The Trend: EP10 -- Revisiting BTCHowdy Yall!
I know its been a long time since my last video - quite a long time. Today I wanted to say thank you to those of you who have reached out and wondered "Where is Nuke?". I came back to a ton of PM's and mentions, and I apologize for being away so long. I'll do my best to get back more often and get some good content up for everybody. I take a quick look at BTC, and for the most part I'd say the best strategy is more: Hibernation. Less trading and more hanging on to your coins. All that and more in this episode of the trend! Blessings to yall, make a million!
Thetrend
The Trend: EP9 -- Remaining SensibleHowdy Yall!
I know I've missed you guys for a bit now. I feel bad about that. I'm back! I shot this video this morning, having to give my hearts best to hold back my ABSOLUTE DISGUST! ... There are people in that chat giving out advice that will really break your portfolio. I'm not going to stoop to dropping names. I think you guys will see the goodies from the badies. Its awful when the chat collapses to that level. I don't like it.
Enough of that. Lets talk about some BTC. Lets talk about the MACRO picture. Lets talk about The Trend, and talk about what way the market is flowing. Then lets flow with the market, and not flow with the sentiment of the crowd.
I love ya'll!
REGN Profit takingBiotech Basket
I have reevaluated my REGN holdings, and have placed stop limits to both take profits, and a more protective conservative stop to close out my position entirely. My last stop has been hit (today) and now I am aggressively placing 35% of my position in a Stop at the 50% retracement level. A second stop limit is at the 38% retracement. The final portion is marked as position close.
The current level appears to be very destructive, Its very possible we have just finished markup and we are in the beginning of a distribution phase. If this is the case, the downtrend will be long and very destructive to share price. Its time to be prepared to take profits!
The Trend: EP8 -- Building SupportsHowdy Yall!
On this episode of The Trend we take a look at how an asset sets up a foundation for further moves. Its important to understand some of the psychology which applies to both traders and investors when evaluating an asset. Here we look at BTC and its current trading area along with historical trading area's for comparison. Several times throughout the video I use terminology which is "borrowed" from Wyckoff analysts. I would like to clarify that I am using these terms as "explanatory" terms and not necessarily as the professional definitions for them (although most do fit, just by nature). Thanks for taking a look!
I hope you all muck up a chart showing off what you think will happen, and feel free to post that chart back here!
The Trend: EP7 -- Stop-Limit saves ThousandsHowdy Yall!
I know its been several days! I finally was able (with some help) to get back onto the recording video train. There for awhile The Trend was shut down because I couldn't get videos to load. Once I had shot them, clicking on the publish bar would make them disappear into the great beyond. We're over that now, and we're back to work!
Today we have to throw out some bad analysis and take a look at the new stuff, and open our minds a bit. The most important thing we cover is protecting ourselves from bad ideas! Use your stop-limits, and if you're privy to it, use stop-buy's as well!
Until Next time!
Nuke
BTC Trend TestI'm just going to leave this here. Nothing new to add... I'm just leaving i there so we can see how wrong I am.
I projected an area where we will test the trend line -- I project that as the "test of support" ... I also projecft the 10.9 to 11.4 channel will be where we trade for awhile, and we will test my area for support in order to break through this channel on the long term.
The Trend: EP6 -- HoDL'N & Diversify'NHowdy Yall!
Today's episode is special in that its the first time we talk about any other asset other than BTC! We go over LSK and XLM in the short term, and we talk about the medium term for BTC. We do take a few moments to talk about short term trades with BTC; and how we should plan our attack for that. I'm not convinced today looks like a promising day for that type of trade.
Anyway, let me know what you think, and feel free to "Make it mine" on the charts!
The Trend: EP5 - Recycling saves CoinsHowdy Yall,
On this episode of The Trend I got started before doing any kind of study. This is a quick look at how I will make my first chart of the day. This is how I get going. This is the chart I mock-up and start to drive "idea's" off of. From there I look for trades. I write down my crazy idea's...and sometimes - especially when I really want to put a trade through - I'll trash it and draw it again. This is very helpful, it gives more ideas, and furthermore it will help you in your quest to toss out emotion.
A key idea, is drawing yourself a bearish chart as well. I recognize this is tougher to do if you're holding coins. However there can be nothing more important than giving yourself the chance to look at the opposing view. Draw it up with the absolute belief its going down. Look at that supporting evidence. How does that compare to the other charts you've built?
I would love to see some of your charts guys. I appreciate all of the kind words, and compliments you all have paid me up to now. I enjoy being a part of this great community, and you all are the reason why!
The Trend: EP4 -- Boring OpportunitiesHowdy Yall!
Today's episode (Episode 4) of The Trend is a two chart special! We take a look at multiple time scales, and issue ideas for short, medium, and slightly longer term trades. Furthermore we take a look at the long term phase change and discuss the possibility of us having undergone an important shift in market behavior. A potential Wyckoff phase change (Wyckoff event) . We are in a great time for new Bitcoin heads to prepare their accumulation strategies. I am long , and I think you should be too. I recommend buying here, but don't go all in!
Why not go all in?
