Thebigshort
The Safest Way to Short The Stock MarketIn this video we explain Inverse ETFs as a tool to gain short exposure to the stock market. These can be used as a tool to profit directly from market or as a hedge to protect your stock portfolio in times of market volatility.
Let us know your thoughts in the comments below! Have you ever invested using one of these ETFs?
Who is ready for a bloody cycle?Once in a lifetime opportunity.
We will witness a great decline, after the landing of the fifth wave. This decline will come in an "abc" type of correction and wipe out all the new and unexperienced investors.
In this last period, every stock within the Norwegian market has been booming. Would you not say it is about time?
Anyways, the fifth wave is very fast and advances aggressively. This is called an extended fifth wave. We can tell on the chart that this is surly an extended wave. The evidence is; A clear break of the trend-line, The move is bigger than the first wave, the last evidence is the Norwegian news which has only been bullish on the stock-market.
The world wide economic disaster is right around the corner. Be prepared and not foolish...
I wish you guys good luck.
HUGE Accumulation of GOLD - Wyckoff Method in Play Hi Guys, as we can see there is some accumulation happening of Gold. Right now Wyckoff Method is playing exactly like the method suggest.
If you look at the Accumulation Schematic #2: Wyckoff Events and Phases, We are continuing the last accumulation Phase of D.
Dr. Burry where are you??? The Big Short 2.0Check the following:
1. Competition is on fire
2. Semi-conductors shortage (production slowing down)
3. Chinese EVs- Spacs all down
4. Tesla announced double the expected cars sales and the stock made a 5% move and then is sitting on the same prices while the S&P is moving to all time high
5. Cathy rush to buy the dip and then upgrade her target (why??? her ass is on fire due to the shortage of chips, necessary to the production of EVs), production expectations will not be met in the medium-term (2-3yr)
6. VW did not go up because of EV future but more on EVs short term production problems ( more time for diesel-petrol engines )
7. I like al the above and number 7 :)
Do you believe the problem with semi-conductors is going to be resolved any time soon? i do not...
Awaiting for opening my short position either in a retest or previous highs or a breakdown of the major trend line and not only in tesla but all the EV sector. This is going to be a bet 0 or >1 and a 1-2year holding period.
Dr. Burry where are you???????
Vertical SPY PUT Short 2021Opened SPY Vertical Put Spread for $0.14 and expires on March 31, 2021. 85 SPY Put Buy at 271 and 85 SPY Put Sell at 266. Max gain is $41,310 and Max loss is $1,190. All the evictions pending, restriction of movement from state to state, election uncertainty, potential conflict in the Middle East against Iran since the 1 year anniversary of Qassem Soleimani and the Yearly sell off.
THE "BIG SHORT" CHEAT SHEET FOR 2020 (the top is in)-Yurlo
First of all like this post because I've put a good hour or two into crafting this one and I've decided to share it with you 👍
Second of all: I know I've made many bullish posts indicating we will pass 12500, however I've done a lot of thinking over the past day and after following price action I've decided that something big might be about to play out. Keep in mind I've only started my trading&investing journey 5 months ago (that's when I created this tradingview account and decided I wanted to change my life), thus being said I believe that I wasn't considering the bearish side to the market structure and the fact that we haven't tested major levels below that would be almost essential for a true bull run to form.
I feel like the top is in & whales are about to start distributing back to the first cycle of price action. Bulls have been patiently waiting for the local top since they bought at 4000 back in November.
Reasons why this is a possibility & shouldn't be ignored:
#1: CME GAPS:
-9600
-3500
#2: Whales have been waiting to distribute & start the next cycle of market, and smart money probably has buys all the way at the TRUE bottom waiting to accumulate.
#3: The area of interest below current price is way too attractive and the R/R is too nice to ignore.
#4: Yurlo said so & I've been right about most major moves.
Enjoy your weekend, and enjoy Labour day long weekend.
What To Watch For Before Stock Market CrashesWhen I asked my members for topics they would like educational posts about, this one came up. I chose this one as its widely suspected that we COULD see another market crash soon, so its best to know what to look for before it happens.
