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Texas Instruments Stock Surge on Strong Q1 ResultsTexas Instruments ( NASDAQ:TXN ) saw a remarkable surge of around 7% in premarket trading following the release of its strong Q1 results, igniting a broader rally in chip stocks. The company's robust second-quarter revenue forecast, surpassing analyst estimates, has instilled optimism in the semiconductor market's recovery prospects. Texas Instruments ( NASDAQ:TXN ), renowned as a semiconductor bellwether due to its extensive product applications across various industries, reported a stellar performance in its first-quarter results. The company's shares soared in premarket trade, indicating a positive market sentiment towards semiconductor stocks. One of the key highlights of Texas Instruments' Q1 earnings report was its bullish revenue forecast for the second quarter, with a midpoint projection of $3.8 billion. This forecast exceeded the expectations of analysts, who had estimated revenue of $3.77 billion. Such optimistic guidance from Texas Instruments bodes well for the broader semiconductor industry, reflecting a potential uptick in chip demand across multiple sectors. Analysts at J.P. Morgan expressed confidence in Texas Instruments' growth trajectory, anticipating a sustained recovery throughout the year's second half and into 2025. This outlook underscores the company's resilience and its ability to capitalize on improving market conditions. Furthermore, the resurgence in demand for consumer electronics signals a positive trend for Texas Instruments ( NASDAQ:TXN ), suggesting that inventory corrections in clients' analog chip holdings may be nearing completion. However, challenges persist in the automotive segment, where inventory clearance is still underway. Despite this, Texas Instruments ( NASDAQ:TXN ) remains well-positioned to navigate market fluctuations and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
NASDAQ:TXNLong
by DEXWireNews
TXN rising and at fair value LONGTXN is on a 240 minute chart. It is a grinder from the 70s. I was there and a proud owner of a TI programmable calculator costing $500 as a teenager. New cars cost $5000 for a nice VW Bug ( got them nearly the same time). TXN has a role to play in semi-conductor and AI space. It has been lagging others. The chart makes me believe that it is waking up. Buying after a TTM squeeze at the mean of the anchored VWAP or the middle line of the bands is a way to lower risk and get fair value. TXN was there for me back in the day. I am taking a long trade now. It's time to get a full rebate ( or more with badly inflated dollars). TXN has retested that mean VWAP line. It's good to go.
NASDAQ:TXNLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
TSM - Taiwan, Your Semiconductor Long HedgeAt present, the US equities markets are at a critical inflection point, especially tech. We're still in the bear side of a correction in an extremely major bull market impulse fuelled by Party Central's COVID stimulus programs, and yet flirting with all time highs. Sometimes markets top without a blow off. Nasdaq's daily chart, above, shows price raided the 16,000 psychological level and the January 2022 pivot that ended the bull market. This is really significant in and of itself, but even more significant in that the 3% rejection thus far indicates that tech *may* have truly topped already. In my recent call on NVIDIA, some people correctly criticized that I have the problem of being bearish when a stock is clearly bullish. I have thought about this quite a bit and think the criticism is fair. With NVIDIA, I believe the stock has either topped or will top before/at $500 in a coming impulse. However, if one had have just gone long on the dips from low $400s to the $480 mark, they could have financed a freeroll "Short God From The Top" dream trade with potentially huge upside. And that brings us to Taiwan Semiconductor, a company that I believe is a clear long on all time frames and has several significant advantages: 1. It's Taiwan's gemstone and thus highly relevant to the geopolitical concerns I will outline below 2. Producer of much of the world's most advanced chips 3. Market cap still under $500 billion (Thus, room to 2 or 3x in the future) 4. Is not a component of the Nasdaq, the SPX, the Dow, or the Russell, and thus can impulse long even if the equities market corrects 5. Accounts for only 3.4% of the index the SOXX/SOXL/SOXS ETFs underlie, and thus can impulse long even if the semiconductor industry corrects sharply 6. Washington is banning NVIDIA and ASML from selling to China, but never mentions TSM 7. If TSM pulls out the "AI" marketing card with a new offering, watch out for fire. In previous posts I have mentioned that the Chinese Communist Party is about to fall. While people may find that unbelievable or too good to be true, it's worth noting that when the USSR was brought down by Gorbachev and friends on Christmas Day 1992, nobody believed it was possible then either. Those of us who are old enough to remember know you woke up one day to see it all over the news and nobody knew how it would happen. Many entities are considering how to take control of China and its 5,000 year old culture, history, natural resources, and land when the Party falls. The International Rules Based Order wants China for its own reasons, and the reason "Washington" has made itself so close to Taiwan isn't because Xi Jinping intends to invade Taiwan (The CCP is too weak after so many people died from Wuhan Pneumonia), but because the IRBO intends to use The Republic of China to replace the Communist Party for its own ends. The ultimate purpose is to install genuine communism (note the CCP only still practices socialism according to its own dogma) worldwide via panopticon social credit systems and central bank digital currencies. If you want a future you and