100K The Countdown Begins- We are so close.
- To every Bitcoin holder who has weathered the highs and lows, celebrated the peaks, and endured the troughs—remember, you are not just an investor.
- You are a believer in a decentralized future, a pioneer of financial sovereignty, and a guardian of the idea that true value transcends borders, governments, and time itself.
- Holding Bitcoin is not merely holding an asset; it’s holding a piece of the revolution that will shape generations to come.
Keep the faith, for the future belongs to those bold enough to believe in it.
Thank you to all my followers for constantly inspiring me to share more analyses. Your support means the world—love you all!
PS : This isn’t an analysis. it's a heartfelt congratulations!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Theking
BTC 100k is not enough- Believe it or not.
- There's nothing at 100k.
- the trend would not be respected.
- i was here when BTC broke 10k$ for the first time.
- At that time, most traders called for a top and scared.
- BTC didn't care and went straight up to 20k$..
- i see only 3 Scenarios.
1 : Orange : BTC retrace soon, then it will delay time, then ATH will be 220-240k.
2 : Green : BTC goes to 150k, retrace to 161.8, and make a second Top around 220-240k.
3 : Red : BTC go straight to 150k$ then dip and struggle. ( i doubt on that way ).
- As always, this only my humble prediction and opinion.
- Everything can happens with FA. ( war, crises, stop internet.)
- More it will take time, more up BTC will go.
Stay S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Fibo and Time- A bit messy graph.
- Some peoples will get it and some not.
- in matter of time and fibo analysis.
- More will BTC take time to go up.
- More BTC price will go higher.
- in simple words, if u compare the 2015 bullrun and 2018 :
- 2015 was 1055 days ( around..)
- 2018 was 820 Days ( excluding the bouble top)
- Nothing much to deduct from that, but 2 scenarios are still possible :
- 100 000$ is not enough (161.8 FIbo), i still persist on that one, so not a scenario imo.
- 150k$ (261.8 Fibo) possible if BTC goes fast. ( same as 2018).
- 200k$ (361.8 fibo ) or 250k$ (423.6 Fibo ) are both possible if BTC goes slow. (same as 2015 )
- i still believe that " more Bitcoin will take time to go up, more the price will go higher "
- Don't forget this is only TA, not FA, not Economic or World Situation.
- Feel free to share with me your view.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Rally Not Started Yet- Everything in trend, i used MVRV indicator ( Google it if you don't know it).
- Not a price prediction, check my older analysis for some price prediction.
- Not a date prediction, Timeline surely wrong.
- So this a post just to give you an idea of the situation.
What to not do :
- Don't listen some twitter influencers pseudo maestros traders 😂.
- Some are spreading that BTC bull market is finished or won't even happen.
- Don't follow and listen too many peoples at the same time.
- Don't forget that influencers are not traders.
- Don't forget many followers on Twitter or TV mean NOTHING!.
What to do :
- Learn is practice, so practice again and again to learn more and more.
- Teach to your friends about trading, more you teach more you learn and master trading!
- Listen to yourself (don't even listen to me).
- Keep focused.
- Be confident.
Now :
- Real Bull Market not even started.
- Be ready and DCA what you can afford.
- Don't panic for dips, buy more instead, this is crypto.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Timeline- i always said that this bullrun looks much more as 2015 - 2018.
- 2019 - 2022 BearMarket was disrupted by Covid.
- Double top ATH (end 2021) was combined with a large divergence.
- Consider that the first 2021 ATH was the real one.
- this graphic is not a price prediction but you can consider it as almanac.
- if story repeats next ATH would be before end of 2025.
- 2026 BearMarket will back.
- Check Columns + dates.
- Compare.
- Deduct.
Happy Tr4Ding!
The Others Part 3- 6M Timeframe Simple Update:
- Divergences are the ultimate tool for timing entries.
- Think long-term—play the big picture.
