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Timeatmode

Update to Dow Jones Industrials Time At Mode Back in 2015 I had published a chart with annual data for the Dow Jones Industrials. I will provide a link at the bottom. The research for this patterning is something I did myself by hand using pencil and paper back in the 1980's. These patterns show up in all time frames. There is plenty of room to enhance the research on this technique and a group of us gather in the chat rooms here at TradingView to discuss new trades that set up and point out when trades expire. Notice how these two grey boxes (which are both 50% drops in price) that expand wider in time from the 1960's to the 1980's and the 2000-2010's had a multi-year trend, followed by a monster crash (1987 was 40% and 2000 was 37%) and then just two+ years later there was a secondary bear market of 20% in 1990 and 22% in 2022. Keep in mind this is just for the DJ:DJI and not the Nasdaq Composite or S&P500 which were greater corrections. The 11-year time frame of the 1999-2011 pattern allows for an 11-year rally from 2012 (which was year 1 of the 11-year rally) shows that time expired. As you can see from the 1943-1962 trend, a smaller 5-year mode formed at the end of the 20 year trend and then the market peaked in 1972-1973 when time expired for the second, smaller mode. I had to reconstruct this chart after the data for the previous chart changed symbol. See the link below to see the original. I look forward to your additional research onto this pattern and its implications to the idea that we are in a similar period to 1993-1994 with rally years of 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2000 ahead of us. All the best, Tim October 19, 2024 3:31PM EST
Editors' picks
TVC:DJI
by timwest
14
$INTC: If there was a time to buy, it is nowYou heard it here first, Intel has finally bottomed long term and it's about to rip from here...A beneficiary of the recent trend of deglobalization/reshoring, and the inflation reduction act, $INTC had been battered and bruised for ages since it peaked back in early 2020, underperforming basically everything since then. Valuation has reached extremely low levels and people were questioning the sanity of the CEO buying shares and making religious remarks about the fate of the company (pretty much praying for the company to do well recently). Very hated name, and it finally looks like the pain is over. Everyone who was holding it for years has capitulated, and the stock ran out of sellers down here. Any slight positive news and buy pressure will make it lift tremendously, specially as people on the sidelines jump in. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by IvanLabrie
4
$BTCUSD: Corrective actionPrice still choppy and weak, similar to my estimate based on Q1 2016's correction. It's a good idea to get paid to wait, you could try selling call options or perhaps utilizing more advanced option strategies that profit from sideways action, or maybe even using Uniswap's AMM to get paid to provide liquidity while chopping sideways/down. Raise cash and stake/lend or, just wait this one out. Sentiment got overheated 1 day before the ETF approval and now we pay the price, need to wait for sentiment to reset, which will happen with a big enough decline to shake out late longs who remain confident in loss, which means odds of continuation down are high (last signal I had from my reliable contras was on Friday, price has been weak since, and now we have a new daily down trend extending downside duration and depth). Best of luck!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by IvanLabrie
2
$META: interesting long setupVery nice setup forming here in $META, if it takes out last week's highs I think it can gain traction and likely do very well during Q1 2023 next. It's been basing and holding up with relative strength vs the broad market, which is a good sign, and also might benefit from a potential TikTok ban, as mostly $META and $SNAP control social networks used by Gen Z for the most part. Just a wild card, but interesting nevertheless. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:METALong
by IvanLabrie
2
$META: bull market continues...Nice weekly trend in $META here...As Zuck's leadership continues to impress shareholders finally addressing the excess fat that needed to be shed, the company is well positioned to monetize the growth in Emerging Markets (India, with reshoring, Mexico...) that are heavy users of Whatsapp and would be a boost to revenues from monetization over time, while the Reality Labs call option gives it unknown but potentially huge upside long term. I liked the valuation at the bottom and I like the way things are shaping up on the way up, let's see how it goes. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:METALong
by IvanLabrie
$INDY: Update - Buy signal in monthly scale here...🚨🚨🚨 If you are not exposed to India, now is a good time to join. 📢 Train is leaving the station here, monthly suggests immediate upside in the order of 8-10% in the coming quarter, which will likely trigger a breakout away from the long term consolidation here, to trace my expected path long term... This can be the beginning of a huge long term advance, quarterly chart is very close to triggering a trend signal, so the reward to risk in this idea could be astronomical. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:INDYLong
by IvanLabrie
3
$TOTAL: Total Crypto Market CapLong term trend has turned bullish in the Total Crypto Market Cap chart... I had been waiting for this possibility since last month we had the bullish reversal in monthly scale, warning of the start of a bullish cycle in crypto once again.🎯🎯🎯 This is a great time to follow me here and on X as well as my other channels available. As you know, I have a solid track record of capturing powerful trends in crypto as well as many other good calls in other markets. But crypto takes the crown when it comes to risk adjusted returns in the long term. Specially when considering that this chart is saying that the crypto market can expand from 1.32 Trillion to between 4.8 and 19.55 Trillion by Q1 2025 onwards.🤪 The CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL chart is a good reminder to start allocating more heavily to this market, and being ready to pounce when opportunities show up. Best of luck!🤞🧧 Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by IvanLabrie
2