your family can live in, you want our traditions, imparted by God, and not this junk imparted by Karl Marx and the specters that belied him. I've mentioned before that Xi, an ostensible Chinese nationalist, has the option of weaponizing the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against the 100 million practitioners of the Falun Gong/Falun Dafa spiritual cultivation practice by the faction of his predecessor Jiang Zemin and the CCP in order to ensnare the IRBO and its banking cartel. However, all of the world's critical pieces (Yellen, Musk, Kissinger, Dimon) visiting Beijing "for talks" combining with a recent significant strengthening of the yuan and a potential recovery of China tech stocks indicates that the IRBO is now onside with the Xi administration. Which means that Xi may have sold out China and the future in a Faustian Pact with the IRBO in order to maintain his power, because he's too much of an idiot to throw away the CCP, return to China's 5,000 years of dynasties, and enter the future. Either way, once there's some kind of news cycle about "Taiwan" (just go look at all the war clamoring that appeared this month in The Economist et al), TSM can moon no matter what the rest of the equities market does, and counts as an excellent long hedge during catastrophe. I can only say that if you go long, especially significantly long, on anything right now, you really ought to be hedging volatility long while the VIX is maintaining a 13-handle. So here's the trade. TSM dumped some 6% on earnings under $98, which is a hell of a dip to buy. It's a dip to buy because daily price action on the way up stopped just short of the curiously-numbered $111.11 (the Chinese are extremely numerological/superstitious), which naturally makes this figure a target for a retrace It's only that on the hourly, TSM doesn't show any signs of having bottomed beyond not making a lower low on the first day. But with the biggest FOMC of the year on Wednesday, July 26 (big hike possible, next meeting not until Q3 end September 20), longing today may have been too early. But not too early by much. Arguably only 3%. The most bullish continuation for TSM would be to maintain a "higher low" formation, protecting the wick of the June low at $94.25. Upside targets are immediately $113+ (Masonry, roar?) and $130 (Masonry, rawr!) if bearish. If all things Taiwan become memefied like artificial intelligence did because of what's going on in China, then there's little to stop TSM from becoming a $1 Trillion market cap company like NVIDIA et al, which would actually mean upside over $200 is in the cards through the 2024 Presidential Election. But mankind's best laid plans are merely those of mice. This race is like bacteria and this planet is little more than a speck of dust when viewed from higher places in the enormous and boundless Cosmos we currently sit in. What the Cosmos looks at is a race, a planet, and an individual's moral standard and spiritual realm. Thus, the more calamity is on deck the more critical it is to take good care of your family and friends and use the time that we all have left before the world changes forever to make up for the things from the past that have been done wrong, when they should have been done well. Take good care of yourselves.
NYSE:TSMLong
by LordWrymouth
1
Texas Instruments WCA - RectangleCompany: Texas Instruments Incorporated Ticker: TXN Exchange: NASDAQ Sector: Technology Introduction: Today, we turn our gaze towards Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN), a distinguished player in the Technology sector listed on the NASDAQ. The weekly chart reveals a Rectangle pattern that has been in formation over the course of 490 days, indicating a possible bullish breakout. Rectangle Pattern: A Rectangle pattern typically denotes a period of market consolidation, before the price action resumes/reverses its prior direction. The pattern is characterized by price movements within a well-defined support and resistance range. Analysis: Previously, TXN was on a downward trend, which was halted by a consolidation phase, creating a Rectangle pattern over 490 days. This pattern, with its three touch points at the upper boundary and two at the lower, suggests a likely bullish breakout. At present, the price is above the 200 EMA, signaling a bullish market. If we observe a successful breakout above the upper horizontal resistance level of 186.31, it could provide a promising opportunity for a long position. In the event of a successful breakout, the price target would be situated at 226.52, representing a potential gain of about 21.60%. Please note, a minor resistance may be encountered at 200.97 en route to the price target. Conclusion: Texas Instruments' weekly chart displays an interesting setup with a bullish Rectangle pattern, hinting at a potential reversal of the previous downtrend. This setup could offer a beneficial long trading opportunity. As always, use this analysis in combination with your overall market research and risk management strategy, not as direct trading advice. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you profitable trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice and is intended for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:TXN
by KarimSubhieh
Texas Instruments: Don’t Rush It! 🐢With a healthy respect, Texas Instruments is advancing toward the resistance line at $158.99 slowly but surely. Soon, the share should climb above this mark and push off into the green zone between $215.90 and $237.98 to complete wave B in green before turning downwards again. There is a 33% chance, though, that the course could shift away from the next resistance line, dropping below the support at $144.49 instead. In that case, we would expect Texas Instruments to develop wave alt.IV in gray in the gray zone between $130 and $107.68 before moving upwards anew.
