Thoughts
GBPUSD
This pair is pushing down currently towards a level of structure that has been tested multiple times. The Monthly Support Zone(brown) is likely to provide some type of bounce out of this market. Because of that, this is an area that I will be looking at for possible long opportunities when price gets to this zone throughout this week.
Monthly Support Zone- (1.14070-1.21580)
The Market's Manipulation The market always has a game plan but the main aim of the market is to make you buy at the highest point possible. While the people who predict things get rewarded. The later you buy, the more that the people who invested at the bottom earn.
The MAIN AIM IS TO MAKE YOU BUY HIGHER!
The whales use your money by printing a picture for a massive buy signal for you at the highest point they can. They do this through many things such as Youtube, Twitter, RSI, MACD and loads more...
They might drop it to give you a massive sell signal, then pump it to your stop-loss and finally dump it back down again.
The whales can print buy signals wherever you go. They can print sell signals wherever you go. All through their power gained from capital. If used correctly, whales can change the position of many of the highest used indicators. Such as MACD or RSI. To change your mindset on the market.
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My thoughts on this market:
The market thoughts were the same when we hit the bottom at 3.5k.
We hit the bottom and people were thinking we were going lower. As we extended sideways, people thought we were still going down. Until nearly everyone thought we would go further down. We then pumped up, some people switched and thought we already hit the bottom. Some still thought we were going to dump to 1k.
As we slowly went up and more and more people thought we had hit the bottom increased. The fewer people who had not brought more bitcoin. When we hit the top, this was only the whales running out of people to get to buy.
The whales ran out of fuel and we had to slowly come down once again for accumulation.
However, the cycle of manipulation repeats itself but it the opposite way.
Right now, we are at an extremely critical point. A point with humungous support. Even when the facts are given to them by analysts on tradingview, youtube, and even twitter. They still deny that we will go up. Even though when given the facts. Deny the obvious. So when we do go up once again and we do start to rally up once again you will buy HIGHER!
Enjoy your day.
01010111 01100101 00100000 01101000 01100001 01110110 01100101 00100000 01101000 01101001 01110100 00100000 01110100 01101000 01100101 00100000 01100010 01101111 01110100 01110100 01101111 01101101 00101110.
Whale moves 48k BTC and further outlook!Dear fellow readers!
I am fundamental very, very positive regarding BTCs future, but since only time will tell, currently it is not looking very good on the market. At least the funding rate switched from positive to negative, so shorts are finally paying longs now. We have a decent support volume around 6.4k as the VPVR displays. As you can see, the 38.2% fib. ret. level from 2017 almost aligns with the VPVR. So if this key level does not hold, we will see BTC dropping and hopefully bouncing from the 61.8% golden pocket from this years pump, recover and finally head into a new bull market. I am looking forward to the end of December, when the new mining equipment will hopefully already be delivered, up and running. Maybe this will change the outlook to a more positive side.
I don’t know if you have heard/ read about the recent 47k BTC on the move again?
Does not matter, now you know, after digging deeper into this recent discovery, I figured out the origin address ( 1EfBMK9q6rGFZazeF7jyNdTgqGYgcDgRE5 ) in case you want to have a look yourself. This whale actually accumulated during the time span from end of March to end of August 2016. All in all around 48.5k BTC worth around 27.904 million USD at that time has been accumulated, which on an average has been a price of 575 USD per BTC. Now it seems, that this whale is slowly and constantly taking profits, since around September 2017 in the middle of the parabolic run to 20k / BTC.
Be prepared, it seems that this large amount will get sold over time and I could guess, that this whale is not the only one selling.
I am still investigating these addresses, because it is very interesting and you can learn a lot from it. Around 2.5k BTC have already been sold and the rest is split up between different wallets, the biggest counting 44k BTC and moved today. I’ll keep you updated!
Thanks for reading, If you are not conform with anything I write, just drop a comment and feel free to start a discussion, I do not want my readers to believe all
I am writing is fixed on stone, I just try to have a view on the big picture and if I am maybe missing anything, I would be glad to take this piece of information also into consideration.
