Crypto Decouples From Stocks. Is the "Flippening" on its Way?On Friday the (currently volatile) stock market rallied a little, putting Wall Street somewhat at ease. But an interesting thing happened that day that never happened before - crypto assets actually went down, instead of up.
If you're a crypto holder you're probably prefer to see the pattern reversed, but it's still an interesting pattern worth exploring further. If crypto and stocks are finally "decoupled", does this mean that when stocks go down next time, crypto is going to go up? If so, when the recession hits later this year, it could mean good things for the crypto ecosystem, long-term. The "flippening" may well be on its way.
Many investors are waiting to see what happens on Monday, when Wall Street opens up again - the fiat markets are likely to go down again in response to Friday's rally, at least in the short-term. How will crypto assets respond to this event? Will it move in parallel again? Or will it do its own thing?
Also a few comments about Tezos (XTZ) and Dogecoin (DOGE) that displayed independent movement on Friday as well.
Tezos
XTZUSDT Still bearish unless the 1D MA200 breaks*** ***
For this particular analysis on TEZOS we are using the XTZUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
*** ***
The idea is on the 1D time-frame where Tezos is shown trading within a Channel Down on the log scale. It has been trading below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since April 07 and despite the May 12 rebound on the Lower Lows trend-line of the Channel, the price still got rejected on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. Those Fibonacci levels have acted as Support/ Resistance levels since the October 2021 High, so this rejection keeps the trend bearish.
Practically, with the price action below the 1D MA50 resembling the sequence of November - mid December 2021, we can claim that only a 1D candle closing above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) would reverse this bearish trend. That however happened in late March and still Tezos failed to establish a bullish reversal, so it is much safer to wait until the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) breaks before calling a new Bull Cycle. Until then, it is more likely for the price to keep making Lower Lows.
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Tezos (XTZ) - May 25hello?
Traders, welcome.
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(XTZUSDT 1W Chart)
Anything below 1.942 is likely to be a mid- to long-term investment area.
From a mid- to long-term perspective, to continue the uptrend, it needs to rise above 2.822.
(1D chart)
If support is found above 2.012, it is expected to turn into an uptrend.
(buy)
- After confirming the support in 2.012
(Stop Loss)
- After falling below 1.942 and confirming resistance
- When it falls below 1.769
(Sell)
- When resistance near 2.398
- When receiving resistance near 2.822
If it rises above 2.822, it is expected that full-scale investment will be possible.
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(XTZBTC 1W Chart)
You must climb over 0.0000 9730 to get out of the bottom section.
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** All indicators are lagging indicators.
Therefore, it is important to be aware that the indicator will move accordingly as price and volume move.
However, for convenience, we are talking in reverse for the interpretation of the indicator.
** The MRHAB-T indicator used in the chart is an indicator of our channel that has not been released yet.
** The OBV indicator was re-created by applying a formula to the DepthHouse Trading indicator, an indicator disclosed by oh92. (Thanks for this.)
** Support or resistance is based on the closing price of the 1D chart.
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee a profit or loss in investment.
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit and loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made through split trading. It is a short-term investment perspective.)
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TEZOS - STABLE STABLECOINSWhich is the safest stablecoin?
USDC gained in market capitalization while USDT slipped billions of dollars post UST fiasco.
Stablecoins form a crucial part of the crypto ecosystem bridging traditional currencies and crypto assets. They contribute to more than 90% of the all crypto transactional volume on a daily basis. It has received widespread adoption mainly because of the fact that it is stable (as it is pegged to an external asset in most cases). However, stablecoins has received a lot of flak in the past and has intensified recently since the downfall of algorithmic stablecoin TerraUSD (UST). Market participants prefer the non-volatile nature of stablecoin especially during periods of high volatility and uncertainty where profits from crypto are moved into stablecoins waiting for the right buy opportunity. With Bitcoin (BTC) currently well on track to register losses for the eight consecutive week and the negativity surrounding the stablecoin ecosystem, it is time to discuss the safety of the most prevalent stablecoins in the market. In today’s article, we will analyze the top 2 stablecoins and understand the tradeoffs between them.
