke out of a monthly triangle formation and pumped more than 1.500% towards the upside. You can see that at the moment Tesla stock is once again creating a monthly triangle formation and there might be another breakout coming soon.
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When the market moves where, and how, and if - these are all unknown.
The only thing which you can control is your risk.
- Philip Basic Trading -
Keep the long term vision🫡
$TSLA Re-entering the $400 rangeFig. 1 displays a potential re-entry of NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla Inc.) into the range of $400-588 as our target. This analysis is based on a slight confirmation of the Fibonacci guide .618 ratio (indicated in green) as observed in late April this year. There is room for future confirmation if the price recedes below the moving average cross (MA cross) Fig. 2 .
[ Fig. 3 ] We can anticipate a slight downturn in the price of NASDAQ:TSLA , from its current level of $259, towards or below the moving averages indicated by the cyan and blue indicators. This potential dip is expected to be followed by an upward rebound, leading to a re-test of Zone 1 .
Analyzing RIVN's Outperformance Over TSLA Amidst Cash BurnToday, I would like to draw your attention to an intriguing market trend that has caught the attention of many investors - the outperformance of RIVN stock compared to TSLA, despite RIVN's ongoing cash burn. While this phenomenon may raise eyebrows, it is essential to approach it with a cautious and analytical mindset. Let's delve into the reasons behind this unexpected market behavior and explore why some investors are considering a long position on RIVN.
1. Dissecting RIVN's Outperformance:
a) Market Sentiment: Investors are drawn to RIVN's potential as a disruptor in the EV industry, which has fueled a positive market sentiment.
b) Growth Prospects: RIVN's innovative technologies, such as its autonomous driving capabilities and unique battery technology, have garnered attention for their potential to revolutionize the EV market.
c) Competitive Advantage: RIVN's focus on the luxury EV segment, along with its strong brand image, has positioned the company as a formidable competitor to TSLA.
1. Understanding RIVN's Cash Burn
2. A Cautious Call-to-Action
a) In-depth Research: Dive into RIVN's financial reports, growth projections, and competitive landscape to gain a comprehensive understanding of the company's position.
b) Risk Assessment: Evaluate the risks associated with RIVN's cash burn and weigh them against the potential rewards of its growth prospects.
c) Diversification: Ensure that any investment in RIVN aligns with your overall investment strategy and risk tolerance. Diversify your portfolio to mitigate potential risks.
d) Expert Opinions: Seek insights from trusted financial advisors or industry experts who can provide informed opinions on RIVN's prospects.
In conclusion, RIVN's outperformance over TSLA, despite its cash burn, has sparked interest among investors. However, it is vital to approach this opportunity with caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
Remember, the stock market is inherently unpredictable, and it is crucial to make informed choices based on a well-rounded analysis of the available information.
Is TSL Stock Worthy Beyond 2025? Let's Uncover That
Now, I know what you might be thinking. TSLA has been quite the rollercoaster ride, with its stock price soaring to astronomical heights and then experiencing some sharp declines. But let's not forget the incredible achievements and disruptive innovations that Tesla has brought to the table. From electric vehicles to renewable energy solutions, this company has been at the forefront of revolutionizing multiple industries.
Looking ahead, it's crucial to consider some key factors that could shape Tesla's future performance. The electric vehicle market is projected to witness substantial growth, driven by increasing environmental concerns and government regulations. Tesla, being a pioneer in this domain, is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend and maintain its market dominance.
Moreover, Tesla's ambitious plans to expand its production capacity, particularly in emerging markets like China, bode well for its long-term prospects. As the company continues to scale up, economies of scale could potentially lead to improved margins and profitability. Additionally, Tesla's investments in autonomous driving technology could open up new revenue streams and solidify its position as a leader in the automotive industry.
Now, let's talk about the call-to-action. As traders, it's essential to keep a close eye on the performance of our investments. I encourage you to consider holding onto TSL if it consistently outperforms the SPY ETF (S&P 500 Index). While past performance is not indicative of future results, this metric can serve as a valuable indicator of TSLA's strength relative to the broader market.
