Timecycles
U.S. Dollar Index Upward Price Movement Until End of September?Here’s my analysis of the chart: I anticipate an upward movement in the U.S. Dollar Index until the end of September. Please note, this is based solely on time analysis, so the bar charts displayed do not predict future price levels.
The trade is still in its early stages, making it relatively low-risk. However, if the price falls below the current candle (first vertical line), this analysis will no longer be valid.
Let's see how it plays out, but be prepared to reassess if the price action invalidates the analysis.
SpaceIchimoku
BTC time cycle analysis for the next cycle topBTC time cycle analysis for the next cycle top
1. Blue line is the time period in which the previous cycle top breaks ( appox 1050 days )
2. Red line is the time period in which btc make a new top after that breakout ( appox 350 days )
3. White line is the time period of the cycle low to the top ( appox 1010 to 1060 days )
4. Yellow line is the time period after the halving btc defines the top ( appox 525 days )
5. Fib extension tool level 1.618
6. AB=CD pathern
As we can see history repeats itself btc is following this time cycle analysis over the past cycles, So if the history repeats again we can expect the level of (110,000)
BTCUSDT | A Small Upcoming Time Pivot!Between the 10th and 11th of January, I anticipate a pivotal movement in Bitcoin's trajectory. This analysis pertains to a smaller timeframe within a larger cycle. Please observe the linked chart.
Be prepared for a potential shift in the market around the 10th or 11th of January. The direction—bullish or bearish—will likely be influenced by the trend leading up to this timeframe.
DOW may DOWn from nowAs per Neo wave time cycle, Wave 'B' of the FLAT correction formed in DOW 30 index is ended today
since the recovery wave ABC extended nearly 76.8% of previous wave
expect a soft bear market cycle for 8 months from now.
trading is difficult as wave 'C' expands in 5,3,5,3,5 legs ,and expect a spike in VIX too
Do not hold your short positions for more days , as recovery waves will stretch more than 62%
Local Bitcoin time-analysisLocal Bitcoin View based on time analysis and price structure.
Based on the analysis of time, the main local (daily) pivot points on Bitcoin are:
Daily pivot Points: August 28 (08/28/2023) - today; September 6 (09/06/2023)
The local structure of Bitcoin is shaky, but it's not that bad. Today, the 28th of August is a very important day because it contains the daily pivot point. The next daily pivot point will be on September 6th. Given the presence of a reversal point today, it is important to watch a daily close very carefully.
Local Bitcoin Forecast: I believe the most expected move is to see the final short squeeze on Bitcoin before we are taken into a longer correction. However, given the presence of a daily pivot point today, there is no need to rush with longs, we are waiting for the daily close! It may turn out that today we will close the day with a sale which means we might get squeezed down to support before the next daily pivot point (September 6).
Opening Position:
Long: $24,800-$25,500 . Open in several limit orders!
Stop loss: $24,400
Bitcoin local targets:
Target 1: The minimum target for a short squeeze is the lower retest of the $28,300-$30,300 zone. 28K+- remains a zone about which there is distribution or accumulation!
Target 2: $32,800-$33,300. The bull structure is still not broken and the probability that the current markdown is a manipulation remains significant. I remind you from the previous analysis that we have a Weekly Swing Point on October 16 (16.10) until Bitcoin can easily make new highs.
Trade Plan:
(1) in the zone of $28,000-$29,000 we fix a part of the accumulated position!
(2) Stops are moved to breakeven!
(3) If after we squeeze into the zone, there will be consolidation for a couple of days - close the rest of the position!
(4) If we get above the zone and consolidate, we expect the second target: 32.8-33.3K!
X8 Crypto
Next target to $41.09 for Alphabet ?Here is my point of view about Google.
Based on my Elliott Wave, the bear trend could come back the next week (April,17) after the optimistic Bull run from March,13.
We reach the the Fibonacci Ret 0.382% and the ii circle degree seems to be done after a complex correction in ABCDE.
And about the Time the Ret and Projection both are pointing April, 6 and 10.
