LTC - ARE THE JAPS COMING TO SAVE US?It's two weeks since Charlie sold his coins.....
2 days ago (6-JAN-18) it looked like LTC decided to wake up with a flurry of tweets from @SatoshiLite highlighting the coins growth in usuage... transaction volume ...network security ...mining stats "reduce the relay fees from 0.001 LTC/kb ($0.30/kb) to 0.00001 LTC ($0.003/kb). We hope to have that out next week. Once people are using the new relay fees, we will reduce the actual min fee to 0.0001 LTC/kb ($0.03/kb)."
we even got a Dragon Balls gif ....
TODAY (8-JAN-18): We're back to the familiar depths of low €200's (flirting with the $245 line of support - probably headed towards low 190's after I post this)
the Lightning Network looks months away and I'm not counting on the *One huge unexpected surprise* that Charlie tweeted
Don't tell me I'm relying on 27million Japs to harness their chi and drag LTC back to being mediocre again....
(Give me strength)
The
First ChartAs we can see 0.00044891 level is a good support backed by the 23.6 fib. Volume is good, MACD is showing signs of upward movement. Our Target here are 1 and 2 as shown in the chart, risk here is very low due to the massive support at 23.6 fib.
I am new to trading and TA. Trying to learn, may be I am wrong so, feel free to point out the mistakes.
Thanks XD
NXC moment of truth on the 10thSo this is a very promesing project that I have been watching for more then a month and it has raised from 980 sat to 6000 sat and retraced back to 4250 sat.
On the 10th they are releasing a new in-game shop and a road map for 2018 and its their 1 year birthday so there will be extra news.
Securing profits at: 6500 sat
9000 sat
13000 sat
15000 sat
19000 sat ATH
OmiseGO is undervaluedOmiseGO is currently undervalued. The ATH is 0.00329400 BTC. The current price (0.00148600 BTC) is at 45.1 % of this, so we are still very much undervalued!
Current performance is very much bullish on the daily chart. Right now things are slightly overbought, could see a very brief correction at this level, but I expect the price to continue rising soon (this week ?).
Reaching the ATH is just one target and not the end of the road!
Research OmiseGO fundamentals, this company (Omise) has been around since 2013 and employs over 100 people. It operates in Japan, Thailand and Indonesia amongst others. It offers critical gateway services between crypto and legacy banking and is working on achieving a decentralised exchange network for exchanging between cryptocurrencies. Why is this important? Decentralised exchanges are possibly the exchange networks of the future!
One of the advisors of OmiseGO is Vitalik Buterin, founder of Ethereum, who has said OmiseGO is his favourite token model for 2018: oracletimes.com
Website: omisego.network
Good Youtube video: www.youtube.com (not mine:))
You must sell while you canthe head and shoulders PATTERN shown a downtrend to 7.300
the simetrical triangle has an amplitude line wich indicates the same objetive
The same is indicated by Fibbonacci ext. 7.300
Besides, the elliot waves indicates that we just are starting the C wave (the longest corrective wave)
Besides, we can see, the a to b channel is just a flag
DXY Dollar Index Trying to put up a stand at 91.76 supportDXY Dollar Index
The Dollar Index has fallen to the next blue line of support
91.76 after an intra-day low at 91.75. It's trying to hold here.
It's still trapped in a near term downwave and struggling to
escape. It's already made one attempt to escape the down-trend
and is trying again now. There are pins forming below the low
and above it too on the 2 hour chart, denoting conflict/confusion
here. For the bulls to win some respite they need to force
DXY above 91.95 and hold it there (and no lower than 91.92
on a retest once 91.95 is taken) to attract more buyers up to
92.05-92.12 range where DXY will likely turn back down again.
