Tesla Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?Tesla's declining margins have given the bears some credence over the past year.
Tesla (TSLA 1.93%) stock has taken quite the roller coaster ride in 2023. It has been as low as $108 and as high as $293 but currently sits at around $215 after a steady decline over the past few months. But the sentiment behind Tesla stock has also changed, as the company has changed its strategy slightly in the electric vehicle (EV) market.
Previously, Tesla's margins were the best in the business, which provided shareholders with a one-two punch of strong growth and superior profits. With Tesla's change in strategy to sell its vehicles at a lower price (and thus lower margins) to secure its EV market share as the legacy automakers launch their products, some investors are rethinking their position.
Tesla May Not Be Earning Its Premium Valuation Anymore
Much of the argument around Tesla's stock price boils down to its valuation. It's hard to argue about Tesla's U.S. EV market share, but the question is, is the company worth nearly $700 billion when legacy automakers like Toyota, Ford, and General Motors are worth less than half of that combined?
Previously, the buy side's argument of superior gross margins held some water, as no other automaker (besides premium ones like Ferrari) had nearly the level Tesla did. But with rising input costs and cutting vehicle prices, Tesla no longer holds this crown.
Tesla has aspirations to be much more than an EV maker
In addition to what it's already doing, Tesla also has other projects like full self-driving (FSD), robotaxis, and additional car models aimed at different audiences. On the buy side, these are mostly legitimate products that could change the world if done correctly. It's hard to value something like FSD, as how many people would adopt it and at what rate is unknown. The same goes for robotaxis or Tesla's artificial intelligence (AI) investments.
While many buy-side Tesla investors prefer to think about the future, the sell-side isn't convinced any of these products will become a reality and believes that investors should consider the products Tesla has now, as there are no future guarantees.
So, what do I think investors should do with Tesla stock? I'm in the middle at a "hold." While the short-term margin decline concerns me, I'm confident in Tesla's product versus the legacy automaker's and that price hikes will go over fine once interest rates decline. Additionally, I think Tesla has some promising products in the pipeline, but none are anywhere close to implementation, so they shouldn't be considered now.
Tesla's stock has always been divisive, and with the bears scoring a few points in 2023, it has evened the argument a bit more. The key to Tesla's stock price lies within its gross margins, as any more decline in that metric will likely send the stock down further. On the flip side, if it improves throughout 2024, don't be surprised if Tesla knocks on the door of becoming a $1 trillion company.
Teslamotors
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) Testing Support Tesla is in a falling trend channel in the medium long term. This signals increasing pessimism among investors and indicates further decline for Tesla. The stock gave a negative signal from the double top formation by the break down through the support at 215. Further fall to 163 or lower is signaled. The stock is testing support at dollar 214. This could give a positive reaction, but a downward breakthrough of dollar 214 means a negative signal. The volume balance is negative and weakens the stock in the short term. The RSI curve shows a falling trend, which supports the negative trend.
Price Momentum
TSLA is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors are still evaluating the share price, but the stock still appears to have some downward momentum.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) Concerned Over Its FutureAfter plunging in 2022, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock gained more than 70% year-to-date. The rally can be attributed to better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, efforts to boost production, and improved sentiment for growth stocks. However, based on technical indicators, TSLA is a Sell near its current levels..
Tesla stock’s 50-Day EMA (exponential moving average) is 185.75, while its price is $185, making it a Sell. Further, TSLA’s shorter duration EMA (20-day) also signals a bearish trend.
The company’s move to slash prices for its vehicles in order to spur demand is expected to impact its profit margins in the upcoming first quarter. Moreover, excess production over deliveries and increased competition raise concerns over its future stock price movement to some extent.
Overall, Wall Street is cautiously optimistic about Tesla, with a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on 19 Buys, 10 Holds, and three Sells. The average TSLA stock price target of $219.57 suggests nearly 19% upside potential.