Keep up educating yourself, take your finances in your own hand, short the bankers and long BTC!
I will keep you updated regarding further research
Cheers
I'm not a professional market analyst nor am I a professional trader and this shall definitely not be of any financial advice.
Do your own research and try to understand the fundamentals regarding any investment you take into consideration.
The websites and projects “advertised” are not mine, nor am I in any marketing or affiliate relationship with them.
Personally I am invested into this project, so of course I am biased, that is why I tell you to get educated and do not just put money in anything,
because somebody on the internet is writing good about it, scrutinise critically and if you are more than confident, do whatever you want for your good.
TRUMP, BREXIT, CAPITALISM and ANCIENT ROME.Trump, Brexit, Capitalism and Ancient Rome. We’ve been there before.
It is In the light of the Trump's impeachment looming and the Brexit can being kicked further down the road that I wanted to reflect on the reasons behind the two massive 2016 events and the parallels I am seeing with Ancient Rome. The idea behind this article is that although history does not repeat itself, it does run in certain patterns.
The modern West the way we know it today, with the labor laws, human rights and liberal democratic capitalism formed as a system after WW1, or, rather after the 1917 October Revolution in Russia, which scared the rest of Europe into action. It is usually noted that the changes that were brought up were made for the working class, which is true, but in part only.
The key target of the reforms was the emerging middle class as a designed counterweight to the young Soviet proletariat project. The reason for it is that any system needs people who are interested in it for it to survive. It was the middle-class shop owner, rentier, skilled laborers, who needed the democracy, rights, the Republic, and relatively free markets too.
The case was further emphasized after WW2 when the Soviets became a symbol of a completely different alternative system, that posed mortal threat to the West and Capitalism.
With the collapse of the USSR, however, we've reached «the end of history». Capitalism, liberal democracy and all that accompanies these ideas has won. There was one global system only.
And as was the case with Ancient Rome, as soon as they defeated Carthage, the long-standing mortal enemy, a rival City that could bring to an end the entire Roman civilization, Rome immediately turned onto itself. Just as the immune system attacks its own body in the absence of external malicious substances.
Rome turned onto itself, slowly, already the strongest unrivaled force in the region, but not yet a ruler of the whole Mediterranean. As Rome grew, so did the riches of the Rich, not constrained by Rome or Italy, for both enrichment and sources of power anymore, no longer waking up at night to the nightmare of the Hannibal's hoards streaming down the slopes of the Alps.
After the last King left Rome for good, The Veii, The Samnites, The Latins and then the Great Carthage were all strong enough to put Rome to an end. So the social cohesion was strong, as any Roman identified itself with Rome in the first place, his class interest coming second.
However, after the True mortal threat was gone, the metamorphosis in the elite-people relations spilled out in the open with the Social war of the Italian cities, fighting for the same rights as the Roman citizens. The demands, that were reasonable at the very least, as the Italian cities were populated by the Romans in all but name, supplied soldiers to the armies of Rome, yet were getting increasingly smaller parts of the spoils. These demands were rejected by the Senate, fearing an influx of the Novus homo(new people) to the political scene, possibly targeting their rights as nobles, challenging their seats in the Senate.
Then, with the Gracchi Brothers, disturbing Rome for at least a generation in their fight against the oligarchs. Followed by Marius and Sulla years of Struggle, ending with the Death of the Republic at the hands of Caesar and Augustus.
The state of the Republic before its collapse was remarkably similar to the one of the modern West, but nowhere so striking as in the USA and the UK, the two empires, that styled themselves after Rome in one way or the other.
In the days of Caesar, All the land in Italy and outside of it was concentrated in the hands of the few wealthy families, the fields were worked by the hundreds of thousands of the slave hands. The deposed farmers and laborers all flocked to the cities, filing brothels, gangs, and armies of beggars, which ultimately lead to the grain dole being the cornerstone of the late republican and then imperial policy.