We are missing a single point of the accumulation cycle test. That is a secondary test from the local low. We have not done that. I think we need to reach back down to support at some point in time. When? No idea. It could be coming with any of these moves towards resistance. In all likelihood we will not test support to the same extreme as before. This secondary test may not penetrate the 8,000 level. That is acceptable. If we test, we will reach to a trend level, whether its a 2017 trend or its just the local trend off the automatic rally, it doesn't really matter. We just need a retest. This retest/secondary test (presence or lack thereof) is not a show stopper. I have seen plenty of rally's, especially in the crypto-verse take place without having a secondary test of the absolute bottom. We do have secondary tests of the selling climax. That can be good enough for a phase change.
Entering the Accumulation Cycle
When an asset enters this cycle it's vital to have a long term plan, and long term discipline. I recommend buys here with the intent to hold long term. Typically coming off the bottom you don't get very many good chances to buy, as the term is sideways at a support level just above the bottom. That should look familiar to all of us, as we are there right now. Typically you can expect two trading ranges before supply becomes exhausted and we get high result for low effort (and the beginning of the markup). If we do indeed get our secondary test, you're going to want to have some spare change in your wallet to make another buy! So make sure you are laddering/dollar cost averaging/portfolio balancing your purchases throughout this cycle. It could well be a very long cycle. Prepare yourselves!
Make 'em coins!!
LSK -- A Buy while ConsolidatingHi readers,
I wanted to take a look at LSK before the 20th -- when its set to blow up (The 1.0/Rebranding/RE-Release). This will create a lot of hoop-la. I'm rather certain we will see some liftoff before hand, and I imagine the day of we'll see some crazy volatility -- making having the asset in hand great if you're ready to trade quickly.
Right now we can see the LSK market consolidating. Certainly some of this is the fault of action in BTC. Being as my analysis in The Trend has us Bullish on BTC, the correlation of the two coins has been positive, with LSK usually outpacing it on its moves. That sure sounds like the makings of an explosive move for LSK in the coming week.
I recommend you find a good buy-in and execute on it. Naturally I have highlighted the 23% fib as a good buy. I don't know that you'll get a good chance below that. I recommend taking this chart and "Making it mine" to see if you agree. I'm confident you will, with very little research on this one.
The Trend: EP3 -- Trading TimescalesHowdy Yall!
We're back with another episode of The Trend! Today we're going to talk multiple timescales, and the different ides we have for trading BTC. We're going to look at key areas where we can formulate orders, and prepare ourselves for the move we've been waiting for!
Shout-out to the community! Thank you for bringing our little video-channel to the Top Author Spot! I take that as a huge compliment, and I recognize the responsibility to put out better and better content just got bigger!
Thank you again!
The Trend: EP2 -- Managing Ourselves - Chart 1Be weary of the current state
I'm creating this chart to help remind us of the current state. We are low volume. Volume is decreasing. We are entering an area where we have to both challenge resistances, a pivot, and a long term trend isn't far above either of these places. This is where volume must pickup - or we see what a hammer affect is (I don't want to see a hammer effect). Keep an eye on the volume. We have seen this play out before...multiple times. If you choose to "Make it Mine" You will can go back and find more examples of the pattern I'm showing you. They have so far in 2018 all lead to falls.
Try to ignore the "head and shoulders" crowd today. You will see that there are 2 different head and shoulders formations. On the shorter timescales you'll see a bearish H&S. On the longer timescale, the right shoulder is nearly finished on an inverted H&S which is bullish. All this does is add to the confusion. All this should do is add to your discipline , and trigger your use of orders to protect your stack.
To "make it mine" and share back charts, or discuss these patterns with me - above this write-up is a "share" button. Its 2 lines with 3 dots. If you click the share button (to the left of the thumbs up) a new subwindow will open. From here choose the blue "Make it mine" button, and you will have a copy of this chart. Please, share it back. Seeing a tweaked version of my chart today - showing me you guys are working through this stuff - would be the biggest compliment of the day!
Regards!
The Trend: EP2 -- Managing OurselvesWelcome back yall!
Today on The Trend we talk about the unknown direction of BTC. It's a challenge to call a move upward, or downward with long term trends crashing one another. What usually gives it away? VOLUME . There is no volume in sight. We have to wait untill we see some volume to have conviction in the next move. Later today - or possibly tomorrow we're going to create one of the most important pivots we've had since the 15-17k retests.
These are the times we have to manage ourselves. These are the times we have to have the discipline to set stop-limit's and protect ourselves from price-action that could empty our wallets. This is not the time to get hopped up on a new indicator, and think we know whats going to happen in a market which is running so cold, for so long, with little volume. Lets take some solace in what we DO know :
There is a giant sum of money on the sideline
There is a ton of capital in Alts which left BTC earlier this month - ripe to come back
The mining difficulty has not gone down, indicating sentiment that BTC is not dying
Talk, chatter, and new analysts are picking up BTC daily! This is not a market losing favor!
Now some last minute things. Last night I had a moderator who was nice enough to point out that I don't need to create a second idea for you to "Make it mine" on my chart! Apparently that works on the video too! So if you want to steal the chart from this video and muck it up yourself, simply click the "share" button on the bottom right of the video, and choose "Make it Mine" on the window which pulls up afterwards. If you have questions, challenges, or ideas you want to show off relating to this episode of The Trend I would like to encourage you use that feature.
I appreciate everyones support, and thank you for all the kind reviews so far!
The Trend: EP1 -- Chart 1Howdy!!
This chart is from the new series The Trend and is taken straight from the end of the video.
Click on the share button and choose "Make it mine".
I'd love to see you "Make it mine" and show me what type of trade you want to do, or show me what you think is going to happen.
I look forward to your comments!
Make some money yall!