For DXY to show it's turning back up from that point it will have to
take back 92.12 and then turn 92.04 into support when tested
from above. Will need to see something like this kind of price
action to convince that DXY has more upside to 92.49-92.55
On the downside the next support below 91.76 lies at 91.52 with major support/maximum likely downside target at 91.02. A move below any blue line by more than a couple of pips is likely to trigger further weakness back to the next one.
amateur HodlerGreetings all, To hodl or not to hodl? I'm a demo forex trader and I currently hodl some btc and a few altcoins, I don't particularly trade cryptos, but I try my best to read up on sentiment and fundamentals behind the coins to help me sell high to buy back in low, or buy low and sell high. I was looking at the chart and trying to figure out where I stand with the current BTC situation, as far as I can see on the chart, Hodling is best for now? how can my analysis of this chart be improved?
many thanks in advance!
Litecoin: LTCUSD Still good whilst tracking the dynamic supportLitecoin Update
Still good above the dynamic support line -
needs to clear 286 to add for rally to 309 initially, and higher
once 310 has been broken. A buy off the rising dynamic with
stops under the line - only turns short term negative if
broken, for fall to 263 and, should this level fail, to 245 where
it becomes a buy again with stops below 238.
New to the Cryptogame and learning painful lessons along the wayI always believed that you learn the most when you get hurt. I dove into the market with the fear of missing out on the tremendous upside and potential of this platform. I have long been programmed by the mainstream institutional investors that getting 10-15 gains are the best. I have risked a lot in the stock market before and have been fairly successful so this is yet another endeavor into something new. The first mistake that i made was getting swooped in by the herd mentality and thinking that I was still early in the game. Besides I was the only one talking about bitcoin and its potential. So I figured there's time and since everybody else was not able to take I chance. I went ahead and decided to jump in. Unfortunately I got trapped into the coinbase waiting game and wiped out about 30 percent of my initial investment on paper. When the correction was happening I kept thinking in my head that I should pull out and save the remaining capital. Fortunately, the same thing that got me trapped during the fall also prevented me from getting out and actually realizing the loss. Its just paper loss so far. Then came the lessons learned from the stock market crash during the bank crash. Dizzy and nauseated by what appeared to be an imminent crash all the way down to zero a sudden calm state emerged. Ive been here before. Ive done this before. One mistake on the upside cant be corrected by another mistake on the downside. Painful lessons being learned will hopefully translate into success into this new platform. To all the ones that are dipping their toes...educate yourself, learn from the experience, and tread cautiously. Take your time and contemplate your actions. In time if you truly believe that cryptocurrencies are not a scam or a ponzi scheme...things will be alright. Here's to learning growing and maybe making a new living!
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Trading the BreakdownBitcoin: BTCUSD Trading The Breakdown
The massive head and shoulders top formation that has been building since the weekend highs has been completed today.
Though quite loosely defined and with two potential neck-lines lying 300 points apart at 15814 and 15509 the pattern is
undeniably bearish for the next 24 to 48 hours by look of the chart. But in very near term Bitcoin is staging a counter-rally
which has taken it back to the upper neckline at 15814 where it's meeting resistance - it will now have to push on through
here and hold up to trigger a further unwinding of shorts back up to 16447 and into the upper parallel before it crashes back
down again. But whilst unable to beat 15814 and hold Bitcoin is vulnerable - a sell from 15800 with stops 60 higher for small
loss if wrong and it can beat this level and hold - in which case it should rally a further 800 points to the upper parallel
and then come off from there - so presenting a second chance to short from highest extreme likely with a stop about 80
points above the patrallel. So two chances to short from here.
It should fall away from 15814 (and from 16447/upper parallel at highest) - to test 14040 at least and more likely 13086.
The minimum downside target implied by the head and shoulders is 11391. The blue lines of support and then resistance
have been working OK so far since the descent began - as usual a fall below any line by more than 25 points or so should
lead to further weakness to the next. The new parallels guiding this descent are wide and strong - wider than any of
the up-trends on the other side of this mountain. It's big. Obviously. The chart shows it clearly.
