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Tesla TSLA Market Cycle Signaling Capitulation Stage Coming? Lots of hype about the moves as of late in Tesla TSLA stock price, so I wanted to compare the Market Psychology & Cycle Timing phases to the Monthly Chart on TSLA. Do you think we are in the latter stages moving toward capitulation ? My take is that if we see a bounce from these levels into the new year (January 23'), it is likely another opportunity to short TSLA to under <$100 per share — potentially to a long-term trendline on the monthly chart that resides in the $80 area. Monthly TSLA Market Psychology & Cycle Timing 📊 Monthly Chart w/ Regression Channel Weekly TSLA Market Psychology & Cycle Timing 📊 Weekly Chart w/ Regression Channel Daily TSLA Market Psychology & Cycle Timing 📊 Daily Chart w/ Regression Channel Monthly TSLA Market Psychology & Cycle Timing w/ Yearly Returns Since IPO 📊 Indicator by @tradingview user @Botnet101 Indicator by @tradingview user @everget
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by kylemusserco
2
Tesla huge technical and sentiment buy signalsTesla hit its target on log chart from head and shoulders pattern. Also huge deviation out of down wedge channel. Tesla bulls getting margin calls, people calling for 20-50$ targets. Hundreds of bulls with tsla cash tags in their twitters selling last few days vowing to never return. Best time to buy an asset is from forced sellers. I 50% deployed at $123-130. Monthly RSI is at zero. Flipping this trade a year from now for long term cap gains advantage Not advise, good luck.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by A5gamakatsu
Possible TSLA targetWhere is TSLA headed? Well, if we look at the longterm weekly timeframe, we can nicely see an Eliott-wave like structure, with 5 waves up, and now it's quite likely we get a classic ABC type correction. A very likely target would be the .618 fibonacci level, which is, as you can see from my previous TSLA analysis, also the point where TSLA likes to find support historically. Therefore I think this is a multi month correction, and we will see the low sometime in summer this year at around 380 USD. If it will happen like this, it will be an epic entry point for longterm holding of TSLA stock.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by SebastianofMoon
6
TESLA MIGHT HAVE 7% UPSIDE Looking at TSLA's chart with the Ichimoku Cloud it looks bearish. The cloud has a fairly thick cloud which tells me TSLA is going to have a tough time breaking through to the upside. -The white arrow I have placed on top of the red line (Kijun Sen) is showing the price of TSLA is in the middle between the red and blue line (Tenken Sen). I believe we push up towards the cloud again before resuming more downside. - The X I have marked by the thickness of the cloud is where I expect TSLA to get too before falling again.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by UnknownUnicorn910751
The Secret Behind TSLA's 8% Jump on 11/23 - just getting startedI noticed the stars aligning on TSLA, and now much that has happened since Elon took over Twitter is starting to make sense. 1) Elon mentioned back in October it was likely TSLA would do a $5-10B buyback 2) Biden's inflation reduction act creates a 1% excise tax on all Stock Buybacks starting 1/1/23. At a $10B buyback, this represents a $100,000,000 unnecessary liability to the company - meaning Tesla is either going to do a buyback before end of year...or never. A $10B leaves the company in a very strong position w/ a Debt Ratio of .27. The benchmark for a strong company is .4 - meaning Tesla could easily buy back anywhere between $10B or as much as $13.5B of stock and stay in a strong position. 3) TSLA's super hyped and long anticipated Semi 1st delivery event is slated for 12/1. These events have typically sent TSLA shares soaring (even the cybertruck debacle) 4) The chart below shows abnormal relative volume by time period. I recognized a similar pattern when Elon was SELLING shares to finance Twitter earlier this month. Tesla's board isn't dumb and w/ Elon as CEO knew this would depress the price and create a buyback opportunity. 5) Tesla is presently flush with cash ($21B) and has easily manageable debt ($3B). A $10B buyback at $170-180/share would equate to 56M shares. Tesla's 3M average daily volume: 74.7M - volume today: 108.2 (45% ABOVE avg volume) - 33.5M excess shares. This likely indicates TSLA bought back around 25-28M shares. 6) TSLA is well in the green this year - yet the don't issue dividends. I'm not 100% certain on this point, but I believe a company purchasing it's own stock can offset profits and reduce it's tax liability. Tesla doesn't issue dividends, so there's no reason to hold the cash reserves to incur the 21% corporate tax rate. Add to this the fact that the stock got crushed the last 2 months - falling from $308 to $168 (45%), and every Tesla share holder is very eager to stop the bleeding. What to do...what to do??? 7) Elon's tweets have been a hotbed for moving TSLA, DOGE, and TWTR shares in the past. Since the Twitter takeover, Elon has been mostly mum aside from some very vanilla posts about TSLA - nothing that would dramatically impact the price. 8) Short volume, while not excessive, will add some fuel to the fire as they cover positions. Tesla will rebound in dramatic fashion the next few weeks as will the broader market. Corporations saw record profits in Q2 of this year, and if my assumptions on buybacks reducing a corporations tax liabilities are correct - the entire market will likely see a very merry santa rally. Even if a corporation is forced to pay tax on stock buy backs that is similar to corporate tax of 21%, delaying beyond 12/31/21 makes zero financial sense for companies in a strong financial position like Tesla. My very bold prediction: Tesla finishes 2022 in dramatic fashion over $250/share. Closer to $300/share isn't out of the question.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DontListenToThisClown
1
