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Tesla can't catch a break (light?)! My thoughts on Week of 2/6Just when we thought TSLA was headed for a rebound, we were caught in a series of news that wasn't too hot for our favorite automaker: Everything from brake light recalls to billion dollar compensations rejected. In this Idea, I will detail my thoughts of the week, news that affected the stock, and my analysis for next week. 1/29 LAST WEEK: The graph shows we've been on a downward channel for TSLA price action. Our purple line within the channel was our expectation from prior to last week (From Idea: ). What I was not expecting was a continuous downtrend after Wednesday. Affecting news for this downtrend were: Fed rate decision (priced in), and ruled out March rate cut. Musk and $55 billion pay package Possible relocation to another state because of above Tesla dropped from "Magnificent Seven" At a point on Friday, TSLA completely decoupled from SPY price action: While SPY was up 1% hitting another record high, TSLA was punished at -3%, until making a quick recovery to the top of the channel at the 0.5 fib mark at $187.90. 2/6 and on: News, fed meetings, and price action/options flow lead me to believe we will have another choppy week. 2.2 Million vehicle recall on warning lights that are too small. (Doesn't seem like a big deal, but the word "recall" scares investors. ) Over 2400 Steering Complaints Escalated to investigation. (Yahoo Finance) Tesla settles $1.5 million CA hazardous waste lawsuit (Yahoo Finance) I also think that the Tesla relocation to Texas would be bearish due to the amount of work and opportunity cost associated to relocating. With the laundry list of bad news, I don't think we will break for lower lows this week. I think we may have a sharp dip early in the week to the 0.236 fib line of $184. Throughout the week, we have several traditionally hawkish fed members speaking. Investors on the other hand seem poised with a bullish sentiment: Options expiring 2/6 (per Barchart) Put/Call Volume Ratio: 0.79 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio: 0.69 With the average call strike price sitting around $192, average put price sitting around $181. The orange line shows my prediction to the price action based off all the above: An early dip (potential retest to $180), followed by breaking the channel sometime middle of the week, chopping through the rest of the week and ending on a higher note. I will update with any news that I think may be relevant to TSLA.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by valentine_j_
2
TESLA - MUSK LATE TO THE PARTY? HE IS THE PARTY! (TARGET $315)If I had to describe this analysis in one sentence, here's what I'd say: the lower the better. In the current climate, Tesla's stock might seem volatile due to the challenges it faces, including production hurdles and market competition. However, it's essential to look beyond these short-term obstacles and recognize the underlying strengths and strategic advantages Tesla holds. This isn't just about being bullish on Tesla without reason; it's about recognizing the company's potential to overcome current challenges and continue leading the EV revolution. As always, it's crucial to balance optimism with due diligence and consider Tesla's position within a diversified investment portfolio. So what's on the chart? (follow the steps) 1. Liquidity Zone as a Bull Target: The liquidity zone is acting as a magnet for bulls right now. It's an area where we often see a concentration of trading activity, making it a prime target for those looking to capitalize on upward movements. This zone indicates strong interest and potential for price support, making it an attractive entry point. 2. Weekly FVG for Long-Term Entry: The Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the weekly chart is particularly noteworthy. Historically, these gaps have served as solid foundations for bullish accumulation, often marking the beginning of significant upward trends. The way the price has previously lifted off from such an area suggests it's a credible entry point for long-term investors. 3. Current Nesting in Weekly FVG: Interestingly, the price is currently sitting in another weekly FVG, which could indicate a consolidation phase before the next move up. This nesting phase is crucial as it could provide a stable base from which the price might springboard. 4. Weekly Flag Pattern: While I typically don't trade based on flag patterns, it's hard to ignore the large weekly flag formation here. Even if one doesn't trade these patterns directly, they offer a good visual representation of the current price movement and the potential continuation of the trend. 5. Reaction to CPI Data and FED Rates: The upcoming CPI data will be pivotal, especially with the Federal Reserve's current hesitation to cut rates in March. A large leg down into the FVG could potentially mark the bottom, but much depends on how the CPI data plays out, influencing the Fed's stance on interest rates. 6. Second Potential Long-Term Entry: Given the rough patch and the potential bottom formation, there's a second viable entry point for long-term believers in Tesla. The key is to get in before the tide turns too positively, as waiting for good news could mean missing out on significant gains, much like what happened with Meta's 20% surge post-news. 7. Targeting Premium Areas from Discounted Entries: The strategy here is to buy at a discount with the aim of moving towards a premium. This means entering the market at current levels, which are perceived as undervalued, and holding with a view toward future gains as the market re-evaluates Tesla's worth. In essence, for those who believe in Tesla's fundamentals and long-term prospects, the current market conditions present a series of strategic entry points. As always, I hope you appreciate the work put in and have a great Sunday! ;)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Lexi_Is_Trading