$TSLA: Long term consolidation nextToday I decided to update my long term chart for Tesla Motors. NASDAQ:TSLA is one stock that has done really well with Time@Mode signals, basically in every timeframe, for as long as I've been following it (since @timwest introduced me to it in 2015) The quarterly uptrend expired end of June this year, which suggests that price action will be choppy for approximately 15 quarters in a row. Until then, it's probably ok to hold, if you don't have anything better to do with the funds invested in the stock and are ok with the opportunity cost. Personally, I hold no exposure to it and don't plan on it until we have long term clarity again. I did a mode to mode projection for the next long term target in the stock, the last time I did this I got an approximated target of something between $118 and $336. You can see my old long term forecast in related ideas below. Currently, I can estimate that price can eventually reach the vicinity of $3280 to $4100. I'm confident in it getting there over time, but it can take a long wait, maybe by Q4 2026 to get the next trend signal, which will precede the start of steady acceleration to the upside. Best of luck if you're a shareholder, and if you're not stay tuned for the next long term bullish signal in the stock, I'll be sure to catch it and share it with my clients. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by IvanLabrie
ZM: Zoom has officially topped...Short it.I'm short $ZM since earlier today, I believe it has peaked here. Investors are likely to take profits now that competition has increased dramatically for them. They thrived when the world was locked down due to the threat of COVID-19, but now that vaccines will be widely available and distributed globally very soon, holding shares has become extremely risky. I'd urge everyone holding to sell and buy something oversold with proceeds...If interested in knowing what to buy now, contact me. A short here has very low risk, I think it can last for a long time falling, so do your own due diligence with sizing to not risk more than 1-2% if it goes against you by 3 average ranges. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:ZMShort
by IvanLabrie
4
SSRM: Interesting valuation and chartSSR Mining has a very interesting setup here, both a quarterly and also a daily signal warrant a long entry here. If the quarterly signal pans out, initially we'd target $16.50 by Q4 2020, but eventually, this could make price trigger further quarterly confirmation for bulls, potentially pushing price to even higher levels, circa 28.31. Free cash flow is an important metric in the mining business, and in the case of $SSRM, it is at a very healthy levels relative to the market cap. This allows them to have sufficient leeway to pay workers (and avoid the problems with the work force South African miners had recently, for instance), expand into new projects and maintain their currently exploited mines, among others. Going back to the technicals at play, the current correction in the daily timeframe and reaction to quarterly support paves the way for a very high reward to risk long trade. There's a few different ways to decide on a stop loss distance and position sizing, but in general, for equities I try to give them enough room for the trade idea to pan out favorably, before being forced to bail on a trade or being stopped out prematurely. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:SSRMLong
by IvanLabrie
$ANET: Arista looks 'excellent' indeedJust as the greek word, the chart here looks excellent...There's both a daily and a monthly uptrend signal active, which gives this stock tremendous reward to risk potential long term. I am not a huge fan of the valuation, so I was skeptical to get involved but perhaps I am missing something regarding fundamental catalysts for the stock going forward, perhaps related to the boost to demand for their products from the AI large language model war. Companies might scramble to get the required infrastructure to run their algorithms on? Chart wise, the setup is perfect and predicts a steady trend if price stays above $119 where the monthly trend would be invalidated. The daily predicts immediate upside within the next 10 business days. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:ANETLong
by IvanLabrie
RDY: Top candidate to go long indian shares...$RDY has a very strong monthly trend that is currently active, and also a strong daily chart, showing a trend is now active. We can go long risking a fall under the red line on chart, if aggressive, following the daily signal but aiming to capture the monthly trend as well. This would be a huge reward to risk position if it were to pan out favorably for us. I see the $INRUSD chart as significantly strong, and similar to the period from 2016 to 2018, and $RDY has a good valuation here, as well as substantial growth potential going forward. Free cash flow yield is 7.93%, EPS growth is positive in the last quarter and in the last year, and they are not too indebted, the company certainly has good liquidity and sales are steadily albeit modetly growing. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:RDYLong
by IvanLabrie
Crypto capitulation eventThis is the capitulation event for crypto that I was waiting for. My previous Bitcoin idea and target are still valid, anyone long right now is going to get wiped out by the crash of Binance coin. I’m currently short. I also shorted Bitcoin and sold most of my alts here. If wrong then I will buy back higher on bullish structures. Even with the massive pump Bitcoin had here, Binance coin wasn’t able to invalidate the bearish structure. Absolutely terrible performance. Binance is still being sued, BNB is being artificially pumped by “someone’s” creative syphoning of client money. “Allegedly”. This pump was extremely profitable for me on my alts, an absolute lifesaver of a hedge. Sold most, will use profits to buy lower.
BINANCE:BNBUSDShort
by JaimeDeRothschild
Altcoins: Monthly down trend spotted...Pain isn't over in crypto, and Altcoins excluding Ethereum and Bitcoin look about to fall off a cliff here in the monthly timeframe... I would suggest to take it easy with crypto positioning, perhaps best to sit this one out in USD at a safe CEX and stake it (say Kraken) for a while. While recently Ripple has been doing well, it isn't immune to these flash crashes that have been occurring with news like the fund cashing out or the old coins whales moving coins around to dump stuff held since 2013. Until this cycle of bad news after bad news is over more downside is possible here. To make things worse, crypto performance has 'decoupled' from stocks, but in a bad way, having recently acted more like Gold following the aftermath of the banking crisis that culminated in NASDAQ:SIVB 's untimely death. It's gotten even worse as it now has random price action totally divorced from either Gold or Stocks, and has random crashes as a result of bad news that constantly assault this market. Stay safe out there! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Short
by IvanLabrie
2