A TIP TO NOT MISS THE NEXT BSV PUMPJust check volume. volume has been declining meaning that a big move is on its way either up or down. If are really low in price and have a breakout with a green volume bar, it could be the start of the pump
TIPS
Peloton (PTON): The Apple and Netflix of the Fitness IndustryIf you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
What is Peloton Interactive (PTON)?
- Peloton is a home fitness company that offers fitness products such as an indoor cycle, and a treadmill, as well as live workout content
- Peloton is similar to Apple (AAPL) in that it promotes the establishment of a hardware-based ecosystem
- It’s also similar to Netflix (NFLX) in that it offers various fitness content in subscription form
Financials
- They initially anticipated $1.72 billion in revenue for 2020, which has been modified to $1.74 billion due to their explosive growth
- This means that PTON demonstrates a 89% year-over-year growth in revenue
- Out of their total revenue, 79% consists of sales of connected fitness products, and 20% from their subscription service
- PTON is one of the few stocks that has benefited from the pandemic.
- With an increasing number of people staying indoors, wanting to exercise, demand for Peloton’s products and services skyrocketed.
- Due to the Coronavirus (COVID-19), they have managed to be profitable for the fourth quarter with an Earnings per Share (EPS) at 27 cents.
- While they are not extremely profitable yet, as PTON is a growth stock, the fact that they have $500 million in cash proves that they will be financially stable for the short term.
Business Analysis
- The fitness machines sold by Peloton are not normal indoor cycles and treadmills with screens attached
- These fitness machines, which cost $2,245 and $4,295, apply cutting-edge technology that allow users to meticulously control the angle and resistance.
- Moreover, these products provide accurate data on the user’s athletic performance.
- The hardware provided by Peloton Interactive are optimized for the contents they provide.
- PTON’s instructors are 30 of the most famous fitness influencers on social media.
- As such, they could expand their streams of revenue to paid advertisements, and ecommerce opportunities, diversifying the business.
- They offer two subscription plans:
- A ‘Connected Fitness’ plan based on the hardware they offer
- And a digital membership that is offered separately
- Connected Fitness allows users to participate in live cycling sessions, and receive immediate feedback from the instructor
- The number of users subscribing to Connected Fitness is skyrocketing, with a 94% increase in users compared to that of the last quarter
- The number of subscribers for Connected Fitness surpassed 1 million in 2020 May
- The digital membership subscription does not require a Peloton hardware, and offers various types of content besides running and cycling, such as yoga, meditation, and boot camps.
- Their customer churn rate remains extremely low at 0.65% every quarter, while the number of users continue to grow every quarter
Technical Analysis
- We can see that prices have been in a phase of accumulation for a long time since later 2019
- As prices traded within a descending parallel channel, we saw a sharp breakdown caused by the market drop, which was triggered by the Corona Virus (COVID-19)
- Unlike other companies that were severely affected by the virus, the pandemic was an opportunity for Peloton to grow.
- As a result, we saw prices break through the $40 resistance zone, and rally in a parabolic trend
- Along the way, it has undergone a phase of re-accumulation, before reaching its all-time high at $91.17
- Currently, we have seen prices cool off, bouncing at $79.34 where the 0.236 Fibonacci support and parallel channel trend line support converge
- The 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) is also a good indicator of PTON's bullish trend, as well as strong support.
- Based on fundamentals, unless we see a corrective confirmation below $80, we could anticipate new all-time highs for PTON.
Conclusion
Peloton is on its way to completing a hierarchical process of 'hardware-software-content-community' funneling users into their ecosystem. This ecosystem that Peloton is designing has been attempted by many, but successfully done by only a few. With the development of each elements and growth as a whole, we could expect a huge augmentation in the barrier to entry.
One thing to note about growth stocks such as PTON is that the essence of the business is rooted on tech. To say Peloton Interactive (PTON) is another fitness-related company like Fitbit (FIT) is to compare Amazon (AMZN) to bookstores and Tesla Motors (TSLA) to automotive companies.
TIPS hint of a S&P500 breakdown...TIPS is an leading indicator, according to Russell Napier, and it is one of the few leading indicators that have been shown to pre-empt market movement (most of the time).
In this comparison daily chart of TIPS and the S&P500 (orange line),you can see the recent lead but TIPS, and it is now under a Sell signal, with technicals pointing to the end of the bullish rally. And yet the S&P500 is weakening, stalling and just about to roll over.
TIP is about to breakdown a trendline, and MACD is also rolling over into the bearish territory, soon.
A thought to consider...
Market direction TIPS!Interesting correlation and a leading indicator I picked up from Russell Napier since November 2008. He gave me a tip about TIPS, available in his book Anatomy of a Bear. TIPS is one of the leading indicators used by RN.
In this correlative analysis, TIPS gave a heads up of the unsustainable rally of the equity market with a bearish divergence in the MACD. Now that it has broken the second uptrend line, and MACD crossed down, it is good indication that done and dusted a top is done.
The blue line is the S&P500 futures ES1! for reference. You can see previously TIPS precedes the S&P500 in a retracement and a rally. The current time is a concomitant drop, which may indicate the volatility involved (and the depth perhaps).
