Bitcoin Fibo and Time- A bit messy graph.
- Some peoples will get it and some not.
- in matter of time and fibo analysis.
- More will BTC take time to go up.
- More BTC price will go higher.
- in simple words, if u compare the 2015 bullrun and 2018 :
- 2015 was 1055 days ( around..)
- 2018 was 820 Days ( excluding the bouble top)
- Nothing much to deduct from that, but 2 scenarios are still possible :
- 100 000$ is not enough (161.8 FIbo), i still persist on that one, so not a scenario imo.
- 150k$ (261.8 Fibo) possible if BTC goes fast. ( same as 2018).
- 200k$ (361.8 fibo ) or 250k$ (423.6 Fibo ) are both possible if BTC goes slow. (same as 2015 )
- i still believe that " more Bitcoin will take time to go up, more the price will go higher "
- Don't forget this is only TA, not FA, not Economic or World Situation.
- Feel free to share with me your view.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Theking
Dominance the system core- for me it has always been very complicate to explain BTC.D to peoples, because it's complicate ! lol
- it's weird to understand the moves and many factors have to be compared together an alchemy have to happen to see something happening.
- So basically to explain it, i will tell you what "we want to see" or "what we don't want to see" in the future. if the story repeats again.
1/ BTC.D have to grow up, then Altcoins will struggle down trying to find a potential bottom.
- While BTC.D grow up, BTC price have to grow up also or at least stabilize ( this is a good sign )
2 / if BTC price down and BTC.D up, it's bad, it's just the normal way ( No Divergence )
- When BTC price + BTC.D both up together, it's a kind of " inversed divergence ", it means something good gonna happens. ( get it ?)
- Basically also if USDT/USDC Dom Grow and BTC price stabilize and not goes down anymore, it's a good sign.
- Normality the normal way is : BTC up / USDT/USDC.D Down OR BTC Down / USDT/USDC.D up.
- Before we had no reason to check those Stables coins because they had not much DOM in markets, but now have to count with them.
- So While BTC.D is growing, altcoins will just make some weak moves.
- When BTC will reach is next Dominance's ATH ( witch have to be lower than last years because more concurrence )
- BTC.D will crash and ALT SEASON will start.
- it took me many years to understand that, but it's pure logic ( Fibonacci is working perfectly on it )
- again it's not easy to get it.
- if you have any questions feel free to add a comment.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC 100k is not enough- Believe it or not.
- There's nothing at 100k.
- the trend would not be respected.
- i was here when BTC broke 10k$ for the first time.
- At that time, most traders called for a top and scared.
- BTC didn't care and went straight up to 20k$..
- i see only 3 Scenarios.
1 : Orange : BTC retrace soon, then it will delay time, then ATH will be 220-240k.
2 : Green : BTC goes to 150k, retrace to 161.8, and make a second Top around 220-240k.
3 : Red : BTC go straight to 150k$ then dip and struggle. ( i doubt on that way ).
- As always, this only my humble prediction and opinion.
- Everything can happens with FA. ( war, crises, stop internet.)
- More it will take time, more up BTC will go.
Stay S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing & Time- Everything is in graph and simple.
- Check Dates range.
- Check Fibo Channels.
- Check bubbles with colors ( green, yellow and red )
- More it will take time to get out from the bear market.
- More the final price will melt some faces.
- I don't know the future.
- I know how to draw magical trends.
- Most of the time stories repeat.
- If by any luck, BTC retraces again one more time near 20k, it's a pure gift.
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing Now- Despite the avalanche of FUDs made by the SEC.
- BTC still on his way.
- Like i said before, we are still in bearmarket but in a kind of pivot to witch to bullmarket.
- i spotted this inversed H&S few months already.
- Now the time is to wait.
- let's first see if this pattern is respected.
- Concerning altcoins :
- They dipped fast as BTC.Dominance reached almost 50%.
- Just the normal way.
- Time to charge more alts bags.
Stay Safe!
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing Summer Time- Okay, so TheKing dipped around -20%.
- For some peoples it could means panic and the end of cryptos.
- For Veterans those kinds of "mini crash" are very commons.
- We saw already harder moves in 2019 ( White Circle )
- Now those corrections are more large simply because BTC price is higher.
- Actually the situation still looking much more better than 2019-20 ( Covid )
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- i used only ichimoku on weekly Timeframe to make this analyze.
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- Like always everything is in graph.
- Basically BTC got a first big resistance around 32k$. ( Flat Cloud ).
- Next potential resistances are around 43k$ and 48k$. ( Flat Cloud ).
- For now BTC bounced on Kijun and found a support around 25k$.
- The price is staying inside the cloud so it just means for now " indecision ".
- Kijun Line ( Red ) is starting to make a flat around 25k$, it could mean " Build Support ".
- on Weekly TF, ichimoku cloud crossed bullish.
- So to get more bearish movements we need 2 confirmations at least :
1 : BTC have to dip under the red cloud.
2 : Tenkan and Kijun have to death cross ( Kijun (red line) have to go on top ).
So for now, nothing is predicting a new low but time will speak.
Happy Tr4Ding!
BTC H&S Structures- it's always interesting to check the past and learn from it.
- Sometimes you will find ways to find the future.
