BTC Logarithmic CurveTHEORY
- I never understood why most students needed to learn what a Log was until I've studied a BTC chart.
- A Log curve in simple term goes 0 to .99999999
- It never touches 1. It is infinite. Meaning it goes forever always getting closer to 1.
- My assumption is that BTC will become stable one day. It may take many more halving's for that to happen.
- With that being said, that's why BTC is an excellent investment opportunity in the year 2020. (Of course with a proper bottom entry)
- Each halving comes a significant reduction of (RIO) Return On Investment.
CHART
- After many hours of studying this chart. I observed a pattern. BTC usually switches trends yearly on the macro level.
- I base that theory on this chart. If historical evidence does in fact repeat then my theory analysis will be true.
- I like to think of this chart of like playing darts w/ a blindfold on. It is a million dollar question.
OPPOSING VIEW
- Many say BTC is in a Wyckoff pattern. " Fill the gap"
I tend to believe that Bitcoin will revolutionize the world the same way the internet has been able to. I will remain optimistic because I believe in the technology.
Like & drop a comment on what you think will happen.
Theory
SPX BuyzonePossible buy zone coming up in the center of the channel, expecting a recovery after that.
Nio is right on schedule for its next jump, if it stays course.Please press the like buttom or the follow button if you like these ideas, thanks!
NIO price target/end of october: $21
Evs, ah quite the market in 2020. Nio has had quite a year, lets examine the last 4 months with NIO.
Since June 30th Nio has been in a beautiful ascending channel, a closer examination of the trend will show that upon reaching highs, Nio has an extended period of consolidation, into a lower end of the channel, which leads to another rise towards the upper end of the channel.
Zone 1-39 candles.
Upon reaching the upper end of the channel (also resistance), we can see consolidation, and upon reaching the lower end (of ascending channel) we see a rise into zone 2(becomes support).
Zone 2 (theoretical) -26 candles.
Using the same metrics as zone 1 we saw a rise into the upper end of the channel, back into a consolidation range, this time , along support lines. Using zone 1 measurements, we can expect a consolidation into the lower end of the channel which would take it back into the upper end of the channel, also known as zone 3.
Zone 3 (theoretical) - 13 candles.
In this zone we reach said price target.
With aforementioned measurements used in previous zones (zone 1, zone 2) , We can see the price target of $21 by end of October. Bull case scenario on this pattern leaves us at $28 by end of October.
**Provided also are:
*Pink reversal zones (possible to signal reversal if falling out of ascending channel)
* gray area zones (possible for upside or downside)
*red breakdown zones (for price action that falls out of the bullish trend)
Daily Wisdom 13 - Such is the marketO Captain! my Captain! our fearful trip is done,
The ship has weather’d every rack, the prize we sought is won,
The port is near, the bells I hear, the people all exulting,
While follow eyes the steady keel, the vessel grim and daring;
But O heart! heart! heart!
O the bleeding drops of red,
Where on the deck my Captain lies,
Fallen cold and dead.
Wyckoff Market cycle model theory ExampleThis is a textbook example of the Wyckoff the theory that consist of two main structure the accumulation build up integrated with the stop loss hunt that institutions use to get equity and then the distribution which does the exact same but in reverse. Throughout the course, the market has respected the demand zone that held very strong even though the institution's stop ran them out.
Facebook retrace under 200emaI came up with this theory with Apple and back tested it with Facebook to see if it would come to an are of significance again like it did with Apple. If you take the average price drop between the last 2 major corrections, 2018/1029 and the beginning of coronavirus pandemic, you get about 90.64. If you subtract that from Facebook's top at about 250.1 you get 159.77. During the first correction, Facebook dropped to about 120, right under the 200ema. Then during the second correction, Facebook dropped to about 140, again right under the 200ema with about a $20 price difference from the first correction. A 160 correction would put us a $20 price difference between the last correction and also right under the 200ema
SELLThis is not an investment recommendation or any call to buy or sell
It is a very probable analysis based on Matrix Theory ( a study on the behavior of price movement ).
Good luck
🌀 Cycle Theory and Wave Analysis 🌊👋🏻Hi guys. 💋Well, let's continue develop ourselves???💪🏻
Today I would like to tell you about the 🌊wave analysis🌊
☝🏻😉For those, who have recently joined, I would like to say, that we are studying technical analysis.💪🏻💪🏻
👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻Below you can find my previous educational ideas.👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
Ok, now let's start from the few words about theory of cycles💪🏻
🌀The theory of cycles is more developed at the theoretical than at the practical level, and deals with cyclical fluctuations not only in prices, but also in natural phenomena in general. Almost all methods of technical analysis fit into this classification.✔
💥 If you wanna be successful trader, you need to understand this method of analysis 💥
☝🏻 The trend (impulse waves) has a 5-wave structure (waves are indicated by the numbers 1,2,3,4,5, A, B, C ) and consists of impulse waves and correction.
📌 Impulse Waves 1,3,5
- longer than correction waves
- show the direction of the trend
📌 Correction Waves 2 and 4
- has a 3-wave structure (a-b-c)
- show the direction opposite to the current trend
☝🏻 1st, 3rd, 5th impulse waves have a 5-wave structure of their subwaves. Correction waves (2 and 4) have a 3-wave structure and are denoted by A-B-C.
