Tetherdominance
📈 Tether Dominance 25-Feb. Update = Bitcoin BullishFor this update, I left the chart from the 25-Feb. trade idea intact where I mention:
"Last time USDT.D found resistance at EMA50.
"Yesterday, the peak was hit at exactly this same level.
"This resistance is there but likely to be taken out."
USDT.D is now facing the next resistance in the form of EMA100, this one is stronger and less likely to be taken out.
In fact, I believe that this one will hold but let's see what the chart has to say as believes don't hold much value in this game.
The trading volume has been low and it is going lower.
The RSI is curving down and showing some bearish divergence.
Technically speaking, solely focusing on the chart, this resistance can also break but the next one at 7.51% is super strong and the last level, MA200.
Conclusion
We are seeing a bounce take place but the bearish bias remains strong.
The initial move is a bearish breakdown that happened in January, after a lower high in December.
This drop continues active below 8.77%.
But we are looking at a drop now and Bitcoin moving ahead.
If it moves to MA200 it should all still happen within a matter of days, say 5-9 days max and that's it for this bounce.
For those not familiar with why I am reading this chart.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Tether Dominance (USDT.D) have an inverse relation.
When USDT.D drops, Bitcoin goes up.
When USDT.D goes up, Bitcoin drops.
USDT.D is now facing resistance as EMA100 and if this resistance holds, we get a continuation of the previous drop... And Bitcoin goes up.
Namaste.
📈 Tether Dominance Bounce vs Bitcoins Correction AnalysisTether Dominance produced a bounce and this isn't surprising as this is within normal price action.
Last time USDT.D found resistance at EMA50.
Yesterday, the peak was hit at exactly this same level.
This resistance is there but likely to be taken out.
If EMA50 is confirmed as resistance a second time the below analysis isn't necessary.
After EMA50 or 7.04% Tether Dominance faces another challenge in the form of EMA100 (7.31%) and MA200 (7.46%), these resistance level are likely to hold.
The candles can pierce a bit above these levels before dropping or it can drop before reaching said levels but these are very likely to be confirmed as resistance on the first try as it happened with EMA50.
MA200, the black line on the chart, is a long-term indicator and thus this resistance needs to be confirmed.
Since it is the first time that USDT.D moves below this level since April 2021, it is important to retest it before continuing lower.
Once a level is turned, in this case from support to resistance, it needs to be tested as resistance to see if it holds.
If it holds, the USDT.D long-term downtrend is confirmed and the index is set to move much lower.
If it doesn't hold, the downtrend is likely to be over and USDT.D can resume growing.
Our belief based on reading multiple charts all across is that this level will be confirmed as resistance.
It can happen sooner than expected but the timing is for the market to decide.
Bitcoin moved from $15,500 to $25,250, which makes it normal if any type of correction, short or strong shows up.
But after the correction continues the growth.
Bitcoin is ultra-bullish above $22,222.
Bitcoin remains extremely-bullish above $20,000.
Breaking below $20,000 would be a very bad signal but the bullish potential would remain intact above the late November 2022 low.
As long as Bitcoin continues trading above its November 2022 low, the bullish potential for higher highs and higher lows long-term remains active.
Namaste.
📈 Tether Dominance Points LowerUSDT.D bounced from 2-Feb. to 14-Feb. finding resistance at EMA50 and producing a lower high.
EMA50 has been confirmed as resistance and this lower high will now lead to a lower low.
USDT.D is set to drop based on this MA analysis.
Also, the RSI is below 50 which is bearish.
The MACD below zero while printing a bearish cross.
These additional signals support a lower low.
As USDT.D goes down, Bitcoin and in this case the Altcoins mainly will go up.
Remember that just as the big Altcoins take turns with the smaller Altcoins, Bitcoin takes turn with the market as a whole.
Namaste.
USDT Dominance Bump and Run UpdateSo far we're flowing exactly how I expected. We just got a pullback... but we did not retest the running trendline (the trendline with the increased degree of rise).
