Strong Evidence of Time Zone ReversalsAs you can see, the initial wave top uptrend high from the march low was reversed at 56 bars. The next movement from the june high to the july low was 32 days (23 bars). The following movement from the july low to the august high was, again, 32 days (22 bars). Both 32 day movements were a part of the redistribution phase of a price correction in XOP's components. The downtrend movement, again, had a minor uptick at 32 days; however, this price correction downtrend then continued further on to 56 bars. At 56 bars, a clear double bottom reversal pattern that conformed to commonly agreed upon percentages appeared. The drop from the 32 uptick down to the initial bottom was approximately 19% which fit between the normal 10-20% drawdown of a double bottom. The second bottom at 56 bars was approximately 2% lower than the initial bottom which fit within the maximum +/- 4% of a double bottom pattern. This pattern signifies a reversal of the downtrend, and was last seen in the month of March.
If we are to take this pattern at face value, since news and market geometry should not change dramatically any time soon, a 101 bar uptrend and consolidation phase began on last Thursday's trading. We, then, should look for a long position for another 21-22 bars (30 more days/November 30th). We could short into the middle of the 22-23 bar or 32 day (16 days/December 16th) consolidation phase, where a small inverse-head and shoulders pattern should appear. Again, we, could look for a long position for the 56 bar uptrend(Plus 16 days or half of the uptick within the consolidation phase), at which point, we could short again for another 32 days. Please notice, I have circled each possible reversal point and color coded them to either gains (green) or losses (red).
I also wanted to point out that there is a time correlation to 45 bars and the completion of the 56 bar trend reversal phases. As you can see, the first difference in bars was 11, the second was 22, the third then should be 33, and presumed completion of this cycle would then be 44. One more time correlation which I have yet to key out is the 57 day time zone from low to low. I have included it within the analysis because somewhere within the following unfolding trading days, I am sure this pattern will also become clear. It appears, so far, that the pattern could be 57 day, 57 days, 22 bars, 22 bars, 22 bars, ....??? Once the next uptrend and consolidation phase is finished, I am sure this time zone correlation will become clear.
Finally, the entire cycle take 360 days. This time frame is important because it is the 2.5 multiple of the universal harmonic 144, or the 30th multiple of 12. The time frame also corresponds to a perfect 2pi circular revolution of the unit circle with a radius of 1; furthermore, it signifies the 2pi period of a wave function. It is my belief that the 2 different time zone correlations described above are different wave patterns that both exist in correlation and interference to one-another within this perfect circle and wave period.
Timeframe
ETH / USD (9/23 - 10/23) General Timeline and TrendCreate, Practice, and Learn
This chart is meant to help identify the general trends for ETH during 9/23 - 10/23. In my past charts, I identified that ETH / USD broke out of a long term kangaroo cycle (597 days) at the resistance line of 360.
Conclusion: Since we broke the 597 day kangaroo trend, I believe we are entering a bull cycle.
EURCAD Multiple timeframe analysisGive us a thumbs up if you like our idea. Follow my profile to get new ideas and trade setups everyday
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EURCAD
H1-Bullish trend
H4- 200 EMA resistance and short term bearish correction
Day-Sideways movement
Weekly-Bullish flag is forming
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Its a forecast of the upcoming expected market move-Its not a financial advice
Relative Strength Index Masterclass Part 2Relative Strenght Index Part 2
In the previous masterclass, we saw the two different ways of using the Relative Strength Index as an indicator. In Part 2, we'll look out for two other ways to use RSI along with other indicators.
The two previous ways were:
1. Oversold-Overbought Region
2. 50-Level RSI Midline
Moving forward the two more ways are:
3. 2-Period RSI + Simple Moving Average (SMA)
2-Period RSI:
2-period RSI is the shortest and most volatile RSI signal which can be used
A 1-period RSI cannot be used as it will merely give just two values, either 0 or 100 as a 1-period RSI will consider values from just the last 1 candlestick
2-period RSI will generate trade signals at the local highs and lows of the predominant trend and will lead to a reversal in the market price
Therefore, 2-period RSI Strategy is also known as Mean-Reversion Trading Strategy
The 2-Period RSI will generate a signal using a Threshold of 95-5, with price above 95 in the overbought region while below 5 in the oversold region
200-Simple Moving Average:
200-SMA is a Simple Moving Average of the past 200-candlestick
When price moves above the 200-SMA, the market is moving above average and indicate a bullish trend
When price moves below the 200-SMA, the market is moving below average and indicate a bearish trend
Thereby, 200-SMA giving the predominant trend and 2-Period RSI generating trade signals.
Thus Buy when the price is above 200-SMA and RSI<5 while, sell when the price is below 200-SMA and RSI>95.
