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BTCUSD: If bullish...We should see price break above the red box on chart, and eventually progress towards the 13900 zone within a couple weeks, as shown on chart. The bears are strong and have been shorting constantly at every resistance levels but they ran into very strong long term buying here, and with the state of sentiment with everyone, experts, traders, noobs, and haters all considering BTC's bull case dead, and lower prices to come, I'm inclined to be long here. The support zone that happened to hold makes me think we might have seen the lowest low we will ever see, from here onwards, and even if consolidating in a sideways bear market, we would not go lower again. Probably forming a consolidation pattern for longer until long term buyers accumulate enough for the next leg up. This might take a long time, which would be even better for the health of the long term bull market. For inspiration I copied a few patterns from other markets, like $FB and $AMZN, which had similar corrections during 2015, until 2016, you can see the results below as a bonus. s3.amazonaws.com Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
85
XAUUSD: Monthly uptrend started, key levels to watchMonthly gold -0.79% paints a very interesting picture here. The daily and weekly show next week is a decisive week, as there is a chance of breaking a key resistance level that might further validate this uptrend thesis, as gold -0.79% breaks free of its shackles containing it since the top in July 2016. Positioning is very bullish , as no one is long, and there no inflows into gold -0.79% miners yet. As soon as money starts pouring in, it will help accelerate up. Hopefully the ride up is not too bumpy, but if it is, we can always profit from the short term volatility by playing both swing and long term positions simultaneously in our gold -0.79% miner shares, and CFD/Futures positions. I will only play the long side until we hit 1554-1916.35 and monthly time runs out, but, will be monitoring for opportunities to take add on trades, and bank said trades to reload on subsequent dips, which are likely to manifest themselves if more traders join the fray. Best of luck, Ivan.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
16
BTCUSD: Repeating July's blood bath?I wanted to point out this pattern, it seems we are repeating the July correction in $BTCUSD. I'm long with margin from $870 in $ETHUSD, and also holding my altcoin portfolio, awaiting higher highs in it. I'm not as confident on higher highs for $BTCUSD though, but will be glad to be proven wrong if that's the case. For now, what is clear is that we fell hard enough to spook new longs out and the smart money scooped all available supply at the bottom. Interestingly, right on time for futures expirations. It might not be connected at all, but people are focusing on this at least. The other factor is the talk of joint regulatory action, but this might take a long time to pan out, and by then we might already be at new ATH and ready for an even worse blood bath. Long term charts show two possible scenarios, either $BTC topped already and we are in the sideways/bear market phase, before enough time elapses to reset and start a bull market again, or we haven't topped and we will by May or June. This is the scenario that I think is more probable, judging by the fundamental events yet to come, like the deployment of Lightning network channels to finally solve transaction cost issues and blockchain bloat and spam by miners among other technical break throughs core developers are working on. For now, I'm long $MGTI, to benefit from this, as well as holding margin long positions in $ETHUSD and spot holdings in select altcoins. There's a chance my $ETHUSD, $ZECUSD, $NEOUSD, $OMGUSD forecasts pan out, which would imply massive $BTC outperformance in them probably. I recently added $EOS to my holdings before the last big rally in it. I'm holding and looking to add once I close my margin long at the top, once $ETH hits $2600 by March (IF it does). Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
103
Merval for foreign investors: Interesting risk/rewardI would like to point out the positive risk/reward the Argentinian stock market presents currently. I will keep adding to my savings in the local market when viable. I would say it looks quite good, even for foreign investors. I had been expecting the government to make progress with their infrastructure plan, and it seems like we will being seeing some movement in that regard, which should give immediate upside to banks and a few other stocks. I would reccomend getting involved with the likes of BCBA:$BMA, BCBA:$FRAN, BCBA:$GGAL, BCBA:$CRES, BCBA:$IRSA, among other names like BCBA:$AUSO, BCBA:$CTIO, to name a few. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
INDEX:IARLong
by IvanLabrie
XAUUSD: Update - Long term uptrend cookingGold has been setting up for a long time, and now seems to be ready to move. We're holding long positions in miners and CFD/futures for a while now, with our break even levels way below the long term stop loss, so I'm looking to add more positions in the short term, next week. $XAUUSD daily shows an opportunity, ideally on dips as depicted on chart. Monthly will confirm a huge rally for 16 months, which would be part of a still active 18 year bull market in gold, which will culminate by 2021 according to long term charts. So, any major setback in gold would present a buy opportunity for long term traders, until then. That said, the current trend looks explosive, and has caught most technical traders and long time gold bulls off guard, they turned bearish recently, mainly trying to justify missing out, by claiming gold had to retrace...in reality, they were only expressing their desires, cause they missed the bottom in gold this time. Very interestingly, we found the bottom in gold when news came out of long time goldbugs switching holdings for Bitcoin at the major physical gold sites like goldmoney or others, as well as news of many of these sites now accepting and trading cryptocurrencies. Major props to Tim West, for his excellent break down of signals in gold. He's been bullish on it all along, and rightly so. Best of luck, hodl! Ivan Labrie.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
