Bitcoin S&RSupport & Resistance :
- When the two prices meet, consolidation between support and resistance.
- Called support and resistance reversal happens.
- A key concept of technical analysis is that when a resistance or support level is broken, its role is reversed.
- If the price falls below a support level, that level will become resistance. If the price rises above a resistance level, it will often become support.
- So you got the idea, trading is magic.
- Always keep in mind all scenarios.
- Sometimes just watch and don't gamble!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Theking
TheKing Still Bullish- Despite the silvergate mini Fud, BTC still on his consolidation trend.
- this Fud just caused a faster mini retracement but it would have happened anyway.
- Next Fud could concern Stables Coins, They are trying hard, no smoke, no fire.
- Whatever, at one point BTC will go his natural way. up!
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- For now look at the Graph :
-- BTC still evolving and bouncing on Tenkansen (Yellow Line)
-- Senkou Span is making a flat line around 32k ( Violin Line)
-- can notice a first support around 21.3K (Tenkan) ( Fibo 38.2% Retracement )
-- can notice a second support around 19.2K (trend) ( Fibo 61.8% Retracement ) (CME GAP 20.9k -19.9k)
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- imo not a time for trading for a long term investor, just watch.
- if you are a Scalper, that's fine, just use a tight SL.
- Any Fuds coming and any lower prices are fire buy at the good zones.
- i will comment this post with some older analysis so you will get the scheme more clearly.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Trading Life- I don't post much right now because nothing exciting is on.
That said i will give u one more advise :
- When u trade you really need to switch timeframes.
- if you see nothing is interesting on 1 week or 1 Day, go to H12, then go H8, then go H6. etc...
- Now check your favorite indicators and look at some divergences.
- Divergences are the base of trading.
- Divergences tell you when you can "try" to enter a trade or not.
- if the market just follow the river, there's nothing to do, just watch.
- Spot for Divergences than bet on a trade is much better.
- Now check my graphic and get it.
- Really simple.
- Spot on Divergences and understand movements.
- Remember that trading is tricky.
- Naturally the market will always inverse what u think :D
- Sometimes, there's nothing to trade.
Stay Safe !
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin SOPR #3- Quick Update.
- Everything is in graphic.
- Check SOPR + Green Circles.
- Did some smart hands took their benefits ?
- Yes.
- Does it means BTC price will crash ?
- No.
- Does it means we are in a correction ?
- Not really.
- Does it means it's a boring phase ?
- Yes.
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing Ways Up- Some Traders are still waiting for lower prices.
- But to go lower BTC must first go higher.
- TheKing is in transition phase : " Bearish to Bullish ".
- Some retracements have to happen on the way up.
- Some Fuds have to happen on the way up to create those retracements.
- Today CPI results could impact a bit the trend ( Stocks + Cryptos ).
- Notice on the Graph MA50/MA20 (4D) will cross up soon
- Those MAs will create some new support zones.
- This Graph is just based on comparison between 2018-2020 // 2020-2022 and an eventual " Story Repeat ".
- Covid19 Black Swan included.
- Just follow the Circles and keep it simple.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Choose your Freedom- Just for Sharing
- Not a Trade setup.
- Need more confirmations to accept this trend.
-- Bitcoin is more than the speculative numbers that most of peoples see in it.
-- "For the people.By the people".
-- Choose your Freedom and your path.
Non nobis solum, sed omnibus.
Happy Tr4Ding!
The Magic of Fibonacci- Remember this older chart ( December 18 - 2022 ):
- Please feel free to check it to understand the new one 👇👇
- BTC Finalized his movement at exactly 161.8% Fibo.
- BTC did what it had to do at the perfection of the Fibonacci Law.
- when the FUDs and Bad News not influence the trend.
- No need any Magic Ball, we just have to follow the beauty of Fibonacci.
- Everything is in Graph, this is a bit advanced trading.
- This is one of the core's method of big hands Trade ( with Volumes ).
- Feel free to DYOR about Fibonacci extensions and Retracements and learn about it.
-- The more that you read, the more things you will know!
Happy Tr4Ding !
The Fear and The Greed- Tomorow will be the 365th day in this bearmarket.
- From now there will not be much winners or losers because in this situation, there's fear and doubts in both sides.
- A little resume of this yearly journey :
- Luna Rekt
- 3AC Rekt
- Voyager Rekt
- FTX Rekt
- and much more smaller entities like Zipmex etc..
- Despite all FUDS, the situation could be worst than where we are now. we have to remember in 2017, we went from 20k to 3k.
- that said in 2017 "Cryptomania" was nothing compared to 2020, now we are more close from Cryptos adoption and CDBC.
- in 2017 the market was still immature and dubious, in 2020 big players entered the game.
- So what happened in 2022 with a more mature market ?
- What we need to remember from 2021-2022 is that bad actors in Cryptos are not here to build the system but to greed on it.
- They all overleveraged their positions thinking only about their own pockets and caused pain to millions of their customers.
- Some created their own thin air tokens as FTT and shorted their own projects with high leverages using collateral loans ( FTX ).
- They were all selfish, and didn't even think about how many poor families life they destroyed.
- Peoples may forget what they did with time, but Karma will not.
- Cryptos are here to stay, but the future is more bright without those greedy peoples.
- Buy BTC.
- Store in Ledger, Trezor or Paper Wallet.
- Hodl BTC.
- Do good things around you and good things will back to you.
Happy Tr4Ding!