We now look like we're on the move down after a little correction. The next few weeks will continue to give us clarity. Breaking some of the horizontal supports would increase confidence that the bull, at least short term, is back. These levels are:
1. ~6.5%
2. ~5.6%
3. ~5.0%
TETHER DOMINANCE - Bump and Run UpdateQuick update on the bump and run reversal idea that I posted several weeks ago right when we broke the trendline. At the time, I was super bullish on crypto in general because I've seen this structure play out many times in the past.
So far, TETHER dominance has continued to slide which is an indication that other crypto assets are continuing to rise. There are so many bears out there calling for a raid of the November lows and a push even lower.
I have one thing to say about all the mega bears out there. If you ignore all the major movements and just sit and wait for a single trade that is going to make you rich, then you aren't going to make it. You have to harness the moment and take advantage of the major moves that the market gives you on a regular basis. Sure, you'll be wrong sometimes, but if you rely on 1 or 2 trades to make you rich, then one of two things will happen:
1. You won't get your dream position
2. You're going to get demolished and end up losing anyway
I've seen it over and over again. Harness the trend and realize when there's a trend change. Take advantage of it and know when numerous instruments are telling you things are changing.
📈 Tether Dominance Resistance EverywhereWe are seeing a small bounce taking place on the Tether Dominance chart matching the current red candle in Bitcoin's and Ethereum charts... As well as everything else since the entire market is connected and does the same.
Tether Dominance already found the first resistance at EMA10, this is the easy short-term one.
Notice the bearish cross between EMA50 and EMA100. A bearish cross always leads to a bounce short-term but fully develops mid-term.
A bounce that ends up in a lower high to produce a lower low. This is strongly bullish for the entire cryptocurrency market.
We saw this same signal to support a bounce on the Tesla (TSLA) chart.
After EMA10 we have the 0.618 Fib. retracement (strong resistance).
Followed by MA200, long-term support turned (strong resistance).
Then the bearish cross is another strong resistance level.
Finally, the 0.382 is a major strong resistance.
Tether Dominance is set to continue lower, regardless for how long or how high goes the bullish break.
It is normal to see corrections and retraces, it is also normal to see a continuation of a newly stablished trend.
Namaste.
#USDT Dominance You need to read this.So, USDT Dominance breaks down after almost 290% pump and 15 months of an uptrend for you to finally turn Bearish?
zoom out
GROW UP!
I've been updating this chart when no one was. This is the only indicator for you if you want to trade Altcoins and BTC in general.
When BTC is done with this pump expect BTC to reach $25k -$28k when it stops and goes sideways.
That will be the time when Alts start pumping in 3 digits in % a day.
This is my own observation and not financial advice,
Follow me if you want to trade with me.
Do your own research!
#PEACE
#Stable Dominance , Dump will Continue, Here's Why!Once this pennant breaks below BTC is likely to hit $22.5k+.
Is it likely? I think Yes.
Lower support is around 4.14%
Once this level hits expect some correction in the market.
The charts show the possibility of the continuation of this uptrend.
Invalidation:- Break and close above 4.85%
Let me know what. you think.
Please hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section.
Stay safe
#PEACE
📈 Tether Dominance Trading Below MA200 Favors The BearsThis is a long-term chart for USDT.D (Tether Dominance)... Notice the black line, MA200.
Back in late December 2021, Tether Dominance moved above MA200, this signaled the beginning of a long upwards trend.
This also confirms MA200 as a long-term indicator.
Recently, 13-January-2023, Tether Dominance moved decidedly below MA200, signaling a long-term potential going lower.
As USDT.D goes lower, Bitcoin/Cryptocurrency goes higher.
If it goes lower long-term, crypto goes higher long-term.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
USDT Dominance Breakout ascending trend line. USDT.DHello my friends, Consider USDT market cap to help identify market movement, Everything is marked on the chart. The ascending trend has been broken and for now I expect a retest as pullback to 7.8% then it drops to 5.5%.
