Monthly Double TopWe have a breakout and a monthly resistance hit. On the daily chart you can see that he failed two breakout attempts to the bullish side. He formed a double top on the 4h chart. This indicates a bearish movement which could continue to the downside. Whenever he should break the trendline, there is an possible entry point.
The
LONG Trading the head and shoulders patternsn the above chart, we notice from the left of the chart, that price was in a down trend. Soon, it establishes resistance level and drops lower only to rally back up to test the resistance. On successful test of the resistance, price drops back to make a lower low, forming the head and eventually makes the right shoulder.
After this, price breaks the neckline resistance and starts to rally. In terms of the projected price, it is the measured distance from the head to the neckline, projected upwards from the break of the neckline. As can be seen from the chart, price continues on to rally making new highs.
Trading the head and shoulders patternThe above chart, we notice from the left of the chart, that price was in a down trend. Soon, it establishes resistance level and drops lower only to rally back up to test the resistance. On successful test of the resistance, price drops back to make a lower low, forming the head and eventually makes the right shoulder.
After this, price breaks the neckline resistance and starts to rally. In terms of the projected price, it is the measured distance from the head to the neckline, projected upwards from the break of the neckline. As can be seen from the chart, price continues on to rally making new highs.
Regular Bearish Divergence followed by the Bear 123 PullbackThis is a Setup best known as a Bearish Advance Divergence Butterfly - (Bear ABD). With the daily TF showing a Bearish retrace rejection i took a short trade on the 4HR TF via a Regualr Bearish Divergence. Target 1 already hit and PA has now pulled back forming a potential retrace rejection and also was showed Bull Hidden Divergence. However PA is holding at the Mid level APF giving strength to the Bear. We'll wait and see
the KIWI to go short post NFP resultslooking at the current levels of resistance we may see an opportunity to short this pair on any pullback on a 4 hourly to 1 hourly timeframe after a strong sell off yesterday with a fully engulfing bearish candle.However
I would remain cautious until post NFP announcements .
XAU/USD Market Analysis and Trading Tips 6th July 2016
Overview:
The Gold markets rally during the course of the session on Tuesday to the level of $1370. At this point in time, we strongly believe that market is on its bull rally and ready to go higher. The Gold market sentiment is still positive. The main trend of Gold is bullish on charts and and market is sustaining above the 100 days moving average on its 4 hourly chart. It is having important resistance level at significantly psychological number at the level of $1400 and support level at the level of $1340. On its 4 hourly charts, MACD is sustaining in its positive territory and RSI is sustaining in its buying zone indicating the upcoming bearish trend in the oil prices. On intra day basis one can go for buy on lower level strategy.
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Volatility Outlook (VIX) June 2016During periods of risk the VIX tends to get inverted- typically during times of stress this has stay inverted for quite some time, 6 weeks after last years shock valuation from China.
When this curve goes back to a normal upwards sloping curve, this is usually a very good sign.
The US equity markets has been pricing in the UK as an 'island', the risk of Brexit is enormous.
The problem is and this is where the options market gets it right, it's going to be like watching a really boring movie in slow motion.
There are not a lot of near time trading events from an options point of view, or a risk point of view.
Borris has taken himself out, how do you really trade that? there are not a lot of really tradable events in the near-term.
The end of quarter beta chase were not as important had be not had the Brexit and market been up 9% YTD
The volatility floor, globally will rise to a higher level - it really comes down to the political dynamics in the euro-zone, if these can be contained.