Ethereum May Pivot 2022🐇 Follow the white rabit.
🐇 Be on the lookout for the p = √ time : cycle pivot around March 2nd 2022.
🐇 Sooner or later you’re going to realize, there’s a difference between knowing the path and walking the path. Choice is an illusion created between those with power and those without.
🐇 The answer is out there, and it’s looking for you, and it will find you if you want it to.
🐇 The most fundamental exercise is self-observation, which is the catalyst for inner change, it will give self-knowledge and a clear mind and perception. Without it, the attempt to reach enlightenment and awaken consciousness is destined to fail.
Timecycles
Cyclical Characteristics of Market Performance IndicatorsFrom "Cyclical Characteristics of Performance Indicators", IFTA Journal 2020.
"Linear Momentum and Performance Indicators", IFTA Journal 2019.
Indicators
Integral Force Index (Linear Momentum Index)
Integral Pressure Index
Integral Strength Index
Phase 4
It is not necessary that price levels increase till the end of the phase.
* This technique blends the market adjusted momentum, market pressure, market strength and time cycles.
Akram
Understanding 2022's Relation to the 2024 Bitcoin HalvingUnderstanding 2022's Relation to the 2024 Bitcoin Halving
January 15, 2022
Current Bitcoin Price: $43k
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL $2.074T
Bitcoin's Halving Cycle
As I've mentioned since 2017, BTC halving events are fascinating - many know the past events have started with a trend low roughly 2.5Y prior, and finish approx. 1.5y at a new ATH. That trend seems to be holding true in 2022, in its relation to the 2020 halving event as we start to prepare for the event in 2024 that now lies ahead.
While this post does not dive into the skepticism surrounding the BTC Halving events as valid events for analysis, note that I will comment on the fact these trends are yet to be proven as obsolete. Mining represents the demand for bitcoin globally, and the increase of scarcity drives the demand for more supply upwards and hence price action results in a slingshot upwards.
Also, know that until we experience an event that is different, the following is true: Bitcoin price at the next halving event is always around 60% of the then ATH, and on its way up towards that ATH before slingshotting above for the year and a half after.
About the BTC Halving
In summary (for those who don't know) - Bitcoin halving events are when the rewards for mining Bitcoin transactions are cut in half. In theory this is a counter-measure taken to inflation, keeping price representative of 1BTC now = 1BTC later (as opposed to $1 USD now = $0.94 later etc.) The network cuts these rewards in half every 4 years and each 1.5 year period thereafter has seemingly provided a pricing 'boom' of sorts in which the bubble re-inflates as the price skyrockets in our fiat values. The first event was in 2012, then 2016 and 2020. There are consistencies and trends in price action that have emerged through these events. Any price estimations for these halving events are purely skeptical, but worth noting the similarities in them, as orders around these levels seem to fill each time and be in the approximate 'bottom' for the ensuing bull run.
Expectations for Price Action
2022 Entry Levels
If setting a buy in 2010 at $0.30 would have been considered a low bid, and the same for $300 in 2014 and another for $3000 in 2018, then strategically speaking, setting a buy at the $30k level for 2022 to fill for the halving event in 2024 would be both strategic and realistic.
2024 Halving Expectations
As with every other halving on record, I'd expect the price of BTC in March 2024 to be at the current all time high of $69k. This is consistent with what we've seen in each of the previous three in which we see price reclaiming the-then ATH before continuing upwards in price discovery to its future ATH.
2025 Exit Levels
If we hypothetically enter a bitcoin long in 2022 between $30k-$35k, and the same trend continues to be at $50k/$55k by March 2024, then expect by end of 2025 to be taking profits if you hold the same trade open (i'm sure nobody will, i'm speaking to a hypothetical scenario of course).
Cheers 🍻
US30 Current Range Breakout may FailA study of time cycles indicate based on recent history that a rise may halt at a break below 36550-36600 and may dip to channel bottom and may be a little undercut. It is expected to retry the range around 13 Jan 2022 and a sustain above the top of the range may increase the volatility and target band up to 37200 and 38000
USDJPY Sideways on Jupiter Sign ChangeSignal for USDJPY
Heavy sideways on December 2021 till early January 2022
SELL STOP 113.380
STOP LOSS 113.900
TAKE PROFIT 112.740
TIME GEOMETRY ANALYSIS
Jupiter Sign Change make USDJPY 77% Sideways 23% Bullish
-1 month before Jupiter Enters Pisces (November 2021 - December 28th 2021)
Big Heavy Sideways Confirmed
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Gap on 112.787
Sell on Fibo External Retracement 1.618 or 2.618, wait for price action
High probability for USDJPY to make a little downside movement closing the gap
Price now on the H1 Resistance Level, means higher win rate for bearish
Price may close the gap on December 07th 16:00 UTC
Disclaimer On
Pending Order may be cancelled, trade with your own risk
Win rate on USDJPY about 68%, use proper risk management
Analysis based on chart pattern and history, it may be not accurate
Be ready for Stop and Reverse once, SL hit
Be ready for Averaging Profit once, Break Even has been setted
FX:USDJPY
BTC have equal time & price movingAs you see, bitcoin made an origin vector that will be able copy on future more and more (price cycle). The most important thing about bitcoin is reversal dates (time cycle). If you see trendline and our trading zones we see that cross point between them are approximately the dates of reversal and so, I think this fractal going to be repeat again as we know the most principle thing about time and price are equality and so when this happened you should have reversal on market. According these points future dates of turns will be able predict and you can see them on chart. Don't forget this point that any breakout from trendline in future is important and our stop loss will be active. Trend is our friend and we must have a friendly relationship with trend even on bearish market.