Right now Bitcoin is making a little continuation pattern - under the neckline - it will fight at 15000 and just above - a
lot of orders still determined to buy at this round number - but they are matched by equally determined sellers at 15814.
Eventually the bears are likely to win...use any last rally up to 15814 as a selling opportunity with stops just 60 points higher
for small loss if wrong, looking for a fall to 14035 initially, then lower still, as above.
If not already short any break below 15000 by more than 10 points can be followed for a fall to 14040. And when this gives way
another short opens up, this time to 13086. Or look to use this little rally attempt to sell from 15500 with stops 60 points higher
*Stops - cannot be used in traditional manner with Bitcoin. You have to keep a stop number in your head and set an alert
so if it comes within 50 points or so you get a notification and then have to watch to see price action: is it a spike down to
your level and quickly bought back up or is it sticking... be cold, emotionless, machine-like. Easier said than done sometimes.
BCHUSD What a BlastBCHUSD
A dream impulse wave has seen BCH rip through the structure to its left on chart in a 2 hour blast last night - from 1580 to
2100, up 33% in just over 120 minutes. And people think FB's cool! This does in 2 hours what FB does in a year. It is indeed
a strange and beautiful world, especially crypto world.
It's now consolidating, perhaps in the early stages of a flag formation...likely to bounce from each of the blue support
lines, at 1766 for bounce to 1849 where it should come off again, ideally to 1700 where it should bounce once more back
to 1766 and come off one last time, maybe right back too 1638 start point of this entire recent blast - where, after
rinsing out every stale bull still left long from higher levels, it will be ready to go again. It's a game. Recognise it for what it
is. And play it.
Wyckoff's 'Composite Man' showing his handCrypto is still the wild west, even with the adoption that has happened so far; here we can see a huge wash trade unfolding in Ripple. To copy from stockcharts, here are Richard D. Wyckoff's remarks on market operators (the composite man) and wash trading:
-The Composite Man carefully plans, executes, and concludes his campaigns.
-The Composite Man attracts the public to buy a stock in which he has already accumulated a sizeable line of shares by making many transactions involving a large number of shares, in effect advertising his stock by creating the appearance of a “broad market.”
-One must study individual stock charts with the purpose of judging the behavior of the stock and the motives of those large operators who dominate it.
-With study and practice, one can acquire the ability to interpret the motives behind the action that a chart portrays. ----Wyckoff and his associates believed that if one could understand the market behavior of the Composite Man, one could identify many trading and investment opportunities early enough to profit from them.
If you are looking to make large returns on the XRPUSD or XRPBTC pair right now, keep a tight stop-loss and consider the (lack of) forces behind this sudden momentum.
It is interesting to see how the XRPUSD price has been kept in a very tight range for so many months and over the last few hours pushed to a breakout. With analysis of volume and price action I believe it may be possible to measure if something is being manipulated. Which could be valuable information if you would like to join such a force. If anyone is interested in working on a project regarding this please message me.
Brent Crude Oil: UKOIL Brent is back in the Buy Zone HereBrent Crude Oil UKOIL Back in the Buy zone
Well the stop on the short from 63.77 never got hit and Brent
duly came off back to the first target at 63.10 for a small 65
pip win - but should have held it longer as it then went on to
test the lower parallel of the flag, bang on 62.17 support at
the same point in time, and has since rallied much more
strongly than anticipated last week, taking Brent right back
up to the old highs at 64.25 before falling away again. (My
bad here for getting way too involved with Alt/USD's last week
and ignoring this complex in the resulting maelstrom)
Anyway, Brent looks OK...Look to buy around current values
down to 63.00 with stops at 62.88 for small loss if wrong
from here. First upside target is the highs at 64.25-64.61
range - (can close out here if you want) but be ready to get
long again on a move above 64.65 for next stage of rally up to
the upper big parallel - close out here if struck and look to
short with stops 30 pips above the parallel on first touch.