How to trade EMA
How to trade EMA
timeframe : 4 hour
Chart : MANABTC
price is holding 100 EMA (7 candle holding perfectly)
Good bounce off EMA 100 that's the good sign .. sideway accumulation complete
Bounce is confirmation wait for retest ( we made bounce they are ready to move pump it added many new buyer and than again dump it and after filing order taking it higher )
>buy retest of breakout of the bounce
make profit
VOLTAS Now With LadderHello There,
Hope You all are fine and fit..
As you all aware we are sharing daily one stock analysation report here, Same you might book profit from our analysation..
This is short evaluataion For Voltas.. As per Current chart we can say that Voltas in purely up trend and can made new high soon, If you are holding this share requesting you all do not exit this till our target points which are : 690 - 720 - 735. If you want to make new entry you can but try with limited Qty and holding mindset should be 1-2 Months. You can also check the chart as we have draw some lines of far support and resistence levels with the trend of red and green arrow lines which will help you to understand how Volatas showing trrend reversal on chart.
Hope You like our research and making good profit..
Thanks,
-UD Trade
Desclaimer : This is for educational Perpose We Are Not Sebi Registered You may ask your investment advisor before any action.
Uptrend HH and HL Trading examplehow to spot uptrend
1) adding a trend line in the chart which works as a support .
2) breaking of downtrend
HH : previous high
HL : previous low
trading uptrend market is simple
here HH is acting as a support so take time and add a zone at the higher high and analyze the candle (hammer , pin bar) perfect and at the bounce add some in to portfolio.
HL : price retest this zone and break the HH and again retest the HH as a support .
R-0114 Breakout of a rectangle pattern in VoltasTK cross over at 585 + MACD cross over + ichimoku cloud break out soggest bullish momentum. Price action in Voltas shows a breakout from a horizontal rectangle pattern on July 20 and then price shows a return move to the top end of the rectangle pattern. The pullback is on low volume suggesting low selling interest in the counter. A series of long tails in three days of trading and a green bar shows a return of buying interest in the counter. Traders may buy above Rs 598 for a rally to Rs 625 and above that to Rs 650. Keep a stop below Rs 575.
ridethepig | A retrace in play for home fitness📌 Peloton
One of the aspects of consumer behaviour that has changed the most over the past few months has been the approach to fitness and home-enablers. As we introduced a deep and accurate buy approach it helped that Fed and other CB's helped to raise the bar even higher with their ambitious and methodical (right...) approaches.
So, as with many other improvements, the $2,000 coat hanger consists of a monthly subscription service which members can go through daily. However we would need to see consumers continue to cough up $2,000 for an exercise bike when the economy is tanking. We are certainly not ready for mass adoption and growth until the economy heals. Armed with a pair of trainers and one can produce the same outcome although I refuse to demonstrate illustratively ... maybe one day on Tradingview streams!
In any case, the format of the flow is quite simple. Throughout the impulsive leg it was a matter of letting bulls over-extend before finding a comprehensive fade.
As usual thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
NZDJPY H4 SHORT ENTRY!H4 chart has formed a head and shoulder pattern and price has been slowly lossing bullish momentum, eyes on a CORRECTION after a strong push to the upside for the past few days. A break below EMA55 indicates a bearish signal.
Entry: 69.75
SL: 70.53
TP1: 68.97
TP2: 67.07
Hereby provide 2 TP, TP1 is short term TP while TP2 is long term TP. Please control your risk management properly.
It's not you versus the market, it's always you versus yourself.
SELL, SELL, SELL | GBPUSDYesterday we saw the Fed Interest Rate Decision and we expect interesting moves from here on out.
The first pair we expect movement in is GBPUSD.
Here we have reached the trend line that started December 2019 with the news about Brexit.
Yesterday gives good reasons for entry and the opportunity to expect the price to bounce!
Contact us for specific parameters!
Waiting for the FED | AUDUSDAUDUSD reached its highest levels since the beginning of the year, recovering the entire decline!
Yesterday we saw a Bear Engulfing, which signals the current exhaustion of the rise.
It's caused by the accumulation of profits and the possibility of adjustment.
Today at 18:00 (GMT) we expect Fed Interest Rate Decision.
The news will be a catalyst for movement.
As no matter where we see a breakthrough, we expect the price to continue.
It is possible to place pending orders.
Support levels:
0,6681
0,6538
0,6458
Resistance levels:
0,7177
0,7273
0,7357
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If you have the same or different vision for the future movement - comment!
Questioning with Why, Who, Which will give clue...? PTONAsk your self following and try to get answer by studying from any source:-
Why did gap 20% gap up opening?
Who have sold this stock at the top?
Which type of GAP is this?
You can type in comment section about it?
--> Study and Discussion always give new way of something, isn't it?
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Be-careful long traders on ITC. Price can be trade in range.
long-term trend is downward
expected no trading activities above attraction line.
price can rest between lower bound and attraction line.
project will help to how stock can perfect.
Advised to traders and investors: be careful to take long.