Cryptos are here to stay- Don't follow the price but follow the innovation.
- in 2018 Crypto market reached $750 Billions, in 2020 it reached $3 Trillions.
- of course cryptos are still nothing if u compare markets with the actual netted value of derivatives. $600 Trillions.
- if u followed some recent news about IRS :
- The Passage of the Inflation Reduction Act signals the hiring of 87,000 IRS agents and the bill specifically calls out crypto assets.
- $80 Billion of funding is allocated to the IRS budget over the next 10 years, signifying a 75% increase on a yearly basis.
So are you thinking govs will hire more agents to tax a dying system. think about it.
- According to Fibo the next bullrun will lead Crypto Markets around $10 Trillions.
- Be ready for it but be ready also for taxes and regulations.
Feel free to comments!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Theking
Bitcoin Stay Calm- i know some of my fellows traders went Long few days ago and i want to congratulate them !
- So if u went in around 19k+, you had already a great deal.
- Now if you didn't board the first train. i suggest you to wait.
- i don't show any indicators to keep the chart clean.
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Trading Parts
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- we are reaching a particular zone, so be cautious ( bears or bulls same )
- Nothing to Trade between 20800 - 21150 and under those zones, just wait and stay spectator.
Buy Zone : 21,150++ (DCA)
TP1 : 22,500
TP2 : 24,900
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Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin warm up- i know some peoples are still waiting for 15k or 10k.
- in 2018-19, some of my friends were waiting BTC to dip $1000 when BTC was around 3000$, they are still waiting right now.
- Used correctly, Bollinger Band is a powerful indicator.
- you need to look closely at the Weekly BB contraction.
- When BB compress, it's a sign of volatility returns.
- the lower BB reached 17k+ ( was around 15.5k few weeks ago )
- The lowest BTC dip was $17,580
- BTC is evolving in a flat rectangle between 17,5k and 25k, the same situation happened in 2018-2019, it's called " Consolidation ".
- i can only suggest you to DCA buy instead of missing the train.
- it's better to take the risk to go in between 17k5-19.5k, than wait for a price that you won't never see again.
" The greed works on both sides, Bulls or Bears. "
Happy Tr4Ding!
The art of trading- Spotting Divergences is a good way to be prepared for a potential trend reversal.
- Many peoples are using RSI in a wrong way, as fix point indicator (oversold or overbought).
- in reality RSI is a "Momentum indicator". Point to Point.
- Divergences most of the time are not enough to enter a position but help you to have more nice cards in your hands.
- They can be combined with Trend Lines, Supports/Resistances, pivots, MAs/EMAs and much more indicators.
- More information you get on a trend, more is helpful to be accurate.
- the reverse of the medal is using too many indicators at the same time can make you confuse and doubt.
- Trading is an art but patience a virtue.
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing Moon or Mars - Everything is in graph.
- Everything is based on Fibonacci (extensions and retracements).
- This scenario is likely to fail, so don't take it as a financial advice.
- This is just a scenario nothing more, nothing less.
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- Take also in consideration, this scenario is only based on two basic reasoning situations :
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1/ The Bearmarket :
- The real bearmarket started from April 2021 (First ATH)
- The Second ATH (November 2021) was just a fake, a fomo created by people's witch missed the first train.
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2/ The Brrrrrr Machine :
- if they start to brrrrrrr ( UK just started ), more will follow.
- this scenario could happen more fast than we think.
- BTC was created to fight inflation.
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- Feel free to add your comments and ideas.
- Sometimes, it's better to keep silent than speak without thinking.
- Take it easy.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Choose your Side- i often compare TheKing with Nasdaq right now.
- Have a main reason :
- NAS100 (Nasdaq) have mostly "Top Tech Companies" acting as Thermometers in this index.
- SPX (SP500) have Tech Companies + traditional ones. Nasdaq Companies are also included in SPX, but 500 Companies start to be a lot.
- DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is a Mastodons, i don't use it much because this top 30 is too mixed ( coca cola, boeing, techs, big banks, nike.. etc).
- i mostly use very high TFs, i prefer look from far, less noise, more easy and less headaches.
- i use sometimes to trade with 1D, H12, H4 TFs but when we are bullish. In bearmarket, it's hard to find entries points in bearish mode.
- i don't short markets and accumulate more coins/tokens, so i just DCA, Dollar Cost Averaging is investing a fixed amount of money into a particular investment at regular intervals.
- so this chart is basically only about MACD :
- it's really interesting to see Nasdaq making another red columns in 3W TF, while the markets should recover slowly.
- if you take a look at BTC, columns stayed in Light Red Color and reducing size.
What could it means ?
- Keep in mind that BTC is not a STOCK.
- One of the most pivotal events on Bitcoin's blockchain is the halving, when the supply of new bitcoins is cut in half (2024).
- BTC have 21M Supplies and that's all. no more will be created.
- At any time BTC could stop to follow Nasdaq and do his way, TheKing used to do that before already.
- A small bounce in Nasdaq could be also a huge move for BTC.
- " Choose your side " and DCA the money you don't need for living.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Scalping H4 ( for fun )- impossible to Scalp following only BTC right now.