📌 Signs of a trend reversal in terms of wave analysis are:
- finite diagonal triangle
- extended 5th wave
- truncated 5th wave
👉🏻 The 2nd and 4th waves are corrective. The movement on these waves takes the form of the following correction models:
- zigzags (5-3-5) (Zigzags) or simple (zigzag) correction
- planes (3-3-5) (Flats) or flat (flat) correction
- triangles (3-3-3-3-3-3) (Triangles) or triangular correction
- double triples and triple triples (combined structures)
- incorrect correction
In fact, wave analysis has nothing to do with the market. At least in the modern world.
This theory once worked, but not now.
☝🏻Although it attracts a lot of people with its simplicity and visibility.
Now you will not find two wave operators, that would give the same market assessment and forecasts. So many directions and methods of wave analysis have formed today.
Wave analysis is an artificially invented method for predicting markets, that is, not natural even for human behavior.
💥If you use it, then be extremely careful. To say, that wave analysis doesn't work is too subjective. Each for himself decides what and how to use.
😆Right or wrong - the market will judge by adding or taking money to the account.😆
🤔I hope I have clearly explained you my vision of wave analysis, if you are interested, you can study this method more deeply.💪🏻💪🏻
😸Subscribe and don't forget to put like to my enthusiasm, I try for you😉😉😉
Stay with me🌞
Kiss You 💋
Your Rocket Bomb🚀💣
Fractal theory?🧐🧐🧐 TESLA 🏎🏎🏎Guys, have you heard about fractal theory?🧐🧐🧐
🤗If my idea will work, I’ll write an aducational post about it. That's would be great💪🏻
Do you have any thoughts about the Tesla movement?🤔
Stay with me☺
KIss You 💋💋💋
Your Rocket Bomb🚀💣
"Price Action with Volume" theory on, Bitcoin!I am not going to write here in Pages. Let's move the strength topic.
This is " Price Action with Volume theory ".
Relation of Congestion vs. Volume examination:
Herein, 4 CONGESTION found throughout VOLUME declined. 5th Congestion expected because of weekly candle gooing to closed today with both sides of the legs.
All the Congestion has low volume and after the breakout , we are seeing a single directional move.
If we are at CONGESTION phase, we will see a surge in price after the breakout . In the current case, we have more volume compared to all other Congestion phases.
If you LIKE this idea, You will get Real-Time with lower timeframe NOTIFICATION trable update.
AUDUSD LONG new thoery not looking fro specifics in price targets as of yet as im testing a new theory, just a general area labelled "box1" and "box2"
this theory captures the previous ares of wicks and uses those as support and resistance , one established the area is looking to find a 3rd touch on the trend line , (first arrow pointing towards it) to then shoot up for a long
Gold 4 wave? Lets see if we make a triangle Loving the Elliott Wave theory painted on GOLD here and I see a few longterm options.
ABCDE happens often on a 4 wave between the .382 and .50 fib level.
4 wave can also be an ABC all the way down to .618.
Looking at longterm buys around all these fib levels depending on what outcome happens.
I think gold will do good after my parabolic run-up in stocks
once we start the correction in stocks gold will moon.
Stay healthy and stay profitable <3
Theory of Bitcoin fallHello Beautiful person!
I have been thinking about reasons of bitcoin fall and been watching "experts" on stock market, to see if there are correlations.
To set the stage a little, let me just summarize the reality we are hitting now:
Most of us are aware that the stock market is overpriced/overvalued and possible a large bubble
Some of us have foreseen that this bubble will not hold.
The Covid-19 acted as a catalyst to the above mentioned points, and then some
We are only in the beginning phase of whatever you can call this: strong correction or recession.
Many people thought BTC to be digital gold, and why is it falling
Gold and other precious metals are also seeing a drop.
So what I have learned is that during a market crash or strong correction, investor usually follow one core principle: Protect your asset/money.
In order to protect your assets:,
the first to be sold is volatile assets.
Then sell off assets that you "know" are over valued (tech stocks)
Then you need to cover your losses by selling assets that have yielded great results, aka book profits.
The 2 last steps are perhaps the major steps that throws us off when it comes to logic :)
Why sell off assets that are strong and still have a good future? To book profits and protect your assets so you can stay in the market for longer time.
Bitcoin, sadly, covers perhaps all the above bullet points: Volatile, tech and performed great.
It is only logical that BTC will be hit hard, given above mentioned arguments are valid.
All I am trying to tell you, my fellow traders and BTC fan is this: Think twice if you believe that this fall of BTC price is a result in no belief in BTC.
There is a logical reason behind this fall, that is not necessarily connected to the end of BTC or lack of belief in the asset.
PS
Looking at the chart, it might look like we are heading into a sideway trading between the support and resistant line.
DS
Stay safe out there and in these times: be sensible!
one of two ways as alwaysPrice will either bounce off and continue up or break through buy or sell accordingly.