Short more Tesla - TSLATesla monthly is disgusting. Adding to shorts from $273. All the "share holders" on twitter talking about earnings, and margins and whatever. They are getting fleeced by traders. Everything in the chart. Diagonal line resistance held, abysmal monthly candles, target at least $217. Monthly RSI cross and topped. Definitely a 1hr/4 hr pop going to happen probably tomorrow, but I will add shorts on the spike. Good luck, be safe. Not advise.
Disturbing News: TSLA Reveals Multiple DOJ SubpoenasI must admit that the news I have to share today is rather disheartening. It is with a heavy heart that I bring your attention to the recent revelation by Tesla Inc. (TSLA) regarding multiple subpoenas from the Department of Justice (DOJ). This development has cast a shadow of uncertainty over the company's future, leaving us with a sense of sadness and concern.
As traders, we have witnessed the rise and success of Tesla over the years, marveled at their groundbreaking innovations, and even celebrated their achievements. However, the recent disclosure of multiple DOJ subpoenas has raised serious questions about the company's practices and ethics. While we cannot jump to conclusions or pass judgment prematurely, it is essential to acknowledge the potential ramifications of such investigations.
In light of these developments, I feel compelled to share my concerns with you, my fellow traders. It is crucial for us to evaluate our positions and consider the potential risks associated with holding Tesla stock. While it is not my intention to dictate your investment decisions, I believe it is essential to be aware of the potential downside risks that may lie ahead.
Therefore, I encourage you to carefully assess your exposure to Tesla and consider the option of shorting TSLA. By taking a short position, you have the opportunity to profit from any downward movement in the stock price, should these investigations lead to unfavorable outcomes for the company. As traders, it is our responsibility to stay informed and make well-informed decisions to protect our portfolios.
Please understand that I do not take pleasure in sharing this information or promoting a bearish sentiment. However, as traders, it is our duty to adapt and react to the changing dynamics of the market. I believe that by being proactive and considering the potential risks associated with Tesla's recent disclosures, we can safeguard our investments and navigate through these uncertain times.
Remember, knowledge is power in the world of trading. Stay informed, stay vigilant, and make decisions that align with your risk tolerance and investment objectives. If you require any further information or would like to discuss this matter further, please do not hesitate to reach out to me by commenting below,
TSLA's Recent Disappointments and the Challenging Road AheadAs an avid follower of the company, it pains me to share the disappointing news that TSLA has fallen short of investor expectations, leaving us with a heavy heart.
One cannot ignore the challenges that Elon Musk and his team are currently facing, particularly the unveiling of the highly anticipated Cybertruck. While the Cybertruck's unique design may have captured attention, it has also sparked skepticism among investors and industry experts alike. The unconventional design has raised concerns about its mass-market appeal and potential impact on Tesla's overall sales.
As investors, it is crucial for us to carefully evaluate the situation and make informed decisions. In light of these recent developments, I believe it is essential to consider the option of shorting TSLA, as it may present an opportunity to mitigate potential losses. By shorting TSLA, we can capitalize on the current challenges the company is facing and potentially benefit from a decline in its stock value.
However, I urge you to conduct thorough research and consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. While shorting TSLA may seem like a viable option, it is essential to consider the inherent risks associated with this strategy. Market volatility and unforeseen developments can significantly impact the outcome, so it is crucial to exercise caution and prudence.
In these uncertain times, it is essential to remember that the market is ever-changing, and opportunities can arise even amidst disappointment. By staying informed and making well-informed decisions, we can navigate these challenging waters with resilience and adaptability.
I encourage you to keep a close eye on Tesla's future developments, as they may offer insights into potential investment opportunities. Stay vigilant, analyze the market trends, and consider your risk tolerance before taking any action.