My concern now it's the indicator DT Oscillator who seem to be not ready for a reversal now.. so it's might be sideway to down the week of April,17 and wait 1 more week to be ready for a reversal during the week April,24.
If this post was useful to you, do not forget to like and comment.❤️ 🙏
Kindly,
TradingX30
Y.F
WILL HISTORY REPEAT IN NIFTY???IN GIVEN CHART MARK 21st june 2022 we can see 2 doji and big up move similarly we can see that 2 doji this week 17 march ,so we can expect again big move .
* * ALSO I WANT ADD MORE POINT ON TIME FACTOR SEE 21ST JUNE WHICH IS EQUINOX AND 21 MARCH IS ALSO EQUINOX SO WE CAN MORE PROBABIILTY OF BOTTOMING,HOWEVER WE CAN NEGLECT THE BULLISH VIEW AS LAST WEEK LOW IS BREAK,THEN WE CAN BE BEARISH **
BITCON PIVOTS make a return (Happy Pi Day)Fred was a seasoned stock investor who had made his fair share of gains and losses in the market. But lately, he had been keeping a close eye on Bitcoin, convinced that the cryptocurrency was headed for higher prices. However, he was cautious about a potential move back to the $19,000 level, which was near the golden zone.
Despite his reservations, Fred couldn't help but feel optimistic about Bitcoin's recent performance. It had held well at the 50% area and was showing significant strength. However, he knew that momentum could stall in the time cycle window that they were entering.
As he monitored the market, Fred couldn't help but feel a sense of excitement and apprehension. He had a hunch that Bitcoin was on the brink of a major breakthrough, but he also knew that the market could be unpredictable.
Indicators are pointing to a move to roughly $27,000-$28,000 but depending on how long that takes, many indicators on higher timeframes will get to overbought status very quickly. The red wave has done a decent job of catching potential downside moves especially when we have gotten a sell signal. The last sell signal on the 4h timeframe on bitcoin was around February 16, 2023 and that resulted in a -20% move. The signs are early and I wouldn't make any harsh moves yet as things look incredibly strong but give it another week and we'll see where things are. Watch the red wave. If we pivot, we'd be creating some bearish divergence and if that plays out, then the green path seems likely to go to that golden zone by the end of May.
DON'T BE AFRAID TO TAKE SOME PROFIT OFF THE TABLE. Nobody survives in this market if you don't know how to manage your risk and take profits when necessary. The market can be generous and the market can be greedy.
Ethereum Time Based Theory {UPDATE}My time based theory is still in play, and with CPI print being released tomorrow, I think the probabilities are pretty reasonable that Ethereum is going to get extremely volatile, get close to one of these two key levels, and do so roughly around the date I have plotted with a vertical line. This theory is based on bitcoin having the same type of time based volatility over the last year. Let me know if you would like more details on bitcoins time based volatility. It is truly fascinating.
BTC/USD - Cycle Patterns and the next Crypto Bull-runUsing Sine-waves, we can clearly see that BTC/USD has followed a Cycle Pattern of 8-Bars so around 1461 days to achieve a new maximum ATH Candles before a cycle back downwards. Note that each half cycle is between 730-731 days.
If this cycle pattern is correct, we can expect the next maximum BTC ALL TIME HIGH to be achieved anywhere around the 6 Month Candle starting on Tuesday 1st July 2025 before a cycle back downwards.
I have added Fib Re-tracement Levels so you can see that BTC needs to CLOSE this 6 month Candle ABOVE the 0.236 Fib level at $16,256.
Note that I am talking about a NEW maximum ATH before a cycle back to the downside. As an example, you can see from Monday 1st July 2019 to Thursday 1st July 2021 multiple ATHs can be achieved and broken so i am talking about the next maximum ATH before a cycle back to the downside.
So according to this Cycle Pattern, technically the next Crypto Bull-run should start anywhere on the 6 Month Candle that starts at Saturday 1st July 2023. But one thing we should factor in is that the world is already in a Recession and possibly heading into a depression. So the next Crypto Bull-run could start later as it has on other cycle pivots. So technically it could also start anywhere on the 6 Month Candle starting Monday 1st January 2024. As a worst case scenario, and depending on how bad inflation gets then we could end up seeing a full 8-Bar cycle to July 2025 that is downwards.