Julius Caesar, an impoverished noble, came to prominence opposing his class, pushing for the land reforms, which ultimately resulted in the Senate eager to prosecute him, which as we all know led to the legendary crossing of the Rubicon and the consequent death of the 500-year-old republic.
As I mentioned above, Any system lives only as long as there are enough people interested in its existence. Republics and democracies require an extensive middle class of small property owners(small farmers in the case of Rome) and secondly, large swaths of wealth to be distributed evenly among the elite.
If 50% of all the land belongs to a 1000 nobles, they need a Senate to settle the disputes among themselves and also, they, though reluctantly, need the consent of the other 50% of the owners.
That is the recipe for Democracy and the Republic.
By the time of Caesar, 80% of all the land was in the hands of just a few families, the remaining 10% in other impoverished noble's hands and the remaining 10% belonged to the remaining middle-class farmers.
Neither the 80% nobles nor the poor, the proletariat, ex-middle class, outcompeted by the free slave labor and colonial goods, needed the Republic. It did not serve them anymore.There were not enough people who were interested in its existence. And the Republic fell.
It weathered the Veii, the Gauls, the Samnites, and the Latins, it weathered Carthage, the Macedonian and the Syrian wars. It fell after there was no enemy left to fight.It fought and consumed itself.
I am not here to say that the election of Trump and Brexit vote are in any way comparable to the fall of the Roman Republic. We are not there yet.
However, I can not help but notice the striking similarities between the Late Republic and the modern-day West.
The West fell in love with neoliberalism in the mid-80s. We opened up markets, we deregulated. Which is good. Free markets and capitalism are the ultimate wealth creators.
But we also opened up the borders for migrants. We had electricity prices 3-4 times the ones of China. We had environmental and other regulations kill businesses in droves, driving the survivors out of the West. No one was ready for that.
In the UK we saw both major parties, the Tories and the Labour turning from serving the different parts of the now dying middle class to the one serving the ultra-rich and the other serving the ultra-poor.
In the US, the Dem party saw that the mass uncontrolled migration turned sanctuary cities, red and purple states- blue and the Republicans were hypnotized by the neoliberal mantra, also being busy bombing godforsaken deserts thousands of miles away from the US.
Small farmers died out and were bought up by large estates, migrants turned sleepy peaceful cities across America into the War Zones.
The middle class, slowly dying under the simultaneous assault of the sudden globalization and migrants driving down wages, destroying communities, was constantly bombarded with allegations of racism, fascism, white privilege, homophobia, islamophobia, and many other phobias , by the smirking intellectual coastal financial, media and political elites of the Bay Area, Manhattan and the DC In the US and Southern England/London mansion dwelling Westminster M25 bound elite in the UK.
The elite, that felt that they were smart enough to make the decisions, the brunt of which they were never to bear.They had good jobs, unavailable for migrants, they had private schools, free of the latter, and they did not need any border walls, for their estates were behind the walls anyhow. Migrants mowed their lawns, served their coffee and took out the trash.
They got emboldened by the fall of the Soviet Union in the same way the elites of Rome got emboldened by the defeat of Carthage.
The middle class that was to be a counterweight to the Soviet system was no longer needed, so they were to tax it out of the existence. Tax and regulate the businesses that supported the middle class out of the existence too, substituting them with cheap migrants and overseas labor to take away any bargaining power they had left.
The vote for Trump and Brexit was a massive middle finger to Washington, Hollywood, New-York, Westminster and Brussels. The people of the Leave and Trump didn’t care about the consequences, even if there were to be any. They just told the arrogant elites to “go and love themselves”.
The Trump/Brexit voters were the same people who supported the Gracchi Brothers and cheered Marius And the Popularies.