1/25 Massive Tesla Red Day Recap and 1/26 Prediction From DataAfter today's price action, it is clear that investors are at disarray and uncertain for the future of Tesla. Here I will detail my analysis of today 1/25, and my predictions for tomorrow 1/26. In the graph, I plotted three possibilities pre-market 1/25 (from previous Idea, "Looking at Possible Dead Cat Bounce Levels"): Purple line-arrow (Most optimistic): A bounce of it's low and decay to $188-$190. Yellow line: Bounce off 0.618 fib line and decay to $185-$186. Red line (least optimistic): Minimal bounce, straight to $180. It looks like we went worst case scenario, hitting my $180 target faster than I expected. This confirms investor sentiment; at least until we get some good news from Tesla and guidance. For tomorrow's price action, I also have three possibilities in mind, so I will look at previous price movements in similar scenarios, as well as use what we know after today to get an some possibilities. During the last two (Q2, Q3) quarterly earnings, Tesla stock continued dropping for the two subsequent days. Q2: An additional 2.75% down from previous close. Q3: An additional 4.3% down from previous close. Today's event seems different, where the 12%-15% dip that Q2 and Q3 earnings experienced over multiple days seem to have happened in one day. I'll list the possibilities by what I believe is least probable to most probable: Blue line: bounce of $180 support and rise to $186-$188 range. I call this less probable because an increase on the day after a dip after earnings is odd (compared to Q2 and Q3 earnings.) Not impossible though, in the case that today's dip was an over exaggeration and a bulk of investors remain optimistic. (Buyers sitting on the sidelines?) Yellow line: Bounce between channel $180 - 183.50. I think this is a bit more possible because investors may be sitting in indecision, hoping to wait it out until more news is revealed (low volume perhaps?) Pink line: Dip below $180 to next fib line $176, and possibly lower. I personally think this is more likely, because it will be line with Q2 and Q3 instances (a dip of 4% from today.) Investors may begin thinking about opportunity cost in holding a stock with no guidance, expectations not met. Investors are in Tesla not because it is a value stock, but because it's a growth stock, and if there is no exciting growth, they may start looking to sell off for competitors that are showing the 100%+ quarterly growth in EV sales. I may revisit a long term analysis of the stock in the future, but for now, those are all my thoughts for tomorrow.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by valentine_j_
4
Potential Impact of Cybertruck Production Nightmare on TeslaI would like to discuss the recent production nightmare surrounding the highly anticipated Cybertruck and how it could potentially impact Tesla's overall performance. As we are all aware, Tesla has been at the forefront of electric vehicle innovation, revolutionizing the industry and capturing the imagination of investors and consumers alike. However, recent reports suggest that the production challenges faced by the Cybertruck have the potential to cast a shadow over Tesla's otherwise impressive track record. The Cybertruck, with its bold design and promising features, has generated significant pre-order interest, reflecting the strong demand for Tesla's products. However, it is essential to consider the potential consequences of the production hurdles that Tesla has encountered. Delays in manufacturing, supply chain disruptions, and quality control issues could lead to dissatisfied customers, tarnishing Tesla's reputation for delivering cutting-edge products on time. While Tesla has demonstrated resilience in overcoming obstacles in the past, it is crucial to approach this situation with caution. As traders, it is our responsibility to evaluate the potential risks associated with such setbacks and make informed decisions regarding our investment strategies. Considering the gravity of the situation, I encourage you to closely monitor Tesla's progress in addressing the production challenges faced by the Cybertruck. Keep a keen eye on any developments or announcements that could shed light on the company's ability to overcome these obstacles effectively. In light of these circumstances, some traders may consider exploring shorting opportunities for Tesla. However, it is important to remember that shorting a stock carries inherent risks and requires careful analysis of market trends, financial indicators, and broader industry dynamics. I urge you to consult with your trusted financial advisors or conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Ultimately, the purpose of this email is to highlight the potential risks associated with the Cybertruck production nightmare and emphasize the importance of cautious evaluation. As traders, we must remain vigilant, informed, and adaptable in navigating the ever-changing landscape of the stock market.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