4. RSI + MACD
RSI:
The RSI will generate a signal once a predominant trend is generated using MACD
The threshold for RSI will be 70-30, with price above 70 in the overbought region while below in the oversold region
The lookback period for RSI is taken as default (14)
MACD:
MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator
MACD is calculated by subtracting 26-period EMA from 12-period EMA, resulting in MACD line
A nine-day EMA of MACD results in Signal line
When the signal line is above the MACD line indicates a bullish signal as small period EMA is greater than the long period
When the signal line is below the MACD line indicates a bearish signal as small period EMA is lesser than the long period
Thereby, MACD giving the predominant trend and RSI generating trade signals.
Thus Buy when the Signal line is above MACD and RSI<30 while, sell when the signal line is below MACD and RSI>70.
A lot more interesting things can be done using RSI, but we'll move to the next indicator in our next Masterclass. STAY TUNED
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- Mudrex
Swing tradeWe can see a late sell signal to occur with +D above - D. Positive histogram completed a uniform figure and did not start a significant negative uniform. Both 20 and 50 EMA are heading upward while 200 EMA is preparing for a cross. Expect a bull movement at market open until 12 am US time. We will either see a significant pullback until 3-4 am before the move up or a trend continuation.
Given JPY’s strength I expect the pullback to happen. 3am is a strong pullback/consolidation time.
Check out my previous timeframe trades for a better understanding.
Last weeks USDJPY market open opened with a late buy signal indicating a sell. At 12am the trend remained strong indicating the trend continuation until at least 3am.
AGAIN MY TRADE TIMES ARE BASED OFF US EASTERN
Timeframe swing 650 Pips5 out of 5 timeframe swing trade success 650 Pips.
Histogram and ADX signal sell before a rise. Entered trade at 5pm Thur with indicators confirming initial drop.
Trend continued to 12 am. I closed as all indicators (MACD, ADX, and currency heatwaves) shifted signaling reverse. Entered the swing at 1 am and as expected slight pull back around 3am. Trend remained stronger than pullback allowing me to stay in trade until 12 pm Fri.
Easy 650 pip swing!
Timeframe Thur-Fri swing trade (720 pips)4 out 5 timeframe swing trade success.
Entered trade at 5pm Thursday evening. Sell signal on MACD was false confirmed by + D above -D on ADX. This clarifies a pullback will happen around 12 am (strong pullback occurrence through all pairs)
At 1am all indicators (MACD, ADX, and currency heatwaves) shifted entering the pullback allowing for a sell entry. A strong trend played out allowing me to to stay in the trade until 12pm Friday.
Note: My times are US. 720 Pip swing
Thur-Fri timeframe swing trade 3 out of 5 timeframe swing trade Thur-fri.
Another successful timeframe swing trade with a small pullback. At the 5pm mark downward checked out. This entry point checks out my MACD/Histogram early indicator strategy.
The trend stayed true until my 12 am mark. All indicators (MACD, ADX, and Currency heat waves) had significant shifts. This gave me conformation to enter the buy. When the 5pm to 12 am swing is confirmed the new trend will play out until at least 8am.
3am shows a pullback. MACD Histogram indicates the pullback will correct to the uptrend hitting the target 8am mark. Personally I closed out at the peak of the 8am bullish candle.
390 Pip timeframe swing trade. It is important to follow the pullback rules by determining the swing trade will reach the timeframe marks with the established trend. You will fail miserably with this strategy if you get excited about the pullbacks and close out your trade. I learned from this mistake.
Thur-Fri time frame strong trend continuationPost 2 out of 5 time frame strategy thur-friday success.
My previous post I showed an example of a time frame swing trade. This post is an example of my time frame trend continuation strategy.
At 5 pm it was safe to enter a sell. MACD histogram correlating with -D above 25 line was a strong indication of consolidation ending for a drop.
The trend played out as we see the drop. At the 12am mark all indications (MACD, ADX, currency heat waves) checked out the trend continuation so I stayed in the trade. Trend continued allowing me to formulate the trend to ride at least until 8 am.
If this was a swing I would close out at 8am however all indicators continued to confirm the downward trend. At this point you can use your knowledge to close out once consolidation sets in. I closed out after 2pm and racked in 385 pips.
Time strategy Thur-Fri huge Swing successThis is 1 out of 5 trades I entered Thursday evening into near market close. I will post all results starting with this. Back track all and you will see the near 5,000 pips I cashed out.
As presented I entered this trade at 5pm with confirmation of a trend change using my currency heat wave app, MACD, and ADX.
If you study time frames you know that if a trend is established in between 5pm- and 7pm the trend will stay true until around 12am. As seen here a downtrend was established until 12am.
At 1 am the currency heat waves (including volume, sentiment, volatility, and strength) shifted significantly. MACD and ADX confirmed a trend shift signaling a swing to buy.
From 1 am on a strong trend will ride until 8am before consolidating and continuing the trend or shifting. Greed is not necessary at this point so I as a rule will close out right at 9am.
NOTE: Pull backs may occur in between 1 am and 8am however if the swing trend is established the pullback will be false and revers after a couple hours to continue until 8am.
Please ask questions as I encourage everyone to try this out. Add excitement to your trading.