Tesla $500 is bull run target 📌 It's very simple analysis based on supply and demand
Present micro 📌
it's clear move high and high 💰 with low and high slowly shifting it's pattern to bull side 😛
Present left side 102 BARS haven't broken yet
Even the last High and low was wasn't broken yet
But
Reach $325 sign ☢️ left side lowe high was broken
We will see selling and correction pressure when NASDAQ:TSLA reach $320-325
then I will update here what's the correction target was
Let's talk about macro analysis ⏰
It's completely going in p03
Already bull entered into left side distribution zone 📌 🙄 broken
Basically left side p01 easily broken 😂 but still PPL think $100-150 below it comes
Basic sence 6M close postive present price ( PA ) broken High level zone trading there any time easily broken
Expecting $500-530
Catch 🫴 time correction
Invalid 📌 when it back to 1st High lower below 📍 DYOR
Support and follow article so I will update you 😜
Anything keep comments and even more drop ur question ❓ to private box ☑️
Concerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins DropConcerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins Drop: Can the Cybertruck Compensate for Losses?
As you may already be aware, Tesla has experienced a noticeable drop in both its volume and margins in recent times. This decline has raised questions regarding the company's ability to sustain its profitability and meet investor expectations. While Tesla has been a frontrunner in the electric vehicle market, this recent downturn has given rise to uncertainties about the company's financial stability.
In light of these concerns, it is crucial to evaluate the potential impact of Tesla's upcoming product, the Cybertruck. With its futuristic design and promising features, the Cybertruck has garnered significant attention and anticipation from both enthusiasts and investors alike. Tesla has positioned this groundbreaking vehicle as a potential game-changer, capable of revolutionizing the pickup truck market.
Given the current circumstances, it is plausible to consider whether the Cybertruck can compensate for the losses incurred by Tesla's declining volume and margins. The success of this highly-anticipated product could potentially help restore investor confidence and provide a much-needed boost to the company's financial performance.
However, it is important to approach this situation with caution. While the Cybertruck holds significant potential, it is vital to remain objective and critically analyze the possible outcomes. As a result, I would like to encourage you to consider a temporary short position on Tesla (TSLA). By doing so, we can potentially capitalize on the current market sentiment and potential risks associated with Tesla's performance.
Please note that shorting TSLA should only be undertaken after conducting thorough research and analysis, as it carries its own inherent risks. It is essential to consult with your financial advisor or conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
As fellow traders, it is our responsibility to stay informed, remain vigilant, and adapt our strategies accordingly. By actively monitoring and discussing these developments, we can collectively navigate the ever-changing landscape of the stock market.
Long DCFC - Tritium AgainHad a long a few weeks ago at around $1 that got stopped out. Relooking at it here and have been building a long last 2 days, ave price .$70. Real company apparently doing real stuff. Not advise, good luck.
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip here:
or sold the top:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 255usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $7.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Tesla Stock: The Best Case Might Be Going NowhereTesla TSLA 0.51% earnings are on tap this week—and the stock isn’t making the bulls feel as bullish as they usually are. They would feel a lot better if profit margins looked like they were bottoming out.
Tesla (ticker: TSLA) is due to report third-quarter numbers Wednesday evening. Wall Street is looking for earnings per share of about 73 cents, down from 77 cents a couple of weeks ago. It’s coming in a little after the company delivered some 435,000 vehicles in the third quarter, missing Wall Street estimates by about 20,000 units.
Price targets are coming down with the estimates. On Monday, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter cut his target on Tesla stock to $290 a share from $300, though he still has a Buy rating on Tesla stock. While Cybertruck is due to be delivered soon, he sees shares trading “sideways, at best, in the coming months.” He wants profit margins to bottom and delivery growth to accelerate before investors get more excited about the stock.
He has a point about margins. Automotive gross profit margins have been coming down with prices for new Tesla vehicles. The price for a new long-range Model Y is down roughly 25% from peak levels. Tesla’s automotive gross profit margin in the second quarter came in at about 18%, down from a peak of about 30% in the first quarter of 2022.
Wedbush analyst Dan Ives agrees that investors will be “laser-focused” on profit margins. He sees automotive gross profit margins coming in around 17% for the third quarter, but investors are probably ready for a weak third quarter. What they want is a sign from management that margins are bottoming out.
