Tetherus
Tether The Trumpet- On this Chart i use zero indicator and just the trend.
- Some basic supports and resistances.
- What we can see and deduct ?
- Tether jumped from 0.01% to 1% dominance from 2015 to 2018.
- from 2019 to 2023 USDT.Dom growed from 1% to 10%.
- now the trend is still evolving in a steady broadening trumpet formation.
- Do you really believe Tether would reach 35% Dominance in Crypto Markets ?
- it would mean that 35% of peoples would prefer to stay in Stables Fiat and win nothing.
- Just using logic and combine FA + TA :
- This uper trend will be broken down soon or later.
- i just do believe that Tether have to crash at one point ( no matter the reason ).
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- So now a quick comprehensive explanation about Tether.Dom and how it works :
1 - When BTC down = Peoples swap their BTC to USDT (panic)
- USDT.Dom up !
- Tether stop the printing Machine and wait.
2. - When BTC up = Peoples swap their USDT to buy BTC (fomo)
- USDT.Dom Down !
- Tether have to restart the printing machine and issue more USDT to cover BTC demands.
- Yes it's simple as that..
- Tether is not really different than the FED.
- they just print more USDT from thin air when peoples want buy more BTC.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Remember that without BTC, Tether would worth 0$ and disappear.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
St4y Safe
Happy Tr4Ding !
BITCOIN USDT PAIR - CUP AND HANDLE PATTERN SPOTTEDCup and Handle Pattern:
The Cup: The chart shows a rounded bottom formation that resembles a cup, often indicative of a longer consolidation period before a breakout.
The Handle: After the cup formation, the price appears to be forming a handle, which is a short-term downtrend before the breakout. The handle often slopes downwards slightly, and once the price breaks out of the handle's resistance line, a significant move upwards can follow.
Key Resistance Level:
The resistance seems to be around the $65,000 - $70,000 level. A breakout above this area would likely indicate a continuation of the previous bullish trend.
Volume Analysis:
The chart shows increasing volume during the cup formation, which is a healthy sign for the bullish pattern. However, it looks like volume has decreased slightly in the handle phase, which is normal for this pattern. An increase in volume during a breakout from the handle would confirm the strength of the upward move.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is currently at 57.21, which is neutral. It indicates there is still room for upward movement before entering overbought territory (above 70). This supports the bullish view if the price breaks out.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic indicator shows a value of 61.68 (blue), which is also relatively neutral but trending upward. If the stochastic continues its upward movement, it may suggest a potential entry point for buyers before hitting overbought conditions.
VM Candle Divergences:
The chart uses a custom indicator (VMC Cipher Divergences), which might show some bullish divergence, but it requires confirmation through volume and momentum changes.
Prognosis:
If the handle breakout occurs above the resistance line (~$65,000), the next bullish target would be near previous all-time highs, around $75,000 or higher.
A failure to break the handle's resistance could lead to a short-term pullback to test lower support levels around $50,000.
Market Outlook:
Bullish Case: A successful breakout would lead to a continuation of the uptrend, and the price could target $75,000 - $80,000 in the next phase.
Bearish Case: Failure to break resistance at around $65,000 may lead to a correction back to $50,000 - $45,000, where stronger support lies.
This analysis leans toward a bullish outlook, as the technical pattern suggests a breakout might be imminent. However, monitoring volume and momentum indicators will be key for confirming the next move.
TETHER is becoming increasingly more unstable.Tether is the biggest Ponzi scheme in the history of crypto and is becoming increasingly more unstable every day. USDT is subject to many factors, such as the rising and falling value of the dollar and the constant increase of Tether into Infinium to manipulate the price of other cryptocurrencies that are solely reliant upon USDT for purchase.
I do believe that we will see a day in the very near future when Tether (USDT) will collapse and lose the vast majority of its value overnight, much like the TerraUSD/LUNA collapse, except it will be orders of magnitude more extreme as Tether has a market cap that TerraUSD could only dream of, even in its heyday.
If you hold large amounts of TETHER on any blockchain, you're taking massive, unseen risk.
USDT Tether 82.45% of the reserves held in U.S. Treasury bonds !SIVB SVB Financial Group suffered the most severe bank run since Lehman Brothers for selling bonds at a $1.8Bil loss just to raise cash!
They had one of the worst possible yields as well: 1.79.
USDT Tether said on Dec 2nd, 2022, that its equity is expanding swiftly, with "82.45% of the reserves held in U.S. Treasury bonds and other cash equivalents."
What yield do you think Tether has?
I think we are about to witness USDT Tether`s collapse.
BTC mining in South America for Tether adds to the longAre you ready to take your mining game to the next level? Look no further than Tether's latest venture in Uruguay. With its stablecoin technology and top-notch infrastructure, Tether is poised to revolutionize the mining industry. Join us as we explore this exciting opportunity and discover how you can reap the rewards of this cutting-edge technology.
Also , Tether's recent $1B USDT mint on Ethereum is for chain swaps! This clarification comes straight from the Tether CTO, so you can rest easy knowing this is a positive development for the crypto community. For more information, check out the official statement from Tether. Happy trading!
