An update/followup on the tezos inverse head & shoulder pattern Much like the algo chart, tezos has formed an inverse head in shoulders inside a slightly bigger inverse head and shoulders and now has 2 necklines which means 2 breakout targets. Still developing for now but it appears the it is confirming the first pink neckline as support here. *not financial advice*
Tezos
XTZ - 2x OpportunityReposting this since the last chart was removed for some kind of infraction.
Since we reached the level at which I said it's a good idea to accumulate, I thought I'd provide an update with a prediction of where the price can go next. Keep in mind that if you bought here, the best time to sell is end of 2025, but if you want an earlier mid-term target then I think I have a trigger and a set-up for you.
If the price retraces all of the FTX dump and closes above $1.4, then I can see it squeeze up to the area highlighted in red in the chart ($2.8 - $3.2). That means one can buy at 1.4 and 2x within a few months. As I'm sure you all now know, that's pretty much as good as it gets during a bear market. It may even be asking a lot. Keep in mind that if that level is lost, if the price closes below, then this prediction is invalidated. What I mean is that my prediction holds only if we get to and stay above $1.4.
This doesn't just go for XTZ. It's like this for all other altcoins, and includes BTC, too. If they close above the point at which the market began dumping on news from FTX , then they're likely to pump hard. I intend to post a few more charts showing what I mean.
I've been bearish the whole way down, but I think the bear is starting to finally hibernate, and the bulls are beginning to wake up. It'll be slow at first until mid-2024, and then, after the halving, we'll see the bulls rampage again.
POLY Moving to Substrate/DOT. POLY will be soon be POLYX. +400%This might be the most underrated project in the cryptosphere is it is certainly the most underrated token tied to the Polkadot ecosystem.
Polymesh Network testnet has been launched (aka Substrate/Polkadot)
A tool to help you upgrade your POLY on Ethereum to POLYX on Polymesh. POLYX is the protocol token of the Polymesh blockchain, used for network processing fees, protocol fees for using network modules, and block rewards.
Polymesh Testnet V2 just launched, token studio w DAPP, Staking, Smart Extensions etc.
Polymesh Mainnet Launch is Q1 2020
I believe that POLYX will the be the STO pillar of the Polkadot ecosystem. They have been around longer than Tezos and I feel that Subsrate is a revolutionary technology. Huge potential and the community does not yet understand how revolutionary Subsrate/Polkadot is.
Lots of synergies between Polymath and Gavin Woods Parity
When people start to connect the dots (no pun intended) this thing will explode. See XOR for an idea of the hype around the Polkadot Ecosystem. POLY currently in ninja mode but for how long.
XTZ/USD - 2018 bearschizo bros rise up!If we get the brutal 3 year bear run, these are the levels I plan on buying XTZ. Veterans of last bear run would not be shocked if we saw 90-98% drops on major coins, regardless of their fundamentals. Even ETH dumped 94% last time.
This is one of my contingency plans - obviously not advising anyone to follow suit. I still have some alt suicide bags. That said, in my opinion it is a good idea to have cash handy for these possibilities.
Blue - dip toes
Green - long accumulation
Purple - buy with size
(exception is if the project dies, otherwise I think these bags would make me a happy man in the next bull run, especially with baking.)
CryptoMania- in 2018-2019-2020, Cryptos markets fluctuated bewteen 100 Billlions to 400 Billions.
- At the start of this BullRun, we got a push of 2000%! Rockected to 2.5 Trillions !
- Now and it's totally Logic that we retraced 50%ish and back to 1.20 Trillions, according to Elliot Wave, we just finished Wave 4 Retracement. Remember always that Cryptos are most fast than you, for the push and also for the dip !
- The Next push should propulse us to 3.5 Trillions Total Crypto Market ( +200% ish), 161.8 Fibo.
- This trend is theorical but clearly possible and very preservative, i had to made it to make peoples understand that we are just at the beginning of this fabulous Journey.
You are parts of the Web3.0 Story, Defi, Decentralisation, Swap money from your computer and so much more is coming.. could u imagine that 10 years ago ?