Why TESLA is STILL heading LOWERHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉 A quick analysis today on Tesla and why I'm still expecting the price of TSLA to head lower. After a nasty Head and Shoulders Pattern on the monthly, TSLA has reached a selling climax and an automatic rally afterwards (which always follows a SC). However, if we look at the Wyckoff Method schematics, this is not yet the bottom. The bottom is expected to happen during phase B, which is the phase we're about to head into. ST will always be LOWER than SC, therefore there will be another chance to accumulate TESLA at a lower entry. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CryptoCheck-
58
Disturbing News: TSLA Reveals Multiple DOJ SubpoenasI must admit that the news I have to share today is rather disheartening. It is with a heavy heart that I bring your attention to the recent revelation by Tesla Inc. (TSLA) regarding multiple subpoenas from the Department of Justice (DOJ). This development has cast a shadow of uncertainty over the company's future, leaving us with a sense of sadness and concern. As traders, we have witnessed the rise and success of Tesla over the years, marveled at their groundbreaking innovations, and even celebrated their achievements. However, the recent disclosure of multiple DOJ subpoenas has raised serious questions about the company's practices and ethics. While we cannot jump to conclusions or pass judgment prematurely, it is essential to acknowledge the potential ramifications of such investigations. In light of these developments, I feel compelled to share my concerns with you, my fellow traders. It is crucial for us to evaluate our positions and consider the potential risks associated with holding Tesla stock. While it is not my intention to dictate your investment decisions, I believe it is essential to be aware of the potential downside risks that may lie ahead. Therefore, I encourage you to carefully assess your exposure to Tesla and consider the option of shorting TSLA. By taking a short position, you have the opportunity to profit from any downward movement in the stock price, should these investigations lead to unfavorable outcomes for the company. As traders, it is our responsibility to stay informed and make well-informed decisions to protect our portfolios. Please understand that I do not take pleasure in sharing this information or promoting a bearish sentiment. However, as traders, it is our duty to adapt and react to the changing dynamics of the market. I believe that by being proactive and considering the potential risks associated with Tesla's recent disclosures, we can safeguard our investments and navigate through these uncertain times. Remember, knowledge is power in the world of trading. Stay informed, stay vigilant, and make decisions that align with your risk tolerance and investment objectives. If you require any further information or would like to discuss this matter further, please do not hesitate to reach out to me by commenting below,
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
TSLA's Recent Disappointments and the Challenging Road AheadAs an avid follower of the company, it pains me to share the disappointing news that TSLA has fallen short of investor expectations, leaving us with a heavy heart. One cannot ignore the challenges that Elon Musk and his team are currently facing, particularly the unveiling of the highly anticipated Cybertruck. While the Cybertruck's unique design may have captured attention, it has also sparked skepticism among investors and industry experts alike. The unconventional design has raised concerns about its mass-market appeal and potential impact on Tesla's overall sales. As investors, it is crucial for us to carefully evaluate the situation and make informed decisions. In light of these recent developments, I believe it is essential to consider the option of shorting TSLA, as it may present an opportunity to mitigate potential losses. By shorting TSLA, we can capitalize on the current challenges the company is facing and potentially benefit from a decline in its stock value. However, I urge you to conduct thorough research and consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. While shorting TSLA may seem like a viable option, it is essential to consider the inherent risks associated with this strategy. Market volatility and unforeseen developments can significantly impact the outcome, so it is crucial to exercise caution and prudence. In these uncertain times, it is essential to remember that the market is ever-changing, and opportunities can arise even amidst disappointment. By staying informed and making well-informed decisions, we can navigate these challenging waters with resilience and adaptability. I encourage you to keep a close eye on Tesla's future developments, as they may offer insights into potential investment opportunities. Stay vigilant, analyze the market trends, and consider your risk tolerance before taking any action.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