Tesla 12/10 MovePair : TESLA
Description :
After Corrective Waves " abc " it has Completed Impulsive Waves " 1234 ". Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame. Impulse Correction Impulse with Divergence
Entry Precautions :
Wait Until it Breaks the Upper or Lower Trend Line and Retest
Tesla (TSLA) -> 300% Is The GoalMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Tesla.
With the Covid19 Crash in March of 2020 Tesla stock perfectly entered a solid rising channel and and pumped more than 1000% towards the upside before retracing 70%.
Following this bullish trajectory I do expect another short term pullback to retest the $200 level before we could see a pump at least back to the previous all time high at $400.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Tesla -> Will Hisory Repeat ItselfMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only focus on price action and market structure 🖥️
I am trading the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Tesla.
All the way back in 2020 Tesla stock broke out of a monthly triangle formation and pumped more than 1.500% towards the upside. You can see that at the moment Tesla stock is once again creating a monthly triangle formation and there might be another breakout coming soon.
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When the market moves where, and how, and if - these are all unknown.
The only thing which you can control is your risk.
- Philip Basic Trading -
Keep the long term vision🫡
$TSLA Re-entering the $400 rangeFig. 1 displays a potential re-entry of NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla Inc.) into the range of $400-588 as our target. This analysis is based on a slight confirmation of the Fibonacci guide .618 ratio (indicated in green) as observed in late April this year. There is room for future confirmation if the price recedes below the moving average cross (MA cross) Fig. 2 .
[ Fig. 3 ] We can anticipate a slight downturn in the price of NASDAQ:TSLA , from its current level of $259, towards or below the moving averages indicated by the cyan and blue indicators. This potential dip is expected to be followed by an upward rebound, leading to a re-test of Zone 1 .
Analyzing RIVN's Outperformance Over TSLA Amidst Cash BurnToday, I would like to draw your attention to an intriguing market trend that has caught the attention of many investors - the outperformance of RIVN stock compared to TSLA, despite RIVN's ongoing cash burn. While this phenomenon may raise eyebrows, it is essential to approach it with a cautious and analytical mindset. Let's delve into the reasons behind this unexpected market behavior and explore why some investors are considering a long position on RIVN.
1. Dissecting RIVN's Outperformance:
a) Market Sentiment: Investors are drawn to RIVN's potential as a disruptor in the EV industry, which has fueled a positive market sentiment.
b) Growth Prospects: RIVN's innovative technologies, such as its autonomous driving capabilities and unique battery technology, have garnered attention for their potential to revolutionize the EV market.
c) Competitive Advantage: RIVN's focus on the luxury EV segment, along with its strong brand image, has positioned the company as a formidable competitor to TSLA.
1. Understanding RIVN's Cash Burn
2. A Cautious Call-to-Action
a) In-depth Research: Dive into RIVN's financial reports, growth projections, and competitive landscape to gain a comprehensive understanding of the company's position.
b) Risk Assessment: Evaluate the risks associated with RIVN's cash burn and weigh them against the potential rewards of its growth prospects.
c) Diversification: Ensure that any investment in RIVN aligns with your overall investment strategy and risk tolerance. Diversify your portfolio to mitigate potential risks.
d) Expert Opinions: Seek insights from trusted financial advisors or industry experts who can provide informed opinions on RIVN's prospects.
In conclusion, RIVN's outperformance over TSLA, despite its cash burn, has sparked interest among investors. However, it is vital to approach this opportunity with caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
Remember, the stock market is inherently unpredictable, and it is crucial to make informed choices based on a well-rounded analysis of the available information.
Is TSL Stock Worthy Beyond 2025? Let's Uncover That
Now, I know what you might be thinking. TSLA has been quite the rollercoaster ride, with its stock price soaring to astronomical heights and then experiencing some sharp declines. But let's not forget the incredible achievements and disruptive innovations that Tesla has brought to the table. From electric vehicles to renewable energy solutions, this company has been at the forefront of revolutionizing multiple industries.