By closely monitoring TSLA's performance against the SPY ETF, we can make informed decisions about the stock's long-term potential. Remember, investing is all about calculated risks and staying ahead of the curve. If TSLA consistently outshines the broader market, it may be worth considering as a long-term holding in your portfolio.
In conclusion, the question of whether TSLA is a stock worthy of holding beyond 2025 is a topic that sparks curiosity and debate. While the future is uncertain, Tesla's innovative spirit, market position, and growth opportunities make it an intriguing candidate for long-term investors.
So, let's keep a watchful eye on TSLA's performance and evaluate its potential against the SPY ETF. If it continues to outperform, it might just be the time to consider holding onto Tesla and ride the waves of its future success.
TSLA in Early Talks with Saudi Arabia to Open EV FactoryBrace yourselves, because Tesla (TSLA) is in early discussions with none other than Saudi Arabia to establish a groundbreaking electric vehicle (EV) factory. This announcement has sent shockwaves through the market, and I couldn't be more excited to share the potential it holds for all of us.
Imagine the possibilities! Tesla, the trailblazer in the EV industry, joining forces with one of the world's most influential nations. This collaboration has the potential to reshape the future of transportation and solidify Tesla's position as the undisputed leader in the EV market.
The Saudi Arabian government, recognizing the immense potential of electric vehicles, is keen to invest in this transformative technology. They understand that Tesla's visionary approach and groundbreaking innovations have revolutionized the automobile industry, and they want to be a part of this remarkable journey. This early-stage discussion indicates a strong commitment from both parties to drive sustainable mobility forward.
Now, let's talk about the enormous opportunities this collaboration presents for us as traders. The potential establishment of an EV factory in Saudi Arabia could translate into a significant boost in production capacity for Tesla, enabling it to meet the ever-growing global demand for electric vehicles. This expansion would undoubtedly lead to increased revenue and, consequently, a potential surge in TSLA stock value.
So, where does this leave us? It's time to seize this moment and consider a long position on TSLA. With the early talks between Tesla and Saudi Arabia underway, we have a unique chance to ride the wave of optimism and reap the rewards of this potentially game-changing partnership.
In light of this exciting news, I urge you to conduct your due diligence and analyze the potential impact this collaboration could have on Tesla's market position and stock performance. Keep a close eye on any further developments and market indicators that could influence TSLA's trajectory.
Remember, successful traders are always alert to emerging opportunities, and this collaboration between Tesla and Saudi Arabia has the potential to be a game-changer. Don't miss out on the chance to be part of this electrifying journey!
Stay tuned for more updates, and let's ride the wave of innovation together!
www.wsj.com
A look back and forward to w/c 18th September #TradewithDaveIn the latest #TradewithDave update we consider some of this week’s big events, and take a look at what’s happening in the week beginning 18th September.
US inflation
We had the latest updates on US inflation in the form of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and the Producer Price Index (PPI). While mixed overall, both reports showed some upside surprises, with Headline year-on-year CPI and month-on-month PPI both coming in hotter than expected. Despite fears that higher inflation could lead to the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates further, all the major US stock indices have continued to rally. In addition, the probability that the US Federal Reserve will announce ‘no change’ to its key Fed Funds rate this coming Wednesday barely moved. According to the CME’s FedWatch tool, there’s a 97% chance that the upper band will remain at 5.50%. We also had the ARM IPO, the biggest initial public offering in two years. The shares were priced at $51 each, valuing the company at $54 billion. It was considered a great success as the stock rallied 25% to close at $63.59 on the first day of trading.
Tesla – rubber hits the road again
Tesla rallied sharply on Monday, ending the session up 10% following an upgrade from Morgan Stanley. Tesla has recovered substantially this year following a drastic sell-off in 2022 on the back of the US Federal Reserve’s programme of aggressive rate hikes. But it suffered a sharp reversal between mid-July and mid-August. Since then, it appears to have found its footing once again. It is up 170% so far this year, trading above $270 per share. But this remains well below the all-time high of $418 hit in November 2021.