- On this messy graph, i posted some H&S and inversed H&S Patterns.
- i didn't post them all (but have more), i didn't want add more mess :D
- Check support and resistances on H&S dotted lines.
- Check colored bubbles like always.
- This is not a trade recommendation or a prediction.
- imho for now and until Halving better stay out of markets and buy pop corns.
Happy Tr4Ding
BITCOIN ASO- ASO means " Average Sentiment Oscillator ".
- This indicator can be used on Cryptos, Stocks, Forex.
- it's better to use it on a large TF to take out the noise.
- The deal with ASO is : it's very simple...
- The trend is up when the blue ASO oscillator line crosses the red line upward.
- The trend is down when the red ASO oscillator line crosses the blue line upward.
- There's a period of time for the bears.
- There's a period of time for the bulls.
- Now the bulls are coming, just a matter of time.
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing VS Shorts- A basic way to understand how BTC legs up are working.
- BTC Shorts go up.
- BTC price just retrace a bit or just slide. ( kind of divergence )
- it means Shorts are growing but running on a slice of butter.
Then :
- SHORTS Rekt.
- BTC makes his next leg up.
- it looks simple but actions and big legs up or down are acting pretty fast and most of the time at the last minute.
- that said, it's always good to monitor the level of shorts.
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Momentums :
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1- Shorters start to scare to be liquidated and add to their positions facing BTC Longs pressure, fast exit ( panic ) .
2- Shorters start to fomo when BTC price rekt and add more to their shorts ( greed ).
- it's really difficult to master "Shorts against BTC price" if you don't first Master " Divergences ", " Hidden Divergences " on regular charting and multiple timeframes.
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- Keep in mind that when i post just a simple chart idea.
- Behind that i check everything and more.
- Being right or wrong is not the point.
- knowledge and practice is the final goal.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Story repeats itself- i have to post this chart.
- it seems some peoples didn't get what i posted in one of my older chart.
- i will post this chart in comments.
- Remember this is not a price prediction.
- Everything is just about comparing the past and the present.
- in 2018-2019 BTC was fluctuating in bearmarket with 4 Digits.
- Now BTC is fluctuating in bearmarket with 5 Digits.
- We are evolving in a different trend.
- All in graphic and hope you get the idea.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Where to Buy- Everything is in Chart.
- Actually TheKing entered a a correction phase.
- We climbed for 4 Months Straight.
- This kind of retracements are just normal.
- if TheKing still bullish the maximum correction will hit -38.2% Fibo (around 25k$).
- if Theking get hurts by a bad news (FA), the correction could bring the price around -61.8% FIbo (around 21.5k$).
- The worst max pain dip would be around -78.6% Fibo (around 18.5k$).
- Have a quick look at EMAs Rainbow Crossing up to get a more clear view and understand future movements.
-- imho we are still slowly turning to a bullish impulse.
-- Nothing confirmed that we will hit lowers prices for now.
Stay Safe !
Happy Tr4ding !
The Black Swan Method- Making TA as a trader is like reading a magical ball but some major unpredictable events are out of control.
- i usually accurate most of the time but i should be a fool to think i am always right, it's impossible to make TA in that markets conditions.
- So this post is not to make some kind of predictions but to warn peoples on what's going on right now.
- i will try to explain very basically the situation (with my bad english skills, so forgive me if i make some mistakes) :
1/ the first attack was based on Luna and UST, some entities started to short UST/Luna with some billions $, FTX and SBF surely did it. Luna tried to save the situation with their BTC reserve but it was effortless. they lost all. (Luna have never been hacked, important to specify this )
2/ the fail of UST was the first step to create a snowball effect.
3/ 3AC, Celsius, Voyager, and much more were all involved in Luna/UST and Anchor Protocol witch was giving 18% returns on UST. They used customers funds in UST and staked, when the situation started to turn really bad for Luna, they tried to save the situation trading customers funds and they failed. (any of those companies have been hacked, important to specify this )
4/ FTX used customers funds and started to short their own products, FTT, SOL, SRM, etc , Binance saw the move and twitted that they will drop all their FTT.
FTX locked their customers wallets. FTX used 8B$ Customers funds to short markets. they are still right now trying to short USDT on Binance. (FTX have never been hacked, important to specify this).
5/ The snow ball started to be transformed in an avalanche. The damage here is huge. An exchange implosion of this magnitude is a gift to bitcoin haters all over the world.
6/ Sam bankman-fried was a Trojan horse in the crypto space, surely backed by banks and govs, a kind of worm witch have to be eradicated.
7/ Soon bankers will tell you, " u saw what happened with your exchanges ??!!, better use CDBC and stick with Banks!! ", this is their ultimate goal.
- i pray for everyone who got caught up in this mess and lost money with those bad actors.
- i hope you take care of yourself and continue to be a part of this journey.
- i hope it doesn't turn you off of crypto witch are here to stay in the future.
- BTC is resilient. No matter the magnitude of the earthquake.
- Buy BTC
- Store in Ledger, Trezor or Paper Wallet.
- Hodl and come back later.
Have faith in what you believe and fight. Thanks for reading!
PS : Not sure this post will get me banned or censored, but at this point the freedom of speech is an human right.