BTGUSD Back in the buy zone againBTGUSD
Was banned for 24 hours for posting a text wall yesterday so was unable to update this - which was a pity because that little
continuation pattern running down the parallel when we left it was so well defined, just backing and filling - it needed
a new line over the highs as it ran down the parallel to redefine the perfect trigger for beakout... and when it came
it was excellent quality, big green bear engulfing candle, again, all the things we want to see when trading a breakout.
Not allowed to get to this to update, the trigger here was left at 308 for a move up to 320 minimum...in fact it shot though
here and spiked into the top parallel over a 3 hour period at 339 ...from al ow at 280 to a high at 339 in 6 hours - 20% in 6
hours! Unbelievable what these can do in such a short space of time.
Now it's a buy again on any dips back to 300 - it should rally to 320 minimum
again and more likely to test the same larger parallel at around 330 now
that it hit earlier today before coming off again
BCHUSD: Next Trade set-ups ahead of weekendBCHUSD Next Trade Set-ups ahead of Weekend
This was left as a short backk to 1180-1100 range and with a subsequent low at 1152 it did ok. Obviously the slick trader
will not just close out if the last trade has gone to plan, he (and increasingly frequently, she) will naturally seek to
reverse, with stops underneath and see what comes. If you managed this here you are a star trader in the making (good
traders close out when targets are reached, great ones reverse: who said that?) Anway those who managed the trick
or just got long somewhere around the lows have already seen over 20% gains since yesterday. This market is just
unbelievable. You can compound money faster than ever before in history 24/7. Still find it astounding that the biggest
crap shoot in history is still playing very time we get up, just a button away.
BCH is trading in a little wave from the lows, good green showing, bear engulfing those hours of backing and filling in
minutes...but it's reached close to the limits of its neat term upside potential and meets a crossroads at 1415 where 3 lines
converge, so it's understandable that BCH is shying away from here, being sold off at the natural spot, or just under in fact
so far. If long here it'sthe obvious spot to close out and bank gains and then look to buy from lower and/or add once 1415
is broken to the upside. This will free up the space above and let BCH have a damn good weekend in prospect, opening the
way for a move up to 1516-1539 initially and way above here in medium term, most likely.
In near term whilst BCH continues to track within the impulse wave (loosely defined, so far, early days) it's trend will remain
positive. Buy any dips towards the lower parallel if seen - if not it's strong, isn't it? - so buy again on the break above 1415
with stops 50 below
ETHUSD: Back in the buy zone nowETHUSD
ETHis back in the buy zone - look to buy on dips or put an
order in and go fishing - how deep to lay the bait? 413 with
stops below 409. And then a long shot at 392. Old bull/young
bull - again...to chase or to wait and let the cow come to you
(in this tale of mixed metaphors, it's late) - old bull will sling
an order in at 392 and if it gets hit great and if it doesn't
there are other fish/cows to catch.
BTGUSD Back in the Buy ZoneBTGUSD Update
This has been a good reliable short once the dynamic support
gave way, as per comment from Monday. Now it's back in the
buy zone so shorts get closed out and reversed long with stops
under 318. Short term target is the falling dynamic around
350 where some day traders will reverse once more for
another short with stops above the dynamic. Pin bars of
rejection off this line shows it's still strong. Price will then
need to break above this line and hold on any retest to trigger
the next long from here.
On the downside major support lies close by at 319.
Any failure to hold here over the coming days would be
extremely bearish for BTG signalling another good shorting
opportunity back to 260 at least, and potentially all the
way back to 156.
BCHUSD Now in the buy ZoneBCHUSD Back in the buy zone now
A little burst of Dollar strength on back of DXY touching near
term support at 92.62 has seen all the alts v USD weaken.