9
XRP: No coinbase listing: rallied on false expectations...This could be the top in $XRP, for a good while. The only remaining expectation that remains to be clearly proven to be false in the eyes of the majority of market participants -blinded by their flawed perception of fundamentals buying into this self reinforced trend- is the fact that $XRP tokens won't be bought in the open market by banks, since Ripple sells a software solution to them, that could very well function with a private blockchain used between trusted parties, which would make them avoid the costs of buying coins in the open market. The other possibility -that could be a rumor- is that the banks that do end up buying $XRP tokens to save $ on transactions end up buying from Ripple company's own stash -which isn't even listed in the coin market cap-. They own 60% of the real supply, and if they sell this to banks -who would be scammed by them- then the open market tokens value wouldn't appreciate. In short, this is a typical boom/bust pattern forming here, and could be about to see its bust phase start. Sell XRP if holding, there are safer and better coins to buy, that will help you store wealth in a secure manner if following proper crypto opsec. -the most important feature of this market- Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Short
by IvanLabrie
29
BTCUSD: Long term forecast/guessJust documenting this one. I think it's clear the bear market started, and I can already anticipate what we can see going forward...prices could eventually peak at $75,000 on the next bull run, but we will have to wait patiently for that. My plan is to accumulate more $BTC value in my crypto account with my remaining funds, and simply holding off from adding cash until it is clear the market is at the bottom of the correction. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by IvanLabrie
58
SPRBTC: Interesting chart...altcoin season started?I was doing some screening for technical patterns and found this chart. Fairly interesting setup, looks like it has good upside with low downside risk. The daily flashed a buy in $SPRBTC 4 days ago but weekly will confirm a buy in $SPRUSD this week on close, and considering the range expansion and increased volume, something is definitely cooking here. I'm not aware of fundamental developments, but feel free to comment below. For now, I'm just pointing this one out, since the chart is remarkable, upside wise. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
SLong
by IvanLabrie
33
SPX: Could this be a market top for a few months?I'm holding longs in precious metals, and also long individuals stocks with interesting valuations and trend signals. That said, I'd like to hedge my exposure to the market by shorting $SPX, and this might be a good chance to do it. It might be a good time to have a long/short strategy. The stop loss is tight here, if the setup works, it can be a good r/r trade. Downside of 15-20% worst case, best case, we barely go sideways and end up chopped out of the short, before the market resumes the rally. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
FX:SPX500Short
by IvanLabrie
7
ZECUSD: Weekly and daily analysis - Huge upside possibleI'm holding long positions as per my previous publications' updates. Added recently, and now waiting to add once we have a new short term buy signal. For now, looks like we could consolidate for a few days before marching higher. $XMR is in a very strong trend too, both offer a great opportunity for investors, specially if you rode the rally in $BTC, and want to reduce exposure and risk in it, moving to greener pastures, like $ETH, $ZEC, $XMR, $NEO, and others that we're currently trading and holding. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
BITFINEX:ZECUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
17
ETHUSD: Update and forecastI've been holding longs here, as per my previous publication's updates, my cost basis is around 333.25. It's clear the weekly is now trending strongly up, and what we have been predicting as possible may come to pass. The only worrying thing is the monthly outlook, which suggests the trend might be topping soon, but, on the other hand, there's also a signal that could extend this rally for 6 more months or so. Weekly and daily are up, and give us confidence in holding longs in profit here. I'll be on the lookout to trade shorter term daily setups, but setting the weekly position aside. Diversifying, within the same asset, via different timeframes and setups, trading around the core position. As far as fundamentals go, it's interesting to see $ETH gain traction, as $BTC's politics escalate into an all out war between mining factions, and programmers. It's unclear how all of this will be resolved, and to add fuel to the fire, we have the upcoming CME futures launch, set to happen during December, that will likely allow a lot of hugely capitalized traders to short $BTC with no skin in the game (cash settled futures). Many had seen this as a positive, but I see it as a big risk, if the market starts paying attention to the BTC futures price. It's clear that money is rotating away from $BTC into select altcoins, and between altcoins themselves periodically, so, it will become increasingly interesting to trade in this manner, following the big money that's currently 'stuck' in cryptocurrencies, and not likely to 'come out' due to its obscure/illicit nature. I'm not endorsing money laundering or black markets but it's likely that a lot of money in this space can't simply be taxed...with no consequences for the people controlling it, so, this makes me think that as we approach a top in $BTC, other coins -and specially ones devoid of institutional influence from futures speculators- will flourish. I'm keeping a sizeable stake in crypto but don't reccomend exceeding 50% of your capital in it, 25-50% is what I'd reccomend. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
BITFINEX:ETHUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
39