[EN] Tesla. Medium-term bearish signal // GaliortiTradingOn the 1-month chart NASDAQ:TSLA has lost its 10-session average , a chart widely followed by large traders, which may condition a bearish momentum in the medium term . 1 Month Since November 2021 the price has been immersed in a counter-trend bearish channel with a final target at the floor of the long-term bullish channel ($100). Before that, it will have to previously exceed the medium-term bullish guideline (June 2019) in the vicinity of $175. 1 W In the short term, prices present a series of supports that will initially stop the falls. The important liquidity zone between $200-220 and the 200-session average ($196) will help to contain the falls and will probably enter a sideways phase that will last a few weeks . It will then most likely attack the June 2019 bullish trendline. 1 D In June of this year there was a bearish gap ($280 to $290) not yet covered that will act as a strong resistance in the future. A new bearish gap has been experienced during the day which has determined the loss of the 200 session average . 4 h In the very short term the bullish gap from mid-August will contain the price decline. The large liquidity zone in which the price is starting to enter and the large oversold conditions will push prices to perform a pullback on its lost 200-session average. Even in this situation, the bearish gap may not be completely covered. This would open an important medium-term bearish trading window with stop loss above the gap and a first target at the uptrend line ($175) and a second target at the floor of the long-term channel ($100). We must be very attentive to if the value fails to overcome the 200-session average on 4-hour charts. If it performs the pull-back and fails to restructure above it, it would trigger our bearish trade. Pablo G.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by GaliortiTrading
Concerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins DropConcerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins Drop: Can the Cybertruck Compensate for Losses? As you may already be aware, Tesla has experienced a noticeable drop in both its volume and margins in recent times. This decline has raised questions regarding the company's ability to sustain its profitability and meet investor expectations. While Tesla has been a frontrunner in the electric vehicle market, this recent downturn has given rise to uncertainties about the company's financial stability. In light of these concerns, it is crucial to evaluate the potential impact of Tesla's upcoming product, the Cybertruck. With its futuristic design and promising features, the Cybertruck has garnered significant attention and anticipation from both enthusiasts and investors alike. Tesla has positioned this groundbreaking vehicle as a potential game-changer, capable of revolutionizing the pickup truck market. Given the current circumstances, it is plausible to consider whether the Cybertruck can compensate for the losses incurred by Tesla's declining volume and margins. The success of this highly-anticipated product could potentially help restore investor confidence and provide a much-needed boost to the company's financial performance. However, it is important to approach this situation with caution. While the Cybertruck holds significant potential, it is vital to remain objective and critically analyze the possible outcomes. As a result, I would like to encourage you to consider a temporary short position on Tesla (TSLA). By doing so, we can potentially capitalize on the current market sentiment and potential risks associated with Tesla's performance. Please note that shorting TSLA should only be undertaken after conducting thorough research and analysis, as it carries its own inherent risks. It is essential to consult with your financial advisor or conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. As fellow traders, it is our responsibility to stay informed, remain vigilant, and adapt our strategies accordingly. By actively monitoring and discussing these developments, we can collectively navigate the ever-changing landscape of the stock market.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
TESLA ran into the sellers zone againYes, I'm already short TESLA. And I want to load my boat even more. Here's why: 1. The grey up-sloping Pendulum Fork produces a big HAGOPIAN. 2. Price get's knocked on the head, every time it trades into the Sellers Zone. (Sellers are still there). 3. Red down-sloping Fork: Price got rejected at the U-MLH. That's it? Yes, that's it. If you want the very details of this analysis, I did a deep dive of TSLA this morning and posted the Video. Let me know what you think about this trade §8-)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
6