Tether (USDT)
Tether (USDT) is the top stablecoin of the crypto market. With a market capitalization of $74 billion, USDT is the most transacted and US dollar-liquid stablecoin making it one of the strongest contenders for the safest stablecoin. According to Tether, it has never failed to process a redemption request for USDT at a value of $1 per USDT token since 2015.
When a depeg occurs, it doesn’t mean USDT is no longer backed by 1-to-1 with reserves, or that USDT peg is lost, or that Tether redemptions are being processed at less than $1 per USDT. It just indicates that selling pressure on exchanges has dried up the liquidity.
In instances where exchange liquidity is too low, investors come to Tether to request a redemption. On May 11 and 12, the price of USDT deviated from its typical price of $1 on a few exchanges. This caused investors to purchase USDT on those exchanges for a discount and then redeem those USDT tokens with Tether on a 1-to-1 basis for a profit.
Since May 11, Tether reported that it has successfully processed $7 billion of USDT redemptions (for 1-to-1 with USD peg) for verified individuals. The size of this redemption has earned the trust of investors and has explicitly shown the capability of USDT to handle redemptions.
USDC or USDT?
During the recent crash post the UST drama, when USDT slipped in billions of market cap, USDC has increased its market cap from $48 billion to $52 billion. Though not a great jump, it shows that USDC might be well on its way to give a tough battle to the market leader and become the most trusted stablecoin during unstable times.
Despite the large number of stablecoins (both asset-backed and algorithmic-backed) available, USDT and USDC have a commanding presence in terms of liquidity, security and market cap. In terms of market cap, USDT is the sole winner but when it comes to transparency, USDC has a clear upper hand.
However, we strongly encourage investors to only use stablecoins for short-term trade objectives and refrain from investing in them for high-risk interest rates. Bitcoin is and will continue to be the safest crypto asset in the market.
Long on TEZOS here,
the FXPROFESSOR
TEZOS- Updated LevelsOur TEZOS chart shows a promising rebound to 2.998 could be in play.
Price has support at 1.823 that has already been checked, as well as resistance at 2,04. After that level the rise should be able to accelerate.
FOOD FOR THOUGHT:
LUNA's disaster could be good news for Tezos: www.nytimes.com
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
Tezos (XTZ) Beats Everything This Week. What's Driving the Hype?As of this week, Tezos (XTZ) was one of the few coins that actually ended up in the green, showing a type of independent movement that has never been seen before. What's driving the excitement behind the project that caused people to buy the dip?
XTZ/USD shows bullish potential at $1.78Tezos price analysis shows that the XTZ/USD pair is trading in a bullish trend as the market price has surged by over 5% in the last 24-hours. The market price is currently facing resistance at $1.79 however, if it breaks above this level, it could surge to $2. The next level of support is present at $1.68.The Tezos price is currently trading at $1.78.
#Tezos Stabilizes, but XTZ Is Bearish Below $2Past Performance of Tezos
Technically, XTZUSDT remains in a bear breakout formation despite recent gains at the tail-end of last week. Tezos is trading at near 2022 lows, posting lower lows versus the USDT when writing. The coin is down four percent in the past 24 hours but at near break-even in the past trading week.
#Tezos Technical Analysis
Presently, XTZ is in a tight $0.05 trade range with clear resistance at $2 and $2.6. In the immediate term, the coin has support at $1.5, flashing with 2022 and last week's lows. Since there are lower lows and prices are within May 12 bear candlesticks, sellers may find entries to liquidate, targeting $1.5 in the short term. On the reverse side, sudden flash gains above $2 may trigger demand, pointing to price reversals (XTZ bottoming) and the current consolidation as accumulation. In that case, XTZ may float to retest Q1 2022 lows of $2.6.
What to Expect from #XTZ?