Good luck.
If its useful please like it as a support and follow me for next analysis :)
📈 Tether Dominance Goes Below SupportWhile a bounce was expected at the 0.618 Fib. retracement for USDT.D, it didn't take place.
After the close below this level 14-Jan., confirmation has been received with two additional candles/sessions staying below.
The RSI has gone super weak... 17, extreme oversold.
It is tricky here... As you can see from late October/November 2022, going below a support level can quickly result in a bounce.
Something similar can happen here where we see prices going up just to come crashing back down.
What's important to know for us is that any recovery should be temporary and then a lower low.
It can go straight down as well...
Namaste.
USDT Dominance BUMP AND RUN REVERSAL FORMATIONLooking at tether dominance - it's losing dominance which means other cryptos, whether it be BTC or ALTS, are going to see a rise in value. It doesn't necessarily mean USDT is flowing into those cryptos, but it means that other cryptos are rising in dominance.
Technically speaking, spot positions in alts are your best bet. Watch BTC dominance (hint - it's rising, too), however I think alts may be about to pop soon if BTC can stay above $18k.
USDT dominance will find some resistance later this year around 4.6% but breaking the lower trendline that has existed from the beginning of the tether dominance chart would be insanely bullish for crypto. It's a long time before that kicks in.
📈 Tether Dominance Weekly | July 2022 RepeatThe weekly candle is full bearish for USDT.D and we have some interesting data to analyze.
Tether Dominance is staying right above support in the form of a 0.618 Fib. retracement level.
The weekly candle closes in about 30 hours.
Looking back at July 2022, this exact same level was tested. As USDT.D broke below it, what followed were four red weekly candles (28 days) that ended up testing the 1 Fib. retracement.
We have the same scenario now.
The weekly session is about to close right above support, this happened last time but only to be followed by strong bearish action.
The RSI is in scuba diving mode and we have a volume breakout on the bearish side.
A bounce can happen at support, this is normal... But the signals are pointing lower, clear and strong.
The next targets are 6.45% and 5.65% which would mean a Bitcoin price of $23,000 to $25,000.
Namaste.
📈 Tether Dominance, The Final ConfirmationIncredibly enough, some people still have doubt that Bitcoin and the Altcoins will continue to grow.
Here is the final confirmation in the form of a strongly bearish USDT.D chart.
Remember that one mentioning this thing is about "to speed'...
Well, this "thing" has more down to go before it finds support.
At least one more strong red candle, then a small bounce before more lows.
Namaste.
📈 Tether Dominance Chart Updated | USDT.D 7.08% = BTC $20.5KNow that we have a clear picture, now that the bearish bias is basically confirmed... Let's update the chart.
Tether Dominance will drop and we have targets at 0.5 Fib. retracement coinciding with MA200, a sure stop, followed by 0.618 Fib. retracement golden ratio coinciding with value area.
Now, how much would bitcoin grow if USDT.D falls to these levels?
Bitcoin is sitting right now at $16,950 and a drop by USDT.D to the first target of 7.53% would put bitcoin in the $18Ks.
The next target, the Fib. retracement golden ratio, sitting at 7.08% of Tether Dominance, would put bitcoin above $20K....
And that is only the beginning, we are looking at a long-term bearish wave for USDT.D based on the long-term lower high.
Which means that bitcoin can do much more... But we go step by step, this is only how things start.
Namaste.
📈 Tether Dominance Speed...The drop here is about to speed up, the one we mentioned in the last update/trade idea, and additional confirmation is coming in.
12H, USDT.D printed a strong rejection while trying to move back above EMA10 and EMA21
This rejection pushed the index down to below EMA50 as well and the RSI is turning weak.
A sudden drop is about to take place... We don't know if it happens within hours or several days.
As soon as it happens though we can see the inverse reaction for bitcoin, the altcoins, to take place.