NASDAQ:TXN
by MarketIntel
Texas Instruments - Full analysis for December 2022 Daily ChartExpectation of Texas Instruments ($TXN) & Potential Strategy Ideas: ---This is my first post, if you like my breakdown and mechanical analysis please comment other tickers you want to see--- $TXN is a bit in decisive now with pressure from buyers and sellers to either cash out close to the ATH (all-time-high) of $199.86 or wait to catch a small upside-push expected from $TXN Q4 report out in early 2023. Currently $TXN is still holding steady over DOW and S&P by 1.56% during general market recovery. New contracts with $TXN and DoD will increase revenue on Q4 report, if market recovery continues at a steady or slower rate buyers win for Long-Term hold on $TXN while sellers will try and either convert to buyers trying to get in before the Q4 report or like we have seen in other markets create a mass sell-off either through a whale with Put options or large stake in the market or community sell-off (i.e. the AMC/GameStop massive market flooding except as a mass selling). For December we can expect to continue to see this fight between sellers and buyers as the pressure builds towards Q4, buyers have the upside with countdown to Q4 and also typically winter/holiday season we see less inverse-traders in the market meaning less active sellers. Price will maintain until end of December (watch for false breakouts look at yellow ceiling line we see 2 have already happened and we will see more) with slight push upside. Strategy Ideas: - Bull's : hold for upside from a long position until Q4 Bear's : short position you can take advantage of the false breakout's occurring but act quickly so keep an eye on the 15min / 1hr chart and compare that to your daily trends and anticipate only small moves toward downside for risk mitigation. Call Option's: with false breakouts occurring more frequently while sellers fight back increasing pressure so no weekly options but you can go long until Q4 report (look for a date 2-3 weeks after report as buffer to have time to cash out the most you can w/o worrying about expiring your option). Or if you can't get an option far out and need a shorter term then you can catch a very small upside out after an expected false breakout make sure your order is filed at the lowest PP (price-point from the false breakout) and exercise option before expiration date.**For Call/Put Options right now in indecisive markets make sure you check your Delta on that options contract and choose a higher one to be safe and avoid False/Confirmed breakout's** Put Option's: since we are approaching ATH for $TXN you can buy Put's for under $195 PP on the short-term position this way you mitigate risk if we do break out toward upside after Q4 report, since there's a lot of indecisiveness take advantage and set your ceiling key-levels as your strike price this way you can collect while being safe. **For Call/Put Options right now in indecisive markets make sure you check your Delta on that options contract and choose a higher one to be safe and avoid False/Confirmed breakout's** Inverse Trades: preferably stay out until you can catch a good sighting of market, too much indecision to make any big swing moves. Watch volume on the daily and 4hr chart so you can track when to enter and leave for short and small profits. However, indecisiveness is not good for inverse. NASDAQ:TXN
NASDAQ:TXNLong
by LeosForexFund
2
The Texan is firing it up. TXNUpgoing zigzag, prolonged ?WXY on B Wave, pre confirmation, heading for overbought normalization. I like the fact that A Wave ended with nil divergence on the daily, which is indicative of further growth at some stage down the track prost a retrace. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
NASDAQ:TXNLong
by Rykin_Capital
1
Texas Instruments say "Yeehaw" and miss. TXNGoals 160, 153. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
NASDAQ:TXNShort
by Rykin_Capital
TXN to join quick tech rally?My models say the Fed cannot raise rates beyond 0.5 points tomorrow or they cannot be trusted in the future. We should see a quick rally to end this week and perhaps begin next week, before the reality of $6+ fuel prices set in again and we continue the bear market. Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on June 10, 2022 with a closing price of 159.445. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 160.195 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 2.0335% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.732% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.295% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 50 trading bars after the signal. A 0.4% rise must occur over the next 50 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 17.0 trading bars; half occur within 31.5 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 45.0 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:TXN
by StockSignaler