- Keep DCA’ing into altcoins for stronger positioning.
- Exercice more patience and be ready for the rush.
- Buy before the moon move, sell at the moon.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC CME GAP
- A new gap was created this weekend on the CME.
- BTC's price is higher there, which is typical.
- A gap isn’t always filled; while many do eventually close as prices retrace, it’s never guaranteed.
- This isn’t a price analysis, but rather an alert to monitor the gap.
- I’ll add my previous gap analysis in the comments.
Happy Tr4Ding
Doggy Style- I mostly use some specific projects to try to predict the next " Altcoin Rally ".
- I typically use Cardano or Doge because they are older and I can use indicators from earlier times.
- Yes doge is meme, but all altcoins are also Memes until they have a real use case right ?
- so you remember this BTC post i made in 2022 ? ( please check it )
- So this is almost exactly the same but with this graph i use :
- Tenkansen ( Yellow line )
- SenkouSpan ( Green line )
- so now check the compressing descending trend.
- check now both lines ( Yellow and Green ).
- Notice when the yellow line cross down the green, we go bear.
- Notice when the yellow cross up the green, we go bull.
- So what we can deduct? - Altcoins are not yet Bullish.
- But remember Altcoins will go parabolic at one point and you want to be there!
- When? - anyone knows the exact date but you need to understand " The Delay ".
- i will post in comments same chart but i will use BTC with same technic and you will get that BTC is already bullish.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC Diamond Ser ?- While bears see bearish pennants, I see diamonds in the rough.
- I remain bullish, not due to the price, but for the sake of humanity.
- This isn’t an analysis, just a light-hearted joke, so please don’t roast me too hard! 🙏.
- Remember, diamonds are forever.
- Hodl!
Happy Tr4Ding!
Dominance & Altcoins- This graph is purely based on fibonacci law.
- 61.8% is the core of the system ( check rectangles in graph to get it )
- Most of long term traders not even look at the price.
- they just wait the good time to buy using Fibo.
- in 2016 BTC was almost 100%. Altcoins were inexistant. (less than 2% of the market with ETH)
- in 2021 BTC Dominance pushed to 75% (altseason followed the push)
- in 2024 we could see BTC dominance knocks 60% ish ( Altseason will follow )
- BTC is maturing.
- Cryptos are growing.
- Don't look too much at your altcoin wallets.
- Most of the time the story repeats itself.
- Respect the cycle, be patient and eat noodles!
Happy Tr4Ding !
USDT vs USDC The Last Rush- Everything is in the chart.
- So my own deduction ( and only my own ) is : " Actually BTC not dipped so much "
- They pushed it hard, many peoples turned their BTC and Altcoins to USDT/USDC for safety.
- BTC is still not yet considered as a reserve like Gold in case of crises, peoples still scare and back really fast to the old paper money system when panic is around.
- i will link following this post a PAXG/BTC Chart to show what happened when BTC dipped.
- just look at indicators and you will clearly understand how much stables coins pushed high and Mooned/Marsed in the red " Overbought " Zone.
- Results : TheKing is still around 20k.
- that said, we can notice that USDC is gaining much more interests than USDT, just because USDC (Circle) is backed by cash and short-term U.S. government bonds as collateral.
- after the "LUNA-UST" Crash peoples started to fear and they are right, so they turned their Stables to USDC.
- in near future, USDC will gains more dominance on USDT and the next Dip could results in an Equal Dominance ( 3.80% - 3.20% )
i hope this post help to understand the situation, be H4ppy and St4y S4fe !
Happy Tr4Ding !
Tether The Trumpet- On this Chart i use zero indicator and just the trend.
- Some basic supports and resistances.
- What we can see and deduct ?
- Tether jumped from 0.01% to 1% dominance from 2015 to 2018.
- from 2019 to 2023 USDT.Dom growed from 1% to 10%.
- now the trend is still evolving in a steady broadening trumpet formation.