- We need to follow Nasdaq + TheKing.
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TP : 20,160
SL : 17,950
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Feel free to comment and add your view.
This is for fun, not an advise!
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing What's Next- TradingView distorted again my post. here a clear image :
- We need to compare BTC movements with The Wyckoff Method and we will get a more clear view.
- We are in a long corridor and it can take time before a new Bull Cycle as big hands are waiting for retailers to give up.
- i published in July a chart indicating a potential bottom around 17500$. here :
- i am clearly not convinced yet that BTC will make a fast wick to 15,000$, and i forgot already about 10k.
- Bollinger Band is one of my favorite indicator on Weekly TF to try predict potentials bounces.
- You can see clearly on the chart that BB bottomed around 12,600$ and right now growed to 15,500$.
Zoom in :
- So of course like always, everything can happen as economy is weak, but my work is TA, and not FA news.
- A wick to 15,000$ is still possible but clearly uncertain, all i can tell you is if this happens, be ready to charge your bag.
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing Cycles- Nothing can be perfect in Life or in Trading, but you can always brighten up your day.
- Remember "Cycles are Cycles"
- Everything is in graph
- You can follow bears, predicting 10 years of recession, but we are in a big recession and for a long time already.
- You can fall in the deep and predict the darkness.
- i like to see the sunshine in the morning and i will always radiate warmth.
- Follow Hope, and always believe in your own judgement.
- Be Bold and do the opposite of what commons peoples think.
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing CME vs Exchanges- i remember one of my best friends asked me in 2018 if it was good to buy Bitcoin around 4000$.. around bottom, i answered nothing, i just told him life is like a computer, it's like 01010101. You just take a decision then u have 50% chance to be correct and 50% chance to be wrong.
- So he had like 50k Euros at that time and he decided to buy a small studio because it was more a " Secure investment ", if he bought BTC by that time he would have 12.5+ BTC for last 2021 bullrun and could sell for 600,000++ Euros after 2 years ( if he sold btc around 50k$). Right now his studio's prices didn't move up or down.
so that short story is true, i didn't dream it. i just posted it to explain something very important :
- more you invest in something safe more the return will be poor.
- more you invest in something dangerous more the return will be good.
This simple law is valuable for everything, not only for cryptos. if you buy a studio in center NYC, you will pay it a lot but you will have more chance to be safe, the return will take many years of your short life. if you buy a studio in Cambodia, you will pay it much more cheaper and your invest could be transformed x5-x10 or going to zero.
let's back to the trend :
- it's important to check the difference between CME and Exchanges.
- When retails can buy 10$ in BTC in Coinbase, you need at least 10,000$ to invest in CME.
- i noticed this price difference from the last July BTC dip, when BTC dipped on exchanges the price was 17500$ ish. But on CME price bottomed around 18500$ ish and few day ago from now made a kind of double bottom tap.
- So to come back to my friend story, do you follow retailers or big hands ?
- i will post in comments the next important CME GAPs that BTC have to take back in future.
Happy Tr4Ding and St4y Safe !
Bitcoin Bottom- i saw many traders using vrvp or vpvr like and claiming BTC will go 10k.
- They just don't know how to use this tool and didn't understand how it works.
- if u don't know how to use a tool, simply don't use it. so less people's will rekt. this is an advanced trading tool.
- The Timeline of those tools are VERY IMPORTANT, they cannot be set up from 2015 or 2013.
What happened when BTC was Bearish :
- Actually when BTC dipped from 30,000$ ish, the columns started in the vrpv darker zone ( Less Demand )
- BTC reached 20,000$ and columns started to grow ( Demand Zone but Fear "Retailers" )
- Then dipped 17,500$ and the columns diminished size ( Good Demand " Smart Money" )
- This is at this point that you can detect a BOTTOM Zone. ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
Then what happened when BTC was Bullish :
- if you watch VRVP when BTC was growing you will notice the inverse.
- The Main demand was around 30,000$.
- BTC Reached 50,000$ and VRVP started to be darker ( More Demand impulse "FOMO" ).
- Then BTC reached 70,000$ ( No Demand ). ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
- i will post an exemple under this post to show a bad use of VRVP/VPVR. please don't use it that way.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Theking Following Nasdaq ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Quick update. the chart is speaking by itself.
- this a 1W TF analyze but if u go smaller TF, u will shock to see how BTC is linked to Nasdaq.
- BTC is simply cloning Nasdaq 100% from 8 November 2021.
- This happened already on 17 Feb 2020 when Covid knocked our doors.
- Those dips moves can be kind of "over pressured", i means by that : if Nasdaq loses 5%, BTC could lose 20%, Altcoins will cry -50%++. just the normal way.
- Just follow Nasdaq could be a smart way, TheKing is still young, and for now US100 "mastodon" acts as a World termometer.
- i will link in comments my older analyzes on Nasdaq. this will help to define a possible bottom.
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Happy Tr4Ding and Stay S4fe !
TheKing unbreakable- This situation was identical in 2020. When people's saw the death of the king, and when the dip was followed with a boom.