Check out Tesla…
Talking of cars…
The US auto sector is in focus as negotiations between major manufacturers Ford, General Motors and Stellantis and the UAW union appear to have broken down. Tensions between the two sides have been mounting as the switch to Electric Vehicles (EVs) has dramatically changed manufacturing priorities. In particular, the move away from making and installing internal combustion engines, in favour of large battery packs. This has resulted in a reliance on battery factories which tend to be ununionized. At the time of writing, around 13,000 workers across all three auto companies have gone on strike. Without a rapid settlement, this has the potential to contribute to a sizeable hit to US growth. Ford and General Motors are both down around 19% since early July, while Stellantis has lost around 10% over the past two months.
Check out Ford…
Apple suffers a setback
Along with many tech stocks, Apple has made back a significant proportion of the fall in its share price during 2022. It rose around 60% from the beginning of this year to mid-July, when it hit a fresh record high around $198, before pulling back sharply over the following month. We then saw it rally again into early September before it slumped 8.5% in two days. This followed reports from the Wall Street Journal that China had banned the use of iPhones by central government officials. The news was denied this week by China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Mao Ning. But the White House said they were following events with concern, and that China’s actions appear to be ‘aggressive and inappropriate corporate retaliation. Apple doesn’t disclose iPhone sales by country, but research firm TechInsights estimates that there were more iPhone sales in China than in the US last quarter. Despite this pull-back in the share price, Apple remains the largest company in the world by market capitalisation.
Check out Apple…
🔸 Looking ahead to next week
Keeping an eye on ARM
The ARM IPO has been hailed as a sign that the new listings market is bursting back to life after a difficult year in 2022. Indeed, several other companies have announced their intentions to go public including the grocery delivery company Instacart, marketing data concern Klavigo and posh sandal-maker Birkenstock. There are now hopes that the IPO market will really take off in 2024.
Central Banks
Other important events next week include the release of minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s last monetary policy meeting, CPI updates from the Eurozone, Canada and the UK, and interest rate decisions from the Bank of England, Bank of Japan and Swiss National Bank.
The US Federal Reserve
But the biggest event in the calendar by far is the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting which concludes on Wednesday evening. As noted previously, the probability of no change in interest rates stands at 97%. However, this is the first FOMC meeting since July when the Fed hiked rates by 25 basis points. It’s also a quarterly meeting which means we’ll see the release of the FOMC’s Summary of Economic Projections. This is where individual members of the FOMC provide their forecasts for inflation, the Fed Funds rate, GDP and unemployment for the rest of this year and beyond. Everyone will be looking for any changes from the last summary in June to provide clues to the Fed’s thinking. Could they now signal that they have raised rates enough, or will they once again caution that inflation could rise again? On top of this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell also hold a press conference which may give further insight into the Fed’s frame of mind.
Tesla - A Juggernaut Has Awakened...Monthly, Weekly, Daily Timeframe
The Juggernaut awakens. If we zoom out on the monthly , we begin to see confluence
- 💎Green Diamonds
- 💹 Green Track-line
- ⌭ Diminishing RED volatility momentum.
On the Weekly we see
- 🔶 A Confirmed Golden Reversal Diamond 3 weeks ago that's lead to a meaningful Trend Shift.
- ⌭ Green, Positive compounding volatility momentum leading the trend.
- 💎 Green Diamonds
- 💹 Green Track-line
Behind the scenes these indicators do the work of hundreds. This gives us a high degree of confluence on this asset momentum.
On The Daily
- 🔶 Golden reversal diamond on retest of the track-line with 💎 Diamonds leading the way.
- ⌭ Green, Positive compounding volatility momentum leading the trend.
It's blue skies until we start seeing the inverse of these signals on the daily timeframe. Even then I would start looking at the weekly timeframe for confluence.
Morgan Stanley Upgrades Tesla Stock - Time to Go Long on TSLA!I'm thrilled to share with you that Tesla (TSLA) has just received a significant boost in its stock rating, courtesy of the renowned financial institution, Morgan Stanley! This upgrade has undoubtedly caught the attention of many investors, and I believe it's time for us to seize this opportunity and go long on TSLA!
Morgan Stanley's recent stock upgrade for Tesla is a clear indication of their confidence in the company's prospects. This positive development has already started to impact the market, with TSLA's stock showing signs of an upward trajectory. As savvy traders, we know that such upgrades often attract increased attention and can lead to substantial gains. So, let's not miss out on this potentially lucrative opportunity!
