TSLA to all time high today! Double TOP??TSLA is up another 4% in the pre-market which will send the stock to all time high this morning.
But Ark Invest is was constantly selling TSLA shares during the past week and i think they will continue today.
For example, Friday they sold more than 80 000 shares for around 73mil usd.
Which makes me think this could be a double top formation with a retracement to 730usd levels as shown in the Fibonacci retracement tool.
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Teslashort
Teslas moment of truth - My interpretationI might be overestimating the importance of yesterdays trading session but I think this symmetrical triangle signals an important reversal.
The way I see it, yesterday the market made up it's mind for Tesla and now there was a reversal in the 4 month long uptrend.
TESLA. HOLD OR SELL?WHEN TO BUY?Hey!
My idea is bearish
Decision price level is 700$ or zone of 685-705$.
When the company could not pay its debts, it issued additional issues and paid off its debts in this way. So it was profitable to keep stock prices at high levels plus squeezing out short sellers. Now operating activities cover all costs, so the capitalization is not very important for the company's management. Now Tesla have a nice cash flow, low debt. The perspectives of growth here are high, but due to high P/E and P/S we should be ready for price correction.
I see 8 reasons for deep correction right now:
1. Historically, September is a bad month for the markets.
2. Right now, the correction phase begins, the depth of which will be at least 3800-4000 according to the S&P500 index.
3. A good and understandable potential for a price drop.
4. The serial production of the truck and pickup truck was postponed.
5. There will be poor sales reports due to a shortage of chips.
6. The systemic crisis in China (evergrande and Alibaba) may affect the purchasing potential in the future
7. Cash flow financing due to an additional issue no needs to make anymore.
8. Joe is sleeping.
And what if?
If S&P500 correction will be stopped this or next week than it will be possible to see the new high.
TSLA heavily shorted by Michael Burry!SCION ASSET MANAGEMENT, the hedge fund owned by Michael Burry - the man who bet against the housing market in 2008, if you are too young, you know him from "The Big Short", is now heavily betting against TSLA!
He owns puts on Tesla for 35% of his portfolio, with a market value of $731,017,000!
Besides the strong competition that TSLA has now in the EV sector, the U.S. National Transportation Safety Board would open an investigation into a fatal crash earlier this month involving a Tesla vehicle in Florida that led to the deaths of two people.
My first price target is 690, but it can drop even further, to 601usd.
Tesla's Make-it Or Break-it!Tesla is approaching a very critical spot. There are several key technicals that all speak in favour of it having topped out in January. If that's the case it automatically means that whatever we're seeing right now is the height of its distribution phase prior to rolling over for some serious price damage.
Let's go through those technical clues, one by one.
1) We have a textbook primary 5-wave impulse.
A normal 2nd-wave correction is a steep price correction. In Tesla's case, we saw a retracement to the 786 fib - one that found support on it with uncanny precision. Equally so, a normal 4th-wave correction is a complex time-based correction - one that typically materialises in the shape of a triangle. According to these standard rules, Tesla abides to both.
2) Whenever you draw a fibonacci retracement from the bottom of a 5-wave impulse and to the end of the 5th-wave, the bottom of the 4th-wave correction statistically aligns with the 618. And so, too, it does here. Naturally, this further speaks in favour of Tesla having topped out for this primary and secular market cycle, as in for a long time to follow.
3) The RSI is our by far best tool in determining whenever a mark-up shifts into a distribution. What happens is that the RSI goes from consistently high levels - often overbought such - to swiftly retrace down towards the green neutral 50-line, upon which it then fails to break above the upper bearish blue line (see the red cirle on the chart). This is a pivot at which the RSI and price suffer syncronised "max pain" and is equally so THE ideal spot to open short positions.
4) The price is currently nearing in on the golden 618 ratio. This is where I will begin to ladder in shorts. Yet, if the price were to slip too far into the zone, I'll release it and re-enter again at the 786.
But here's the thing. IF Tesla were to break above this critical zone I will consider laddering in leveraged longs. And there are two prime reasons for that.
1) The long RSI divergence (the dotted red line) is typical 3rd-wave behaviour. This is more standard than not. By that token, it would mean that the current triangular-looking price development in fact is the real primary 4th wave, upon which we can expect a final price pump to the north.
2) A price pump above the red danger zone would mean that the weekly RSI would break the upper bearish blue line, and hence disqualify it entirely.
In this sense, as long as Tesla stays within or below the red danger zone a short play is the predominantly correct move from a statistical point of view. This is likely to result in a high risk-to-reward short spot - one in which we can utilise high leverage due to the low risk.
If, on the other hand, Tesla were to break above this zone, the probabilities swiftly shift from very bearish to very bullish.
Bearish TSLA Forecast 'Twitter'
I'd say I'm not a fan of microchips or RFID anywhere near the human body, for that matter my sentiment of TSLA becoming bearish will take hold.
