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Teslashort

TESLA: THE BIG SHORTFirst off, I would like to say that I believe in Tesla and Elon Musk. But this parabolic rally is entirely unsustainable and is fueled by hype similar to cryptocurrency and 2000 Dot Com Bubble. I called the dip to $750 and subsequent bounce to $950. I have been short biased since $958 and will add above $1,000 if we get there. We might have another push up, but in my view anything up here is an obvious short. I will link proof of my older call below. Most TSLA bulls got rekt by shorting too early, while I was waiting for a blowoff and bounce (lower high) for this trade to fully develop. For the Tesla bulltards, this is not a day trade. This is a multi-month or year macro swing trade and I will be hedging on strong bounces. It will not be a straight drop down by any means. But what goes up, must come down. I am primarily technical trader, but with the Cornonavirus debacle and the global slowdown starting, these events add confluence to my bearish view on Tesla. Long term, I think Tesla can succeed so long as they can remain capital efficient. But for an asset to be properly price, it needs to not be in the midst of a massive hype cycle. In short, Tesla to $601, $511, and ideally the ~$400 range. If this is a true parabolic invalidation, then an 80% decline puts us at a target of roughly $170-$200. That is not my primary count, but I consider it as a viable possibility if a recession begins within the next 18 months. Until then, this is a game of patience and shorting every bounce or move higher above $1,000 while hedging long on dips. If this trade is accurate, it will likely be one of the biggest trades of the decade among major companies. For now, we wait. The Big Short.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MWCarter
TSLA possible break to $956 next week (be smart)NASDAQ:TSLA has been testing the 815 mark for the last few days and strong resistance lines of 750, keeps bouncing back.. Volumes has died down a bit and due to MMs pinning the stock at around 770-800 range in the last 2-3 days, they killed off the options premiums for the weeklies which expired 2/14.. they will have a tougher time containing it for the 2/21, 2/28s with it pushing higher at the close each day inching up.. Looking to go long here on some 780 calls.. however if it does dip and dips below, 750.. could see that short squeeze the bears and the street have been looking for.. should see some movement next week. Anyone who doesn't understand why Tesla has this rally, why they are so disruptive, why they will grow much more, should really do some reading on disruptive technologies and Kondratiev cycles. This company marks the beginning of a new era of rapid innovation. Tesla is much more than a car company. They build solar arrays. They build energy storage batteries for renewable energy farms. They are also a software company. They are soon an autonomous carsharing fleet company. They have the most advanced AI neuralnet, years ahead of anyone else. They have by far the biggest supercharger network. The lead to the other carmakers who are struggling to even build the first generation Model S, is just INCREASING, not decreasing. a Tesla is going to change the world. It already is doing so. Anyone who doesn't understand that, should really do some proper research, and not only read CNBC clickbait news headlines and FUD.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Bujor
1
ridethepig | The Tesla BubbleIt's really difficult to find any Tesla charts here lately ... maybe you guys can post some in the comments (: Tesla adding another $20bn in market cap alone this morning...all perfectly normal valuation growth... right. I suggest selling TSLA on the open and expecting a -25% move to the downside. Lack of sizings against the bullish flow is allowing the short-squeeze to continue. Capitulation was the catalyst to go actively short, and in hindsight see how we were jumping the gun earlier into the move. TSLA will obviously benefit from the transition away from an oil driven economy, though this move does not reflect normality. The risk-off sentiment led to a significant divergence in the surface and inversion in short-interest structure. Initially I am going to run the trade dynamically to position for both a continuation and reversal (in simple words hedging) and then when the trade starts working we can go massive on sizings ! Ahead of the technical resistance at 900, I evaluate the balance sheet path's under different assumptions for the demand. I continue to suggest the metrics are overstretched on both deliverables and PPE spending. In my models, stock is fairly valued at +/- 250.xx but with initial targets (can't believe I am saying this) of 650 and 550. If we get enough interest in the comments we can explore TSLA's financial status and short-interest resilience to date. As usual thanks for keeping the likes, comments and etc coming!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ridethepig