Now, we are still quite far away from the Caesar/Augustus moment in the West, but we are already close to the Gracchi Brothers moment. However, contrary to the popular mythology, the Era of Emperors in Rome, despite the good optics and splendor and the aura of glory did not benefit anyone, neither the common men nor the elites. So instead of the hysteria about Trump and Brexit that we were all unfortunate enough to be involuntary witnesses to, conclusions are to be made. Yet, with the Calls for the impeachment, Brexit revocation, the further EU federalization and yet even louder calls for the open borders, UBI, slavery reparations, More regulations, the Green new deals of all sorts and other fancy words, that are in reality a mere epitaph of the Middle Class yet be carved on it’s tombstone, if any of that to be enacted, hopes are low.
As I already mentioned, it was the lack of a potent enemy, rather than the existence of one, that killed the republic. In the light of the reaction of the elites to the events observed in this article, the hopes are low, but the salvation of the West might come in a form of a common enemy in the face of China.
If that is not to be the case, the West is bound to consume itself.Alas, unlike Rome, I can't see a shining empire coming out of the flames of the old Republic, metaphorically speaking.
The end.
PS:that is a grotesque exaggeration for a stronger dramatic effect, yet the concerns raised in this article do deserve a good discussion. Which I encourage you to produce in the comment section.
Please, do share and comment. I would appreciate your take on the issue. Let me know if you think my analogies are accurate.
Spitting Thoughts - Levels are too obvious #AUDUSDIf you are reasonably an experience chartist and there is a LOUD and OBVIOUS level (respected level), chances are that we as a retail trader would trade it according to what history showed us. The history showed that price respected the level and went the other way (did not break it).
I am no conspiracy theorist, but logic states, since 90% of retail traders lose money, then why would you trade what the other retail traders see? I admit, I myself loves levels like those, it's a chance to trade reversals. Now, I don't think I regard myself as a reversal trader as I tend to ride the trend but I also hate level breakout trades.
What I tend to do moments like these, though as you probably read in my other posts I tend to mistime my entry or missed my entry, I wait for the respected (AND LOUD) levels (minimum twice in the past) to be broken and then I will look for a "reversal" signal.
AUD/USD bullish or bearish?Hi, I’m very new to this and still learning so any feedback is accepted.
Do you think this is a potential bullish or bearish pattern?
I personally think it’s going to come back to the support line, (previously a resistance line) and bounce to the resistance at the top of the channel.
Please please comment let me know your ideas or if I’m doing something wrong/correct.
The Government F#cks You Without You Even Knowing!You can see our purple arrows point out where price has been used as resistance and orange arrow are where price has been used as support.... it really is that simple!
If you can find these levels on a chart you WILL make money in the market... if not then there really is no hope!
The big boys and the government have purposely put information out there to make people believe that trading is hard just to put people off and keep them in line and in the system so they don't make money, because if everyone was rich they wouldn't be able to make money out of us.... they want us to get a dead end job and a mortgage so we are trapped and they are always making money off us to fill there pockets and power there mega yachts..... BREAK OUT THE SYSTEM YOU ARE STUCK IN!!!
The school system is set up so we fail, teaching us stuff we don't really need, telling us that if we go to university we will be better off... but most students come out of university thousands in debt and end up working in McDonalds... work that 1 out.
Then there are so many fake ass traders out there on social media flashing money, cars and houses about saying they got all them from trading forex.... the idiots couldn't even trade Pokemon cards, these idiots are probably put out there by the brokers in order to get people to join, deposit money and then loose it all because the MILLIONAIRE FOREX TRADER they believed is just some idiot who lives in his mums basement, And now the broker is sitting back counting your money.
Anyway the moral of the story is..... Find these levels on the chart and don't believe everything you see and read....... RANT OVER :p
GBPJPY Journal 12-5-18So GJ is nearing a very strong buyer reversal zone at the moment, if you look on the 4h and D timeframes, you can see that the past couple of times price was here it sky rocketed some massive amount of pips. But something else that may be very valuable to keep in mind while looking for any buys is that the price action for GJ on the Daily really indicates that we could possibly break below that zone and fall another 400 pips. Currently I am not looking to get into this market, I will place a buy limit right at the fibonacci extension to possibly catch a few pips to the upside. But, ultimately we are nearing a very critical zone, that has showed us buyer potential in the past, but recent price action says we can break below and head down further
Po.Ethit first test on the monthly, it might try again but i think it will stay in accumilation zone (blue) with maybe a bounce from the montly low.