Looking ahead, it's crucial to consider some key factors that could shape Tesla's future performance. The electric vehicle market is projected to witness substantial growth, driven by increasing environmental concerns and government regulations. Tesla, being a pioneer in this domain, is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend and maintain its market dominance.
Moreover, Tesla's ambitious plans to expand its production capacity, particularly in emerging markets like China, bode well for its long-term prospects. As the company continues to scale up, economies of scale could potentially lead to improved margins and profitability. Additionally, Tesla's investments in autonomous driving technology could open up new revenue streams and solidify its position as a leader in the automotive industry.
Now, let's talk about the call-to-action. As traders, it's essential to keep a close eye on the performance of our investments. I encourage you to consider holding onto TSL if it consistently outperforms the SPY ETF (S&P 500 Index). While past performance is not indicative of future results, this metric can serve as a valuable indicator of TSLA's strength relative to the broader market.
By closely monitoring TSLA's performance against the SPY ETF, we can make informed decisions about the stock's long-term potential. Remember, investing is all about calculated risks and staying ahead of the curve. If TSLA consistently outshines the broader market, it may be worth considering as a long-term holding in your portfolio.
In conclusion, the question of whether TSLA is a stock worthy of holding beyond 2025 is a topic that sparks curiosity and debate. While the future is uncertain, Tesla's innovative spirit, market position, and growth opportunities make it an intriguing candidate for long-term investors.
So, let's keep a watchful eye on TSLA's performance and evaluate its potential against the SPY ETF. If it continues to outperform, it might just be the time to consider holding onto Tesla and ride the waves of its future success.
TSLA in Early Talks with Saudi Arabia to Open EV FactoryBrace yourselves, because Tesla (TSLA) is in early discussions with none other than Saudi Arabia to establish a groundbreaking electric vehicle (EV) factory. This announcement has sent shockwaves through the market, and I couldn't be more excited to share the potential it holds for all of us.
Imagine the possibilities! Tesla, the trailblazer in the EV industry, joining forces with one of the world's most influential nations. This collaboration has the potential to reshape the future of transportation and solidify Tesla's position as the undisputed leader in the EV market.
The Saudi Arabian government, recognizing the immense potential of electric vehicles, is keen to invest in this transformative technology. They understand that Tesla's visionary approach and groundbreaking innovations have revolutionized the automobile industry, and they want to be a part of this remarkable journey. This early-stage discussion indicates a strong commitment from both parties to drive sustainable mobility forward.
Now, let's talk about the enormous opportunities this collaboration presents for us as traders. The potential establishment of an EV factory in Saudi Arabia could translate into a significant boost in production capacity for Tesla, enabling it to meet the ever-growing global demand for electric vehicles. This expansion would undoubtedly lead to increased revenue and, consequently, a potential surge in TSLA stock value.
So, where does this leave us? It's time to seize this moment and consider a long position on TSLA. With the early talks between Tesla and Saudi Arabia underway, we have a unique chance to ride the wave of optimism and reap the rewards of this potentially game-changing partnership.
In light of this exciting news, I urge you to conduct your due diligence and analyze the potential impact this collaboration could have on Tesla's market position and stock performance. Keep a close eye on any further developments and market indicators that could influence TSLA's trajectory.
Remember, successful traders are always alert to emerging opportunities, and this collaboration between Tesla and Saudi Arabia has the potential to be a game-changer. Don't miss out on the chance to be part of this electrifying journey!
Stay tuned for more updates, and let's ride the wave of innovation together!
www.wsj.com
A look back and forward to w/c 18th September #TradewithDaveIn the latest #TradewithDave update we consider some of this week’s big events, and take a look at what’s happening in the week beginning 18th September.