Scalping Way- i do not scalp but if u want to play, you need to level up some basics :
- Price Action
- Price Range
- Divergences
- Play Breakout / Play the Support
- Stop Loss
- Take Profits
- Everything is comprehensive in Graphic.
- i used H4 timeframe
- Log Chart.
- MACD indicator only. ( logarithmic one ).
- if you want to be a Master Scalper, you need to be very rigorous. Zero sentiments.
- Hope it helps.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Humans are not perfect- Very Basically SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) measures the price bought versus price sold. ( but it's more complex than that )
- Negative SOPR typically means people are selling for a loss. ( red dotted Lines columns )
- Positive SOPR typically means people are selling for a win. ( Blue dotted Lines colums )
- So what we can notice and deduct from this graph ?
- Simply that we are not perfect.
- The Fear and The Greed.
- We scare when the price goes up too much.
- We fear when the price goes down too much.
- Most of the time we sell to early.
- Most of the time we sell when it's time to buy.
"Human being is the fact to be imperfect anyway"
Happy Tr4Ding !
Trading is Repeating- Not sure that we already finished Wave 1.
- What we know is : " BTC went straight up for 4 weeks ".
- the safest way for now if you missed the last bottom is to watch and wait.
- At one point TheKing have to retrace, so be patient.
- if BTC Retrace now :
- Set your Fibo to -61.8% Retracement, around 18,500$
- Charge bag at the good time.
- if BTC push more :
- Wait for a retrace and recalculate your -61.8%.
- Keep it easy and Stay Safe!
Happy Tr4Ding!
Total Market View- Yes. BTC fell under 300MA for the first time in 2022.
- No. Total Market Didn't Fall under 300MA in 2022.
- BTC Dominance was 100% in 2013-2017.
- BTC Dominance Top was 70% in 2017-2020.
- BTC Dominance Top was 50% in 2020-2022.
- Crypto industry is growing very fast.
- TheKing will lead the way but, he's not alone anymore.
Happy Tr4Ding!
Drawing Bitcoin- Not a price speculation.
- Not a bottom Confirmation.
- No need to speak too much because everything is on chart.
- Understand this analysis.
- Zoom in / Zoom out.
- Follow the Lines and Circles.
- Look for potentials breakout zones.
- Aberrations are frequent in a turbulent market.
- Supports always turn to be Resistances and vice versa.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Shopping Altcoins- in this post i will list a number of projects that seems interesting (to me) for the next bull run.
- i will set a potential worst case bottom price for every tokens/coins considering another BTC dip.
- i will just keep things simple and set a potential ”Entry Price” and describe good and bad reasons in few simple words.
- Remember that you have to do your own diligence before considering to invest in a project.
- Remember that cryptos are very dangerous, everything can happen and you may lose all your invest.
- invest only what you don't need for living !
- it's only your own decision to set an higher entry price if markets turn green.
- You don't want to buy when peoples are happy because everything is mooning!
- You want to buy before retailers and You want to sell before them !!
”The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets”
i will start with my one of my favorite project :
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Polkadot (DOT)
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- The Good : Decentralized, Huge Ecosystem, Cross chain Tech, developer activity, SEC umbrella.
- The Bad : lack of promotion, concurrence, on chain attacks, elitist governance, unlimited supplies.
- Entry Price : 4.30$ish
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- if you want me to check and add a project, just comment down below.
- if i think this project is not consistent. i won't add it.
- not meaning your favorite project is bad, just meaning i have a lack of knowledge on it.
- i will update this post over time.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Happy New Year!• Being wrong is not a bad thing.
• It's Okay to question what you have been taught.
• Grades aren't as valuable as skills.
• Understanding is more important than memorization.
• Making mistakes is Okay. Learn from your mistakes.
• Be humble.
• Be teachable.
• Humility is necessary for growth.
• Teach your children early what you learn late in life.
• There's always room for a new idea.
• Pay close attention to those that don't clap when you win, they are not your friends.
• Do not despair.
• Do not give up.
• Look for the sunlight through the clouds.
• The universe is bigger than your view of the universe.
Wish u all the best for 2023!
Cryptos are here to stay- Don't follow the price but follow the innovation.
- in 2018 Crypto market reached $750 Billions, in 2020 it reached $3 Trillions.
- of course cryptos are still nothing if u compare markets with the actual netted value of derivatives. $600 Trillions.
- if u followed some recent news about IRS :
- The Passage of the Inflation Reduction Act signals the hiring of 87,000 IRS agents and the bill specifically calls out crypto assets.
- $80 Billion of funding is allocated to the IRS budget over the next 10 years, signifying a 75% increase on a yearly basis.
So are you thinking govs will hire more agents to tax a dying system. think about it.
- According to Fibo the next bullrun will lead Crypto Markets around $10 Trillions.
- Be ready for it but be ready also for taxes and regulations.
Feel free to comments!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Stay Calm- i know some of my fellows traders went Long few days ago and i want to congratulate them !
- So if u went in around 19k+, you had already a great deal.
- Now if you didn't board the first train. i suggest you to wait.
- i don't show any indicators to keep the chart clean.
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Trading Parts
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- we are reaching a particular zone, so be cautious ( bears or bulls same )
- Nothing to Trade between 20800 - 21150 and under those zones, just wait and stay spectator.
Buy Zone : 21,150++ (DCA)
TP1 : 22,500
TP2 : 24,900
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Happy Tr4Ding !