- With time the old banking system will be obsolet and die slowly.
Don't lose your faith in cryptos!
Long Cryptos, Short Banks !
Happy Tr4Ding !
FTX is Just Another Market Correction: Liquidity and RegulationsI'm sure you've probably already heard the news about FTX so I won't cover everything - but there's a few things we might expect, longer-term, from the scandal this week.
- More Regulations: This incident embarrassed a lot of powerful people as well, so the likelihood of more substantial regulations coming down the pipe is now much higher.
- Increased Liquidity: Lots of people are pulling money outside of crypto right now, which explains why the prices have dropped so much this week, as a whole. (Especially Solana, which took an outsized hit compared to the rest.) But the money is still there - some will leave, but some will come back...hopefully with better research. It may present an opportunity for smaller alts to grow after the dust settles.
The crypto ecosystem has gone through a few exchange collapses already (ex. Mt. Gox) so crypto itself will still continue to press on. But I fully expect for more stories like these to unfold as we head further into the recession - the money printer has run out of ink, after all.
#Tezos Dumps 35% in 3 Months, Could Slide to H1 Lows of $1.20Past Performance of Tezos
Tezos is down 35 percent from August 2022 highs and remains under pressure. The daily chart shows XTZ prices are printing lower lows, capped within the middle BB, and retesting $1.33. Technically, price action favors sellers in the short term. There could be more liquidation if bears force prices below July 2022 lows.
#Tezos Technical Analysis
Tezos hasn't been spared the uncertainty and drawdown in the broader crypto and financial markets. Overall, the coin is within a bearish trend, below the middle BB, a dynamic resistance level, and $1.46 is a critical liquidation level. XTZ might recover, especially if buyers soak in the deluge of selling pressure. The October 13 bull bar defines the short-term trend. Bears will be in control until there is a confirmation above the middle BB and $1.46. A close above $1.46 may see XTZ rise to September 2022 highs at $1.70. Losses below $1.33 may force XTZ to 2022 lows at $1.20.
What to Expect from #XTZ?
Sellers have the upper hand, but the tide could change if there are above October 13 highs and the middle BB. Preferably, a spike in trading volumes, exceeding this week's average, might reinvigorate buyers, pushing them to new October highs.
Resistance level to watch out for: $1.46
Support level to watch out for: $1.33
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
The End of the Deflationary Asset EraDeflationary assets - aka artificial scarcity - is a product of the mediocre mind. Exponential growth and real social progress comes from the idea of "growing the pie". It's weird how people don't use that phrase anymore since it has become such a foreign concept at this point.
Bitcoin (and now Ethereum), NFTs, real-estate (both IRL and the metaverse), healthcare, education, and the economy as a whole has succumbed to the "scarcity mindset" and is in danger of collapsing on itself since it doesn't know how to grow its ecosystem from its base.
Those mythical 100000x returns doesn't come from flipping or nickle-and-diming individuals but from growing the ecosystem as a whole. To keep the good times going, the response should be to increase capacity, not try to ration out your existing stock.
Ethereum was particularly disappointing to watch this year because they had the capability to be so much more but chose the mediocre path when they started burning their own supply. Like Bitcoin, they put an expiration date on themselves and can now only expect modest returns from here on out.
To be fair, "growing the pie" is very difficult and requires a higher degree of creativity and ability to spot new win-win scenarios from seemingly thin air. But that's why we have geniuses and entrepreneurs to fill that role that typical biz-dev types are unable to do.
As the scarcity economies continues to do what it does - shrink - it's unfortunately going to take innocent bystanders with them. We're going to find that most of our tax dollars have been working to keep the illusion of sustainability rather than of real growth.
But the silver lining is that as the status quo continues to implode on itself, the opportunity to grow the pie once again becomes possible. It's a cycle that has happened before and will happen again. With that, it's at least possible to navigate through the chaos. Good luck, folks. 🤞
Too Good To Be True? Staking Rewards and the RecessionAs some analysts have predicted, the public's interest in crypto/Web3 projects have shifted from proof-of-work over to proof-of-stake, following Ethereum's "merge" a few weeks ago. ATOM and ALGO in particular did very well this week (though it did level off eventually) as what seems to be a partial migration of crypto money flowing from one area to the next.