BTC USD FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISBitcoin price recently decoupled from the stock market, as a result of which even the recent banking crisis held no bearish impact on the cryptocurrency. Now as the "Sell in May" trend comes back to life, it is likely that BTC might reap the benefits of a slow-growing stock market.
"Sell in May" - Banks' collapse paves the way
In the stock market, as April comes to an end, a common saying among investors comes back to life - "Sell in May and Go Away". The axiom is used to signal the beginning of the worst six months of the year for traders and investors. Due to the relatively terrible performance of the stock market, i.e., S&P 500 Index (SPX), "Sell in May" suggests simply ignoring the next six months and coming back again in October.
While it may seem like another fad, the saying has historically been proven right. According to a report from Carson, on average, the May to October period has borne the least growth of 1.7% in comparison to other six-month combinations.
But beyond an axiom, the stock market does have a lot to worry about as another bank just collapsed. The First Republic Bank, one of Unites States' 20 biggest banks, is going to be reportedly taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) on April 28. The bank will be placed under imminent receivership as the FDIC said that there was "no more time" for a private sector rescue.
Earlier this year, the Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank failed as the entire US faced a banking crisis in Q1. The stock market bore the impacts of the same as within a month, SPX declined by nearly 344.63 points falling by 8.25%.
Now as May begins following First Republic Banks' crisis, the Federal Reserve is also set to conduct its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on May 2 - 3. In this meeting, the next interest rate hike will take place, and the Fed is likely to increase the rates by 25 basis points (bps).
The probability of the same is currently at 80%, rising from 75% that was observed a few days ago after reports of First Republic Bank being taken over by the US government first came to light.
All these instances could have a bearish impact on the stock markets, translating into a bullish impact on Bitcoin price.
Bitcoin price could rise
Bitcoin price in the past has had a rather surprising reaction to not just the stock market decline but the banking crisis as well.
While the banks collapsing in the first quarter of the year brought down the stock and crypto market collectively initially, BTC started rallying soon after and over the next ten days, the biggest cryptocurrency in the world shot up by 40%.
This is because, towards the end of 2022, Bitcoin decoupled itself from the stock market and regained its "safe haven" status and "inflation hedge" label akin to Gold. Even this week, as the initial reports of First Republic Banks's failure arrived, BTC shot up by nearly 8%.
Thus as the "Sell in May" trend takes shape and stock market performance remains sub-par, Bitcoin price will have room to welcome traders and investors from the stocks' world.
Furthermore, Bitcoin supply profitability is still pretty low at 74%. While the profitability did increase over the last four months from 45% to a 12-month high, there is still room for growth before a market top is observed.
Usually, when more than 95% of the supply becomes profitable, a market top is marked, which induces sell pressure. Until then, BTC is good to chart gains.
Conclusion
Looking at the broader market conditions, it does seem likely for Bitcoin price to observe some green candlesticks on the charts potentially. That is unless the alt season takes over and Bitcoin's dominance falls from the current 48.63% to less than 40%.
At the same time, traders and investors should also watch out for the upcoming interest rate hike, as a more than 25 bps hike could cause a price crash.
HOW I VIEW SOL/TETHERUSIf you look closely at my TA, you will realise that my bias in both ways (bullish & bearish) are based on the ascending bearish trendline.
Eithers ways,
1. It should drop to touch the TL to rally up to hit my TP
2. Break the TL, retest it and swim down to the sell TP at $14.9 and $11.9 zones
Kindly keep the conversation going by sharing your thought on the comment section
Follow me for my analysis and do well to like
I wouldn't buy Tether with a Barge Pole here's whyI absolutely agree that Tether is yet another Penny crypto that should not be touched with a 10 foot pole.
Now Tether is not your usual crypto currency. It’s not something you buy low and sell high.
Take a look at the chart before I continue.
Tether is not one I would consider buying.
What you’ll notice is that the price oscillates around the 1.000 mark.
It’s not your usual crypto currency. It’s what’s known as a stable coin. So its main goal is to track the US dollar’s price 1:1
And tether is not a long-term investment that will grow your money by itself because it stays pegged to the U.S. dollar.
So, investors use this crypto coin to hedge against the US dollar.
Investors use this crypto coin to gain exposure to the US dollar but in crypto form. Tether also sometimes acts as a “bridge” between the fiat and crypto world – as in people often buy stable coins to then buy other cryptos
It’s for the investors who want to invest and diversify their money in a non-government measure and to control their own finances instead of putting the money in banks.
Sounds good and safe right?
The problem is that Tether (USDT) always denies an audit.
They have also been investigated by the NY Attorney General’s office for lying about their reserves.
Also there is major volatility and uncertainty with crypto exchanges since the FTX and Alameda debacle.
Binance (One of the largest Crypto currency exchange) even paused customer deposits of stable coins USD Coin and Tether on Thursday morning without explanation.
This is not safe as a hedge in my opinion. Hence, it’s another reason to stay away from even stable coins like Tether…
USDT Tether is acting as depegged from USD from around 2 weIt seems interesting how USDT is acting more like traditional crypto asset now, than stablecoin.
You can clearly see trends, volume profile and price targets.
We don't want to be right about this, but if USDT is depegged from USD, that means that huge crypto crash is coming