VIX
One key chart you will start seeing react is the VIX. This is the Volatility Index, or sometimes called the Fear Index because it measures the predicted volatility the market as a whole expects. Typically when you see the VIX rise, it means we can suspect to see stock market prices start to fall.
This is because usually market increases are a slow steady march upwards over time whereas any crashes are highly volatile.
Please take some time and compare spikes in the VIX chart to the timeline on the S&P.
SPDN
This is a chart I watch constantly, and should be a member of your watchlist too. The SPDN chart is an inverse ETF of the S&P500, in simple terms when the S&P falls, this rises and vice versa. This goes one step further than just predicting volatility, it shows you where investors are actively betting on a market crash.
Clearly this is a strong indicator of which direction the market participants expect the market to move.
Its important to watch volume on this chart, not so much price - because you are interested in times investors are moving money into this asset.
You will see a large increase in volume before many recent crashes.
DBPK does the same for European stock markets.
Fundamentals
Anyone who has watched The Big Short will understand how a clear understanding of economic fundamentals will show you when and where to expect market crashes. This movie dramatises how a small group of Wall Street investors predict the 2008 financial crisis, and subsequently profit immensely from it.
So it will definitely pay to take the time (years and decades) required to truly understand market economics and the fundamentals of the financial world so that you can identify weaknesses in the framework of the stock market too.
My Current View
I personally posted about this very topic where im seeing some of the typical warning signs before a market crash happen RIGHT NOW. I have linked to this post where I go in a little bit more detail about the current climate in the related post below.
The Big Short. (Skip this trade at your own risk)So for sometime at Trading Group 101 we have been discussing and looking to work out the next move in the stock market during COVID-19.
To do this successfully you need to look beyond the initial stock charts of the major indices and view the whole financial world. So with this in mind I am sharing some charts that not many people likely view (or even know exist) to give some insight into our thesis for the next big stock market crash.
In the first chart (DBPK) we are looking at an ETF for shorting the stock market, this is showing us where people are not only withdrawing their money away from the stock market and into a cash position, but they are actively putting money into profit from any downside in the S&P 500. People do this for a variety of reason and not just to profit from a crash, but also to hedge their portfolios against a negative move. Price is at a level 33% lower than the start of the COVID-19 crisis. This does not agree with the real fundamental outlook of the economy where most of Europe is seeing case numbers rise, and leading doctors in the US admit the virus is still not under control there.
The second chart (CRUDI) is an inversely correlated ETF against Crude Oil prices. In any market condition where the virus starts to peak again, we can expect Oil demand to fall and consequently prices to fall. This is where we will see this CRUDI chart rise as it did during the emergence of COVID-19.
The third chart may be more familiar to people (VIX) measures the volatility of the stock market. Our analysis is telling us the VIX will soon start to rise which will be yet another indicator of the upcoming market crash.
To back up this thesis we have to have a fundamental viewpoint - Essentially in so many different industries the 'new normal' isnt profitable. Restaurants with social distancing means they are not full, airlines are the same and this goes for many industries.
If you have some ideas on this please comment below.
I am sorry to inform you, but...Dear readers, investors, chartists
The chart speaks more than thousand words. This is a follow-up of my "Middleclass wipeout chart" with the DJI expectation to peak at 30.5k - this prediction was made in 2018. (it peaked at 29.7) I do not feel the urge to draw wave patterns how this correction will occur, however here is the general idea.
I do not like what is about to happen, there are plenty of profits to be made; but the vast majority including households, insurance funds and many other companies and individuals will fall. Those who have saved for their pensions will get REKT through greed of the governments/insurance funds. Not only this, our entire system is built on debt and we will face the consequences of this.
Please, do not cheer, if your profits exceed your expectations by playing smart. Once again, many will suffer from this crisis and I really hope I am wrong (but I am not).
Hold on tight, it is going to be a wild ride. The middle class wipeout is bound to happen.
Be safe,
Gabriel Molenkamp