32
💎 TESLA vs BTC - Projection price falling!Thumb UP👍 if you like this chart! I took the BITFINEX:BTCUSD candle drop pattern in 2018 and applied it to NASDAQ:TSLA shares. It turned out that exactly the same drop will lead the company's price to its fair valuation in the range of $240-$210. Why this assessment??? The forward P/E is still more than 90!!! Thats incredible in motor vehicles field! And this is all assuming perfect execution, production capacity that does not exist yet, and that income from regulatory credits will stay the same. With this P/E investors should not expect a good return. Under these idealized assumptions rational investors could expect a decent return at a P/E of 12, so at a share price of $217 or less. Write in comment how do you think what the fair price for TESLA Motors? ______________________________________________________________________________________________ Subscribe to my channel and receive fruitful recommendation regularly! 😎 Here just clear and accurate ideas🎯! Max profit idea in crypto - 20%(BTC), Max profit in stock - 40%. Total profit more 300%. Trade my own funds. Consult privately🎩. Link to table with summary results: clck.ru
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Fandorinn
TSLA - What A Time To Be AliveTLDR: What a time to be alive. These types of moves create a significant transfer of wealth, for the long's this has been a multi-year battle from $175 - $350 and now in a span just longer than a full month we're at $537.92 at market close January 14, 2019 This type of price action extends beyond fundamentals, and at this point is primarily dictated by human sentiment with a bunch of algorithms following (not the other way around)- good news for us, Elliott Wave analysis does some good in the department of predicting price action in periods of euphoria- these euphoric moves in price action almost always occur in the third wave. I have two scenarios or wave counts I have considered, one where the peak of price action today is the top of wave 3 or the conclusion of wave 5. I'm publishing the later, in both scenarios price action retraces. Considering other technical indicators, the broader stock market soaring into uncharted territory, and retail sentiment I'm leaning towards the conclusion of a fifth wave, leading into a larger correction. The 0.50 fib retracement lines up neatly with a historic level of resistance (now support) for Tesla shareholders in the $380's Perhaps there is more upside following the correction- something to consider for a later time -- or, sooner rather than later if the Tesla bulls continue to maintain the squeeze. If up is the direction from here- I haven't the slightest clue where the top is after this. At the time of publishing this chart I hold $425 TSLA put contracts If the price action continues to strengthen the probability of this wave count I intend to further short the trade with additional options Tom
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by tomthetrader1
10
TESLA is a Company with essentially "ZERO" value.I see this argument often, and to anyone who see's this, I want to explain what I believe is the reason that so many people are Tesla Bulls. The fundamental difference between an investor and an innovator is this: - Innovators offer dreams that turn into ideas and use those ideas to provide solutions to real world problems. - Most investors lack the ability to innovate; moreover, are motivated by greed if they cannot understand the dream. - Investors support innovators by providing capital, thereby allowing them to execute their ideas by experimenting, designing, refining and finally providing a product to solve real world problems. So, then the real value of Tesla is the "Dream" and not profits. People resonate with this far more than any amount of money, when you think of the power to change a nation, gain independence, land on the moon, obtain civil rights, or win a war.....it is the "Dream". As Martin Luther King said - "I have a dream that one day every valley shall be exalted, and every hill and mountain shall be made low, the rough places will be made plain, and the crooked places will be made straight; "and the glory of the Lord shall be revealed and all flesh shall see it together." Tesla is a result of a growing number of people who are tired of true capitalistic greed that halts progress. Its a push to a greener future, an acceleration of battery and energy storage technology, a push to renewable energy, a push to a more autonomous age, a push beyond the combustion engine that has not changed fundamentally in the last 100 years, and eventually a push to the stars. And this is why you "Bears" are wrong about Tesla being "Overvalued", a "Bubble", and a company with "Zero" value. Because, these dreams have reached the people who will see it become a reality.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by K1188
11