Strong Sell Signal On Tesla For Swing TradingI analyze on daily and weekly chart. Here are the list of indicators that Tesla is going down: 1. 100 SMA and 25 SMA crossover on weekly timeframe. SMA crossover is the first indicator I look for because it is the first indicator to show up. 2. Support line is being break by today's candle from the consolidation in the past month and the support from past few months. You can see my support line in color white in my chart. 3. -DI is above the ADX and the +DI is below the ADX which means it is very bearish. The slope of the ADX also counts. The higher the slope, the stronger the signal. I'm currently looking for 130-150 for possible support. My first signal to close the position is when the -DI goes under the ADX but I will still wait for further indicators of reversal before taking profit.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by UnknownUnicorn13326052
Tesla 20 % bounce comingRecently we published where we explained that there´s more downside coming. So far the idea is playing out as expected. We expect the price continue down as angles of the Keltner channel are still pointing to the downside . We expect the price to reach the buy zone in the next days. Next we expect the bounce and filling the gap which corresponds with the price resistance . Summary of the trade: 20 % gains to be made by bulls. Buy at the support Sell at the resistance / the gap Good luck
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by vf_investment
4
Investors drive Tesla lower after mixed Q3 earnings reportTesla shares were lower after their mixed earnings report, which is likely a combination of traders booking profits from the small pre-earnings bounce in a classic case of ‘buy the rumour sell the fact’. But who knows, perhaps investors are tiring of Elon Musk’s showmanship remarks, which today included expectations of a “record breaking Q4” and the potential for “Tesla to be worth mor than Apple and Apple and Saudi Aramco combined”. And it is hard not to be suspicious of the timing of such remarks looking at their YTD performance of -37% and him conceding that he’s overpaid for Twitter (but still “very excited”). We outlined a multi-month bearish reversal pattern on the monthly chart in our previous article, and for now we'll focus on its potential to break lower over the coming day/s. A triple top formed around $315, and Tesla has trended lower on the daily chart since. We saw an initial false break of the neckline last week with a bearish engulfing candle on high volume. But notice how volumes have again diminished over the past three days whilst prices bounced higher, which suggests it is a retracement. Tesla has fallen to 210.35 during post-market trade, which is just above the bearish engulfing low. We are therefore simply looking for a break below $204 (or $200 for a more conservative approach) to assume a bearish breakout, with $180 making a logical target for bears as it is near the March 2021 low. Given the significance of the March 2021 low then there is a strong possibility it will initially act as support. But keeping the monthly chart and reversal pattern in mind, the bias is for an eventual break below $179.83.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CityIndex
Tesla (TSLA) and its multi-month bearish reversal patternTesla shares were driven lower during after-hour trade following their Q3 earnings report, despite Elon Musk later touting a “record breaking Q4”. But let’s keep is simple and look at a potential multi-month reversal pattern on the monthly chart, and Tesla’s potential to break lower this week. Sometimes you really need to stand back to admire the view, and the monthly Tesla chart is no exception. Given it has risen over 22,000% since the stock was listed (and over 3,400% since the 2019 low alone) the Y-axis has been converted to logarithmic scale. A couple of things really stand out. Volume peaked in February 2020 and has trended significantly over the past three years. Moreover, volume has been below average these past four months as buyers continue to lose steam. A head and shoulders reversal pattern is also in the making, with prices currently finding support around the neckline. If we used a standard chart the H&S pattern would measure a target around -$50 (yes, minus) but the logarithmic chart projects a move around $100 – which is roughly half of where it currently trades, and more realistic. Whether we see the break lower or not may take time to come to fruition, given it is a weekly chart, but it is certainly a pattern to keep an eye on regardless.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CityIndex
Tesla still has a long way to goYesterday, Tesla extended a new low slightly below the previous one. Tesla is now at $205.37, clearing the way for the Alternative Count. Thus, we can assume that we saw the overriding in November 2021 and have been in a correction since then. Typical for the wave is a correction at least below the 0.618 retracement. Also common for the type of correction, according to the Elliott waves, is the 1.618 extension of waves and , which is just above the 0.786 retracement at $98.55. www.elliottwave.com What this means for us is that Tesla stock is likely to fall almost 54% more. The next hurdle is at the $158.58 (-26%) where the 0.618 retracement is tested. Tesla has lost almost 30% in the last 30 days, such an impulsive sell-off suggests that the correction is not over yet. However, if the price now turns around and sustainably rises above $315.13, the alternative scenario comes into effect and we still see values around $400. After all, still with 40% likely. Translated with www.DeepL.com (free version)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by DavidJankowski
Should I buy Testa TSLA stock in 2022?Tesla and Elon Musk are always in the news for one reason or another. However, nobody is talking about price action and supply and demand. Price action creates imbalances made of price action and candlestick formations. Tesla’s stock price could drop as far as the $60 price level in the following months. That doesn’t mean that Tesla’s stock price will tank very fast in the following days; we are talking about longer-term stock analysis.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by AlfonsoMoreno
1
How bout now - Tesla ShortMan - things are gettin hairy out there, bros. Lol.. tesla appears to be taking it's last breath. If only elon could have chweeted to save his stock price, just like he did cryptodog (or whatever it was). Lol... Right now we are -30% from the market all time high. When the market sold off at the start of this century, it took over two years to bottom (april 2000 - october 2002) and it sold off -80%. Anyway be careful out there lol. this is not the time to be yolo-ing or MOASSing or whatever it is the kids are doing these days. take care!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ChiefMacro
2