The pattern is just starting now so time will tell if it's a trend or a blip, but as we head further into a global recession, the idea of people "abandoning" stocks and other traditional fiat assets becomes more a possibility over time. We can look at some of the predictions being made right now in the industry, and its pros and cons.
1. Crypto Will Go Down With Fiat
Given that crypto and the stock market have traditionally moved in parallel for the most part, it will continue to do the same during the downturn. This assumes that the low-interest rates of 2008+ onwards was also fueling the crypto hype and will follow the same pattern of prices plunging as cheap borrowing falls to the wayside. While there's certainly a case there, this assumes that the economy will behave "as normal" during the next downturn - which may bring a different type of risk to the table.
2. Money Will Flow into Bitcoin/Ethereum
This is the main mantra of the "maxis" out there - they assume that people will lose faith in fiat as a whole, and convert their stocks/cash into a "reliable deflationary asset" like Bitcoin or (now) Ethereum. Deflationary assets - while some will call "ponzi-like" in its modeling - do objectively favor existing holders over newer ones, and can often cause problems with onboarding and long-term growth since it makes it more difficult for new money to come in. Given the two projects massive media/marketing presence last year, are there any more people out there to onboard? Probably not - but they are holding out for the idea that they will be proven right, one day.
3. Money Will Flow into "Cash-Like" Assets Like Dogecoin
Traditional financial wisdom says that during recessions, "cash is king" - and we have seen some indication that money is starting to flow back into cash, especially the USD. (The USD is traditionally seen as the most "stable" and is typically where fiat assets flow into during recessions.) What does this mean for crypto? Well, up until now the narrative has been that out of the well-known coins out there, Dogecoin is the most "cash-like" since it's been actually used to buy and sell things at low costs. While the idea is interesting, DOGE has a few problems associated with it - that it still runs on proof-of-work (which is losing favor over time) and that being a fork of Bitcoin, it's technology is also being rapidly obsolete. (It cannot support NFT minting, for example.) There are plans for DOGE to move over to proof-of-stake eventually, but the timeline is TBD.
4. Money Will Flow into Staking Rewards
As with ATOM/ALGO this past week, some lesser-known proof-of-stake coins have made its move - currently coins that offer competitive staking rewards are beating both the banks and the major proof-of-work coins, whom are simply unable to offer those types of rewards. ETH2 is now technically proof-of-stake, but its staking mechanisms aren't "liquid" - i.e. you don't know when you can get your money out. Some coins offer very high rewards (13%+) but is that too good to be true? Time will tell whether or not this model is sustainable or not.
5. Money Will Flow into Coins that Have Utility
Arguably crypto's least talked about topic in public - coins that have real-life use-cases and actual products may start to see some gains as utility creates new converts over to particular projects. As the money for hype marketing strategies start to run low, many of the coins that have been running on it will start to drop out, making it easier for coins with real customers and revenue to stand out. Some coins have no value other than "store of value" - some coins have robust DeFi options but basically operates like an accounting firm - but there are a few projects out there that are attempting to expand into the worlds of direct applications. This is probably the most optimistic take on Web3's future as a whole, but the path of getting there isn't likely to be smooth - they don't call it "creative destruction" for nothing, after all.
Of the projects out there, Tezos (XTZ) stands out as one of the few projects that have their hands in "everything" - with a diverse portfolio of projects in many sectors and brands across the world. (ETH does too, but their gas-fee problem has slowed technical and partnership development to a halt.)
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The actual outcome will probably some combination of the trends above, and is likely to get very complicated as time goes on, but I do think that it's important to keep an eye out for how key factions and ideas are circulating in the space right now since a lot of things are likely to change very quickly in the near future as we head further into what could potentially be the biggest global recession ever recorded in human history. "Higher numbers = good" has been the main focus of the crypto industry up until now but as time goes on we're likely to see more complex and nuanced takes on how the economy works and how Web3 fits into it as a whole.