US inflation
We had the latest updates on US inflation in the form of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and the Producer Price Index (PPI). While mixed overall, both reports showed some upside surprises, with Headline year-on-year CPI and month-on-month PPI both coming in hotter than expected. Despite fears that higher inflation could lead to the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates further, all the major US stock indices have continued to rally. In addition, the probability that the US Federal Reserve will announce ‘no change’ to its key Fed Funds rate this coming Wednesday barely moved. According to the CME’s FedWatch tool, there’s a 97% chance that the upper band will remain at 5.50%. We also had the ARM IPO, the biggest initial public offering in two years. The shares were priced at $51 each, valuing the company at $54 billion. It was considered a great success as the stock rallied 25% to close at $63.59 on the first day of trading.
Tesla – rubber hits the road again
Tesla rallied sharply on Monday, ending the session up 10% following an upgrade from Morgan Stanley. Tesla has recovered substantially this year following a drastic sell-off in 2022 on the back of the US Federal Reserve’s programme of aggressive rate hikes. But it suffered a sharp reversal between mid-July and mid-August. Since then, it appears to have found its footing once again. It is up 170% so far this year, trading above $270 per share. But this remains well below the all-time high of $418 hit in November 2021.
Check out Tesla…
Talking of cars…
The US auto sector is in focus as negotiations between major manufacturers Ford, General Motors and Stellantis and the UAW union appear to have broken down. Tensions between the two sides have been mounting as the switch to Electric Vehicles (EVs) has dramatically changed manufacturing priorities. In particular, the move away from making and installing internal combustion engines, in favour of large battery packs. This has resulted in a reliance on battery factories which tend to be ununionized. At the time of writing, around 13,000 workers across all three auto companies have gone on strike. Without a rapid settlement, this has the potential to contribute to a sizeable hit to US growth. Ford and General Motors are both down around 19% since early July, while Stellantis has lost around 10% over the past two months.
Check out Ford…
Apple suffers a setback
Along with many tech stocks, Apple has made back a significant proportion of the fall in its share price during 2022. It rose around 60% from the beginning of this year to mid-July, when it hit a fresh record high around $198, before pulling back sharply over the following month. We then saw it rally again into early September before it slumped 8.5% in two days. This followed reports from the Wall Street Journal that China had banned the use of iPhones by central government officials. The news was denied this week by China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Mao Ning. But the White House said they were following events with concern, and that China’s actions appear to be ‘aggressive and inappropriate corporate retaliation. Apple doesn’t disclose iPhone sales by country, but research firm TechInsights estimates that there were more iPhone sales in China than in the US last quarter. Despite this pull-back in the share price, Apple remains the largest company in the world by market capitalisation.
Check out Apple…
🔸 Looking ahead to next week
Keeping an eye on ARM
The ARM IPO has been hailed as a sign that the new listings market is bursting back to life after a difficult year in 2022. Indeed, several other companies have announced their intentions to go public including the grocery delivery company Instacart, marketing data concern Klavigo and posh sandal-maker Birkenstock. There are now hopes that the IPO market will really take off in 2024.
Central Banks
Other important events next week include the release of minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s last monetary policy meeting, CPI updates from the Eurozone, Canada and the UK, and interest rate decisions from the Bank of England, Bank of Japan and Swiss National Bank.
The US Federal Reserve
But the biggest event in the calendar by far is the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting which concludes on Wednesday evening. As noted previously, the probability of no change in interest rates stands at 97%. However, this is the first FOMC meeting since July when the Fed hiked rates by 25 basis points. It’s also a quarterly meeting which means we’ll see the release of the FOMC’s Summary of Economic Projections. This is where individual members of the FOMC provide their forecasts for inflation, the Fed Funds rate, GDP and unemployment for the rest of this year and beyond. Everyone will be looking for any changes from the last summary in June to provide clues to the Fed’s thinking. Could they now signal that they have raised rates enough, or will they once again caution that inflation could rise again? On top of this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell also hold a press conference which may give further insight into the Fed’s frame of mind.