BCH is now coming back into the buy zone, either from 1539 if
touched or alternatively on a break above the dynamic from
the highs.There have been two minor spikes through this line
but both have failed. We want to see some buying power
emerge and green candles as it breaks that dynamic and to
hold up on any retest. It;s getting very close now...be ready
for it. Stops need to stay under the dynamic by 20 points or so
when the break occurs.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Number of the BeastBITCOIN: BTCUSD
Turn your back on Bitcoin for a few hours and ...just wish
we'd all been around at 2.30 am GMT: The first really big bear
engulfing red candles appear, smashes through the parallel
(our long stop has already been taken for 25 point loss,
earlier) the panic the increases and Bitcoin falls to the
perfect spot...falling away the beginning of the structure to
the immediate left of the chart...you know this behaviour,
it's text-book stuff. What a buy with stops underneath. So
damn perfect too. See, even in a panic, Bitcoin behaves in a
technically perfect way. It doesn't every day, but a hell of a
lot of the time. So we missed the big moment of the day. Now
we know the new line in the sand that separates bulls from
bears: 8533 is new number of the beast for now.
The line rises higher with each failed attempt. Bullish, still
So Bitcoin continues to grind higher after that failed bear raid
left an enormous pin bar at 8533: buying interst down there is
strong, therefore. Most of the price action is still taking place
around the uppermost parallel...
The Chinese session has seen Bitcoin bid up to new highs,
driving higher all session once the bear raid had failed so
abjectly. Even at these levels it's still not working out for
them. So Alts v Bitcoin have taken a hammering and only now
have a little respite as Bitcoin unwinds an overbought
condition at the highs.
Once again want to wait to see how this consolidation
develops and what pattern Bitcoin slings together next.
Looking like a dynamic is forming off the top which we can
maybe use as an entry point later when it gets broken to the
upside. We don't have to trade every minute, though younger
bulls might disagree. So it's a waiting game here for now.
In meantime look at the chart action last night. Order, perfect
order within a moment of chaos. Till later.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Update Key Levels inside the parallels now Bitcoin BTCUSD Badly Drawn Boy
Wow. Broken the upper parallel and now consolidating around
where we sold. It looks like a buy from 8530 but must hold
here or it's likely to fall away more, potentially back to 8410
at lowest so stops on longs from here need to be quite tight
underneath.
Bit slow to see the new fantastic parallels emerging...should
have used that and not the other dying parallels from the last
couple of days as exit.My slowness, looking at other stuff - But
have left the old parallels on which may look confusing but
it's interesting so see these old resistance lines now seem to
act as support, containing the consolidation inclose up...draw
these lines on your chart! They live...so no bying under that
big new powerful parallel now in control of the upside, and
careful with day trading...you can seewhat it's
doing...dancing between the parallels...so wild. Use
this...fine lines..fishing...for now. It should build a little
flag as it does it...two strikes on the lower line will show hot.
Otherwise not so much near term
And the Alts V Bitcoin will get some respite now so they are a
buy...You got this now. yes?
Cashing out on market asymmetries Skip to the second paragraph to get to the point, first paragraph discusses observations...
What you see in the bottom of the screen is a script I recently published just for fun; it's a momentum measurement for bitcoin against several fiat pairs and crypto pairs, and all summed together. The top of the screen is essentially the btc price, but somewhat more reactive. What is really interesting here is that on the morning of 21.11 the red line (which represents the sum of bitcoin momentum across multiple pairs) took a steep dive to an order of magnitude less than it has often been at (bottom pink circle), an obvious red flag for long holders. Then 3 hours later the XBTUSD price took a quick decline as well! The steep decline in the momentum looks largely responsible by the DASHBTC pair, but took a few hours to show in the BTCUSD pair. The reason so many prices of cryptos are stable is because of the work of the people doing arbitrage, this normalizes the market. However in this case it took longer than expected, possibly for a number of reasons, due to time of day, blockchain verification delays, or simply there are not so many arbitrage bots on the DASHBTC pair, or any other reason... Then 3 hours later the bitcoin price followed suit. The insane divergence of DASHBTC from the overall value of BTC can be taken in only 2 ways: Dash has a sudden market strength, or money is moving from BTC to DASH, possibly foreshadowing a decline in BTC.