GJ 120 pips Sells BreakdownPrice broke below the support we highlighted, however as there was no lower wick on the 1h breakout candle, price had no clear range to move down, so instead of moving to the lower timeframes to look for selling confirmations, I stayed on the 1h timeframe and decided to look for a break and retest setup, as it was not on a lower timeframe my confidence for this trade was pretty good.
As soon as we tapped into the broken support zone, I took an entry with half of my usual risk, stops were above the previous candle and my TP was highlighted on the chart.
Profits were taken at each of the support zones as we tapped into them, this lowered our risk and secured profits.
When we hit our final target, we removed our TP and let 10% of the trade run, the target for this was 135.887, as this was a possible rejection zone and also 120 pips profit. This target was also hit before price formed support to continue back up.
GBPUSD multi time frame analysisThe brexit headlines will largely influence the next movements in GBPUSD as its currently trading like a zig zag movement
HOUR-1 Bullish flag,upward pressure
HOUR-4 200 EMA acting as resistance,Downward pressure
DAILY 200 EMA acting as support for the bull,Upside pressure
WEEKLY Indecision between buyers and sellers.
Where USDJPY will go?One of the pairs that have been without a clear direction for the longest time is USDJPY. In the chart we see that for the second month we have lower peaks and higher bottoms. This is one of the most famous and reliable figures - a triangle.
Such triangles develop at almost all periods. From monthly to 30m.
However, if we open the weekly and monthly chart , then there we can see that this is part of a larger triangle.
Why do we pay attention to these triangles now?
This week will be key! We are expecting news on Wednesday about the Fed's interest rate decision. A few hours later, there is a decision by BoJ.
We are also entering a pre-election battle in the USA and the season of JPY movements.
Where USDJPY will go will probably become clear this week!
US Dollar IndexAll I'll say for now is that I'll love to see the bears enter the market to push price down to the $90 level. Before that can happen I'll wait for a B.A.R of the $92.66. We shall see...
Also, if my analysis help YOU in any way, shape or form then please consider donating to the cause. It's appreciated.
the all mighty timethere is an important thing that you should be wary of if you want to enter long term trades and that is your trend. here we have trends, both waves and corrections, and their timeline so as you know before 1676 break you can't tell any other goal because the nature of gold is now in an up Trend from the year 1999. and one more thing that you should be careful about is that price support or resistance lines could be broken but what I think is the most powerful of all is the time you give the trend to go their way based on what period you trade on. but of course, be careful around those break out failures :)
Gold (Xau/usd) Sell Setup!!As i explain on this video yesterday about the outlook this week of gold. i will link it below so you can learn something.
we found a nice sell setup to downside cause of liquidity zone around the current price and also lower timeframe we see price breaking structure to downside
Follow me for other setup coming soon!!
USDCHF - Trading the Trend Continuation - Support BreakHi Traders!
The market is in a Downtrend.
As always, let's begin with the Daily Timeframe.
Here is it:
Here you can see the market in a clear Downtrend.
It is additionally moving in a descending Parallel Channel.
The Trendline-Extension are overbought and oversold areas.
So, we're only looking for Selltrades.
Let's move on to the lower H4-timeframe:
What do we see here?
A descending Triangle which consists of a descending Trendline and a strong Support.
And consider the number of the touches too.
It is showing the strength of the Triangle.
Here is the idea:
The H4-Timeframe
The H1-Timeframe:
The idea is simply the Break of the Support with the SL above the Trendline and the TP at the 161.8% of the Fibonacci Trendline Extension.
We recommend to trade the Breakout with a Retest, to avoid False Breakouts.
Thanks and successful Trading :)!
GBPUSD Chart Analysis - 8-22-2020 GBPUSD CHART: DAILY NOTES:
* DAILY:
- Price has had a 100% retracement.
It has trended bullish since March 24, 2020.
- (Question): Who controls price movement?
- Currently consolidating at a pocket of Demand.
* INDICATOR(S): Stoch: Nearing Oversold
* PATTERN(S): Rising Wedge, Ascending Channel
(GBPUSD) CHART: 4HR NOTES:
* 4HR:
- Price is consolidating at the neckline.
* INDICATOR(S): Stoch: Nearing Oversold
* PATTERN(S): Double Top (Reversal Pattern)
(GBPUSD) CHART: 1HR NOTES:
* 1HR:
- Price is consolidating at demand zone.
* INDICATOR(S): Stoch: Nearing Oversold
* PATTERN(S): Double Top
KEY EVENT: Election November 3, 2020
LTC- Litecoin is about to join the Altcoin partyNamecoin may be the first altcoin, but Litecoin was the first well-known altcoin until Ethereum came along.
Grayscale just launched the Litecoin trust and institutional demand is surging as evident by the massive premiums Litecoin trust commands.
Litecoin is highly liquid and is still down 84% from its ATH. The breakout may be imminent so it is a good time to start accumulating within the S/R zone.