There might be some growing pains involved but this is how our understanding of economics matures, imo.
XTZUSDT H2XTZUSDT Even with all the market sentiment worried about the FED's decisions and also the global geopolitical situation, which caused the fall of BTC and that took all the cryptocurrencies with it, XTZ has not lost its accumulation zone that has been passing since September 15, which will probably result in an upward explosion, as the RSI is oversold and completely undervalued. In order to reach its target, XTZ must pass through the resistance imposed by the median of the Keltner channel and the Ichimoku cloud. This should still happen today, as the XTZ is a high-octane coin and always works in considerable volume.
The Proof-of-Stake Era is Here. Can ETH Survive the Winter?After Ethereum's "merge" this week, the crypto market continues to sag as a whole, unimpressed. One pattern we see emerging is that coins that have been proof-of-stake since the very beginning (especially ATOM and ALGO this week) have been performing very well relative to the rest of the market. (Coins to keep an eye on in the near future: XTZ, ADA, TRON, MATIC, etc.) As we head further into the recession we're going to start to see some of these patterns get more aggressive.
The reason why this is happening should be pretty obvious at this point: people's attentions are switching over to proof-of-stake, and the coins that offer competitive staking rewards (aka interest rates) are starting to attract new customers. Flipping NFTs is too confusing to most people but most people can tell when one rate is higher than another. (Especially since most banks are still stuck in 0-interest rate savings mode at the moment.)
The crypto community has largely been down on Ethereum lately as the realization that they've fallen behind the curve starts to settle in. But they're certainly not out of the race yet - the roadmap to make ETH competitive in the proof-of-stake race is pretty clear:
1) Make staking liquid - the fact that it's locked up for an indefinite period of time is pretty ridiculous, possibly illegal. (Probably in their own interest to do so quickly before it turns into a lawsuit, tbh.) As it stands now ETH's staking rewards are too cumbersome and not competitive enough for people to consider.
2) Adopting on-chain governance would make skeptics feel at ease and would quell some of the criticisms coming from the Bitcoin maxis too. The real problem is transparency, not centralization.
3) Fix the issues with scaling to bring gas fees down, finally. They can probably consult people from other chains who have already figured it out. (If they can get over themselves, that is, lol.)
They definitely have the resources to do so - that was never in question. Whether they're actually gonna do it, though, that's another story. I didn't exit completely but as a disclaimer I did sell off a pretty big portion of my ETH holdings this year because of concerns over its long-term prospects. Ethereum may be well on its way to becoming Bitcoin 2.0, given that it's now become a deflationary asset.
If you're an ETH holder you'll probably be OK since they'll probably continue to burn their supply to make sure that the price doesn't go down too much. Silicon Valley is known for their appeasement of the investor class and we're likely to see the same pattern play out again. But keep in mind that each coin burned just makes it harder for new people to come in - what they've done is basically put an expiration date on their own project since they're actively restricting the platform's growth now. (Crypto NIMBYism, as I like to call it.)
Coin supply is a controversial topic in the industry but can be understood in a fairly straight-forward way: The higher the supply, the better it is for newcomers; the lower the supply, the better it is for existing holders. Maxis will repeat whatever marketing slogans they were fed but at the end of the day, it's about who's back you're willing to scratch. Getting returns on your investment requires you to see things as they are and read between the lines of what's being said - are they using that wealth to make genuine improvements on the protocol itself, or are they just hoarding it and promoting the scarcity model behind your backs?
More coin supply to attract new talent/investors? Sure, good idea in theory. Just not here - "Not In My Back Yard". NIMBYism is a thing you see in the real-estate markets, and we start to see its ugly head rear in the crypto space, too.
I do owe a lot to ETH - it stabilized my finances, paid off my student loans, and gave me the time to do the things I wanted to do, rather than had to do. But it's probably time for me to move on - I'm here for the dream, not just the money. 🔥