Tesla has consistently demonstrated its innovation and dominance in the electric vehicle industry. With their groundbreaking technology, impressive product lineup, and global presence, Tesla is poised for remarkable growth in the coming years. Morgan Stanley's upgrade serves as a validation of Tesla's strong fundamentals and its ability to deliver on its promises.
Now, you might be wondering, "What's the next step?" Well, my fellow traders, it's time to take action! I encourage you to consider going long on TSLA and take advantage of this positive momentum. By going long, we can potentially benefit from the expected rise in Tesla's stock price and maximize our returns.
Remember, investing in the stock market always carries some level of risk, but with careful analysis and a well-informed approach, we can minimize those risks and increase our chances of success. Conduct your due diligence, review the latest market trends, and consider consulting with your financial advisor to make an informed decision that aligns with your investment goals.
So, let's ride the wave of optimism surrounding Tesla's stock and capitalize on this exciting upgrade from Morgan Stanley. Together, we can make the most of this opportunity and aim for profitable outcomes!
Wishing you happy trading and abundant success!
Tesla -> Wait For The 3rd Timeframe!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Tesla 💪
After Tesla stock broke out of the parallel channel all the way back in 2019 there was a super solid rally of more than 1500% towards the upside on this stock.
You can also see that Tesla just retested and started to reject previous weekly structure and in confluence with bullish moving averages we could see more continuation towards the upside.
Finally I am waiting for a daily shift back to a bullish market which will happen if Tesla breaks the current daily resistance level and then all 3 timeframes are pointing towards a move higher.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
Long DCFCLong DCFC last few days, average price around $1.00. Pretty heavy. Chart is beautiful.....massive H and S reversal pattern. If Daily closes like this epic hammer candle. Electric vehicle narrative only going to heat up. TP is retirement (just kidding lol). Not advise, good luck.
Tesla NeutralIn no mans land currently, not ideal to buy or to go short. At a small resistance gap currently, if it pushes through i expect 290 - 300. Buy areas would be a pull back to the $210 region, or even better around $180 but i am unsure if we get it if the nasdaq doesnt pull back (is at resistance currently). Risk reward is not here currently, but im watching it.
Tesla at Key Resistance on earnings dayTesla NASDAQ:TSLA
Earnings today Wednesday 19th July (AFTER close)
A reminder that prior to a similar major megaphone breakout in 2019 resulting in 161% increase in 32 days, we FIRST had a 10% pull back off the upper megaphone resistance.
I believe this resistance at the $300 - $314 level for Tesla (See Chart). I am expecting a pause or pull back here of c.10% or more.
Eventually we should breach the $300 level and find support above $314. The trade becomes much safer then.
The 200 day is far away from price atm and we will revisit it at some stage. In 2019 we had a massive breakout of 161% and came all the way back down to the resistance level.... patience is king. If you intend on sitting through such a move, fine. If not and you want to pick a less stressful entry keep these things in mind and use my chart as helpful guide.
PUKA
Does Tesla Lowering Car Prices Concern Among Traders?Introduction:
In recent news, Tesla, the renowned electric vehicle manufacturer, has made headlines again by announcing a significant reduction in the prices of their car models. While this move may seem appealing to consumers, it raises concerns within the trading community regarding the potential implications for Tesla's stock value. In this article, we will explore the reasons behind Tesla's decision, examine the potential impact on the car market demand, and discuss a call-to-action for traders considering shorting TSLA amidst this situation.
Understanding Tesla's Price Reduction Strategy:
Tesla's decision to lower car model prices can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, as the electric vehicle market becomes increasingly competitive, Tesla aims to maintain its market share and attract new customers by offering more affordable options. Secondly, the company's ongoing efforts to streamline production and reduce manufacturing costs have allowed them to pass on these savings to consumers. Lastly, Tesla's long-term vision of revolutionizing sustainable transportation involves achieving economies of scale, which can be facilitated by lowering prices and increasing sales volume.