Future Gold analysis using market geometry & cyclesLooking out into the medium term future of gold we can find likely points of price weakness using cycle analysis and then pairing that with market geometry we could also spot potential price target zones.
My chart calls out December 2022 as a danger zone!
Obviously a lot can happen between now and then but if the price continues to trade in the same trading channel that it has been following and breaks through the current upper resistance of ~$1920 then we could be in for a decent move up in gold followed by a sell off going into December 2022. The diagonal channel lines of the pitchfork tool have been well respected so I would expect a pull back to land on, or close to one of these lines/levels, I guess it depends on what is the underlying driver of the fall as to how deep the sell off will be. But I do believe some form of sell off is likely, as when you look back at the past 4 bottoms of the time cycle bubbles on the chart they very much line up perfectly with sell offs.
Starting from left to right we can track:
- Cycle bottom 1 sell off in Oct 2008 which was ~34%
- Cycle bottom 2 sell off in May 2012 which broke the top of the 4yr bull run, here the market loss is ~21%
- Cycle bottom 3 sell off in Nov 2015, where the market went sideways for a year after the previous sell off and then eventually broke into a full bear market for a ~41% sell off
- Cycle bottom 4 sell off in May 2019, this was only a small sell off of ~7%. The bigger sell off was a few months before hand and this was likely a shake out before a parabolic move up.
Further to the cycle bottoms if you look at the midpoint of each cycle there are also sell offs very close to the peak as well.
To wrap up I think Gold is a great long trade to be in now as we are seeing inflation popping and equities getting toppy and I'd say we will see a big move up once the current resistance level is broken. But the historical evidence is to strong to ignore so I won't be caught holding any gold positions or stocks in the lead up to December 2022.
**This my personal opinion and I'm not a paid advisor so please DYOR research before investing your cash**
BTC Time Cycle AnalysisThere has been some great Bitcoin charts that have been shared recently and it's pretty obvious that there is a wedge / triangle pattern coming to a point, so we should see a big move in the next week odd. But taking a step back to look at the longer term chart patterns I thought this time cycle analysis might provide a good glimpse of what could be possible in the future.
Ironically without taking into account Bitcoin halving, nor stats on active wallets or any technical Crypto data the simple time cycle chart has been very effective in picking 5 most recent major troughs. Going back before that it also identifies a pro-longed double bottom in 2015 but before this time it's not as accurate. Even so, to be able to nail 5 of the most recent bottoms in a row is a pretty amazing track record which I feel makes this analysis definitely worth paying attention to!
Dotted green vertical = the cycle high
Dotted red vertical = the bottom that follows from cycle high
In majority of cases the peak runs right up very close to the end of the cycle and many cases it's then a fast fall. The next major trough is in the beginning of August 2022, which means there is a high chance this next run will last until roughly July or beginning of August and then another big fall.
Special mention to BTCINVESTING as his most recent analysis (refer linked chart) takes into account halving events for his time cycle analysis and gives a top of June - July 2022, which if correct would also validate my argument for a swift fall to the bottom in August.
EUR-USD - Time Cycle - Taito Suchi I did a flow-up on bullish scenario of EUR/USD on daily. There is a time cycle. It seems there is always 7 bars from high to the next high (Taito Suchi). The next high could be on the fourth of may. I also applied price theorie according to V, N and E calculations. In bullish scenario price could hit V, N OR E. Be aware that im still learning to master time and price theorie. So i could be wrong. Please correct or advise me.
S&P 500 DECISION NEXT WEEKWe had 23 week BO and after a shallow 9 week flat correction , this index made another 23 week followup move northside.
So far every thing goes well with year low VIX. BUT something tells me that a big movement is gonna happen from next week.
Result season will punish the bulls? Neo wave time cycle has the clue. just wait for next week, dont forget to take a ticket for return journey
NZDUSD - Short term correction seems likelyIt seems like we might get a short term correction on NZDUSD
There is high odds for a correction if we get a close below the daily support trendline around 0.71115 (20.01.21). It might make sense to go short on a retest on the weekly resistance around 0.71550.
it looks like we have a bigger player building a short position and might be ready to finish up before he starts to move the market.
We could get as low as 0.68165 in one to two weeks time...
So it might make sense to go short on a retest on the new weekly resistance around 0.71550.
Hero moto good short candidateHeromoto spot cmp 3365
Good positional short candidate
Inverted head and shoulder pattern formation..
Counter currently trading around resistance line of neckline and mid point of rising channel,,
RSI makind bearish divergence,,
Ever 150 trading session counter is changing it trend,, as per this 19 oct can be perfect trend change date
Counter can be short at current levels with stoploss of 3400 and hold for 10-15% down side targets...