- Do you really believe Tether would reach 35% Dominance in Crypto Markets ?
- it would mean that 35% of peoples would prefer to stay in Stables Fiat and win nothing.
- Just using logic and combine FA + TA :
- This uper trend will be broken down soon or later.
- i just do believe that Tether have to crash at one point ( no matter the reason ).
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- So now a quick comprehensive explanation about Tether.Dom and how it works :
1 - When BTC down = Peoples swap their BTC to USDT (panic)
- USDT.Dom up !
- Tether stop the printing Machine and wait.
2. - When BTC up = Peoples swap their USDT to buy BTC (fomo)
- USDT.Dom Down !
- Tether have to restart the printing machine and issue more USDT to cover BTC demands.
- Yes it's simple as that..
- Tether is not really different than the FED.
- they just print more USDT from thin air when peoples want buy more BTC.
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- Remember that without BTC, Tether would worth 0$ and disappear.
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St4y Safe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Tether Dom- i will try to make it short.
- Like always everything is understandable in graph.
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TA :
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- Tether made a triple new ATH around 9% dominance on Crypto Markets.
- Got rejected 3X times.
- Right now it's the 4th attempt for USDT trying to break 9%.
- i kept BB in graph to show that USDT flirts again with the higher bollinger band.
- Right now the most important is to watch out for Divergences.
- Divergence or Hiden-Div will come soon or later.
- i expect Tether to back around 5% Dom around 2024 when the bullmarket will back.
- Do you remember last year when USDT and USDT were racing together ?
- USDC ( Circle ) Failed with the fall of Silicon Valley Bank.
- Now USDC is a back to 2.60% Dom.
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FA :
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- Remember USDT still have a big lack of transparency.
- if u check the news, you will notice that Tether invested heavily in Bitcoin Mining.
- They did this move to use this diversification as a parachute in case of troubles.
- if Tether fails for any reason it could quickly dip to 3.7% Dom.
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Last Point : CDBC are coming and central banks will try kickout Tether from this game.
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Conclusion : Stay Safe and Buy Bitcoin !
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC DOM- Quick Update.
- If you're still standing and holding onto your cryptos, you’ve earned a medal.
- Not much to see in this monthly chart, just one key detail :
- Take a look at the RSI and notice how much BTC dominance has surged.
- The next move could be altcoins skyrocketing out of nowhere.
One word: HODL !!!
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC The State NowHere’s a quick market update with a timeline and trend analysis :
- As always, it’s as simple as checking the colors and trends in the graphic.
- We’re currently in a phase of solid consolidation.
- The bull run hasn’t started yet, but in time, BTC is expected to go parabolic, as it usually does.
- The current cycle is taking longer to play out.
- The differences between 2020 and 2024 corrections are clear. Back in 2020, BTC was still maturing, not widely accepted, and impacted by the Covid crisis.
- In 2023, BTC has gained more recognition with ETFs, attracted wealthy investors, and is evolving into a true store of value.
- For these reasons, TheKing may be retracing, but it’s doing so with power and resilience.
- Everyone wants a piece of the cake, which is why Bitcoin's price remains elevated.
Just HODL and you'll be rewarded in the long run.
Happy Tr4Ding
Bitcoin Quest- History tends to repeat itself.
- The maximum could reach around 250k.
- The minimum could drop to about 40k.
- Remember, the longer it takes, the higher we could go.
- The graphic is straightforward as usual; just track "colors", "bubbles" and "trends."
- Keep in mind, while the future is uncertain, we can still speculate.
Happy Tr4Ding
The Golden Ratio- Throughout history, the ratio for length to width of rectangles of 1.61803 39887 49894 84820 has been considered the most pleasing to the eye.
- This ratio was named the golden ratio by the Greeks.
- In the world of mathematics, the numeric value is called "phi", named for the Greek sculptor Phidias.
- Everything is in chart.
Happy Tr4Ding !