- i see only opportunites for new comers and smart money in this dip.
- i won't explain much about my graph, it speaks by itself ( Check RSI )
- i will later post an update for this knife.
- Don't fall in USDT like we falled in USD after wars. the real pain will be when u wake up and buy your croissant at 10$ in the morning.
- Check my Nasdaq analyze there because everything his linked :
Believe in Theking & Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing play safety- i will try to explain how to play cautiously when we are in this kind of incertitude.
- i always try to make some posts to teach peoples how to grow, avoiding multiple rekts and i also learn myself from others peoples everyday as well.
- Right now we should be in a consolidation phase, but it doesn't mean that we won't get another dip lower, so have to be very cautious.
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EMA's Method 2021 :
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- So if u look my graph in 2021, BTC dipped from 65k to 28k
- BTC dipped under Green EMA50 (50D), then dipped under Orange EMA100 (100D) and finally under EMA200 (200D).
- With this Dip you can see on Graph Multiple EMAs Death Crosses :
- Green crossed Orange
- Green crossed Red
- Red almost crossed Orange
- Basically what you have to follow is the most important EMA. EMA200 Days, Red One, the most difficult to break.
- When TheKing is under that EMA or get rejected, it means we are still bearish.
- After the Dip you can see TheKing made multiple bounces and tried to break Orange and Red EMAs.
- Then finally BTC broke up EMA200 and started to bounce up on it. ( Buy Time )
- Multiple EMAs Golden Crosses will show a new bullish movement.
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EMA's Method 2022 :
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- in 2022, the same scenario is repeating ( and basically it's always the same for years....)
- TheKing dipped from 70k to 33k.
- Again with this Dip you can see Multiple EMAs Death Crosses :
- Green crossed Orange
- Green crossed Red
- and this time Red crossed Orange.
- After 2022 Dip you can see TheKing again making multiple bounces and trying to break Orange and Red EMAs and got rejected.
- So the basic method is to wait a strong break of the Red EMA (200D)
- After this break we need at lest 1 confirmation ( TheKing have to bounce on it ) ( Buy Time )
- Multiple EMAs Golden Crosses will show a new bullish movement.
- so if you try to look inside the crystal ball. right now a good buy could be around 47-48k.
- For now there's nothing to play out.
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What is very important to understand is sometimes there's nothing to trade !, sometimes the best method to trade is to not trade at all and wait.
- "Patience is the ability to count down before you blast off"
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKIng Bear or Bull- just a simple analyse on facts, not really a prediction.
- Weekly EMA 21: $45k ish
- Daily EMA 200: $46k ish
- TheKing reached an important momentum zone. this green daily candle was very huge but BTC have to close next weekly candle above 46k$.
- After that we can consider to turn in Bullish mod and start a new rally.
- For now i am not bullish and not bearish, just a spectator in this kind of areas.
- i recommend to not play for now and wait for a strong breakout or a dip before entering any position.
- Stay Safe
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing under EMAsFast Update. Everything is annotated in chart. Timeframe 1 Day.
- We got a first rejection on 2EMAs (100D-200D) this is an usual correction.
- Correction could down to 38k ish (61.8% Fibo) doing a first ABC.
- A Breakout could propulse BTC to 50k ish (161.8% FIbo).
- Shorts on Bitfinex are going up. still trying to push TheKing Down.
- We could sideway for a While before a Breakout.
- The Story mostly repeats again.
Happy Tr4Ding !
A Story of TheKingQuick and short update.
- Stories like to be repeated constantly in Trading, that's how traders try to forecast the future.
- i invite you to research about elliott wave running flat theories.
- 61.8% is still the "Golden Number" and we have to always keep it in mind.
- Play like a Robot and don't use sentiments, adapt your trading style to situations.
- in FA most of the Time, " Good news are coming when the trend is bearish, Bad news are coming when we the trend is Bullish ". This can be called also "Elite Manipulation".
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Target 1 unchanged for now 55,000$.
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Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing Lack of PowerOk i will be quick on this analysis and speak only about facts.
- it seems that BTC new demand area was around 30,000$, everyone was waiting for 28k again but markets like to trick peoples :D
- so we found support around 33,000$ ( BTC Bounced on last VPVR Demands from June-July 2021 acted as support ).
- So for now TheKing made again one more HH and HL and we have to Keep that in mind.
- Despites many peoples think we are in " Bearmarket ", i am not convinced yet about it.
- Now we are still in a kind of doubtful zone, some Bears scare to short, some bulls scare to buy.
- i used 3 Days timeframe because we can check easily the size of the candles, for now, it's like we are coming back to October-December 2020. ( Yellow Rectangles )
- We need need to see more big candles to confirm a strong reversal movement. ( same as green rectangles )
- TheKing have to break is downtrend (Orange Trend line)
- So what i can say for now is, " there's no momentums in indecision ".
- For now first TP is 55,000$ ( lack of demand after that. have to recheck in time )
- if we fail and dip again, demand Zone is 30,000$.
Stay Safe and feel free to comment with logical facts and usefully ideas.
Happy Tr4Ding !