Algorithm has TXN breaking up to new ATH soonIt looks like bottom could be in. Not only could TXN reach and all-time high, but they would breakout of the sideways funk they have been in since mid-March of this year. Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on August 16, 2021 with a closing price of 189.85. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 192.19 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.389% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 6.776% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 11.234% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 9 trading bars; half occur within 24 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:TXNLong
by StockSignaler
A great buy and holdTexas Instruments is a semi conductor manufacturer that appears to have attractive growth prospects within the forecasted high growth semi conductor sector or investment theme. Stats The average free cash flow over the last 10 years is 29.9% with an annual dividend yield of 2.27%. Growth in annual revenue over the last 10 years has been modest. On average total operating expenses has seen a modest declined since 2006. As the revenue has grown and operating expenses has declined, the margins at face value has increased. One can see this by the growth in annual gross profit. What about the debt? long-term debt to total assets ratio is at 0.34 or 34%. The standard debt to asset ratio is 0.37% which means that most of the debt is long term debt. The effective interest on the total debt is less than 3%. So no real problem or red flags there. The company is however taking on more debt compared to its historical position. This isn't necessarily a bad thing provided that it is well managed and reinvested into the company. I don't like companies that take on more debt and pay high dividend yields. That's just a personal view. With regards to the price per share. The company may be trading at a fair value based on traditional metrics and on some metrics such as price to book, it looks expensive. With a 5 year view, i think the company could be in a really good position to continue to grow its revenue particularly if you reinvest the dividends over time. The trading signals on the weekly chart show mixed results. The Demarker and Stochastic Momentum Indicator suggest that the price may need to consolidate for a while or even retrace before it sees another upward leg. The Stochastic Relative Strength Index shows that the price may increase in the short term, however, this may be suggesting that the price may break through the 185 or 190 mark before retracing to the 160 area. This is all short term guesses. The question is, should one buy and hold at the current price or wait for a retracement? My feeling is that it shouldn't matter to much if you are looking to hold the company for the next 5 years or more. Please like and follow for daily posts on various asset classes. Please also share your views on the trading ideas and whether or not you find them to be of any value to you as a trader. Please note, this idea is shared for educational and discussion purposes only and should not result in speculative investment decisions in any asset class.
NASDAQ:TXNLong
by JesseMorgans
TXN - Texas Instruments - Short / Bearish Divergence Entry: 130.52 Stoploss: 136.32 Target zone 122-118 R/R ratio: 1:1,2 to 1:2 TXN - Texas Instruments On the weekly I see a rejection on the reistance of 132 $. We have a bearish divergence on EFI and MACD-H, and the impulse is yellow as well. RSI is still rising and %D and %K are widening, which is a bit worrysome. On the daily, we see there is a rejection candle and with that a bearish divergence is drawn on MACD-H, not on EFI though. It would be good to enter now, althought the market open could give us a better price, or new insights on this ticker. So I’m carefully monitoring the market on monday, before entering this short. The target is set on the weekly, and consist of a move of 2 ATR levels. Considering the history, the -1 ATR level is mostly crossed on divergences and strong pullbacks, so this sounds reasonable. I will evaluate the market on monday en update accordingly. This could be an interesting trade. Will update here later.
NASDAQ:TXNShort
by Tornado_Trading
TXN Possible Retrace ZonesLets keep it simple. Wish I posted this chart last week, here is a few things to take note. TXN had obvious sell signals in the beginning of June. We have been riding the top of the bolly band since the as well. We have earnings coming up before august, and i love selloffs before earnings! Also you can see the ichicloud crossing bearish. You can see the momentum is still bearish, but with a few buy signals on the smaller time frames, but im looking at the 4 hour with this one. Could see a bounce at the 382, with a possible triple top at my sell zone, into a selloff for new years, which ill re evaluate the situation at that time. If this fails, a stop loss around 94 would be safe, as the levels below that will have to be re evaluated. Note that it could possibly bounce back to the 114$ area short term as of this exact day, but my strategy is a 6 month trade. Happy Trading, debating and speculating! Be sure to check out my other charts!
NASDAQ:TXNShort
by ToddGreen