The primary trend is bearish and XTZUSDT below the middle BB. The failure of buyers to build on last week's gains points to general weakness and dominant sellers. Nonetheless, the tide could shift if XTZ floats above May 12 highs, setting the ball rolling for a possible surge to Q1 2022 lows.
Resistance level to watch out for: $2
Support level to watch out for: $1.5
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
Tezos Snaps back, adds 10% but will #XTZ clear $2?Past Performance of Tezos
XTZ prices are printing higher at spot rates, adding 10 percent in the previous trading day. Like the rest of the crypto markets, the coin appears to be finding its footing after deep, double-digit losses of the past trading week. Overall, sellers are still in control though the tide could change in the immediate term if XTZ prices are sustained above this week's lows.
#Tezos Technical Analysis
Tezos bears have been brutal in the past few trading days. As per the arrangement in the daily chart, sellers are still in control. However, the recovery on May 13, reversing the losses of May 12, may signal exhausted bears. Nonetheless, it should be observed that since XTZ prices are within a bear breakout formation below H2 2021 lows at $2, sellers have the upper hand. Optimistic buyers expecting recovery can wait until there is a comprehensive close above $2 before loading on every pullback lower. Conversely, it would be dashing if XTZ slips below $1.4. In that case, there will be confirmation of the May 9 bear breakout, setting the pace for further losses towards $1, registering new 2022 lows.
What to Expect from #XTZ?
Tezos is within a bear breakout formation as per the formation in the daily chart. The reaction at $2 would confirm whether the bear run is over or the current trend will continue.
Resistance level to watch out for: $2
Support level to watch out for: $1.4
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
XTZUSD Comfortable UptrendConsistent higher lows can be seen on the left chart (coinbase)
Each one of these lows provides a unique support level
The uptrend isn't going anywhere
On the right I demonstrate how price is above a confirmed support level
This will lead to a bounce and return upwards
Bullish
Decentraland (MANA) and the Metaverse Rental MarketThe metaverse (Decentraland especially) has a lot of hype behind it but the utility aspects of it is still underbuilt in its current form. Will it eventually get there? A look at a few things being worked on in the background during this bear market.
XTZ | Tezos Clear Bearish TendenciesXTZ has been correcting from its ATH since October 2021. It is like a textbook correction with typical bear market rallies. Tezos is now trading around its main historical support trendline. If XTZ breaks below that, I think we will head towards $2-2.2.
However, given the current level and historical upside impetus from the main support trendline that you can see on the weekly timeframe, another rally is also on the horizon. A break out of the falling wedge would be a first bullish sign. The daily chart would turn bullish once XTZ can again scale above any of the higher dashed white trend lines that acted as resistance in the past.
Considering the volume profile, I tend to lean towards the bearish side on the macro picture.
Let's see how that plays out.
Thank you for your support.
XTZ triangle breakout 📐Tezos broke up this triangle📐 and I think there is chance for run to 5 and even higher. Setting BUY LIMIT order to previous range high to catch🎣 the pullback.
ENTRY : local high @ 3.242
STOPLOSS (SL) : local low @ 2.857
TARGET (TP) : height of the triangle projected from midpoint of the local range (BUY LIMIT - STOPLOSS) @ 5.080
REWARD RISK RATIO (RRR) : 4.7
INVALIDATION : when SL level hit
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⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
$XTZUSD - Following this scenarioHello everyone!
Tezos is inside this triangle pattern, There is a high chance that XTZUSD will drop to 2.65 - 2.56 areas and bounce back to 3.79.
XTZ (TEZOS) ANALYSIS UPDATEGood analysis is not the one that is perfect but the one that has numerous backup plans to reduce probability to the minimal.
Following XTZ for the past few days we have 4 different pattern in place the up trendline which failed along the line, the Wolfe pattern which was truncated, the ascending triangle which as well failed (got me remembering the old time rule which says never risk more that 2% of your portfolio on triangles), and finally, the rectangle pattern!.
Now its heading towards resistance of the rectangle. if price closes above the rectangle with volume then go long else, watchout it could still go back to it origin.