A nice jump, everything will move up 1 full level... The relief that we've been waiting for.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Feel free to Boost 🚀👍 if you like!
Namaste.
📈 USDTD Bearish Wave! +Bitcoin +Altcoins +2023 & Beyond Mapped!The wait is over...
We are getting confirmation from this chart, the Tether Dominance bearish wave is about to start and likely it will go fast.
USDT tokens will be flowing to bitcoin and the altcoins.
Bitcoin and the altcoins will grow together for a while.
Bitcoin will go ahead after a few weeks while the altcoins stay behind.
Bitcoin will steal the show for a while.
While bitcoin moves ahead the altcoins will enter correction mode/retrace.
Once the altcoins stop their correction it will be bitcoin's turn.
The altcoins will print a higher low and grow, money flowing from bitcoin to the altcoins.
This will create momentum, there will be hype and new players will enter the game.
It will be a small bullish breeze but it will stop once again.
Around March, late... We will be back to the energy/feelings we had in 2021 for 3 long months... It will feel like the end of the world but at the end there is always a new start.
My calculations are pointing to 2-3 months bullish followed by 3-4 months bearish...
Then another consolidation phase at low/bottom prices before the next market phase starts.
2023 will be an interesting year...
The year Crypto Recovers.
2024 will be an interesting year...
The year Crypto Grows.
2025 will be an amazing year...
The next Crypto Bull-Run!
Namaste.
📈 Tether Dominance Bullish vs Bearish PotentialThe Tether Dominance Index (USDT.D) is now bullish as it continues trading above EMA10.
Let's look at the potential for a reversal; early bearish signals.
- Lower high mid-term. June vs November.
- Decreasing bullish volume. As USDT.D continues to move higher the weekly trading volume goes lower, giving us an early signal of weakness.
- RSI bearish divergence. Divergences tend to happen between tops and bottoms.
These are just early signals and the trend is still bullish but we are looking for a potential reversal.
Tether Dominance moves inverse to bitcoin.
- If USDT.D goes up, BTCUSD goes down.
- If USDT.D goes down, BTCUSD goes up.
That's why we track this index in search for confirmation/additional information to support what we see on the bitcoin and Altcoins charts.
Namaste.
Monitoring USDT- Absolutely not a prediction.
- Just doing this chart to observe 1D (smaller timeframe) on USDT Dominance & Sharing.
- I usually like to use larger TF to reduce the noise on charts ( 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M ).
- USDT.D have to break out 8.4% before 13th December.
- if it does, could mean BTC more downward pressure.
- if it fails, BTC could rally up.
- Patience is the key.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Tether Dominance Complete Breakdown | Crypto Will Safe The Day!There is still doubt as to wether Bitcoin will continue growing or not and thats understandable... The Feds, the bear market, the war, the FTX scam, etc. all weight in on peoples mind but the charts are starting to give a clear message.
We have once more the Tether Dominance (USDT.D) chart, which moves inverse to Bitcoin.
Today EMA50 continues to be challenged as support and we see a break below it for the first time since late October.
I mention EMA50 because it is used by us to guage a chart/pair/asset mid-term potential.
USDT.D is looking bearish based on all chart signals and candlestick patterns.
A strong bearish signal is the lower high this November compared to June.
Even while Bitcoin went to print a lower low, November vs June, Tether Dominance ended in a lower high, not matching its inverse relation and sending out a strong bearish signal.
It is possible that Bitcoin can detach from the stock market, it is possible.
It is possible that Bitcoin can grow while the entire world burns, it is possible.
Just think of March 2020 when Covid entered in full force.
Instead of Bitcoin going down it bottomed and then started to grow for more than a year really strong.
We can see something similar with cryptocurrency next year as the world markets burn.
The worst time ever in a lifetime can come and cryptocurrency stay around to safe the day.
This is just a possibility but it happened with Covid and it can surely happen again.
Namaste.