BTC Warpath in the Coming Days! Breaking $6700 or failureHi Team,
I am back. Been dealing with personal family health issues :) But glad to be involved into the crypto community that has opened a world of opportunity for me. Looking forward to listening to all of your feed back and thoughts on the market!
Hope you all are well and Happy Hunting!
Reg
BTC mid 6000s stil in playThis is the same chart as published previously and I believe mid 6000s could still be in play. Just a slightly longer timeline than originally proposed. June 6th is over and we did not double bottom....yet.
Will it play out? Let's find out! What are your thoughts?
Not intended to be financial or psychological advice.
Let's talk about cryptocurrency. What it is, where it's going.Hello all, dsap here, I go to this site everyday and read many articles and ideas published by crypto enthusiasts and traders. There are so many points of view and people tend to bicker back and forth about non points, especially in the comments section. I think technical analysis is a fun guessing game but nothing more. I do not wish to become a day trader and I do not think the rewards are worth the effort. I have made quite a bit of money in a short time doing very few trades and I plan to keep doing so. This has motivated me to start writing about what I have learned about cryptocurrency over the last few years and why following the larger ideas and movements in crypto can reduce your risk to the everyday volatility that plagues the day trading "gambler". Are there people who will win big and claim they knew what they were doing all along? Of course there are but that's not my focus and if you think you have found someone like that, by all means, keep following their advice. My analysis of the situation will not claim to be technical or tell you what indicators to look out for but rather give you insight into the inner workings of what you are buying and selling when you trade crypto. I think this understanding is way more relevant to making the decision to pull the trigger on a buy or sell than which way the price will swing tomorrow or next month. Once you understand what crypto currency is, where it is headed, and what it is not, the immediate price starts to matter less and less. The direction the technology is headed in and the forces behind the different projects affect my decisions way more than price fluctuations do.
With that introduction out of the way I would like to start my main topic: blockchain technology. You hear the buzzword blockchain thrown around a lot, but what does it really mean and why is it relevant to bitcoin or to your trading decisions? You will hear financial experts and bankers talk on the news about how they are unsure about bitcoin but they see blockchain as a very promising technology. From what I can tell they are trying to separate what makes bitcoin from bitcoin and squeeze out whatever value might be there. I'll let you in on a little secret, the exciting thing about bitcoin isn't blockchain technology. The experts are either lying through their teeth or ignorant of the truth in front of them, either way, the exciting thing about bitcoin is it's DECENTRALIZED IMPLEMENTATION OF A BLOCKCHAIN. I write that in all caps because it is very important and because most private companies experimenting with blockchains are in essence building intranets and claiming them to be as valuable as the internet itself. If you are unsure what I'm talking about, back when the internet was younger companies built their own internal networks thinking this TCP/IP infrastructure of networked computers would make them rich. It was only the companies who turned their model outwards to the internet who were successful. You don't hear people shouting today "what a wonderful world we have built on TPC/IP implementation and closed networks". You only hear about the internet. This is also true of cryptocurrency. The true innovation isn't the blockchain. The true innovation is the blockchain being used in a decentralized manner. So cryptocurrencies and projects that rely on and open and decentralized platform are the real deal while things like ripple have yet to become anything more than an internal company network. Can the internal company network be useful? Sure it can. Does it fit my idea of what a true cryptocurrency is just because it uses blockchain technology? Not really. Just like blu-ray disks intermittent technologies will have their short day in the sun and then be replaced by the better alternative once they become obsolete, and they already are by design. No one touts the advancements of fiber weaving technology and asks you to invest heavily in this idea. They buy shares of clothing companies.