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$TSLA - @Stacking said run it to $800Old school technicals
Trendline break
SR flip
Little Range consolidation here
Expecting upside expansion
Only weakness with this setup is the H1 gap that has been left underneath this consolidation
Too have a higher R can keep stops above it expecting expansion soon
However, if the consolidation low gets deivated, fills that H1 gap, that should be a giga long!
See you at $800 Elon
TESLA SHOW BREAKDOWN TREND FROM THIS AREA 654 AND... Hello trading friends,
Tesla looks to enter into breakdown trend since 654 USD and this can take tesla to a breakdown trend below the important R line.
tesla will be into health trend if it hit 674 again, before that trend Tesla is into breakdown trend.
Have good time
Like and follow if you like the content. thank yo
TESLA - SHORT / 3 TPsTesla has lost a lot of volume and clearly moving downwards. There are three Take Profit opportunities highlighted in the chart.
Slowly and surely, the potential energy is dropping and if we follow the laws of conservation of energy, we are kinetic energy taking the price down. The trendlines have been well respected in the past and should be the direction of the vectors.
I will be closely monitoring TESLA and updating this analysis continually.
If you find my analysis useful and helpful, please do consider subscribing and liking my work. This helps me stay motivated.
For any questions or comments, do let me know!
-- For educational purposes only. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Did Tesla really reach the low?Did Tesla really reach the low? - the answer is YES! (Probably) as we did a analysis weeks ago providing the 0.66 of the Fibonacci as the low but for the people who think its over you can still daytrade at the VAH or at the top blue line and take a short position since we're still in a "Range"
$TSLA Neutral until confirmationToday TSLA broke a support level that saw it sell off close to a 6% for the day. On the daily chart, Tesla has printed 2 bearish reversal candles that have indicated strong supply near the 20 and 50 day moving averages. This is further confirmed with the daily candle going under the September 2020 lows anchored VWAP. Interestingly enough, even though the chart is screaming a big short towards the 1.618 fib level below, with confirmation that the 0.618 fib level was strong resistance and a swing from a corrective or impulsive way down, the flows and dark pool prints continue to come in in big numbers. Today I identified 2 dark pool prints of over 60m and 100m paid around the 572 and 601 prices respectively. If Tesla is indeed a short in this setup, then the March 5 lows should be taken out to confirm the impulsive move down. Also to note that ADX is flattening out or close to go under 25, whilst selling pressure increases.
When Michael Burry put on a $560M put option position short TSLAWe learned in the news today thanks to a 13F filing that Michael Burry of 'Big Short' movie fame placed a huge short postion in Tesla somewhere between Dec 31 and March 31.
Hed did reveal in a tweet that he was short in early December, presumably with a smaller position
"So, @elonmusk, yes, I'm short $TSLA, but some free advice for a good guy ... Seriously, issue 25-50% of your shares at the current ridiculous price. That's not dilution," Burry tweeted.
Interestingly the TSLA share price is sitting right around the level of his first tweet and near the 2021 YTD low
TESLA END GAME Inflation + EV Bubble + Bearish TA + Crazy Elon = Extreme Volatility
-If inflation sell-offs keep up, markets will go down and so will Tesla. Bearish sentiment in that sense.
- Market is getting over-saturated with EV startups and good competition. Tesla is like the OG but it ran up too fast and quick due to pumps and speculation.
-Closed below upper support levels, and that bullish pennant that broke to the downside isn't helping.
-Who knows what Elon will tweet next...
I expect more downside before the upside.
Good investment and volatility are great for trading at support levels.
Tesla Short IdeaI call this a tesla short idea, primarily because that is all this is, an idea. I have been looking at tesla on both a line chart and a bar chart, and have noticed a 5 wave structure that has unfolded.
The count is a full impulse to the upside that has an extended third wave and an extended fifth wave.
Since these are rare, my justification is that the hype behind tesla has been so enormous, that it has created a huge wave 3 and wave 5. In addition to the psychological aspect of it, I believe that the count is accurate since it has alternation within all of the subwaves of every impulse wave, and the wave 3 is 2.618 of the wave 1 and the wave 5 is a 1.236 projection of the waves 1-3.
Highly doubt this is going much higher
From the high at the end of January, we have seen a significant drop in price, which I categorize as a wave A to the downside. From the wave A, we have seen a clear wave B.
The reason why I don't think this is an impulse move, is because it can be contained within parallel lines, and if this is impulsive I would expect the wave 3 to have broken out of the parallel lines.
In addition to this, the most recent wave up appears to clearly be a 3 wave move which is a characteristic of corrective waves.
Assuming my count is correct, Tesla is headed back to at least the 500$ range, but 400$ isn't out of the question.
I am wrong with this count if tesla breaks out of the channel or above the high of the wave B.