Again this is all my opinion so I hope this chart is helpful to your trading and hodl-ing.
Ask Not How Low Will It Go, Rather Ask How Long Will It Last?!Clear three-leg stepwise downtrend. Monster rallies have occurred at 42, 63 and 70-day timeframes.
Current decline is at the 42-day mark. Had a huge green candle there before that lasted just a week.
Longer rally came at the 63 and 70 day marks. I do not pretend to know how much lower this will go.
Observing only how long it may take to pivot. A pivot to weekly countertrend move may occur next week, after 42 days.
IF it moves up for a week, likely to crush down to new LOTY in mid to late October, projecting around 17-25 Oct.
NB: Last Mon/Tues in October is 24/25. Back in '29 it was 28/29 October. Elections will spark a relief rally, they always get one.
Then Santa comes to town. The Longer the bear lasts, the Stronger the ensuing bounce.
But Jan-April 23 will be more Grinchy IMO. Stay Tuned!
bitty time spiralsspiral of time between 12/2013-12/2017 tops, all same spiral, solid = clockwise & dashed = counterclockwise
fit to tops and bottoms, vertical lines tangent = reversal dates?
scale = 1000:1
resistance, and price crossing outside of it indicating trend reversal (aka price moving outside the trend indicated by the boundary of the shape), seems legit but i'm really not sure of support...which placement will it respect? the lines are magnets just like regular fibs/fans/trendlines
God help you if you take this to be financial advice, still pondering all this and also minor changes in placement/creation can have a huge effect on a scale this size
stay safe and hydrated out there...enjoy the summer! bring bitty to the beach if you have to <3
Ethereum Time Cycles + Lunar + Support Zones July 2022 (15 Min)I published this chart for you to use in harmony with your own conclusions and analysis.
The time cycles and lunar aspects are marked with horizontal lines - green aspects being harmonious and orange/red as discord. These are cause for pivots marking local tops/bottoms.
The time cycles are marked with the half circles and the support zones - where I expect price to retest - are highlighted in color blocks.
BTC/USD: A Study Through Time CyclesHello Traders 👋
This is a small attempt to analyze the BTC/USD through the lens of historical time cycles.
I can observe, on this monthly log chart, a 4 year correction cycle -- 2014, 2018 and now in 2022
Previous corrections:
2014
Dip = -86%
2018
Dip = -84%
Current Correction:
2022
Dip so far = -74%
The previous bear markets ended with a dip of around 80%. This time it made a double top in the later half of 2021 and has already slashed 74% from the top so far. Does that mean there is still room for 5-10% correction?
If we look at the chart June 2019 highs were at around 13880 levels. So this area acted as resistance. This area also coincides with our 80% correction cycle which is at around 13800. This area of resistance could become a potential support zone in case of further dip.
But before reaching at any final conclusion, one has to observe the price action at above mentioned zones on a lower timeframe, say daily. The price often builds a horizontal cause (accumulation) before revealing vertical results. So its better to wait for some accumulation before getting into buy mode.
I hope this was helpful. Thanks for reading 👍
sine-usitis (heh)nfa, SOS, wagmi etc...
drew circle between '17 and '19 tops
drew trendlines between '17 top and several bottoms
"sine lines" (check your drawing toolbar) between '17 top and where the trendlines intersect the circle
fit sine lines to chart
would we just be looking for confluence to predict moves, since many of the sine waves fit?
before i started fitting the waves on the chart I just did waves between tops, and there seemed to be some time alignment with tops and bottoms...but that's just time cycles basically, i want more
still trying to visualize charts in 3D (pricetime) and remember that the sine waves we know and love look different in 3D as well...like how the fib spirals are actually conical helixes IRL (hello mr nautilus nice house you have there). excellent GIF here
www.businessinsider.com
also trying to learn what sine waves even are LOL