Halving TheoryHere is my Halving Theory
On the facts and data of history I try to find the bitcoin code of all time highs in future
Every time and everywhere in history we see allways things happend again and again
So we see it even in Bitcoin charts there are some things they are allways coming again
alltime highs, halving, hype time, depression time, more or less interesting
If WE know THES time frames it would be much easier to trade btc in future with this knowlegde.
So - let us see if the Bitcoin Code is crackable
Stay Crypto
Eurgbp for the buy 3 days at most and respecting Channel Downtrend traveling through a down channel and respecting key level prices with my supply and demand zones ‘ purple daily supply and demand zones
Green 4hr supply and Demand zones
Weekly orange zones
Monthly blue zones
Double top possible retest of the previous low that broke with bearish momentum. retracement
9.1.2020 - Bitcoin (BTC / USD)Hi Traders!
Welcome to 2020 - the year of halving. So the first analysis this year cannot be about anything but Bitcoin. After long weeks and months, it finally went upward. But where is the sensible target and what to watch? The first key event was that we were able to break through the strong resistance and channel. In addition, we broke the neckline in the Head and Shoulders pattern. We can now see more patterns on the chart:
1. Head and Shoulder
2. Elliot waves
Although these are two completely different strategies, they have one interesting thing - a common goal. Both Head and Shoulder and Elliot waves have a target in the range of 8 679 - 8 951 USD.
Why this target?
1. Target for Head and Shoulder
2. 1.618 fibo extension of the first and second wave
3. Resistance
4. Psychological boundary - 9 000 USD
However, growth could actually slow down and move to ABC correction or triangular formation. However, this does not change our final target.
May the crypto be with you!
The 350 Daily Simple Moving Average Support TheoryMoving Averages have long interested me. The idea of a dynamic support and resistance level with the ladder up and ladder down effect during new trends has been a fantastic thing to take notice of.
That brings us to the 350 Daily Simple Moving Average because it is not something we come across all the time but rather only a few times here and there over the course of many, many years.
Looking at the life of the STAMP chart which goes back to 2011 we can count the interactions on two hands.
The Major interest here for me is in the approach of the 350 DMA after posting a local Swing High.
This has only happened three times with the current one happening now as the 3rd time.
What got my attention was the bounce and how sloppy the 350 DMA was acting as Support. The bounces from the 350 are between the 236 and the 382 of the local move while the initial push lower was between at 113 and a 127 extension of the retrace.
For the first time - it looks like this.
Now things get a little more interesting when we add in the 200 DMA as a bounce level of Resistance... Like This.
Again, the 350 DMA Support is Sloppy and by no means a beautiful level but rather a zone and in retrospect, the reversal of a local drop for a decent bounce.
The 200 DMA acted as resistance with confluence from the 382 retrace from the 1163 high to the 339 low.
This did go on to paint a lower low when this move finished...
Once again we see the drive down to the 350 DMA with a fairly sloppy support. From there we get a decent bounce just beyond the 236 retrace from the 19,666 high to the 6427 low. The confluence here again was the resistance provided by the 200 DMA. After the bounce we head south and land between the 113 and the 127 extension from the bounce.
Again, like before, this went on to paint a lower low...
That brings us to our current approach.
I will admit that there is very little history and data to support such a theory but that is why a theory is a theory and not a fact or a rule.
Given the 350 DMA interaction, the distance to the 200 DMA and the overwhelming confluence near the 382 fib level that we didn't even get into in this theory but are absolutely out there, I feel this has potential. Maybe not for every trader but possibly just another way to look at current price action and see a reason for further downside as well as a bump in-between.
I am also very aware that the 200 DMA will move and that will affect future resistance levels as well as the retrace top, if achieved will effect the 113/127 extension levels. unfortunately, those things can only be planned for after future events take place.
So what I did for the extension was give a low side 236 bounce and a separate high side 382 bounce. This will just leave a range of possibilities if this does indeed move in the right direction.
Bitcoin 7 Zone TheoryHello all, today I would like to demonstrate a theory that was hypothesized by one of the greatest traders to ever live, W.D. Gann. This theory is called "The Seven Zones of Activity" in each stage Gann explains what he is looking for, and how the market reacts. Gann describes his "Normal Zone" as a line, that, when price is near that line, it sees little fluctuation, as it is at equilibrium. He explains that very long periods of distribution or accumulation can occur when price is at this "line". For my choice, i decided to use the 20 Week MA. As price saw an extended period of accumulation during the 2017 bull run, and an extended period of distribution during the 2018 Bear Market, both along the 20 Week MA. Therefore, my theory is that we could validly argue this line is now our "Equilibrium". Going forward, we have 3 zones above the line, with the highest zone being distribution. As well as 3 (theoretical) zones below the line, with the lowest being Accumulation. There are no rules as to how long each zone may take, or if they must be equal to each other, so this chart is based off the theory that the 200 Week MA is our "Bottom", similar to the previous bull-run. Feel free to implement this theory into your own analysis, with your own "Bottom", as the next two zones are purely speculation as to the price ranges they will have, and the length of time they will extend. If nothing else, I leave you with this quote; "Remember, it is always darkest just before dawn, and it is always brightest at noontime, just before the sun begins to recede." - W.D. Gann
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