What would be interesting is a suite of indicators that measure how volume moves through a specific crypto to find its overall worth (ie. multiple exchanges and multiple pairings). If a lot of money is being poured into, or out of, one pair then the overall value may also be effected with a time delay. Enough of a time delay to get a great position (like the 3 hours mentioned above). I will need to think about how to appropriately measure this, normalizations schemes, volumes, momentum, price, ect... If anyone wishes to discuss ideas related to this I would be more than happy to talk.
Cheers!
GOLD: XAUUSD Back in perfect buy zone with low risk GOLD/DOLLAR Switch-Play
Gold has crashed back into the perfect buy-zone again whilst
the dollar DXY is at the very top of it's inverted flag and about
to come off again. Perfect time to go long gold again with
stop under 1274. This looks perfect right now.
GODD XAUUSD How Gold Traders stay ahead with aid of DXY chartGold: XAUUSD 1.25% How DXY -0.25% is the gold 1.24% trader's best friend right now
So far gold 1.24% has behaved in the bear-mangling mode expected of it since the dollar broke
down below key support on DXY -0.25% at 94.26 (right hand chart) but it wasn't too smart to let
it go again at 1290. That rally on Friday was vicious for bears - the shape of price action
as gold 1.24% turned resistance at 1281 into support shows the market adjusting before gold 1.24%
powers 16 points north, a volte-face - which you would have been expecting if you've
been experienced enough, wise enough to run the two charts in tandem.
If you don't you're dealing with a blindfold over one eye...
The pin bars on the one hour chart here show strong rejection
at 1296.78 down to current levels at 1293 and a streak of
uncontested green...very rare for a space like that to remain
uncontested and it should flip back to 1288, and potentially to
1284 before it rallies again. On the other side of the street,
we can see that DXY -0.25% is flipping in a range beween 93.99 (the
high for the week was exactly 93.99 as forecast, giving a
precise point at which to sell gold 1.24% - with stops only triggered
in event that DXY -0.25% breaks above 94 and holds, in which case
DXY -0.25% is going up and Gold 1.24% is going back down. Just the best
duo/tandem trade there is in almost any market anywhere.
Use it or lose it. Probably the best companion
a gold 1.24% trader can ever have.
DXY: Dollar index 0.11%
Through all the noise of currency pairs and most commodity markets there
is a still, small, much neglected voice that can tell usually show you the
bigger picture/helicopter view of all that close combat fighting going
on below. Not always, but usually. DXY -0.25% , so far since the breakdown at
94.26, has been very helpful. It's flipping between 94 key resistance and
93.50 key near term support and this is what's causing such grief and
whipsaw in the price of gold 1.24% . Right now it's giving mixed near term signals...
believe it will break lower still eventually, but the chart is not confirming that
here....it's just double bottomed at 93.50...was Ok to bounce here for sure but
that was quite a big bounce - pins at top and botttom of move...just near
term a little confusing, at least to this writer anyway. But gold 1.24% is toppy -0.73% near
term and DXY -0.25% is showing a double bottom near term. If it can rally from here then it should push
back up to the 93.99 where it should meet profit takers. (Do same with gold 1.24% shorts
at that point). And only if DXY -0.25% can then manage to break above 94 and hold is
the tide turning back in favour of Dollar, at which point we look to short gold 1.24% again.
And on the other side, if at any point DXY -0.25% breaks 93.50 it enters a zone of uncertainty/whipsaw
between 93.50 and 93.35 where positions can sudddenly reverse - like quicksand
on a map this zone cannot be trusted - a zone to avoid if possible. However, if
at any point DXY -0.25% is driven below 93.5 for more than 2 hours it will become llikely that
support is eroding and it should start to fall away quite hard to 92.80-92.62 - and
thereby triggering aggressive gold 1.24% longs.