Potential Impact on Car Market Demand:
While lower prices may initially spark interest and boost sales, considering the broader implications for the car market demand is crucial. As Tesla reduces its car model prices, other manufacturers may be compelled to follow suit, leading to a potential price war. This scenario could decrease profit margins across the industry and impact the overall demand for electric vehicles. Moreover, with the global economic uncertainty caused by the ongoing pandemic, consumer spending patterns may be more cautious, further dampening the demand for higher-priced electric vehicles.
Call-to-Action: Shorting TSLA Amidst Dropping Car Market Demand
Traders, it is essential to closely monitor the evolving situation in the car market and consider the potential impact on Tesla's stock value. As the demand for cars, especially higher-priced electric vehicles, faces potential challenges, shorting TSLA could be a prudent strategy. By shorting TSLA, traders can profit from the anticipated decline in Tesla's stock value.
However, exercising caution and conducting thorough research is crucial before making any investment decisions. Analyze Tesla's financials, monitor market trends, and stay updated with the latest electric vehicle industry news. Remember, shorting a stock involves risks, and it is advisable to consult with a financial advisor or professional trader to determine the best course of action based on your individual risk tolerance and investment goals.
Conclusion:
As Tesla lowers car model prices, it is natural for traders to express concern about the potential impact on the company's stock value. By closely monitoring the evolving car market demand and considering shorting TSLA as a possible strategy, traders can capitalize on the anticipated decline in Tesla's stock value. However, it is crucial to approach this decision with caution and seek professional guidance to mitigate risks and make informed investment choices.
Tesla: Bearish till 200 SMA Tesla's current trajectory suggests a bearish sentiment taking hold, hinting at a forthcoming test of the pivotal 200-SMA at USD 220. A decisive breach of this level could open the door to an initial target at 210, and if the bulls falter there, the spotlight may turn towards the 180 mark as the next potential support zone.
Tesla Slashes Model 3 and Model Y Prices in ChinaIntroduction:
In a surprising move, Tesla recently announced a significant price reduction for its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in China. This strategic decision aims to boost sales and maintain Tesla's stronghold in the world's largest electric vehicle (EV) market. However, as traders, it is essential to exercise caution and carefully evaluate the current stock outlook before making any investment decisions. Let's explore the details and why a pause on Tesla might be prudent until the stock outlook turns up.
The Price Cut:
Tesla's decision to reduce prices for its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in China has undoubtedly captured the attention of consumers and investors alike. The price reduction, ranging from 8% to 20%, reflects the company's ambition to remain competitive in China's rapidly evolving EV market. By aligning its prices more closely with domestic competitors, Tesla aims to attract a broader customer base and maintain its regional dominance.
The Rationale:
While Tesla's price cuts may initially appear concerning to traders, it is essential to understand the underlying rationale. China's EV market is becoming increasingly saturated, with numerous domestic manufacturers offering competitive alternatives. By adjusting its prices, Tesla seeks to solidify its market share and continue its growth trajectory in this crucial market. This move demonstrates Tesla's agility and willingness to adapt to market dynamics.
Evaluating the Stock Outlook:
As traders, it is crucial to remain cautious and evaluate the stock outlook before making investment decisions. Tesla's price cuts in China signify a potential shift in the company's profitability and future earnings. While the move may lead to increased sales volume, it could also impact Tesla's profit margins and overall financial performance. Therefore, monitoring the stock's performance closely and analyzing the long-term implications of this strategic decision is prudent.
A Cautious Call-to-Action:
Considering the current circumstances, traders should exercise caution and pause on Tesla until the stock outlook turns up. Traders can make more informed investment decisions by taking a step back and thoroughly assessing the market's response to the price cuts. This pause allows for a comprehensive evaluation of Tesla's financial performance, market positioning, and the potential impact of the price cuts on long-term profitability.
Conclusion:
Tesla's recent price cuts for the Model 3 and Model Y in China highlight its determination to maintain its dominance in the world's largest EV market. While this move aims to boost sales and adapt to market conditions, traders should approach the situation cautiously. Evaluating the stock outlook and considering the long-term implications of this strategic decision is essential. By exercising patience and prudence, traders can make informed investment choices that align with their financial goals.