LULU: Luxury Powerhouse & Multi-Decade TrendsetterKey Rationale:
Fundamentals remain intact making this a very attractive time to be contrarian, ignore the pessimism and buy the dip. Always nice to buy what you know and can see around you.
Comments:
Credited with the development of athleisure. Hasn't yet seized Pickleball market opportunity.
Incessant selling due is unwarranted with one executive departing.
One of the best available Ex-U.S. stocks.
Potential tailwind off the back of Ozempic & GLP-1 craze.
Still a profitability powerhouse with pricing power because of its iconic brand.
Same-store sales are growing exponentially, and an expansionary opportunity abroad.
Narrow Moat, Exemplary Capital Allocation.
Luxury market is different from discount competitors, and luxury brands are seldom cheap.
3-Star Valuation on Morningstar, hasn't been this cheap since 2017.
Stellar Profitability, Growth, and Quality scores in GreenBlue (4, 29, and 125 out of 2982)
Proprietary Scores:
GreenBlue Cumulative Rank: 128/2982 (Lower = Better)
GreenBlue Current Rank: 407/2982 (Lower = Better)
GreenRed Rank: 225/499 (Lower = Better)
Gurufocus Score: 97/100 (Higher = Better)
Company Profile:
Lululemon Athletica designs, distributes, and markets athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women, men, and girls. Lululemon offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for both leisure and athletic activities such as yoga and running. The company also sells fitness accessories, such as bags, yoga mats, and equipment. Lululemon sells its products through more than 700 company-owned stores in about 20 countries, e-commerce, outlets, and wholesale accounts. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Competitors:
ROST, TJX, BURL, GPS, URBN
Risks:
This goes the path of Nike and is dead money for the near future.
TJX
The TJX Companies, ($TJX) Reported Q1 Financial ResultsThe TJX Companies, Inc. ( NYSE:TJX ) reported Q1 FY25 results, showing consolidated comparable store sales growth of 3% at the high-end of the company's plan, driven by an increase in customer transactions. The company also reported a pretax profit margin of 11.1%, up 0.8 percentage points compared to last year and well above its plan. The company's diluted earnings per share increased 22% compared to last year and was well above its plan.
TJX parent TJX Cos posted better-than-expected first-quarter results and raised its annual profit forecast on Wednesday, betting on easing costs and strong demand for its affordable products. Cooling inflation and lower prices compared to department stores have boosted sales across categories, including discretionary items that had slumped as inflation-wary customers limited shopping to essentials. The company's decade-old daily "treasure hunt" strategy also helped attract more customers, while lower freight costs and better inventory management strengthened its margins to 30%.
NYSE:TJX is benefiting as wealthy shoppers trade down to cheaper retailers, and customers across income levels look to score designer goods at an affordable price. Shares of the company were up 2% in premarket trading after TJX lifted annual earnings estimates to $4.03 to $4.09 per share from $3.94 to $4.02 it had previously forecast. Walmart's positive annual forecast and Home Depot's unchanged full-year expectation signal that shoppers in the United States have been resilient and retailers could see better recovery in discretionary demand.
NYSE:TJX maintained its annual sales forecast and reported a 6% rise to $12.48 billion in net sales for the first quarter ended March 4 from a year earlier, compared with LSEG estimates of $12.46 billion. On an adjusted basis, its profit of 93 cents per share beat analysts' estimate of 87 cents per share.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:TJX is up 5.55% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 69.24 which is quite overbought. The stock is approaching Pivot at $105 once reaching that milestone, a bullish campaign will be validated.
TJX Cos: Riding the Wave of Off-Price Retail Success TJX Cos ( NYSE:TJX ), the parent company of TJ Maxx, continues to defy expectations with a strong showing in its fourth-quarter results. Bolstered by robust holiday traffic and a compelling value proposition, NYSE:TJX surpassed market expectations, reaffirming its position as a powerhouse in the off-price retail segment.
The allure of off-price shopping has never been stronger, with budget-conscious consumers flocking to TJ Maxx ( NYSE:TJX ) stores in search of unbeatable deals on apparel, cosmetics, and gift assortments. As interest rates remain elevated, discount retailers like NYSE:TJX and Ross Stores capitalize on the bargain-seeking behavior of shoppers, siphoning market share from traditional department stores grappling with softer store traffic.
NYSE:TJX 's fourth-quarter performance exceeded expectations, with overall comparable store sales rising by an impressive 5%, driven by increased customer transactions indicative of robust holiday spending. However, the company's cautious outlook for fiscal 2025 reflects ongoing market volatility and the pressure on consumer wallets. Despite forecasting slightly lower comparable sales growth and earnings per share, NYSE:TJX remains poised for sustained success in the years ahead.
Key segments within TJX's portfolio, including the core Marmaxx and HomeGoods divisions, experienced notable growth, underscoring the company's diversified revenue streams and resilient business model. Lower freight costs and inventory management initiatives further bolstered earnings per share, surpassing analyst estimates and signaling operational efficiency.
NYSE:TJX remains committed to enhancing shareholder value through strategic initiatives, including a sizable share buyback plan and a substantial increase in quarterly dividends. These measures underscore management's confidence in the company's long-term prospects and its ability to navigate uncertain market conditions with agility and foresight.
In an era of unprecedented market volatility and shifting consumer preferences, TJX Cos ( NYSE:TJX ) stands as a beacon of stability and innovation, embodying the resilience and adaptability necessary to thrive in today's dynamic retail landscape. As the company continues to leverage its strengths and capitalize on emerging opportunities, its position as a leader in off-price retail remains unassailable.
TJX | Informative NYSE:TJX
If TJX Companies, Inc.'s stock price surpasses the bullish line located roughly at $90.31:
Bullish Target Price 1: $90.63, identified by the horizontal line drawn around that level, can act as a resistance point.
If the stock price falls below the bearish line located at $89.56:
Bearish Target Price 1: $88.63 appears to be the next support, based on the line illustrated.
TJX Companies Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of The TJX Companies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 86usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-8-18,
for a premium of approximately $1.82.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Using Bollinger Bands to engage in Options Trades Bollinger bands are not prediction machines. They are more like the gutters at the bowling alley. They are math based and rear view mirrors of what has happened in the past. They are customizable to your settings.
I like to use them as a quick reference to tell me what is normal price action in the past. I would never use them alone.
Combing valuation of the company, along with macro view of economy, and only then using technical like Bollinger bands is the way I like to trade. Bollinger Bands give me confidence to engage, thats it.
In the video I cover a case study of a vertical spread trade in TJX and how Im using Bollinger Bands as a rough guide for my placing my option strikes.
Hope you enjoy the discussion.
rocket ship and comment if you do ! Cheers!
Have You Seen TJX Companies Shooting Star? TJX ended the day with a shooting star on the daily in confluence with a rising wedge pattern.
Bias-short
I plan to short TJX after a break below the head of the shooting star and the 1H trendline (for a safe entry). I will more than likely enter a small swing position to catch the move.
Short float % is 0.95% as of 15 November 2022. Please be mindful that the short float % will update on the 1st of December.
*This is not financial advice.
Willing & Able,
MrALtrades00
7/17/22 TJXTJX Companies, Inc. (The) ( NYSE:TJX )
Sector: Retail Trade (Apparel/Footwear Retail)
Market Capitalization: $70.954B
Current Price: $60.56
Breakout price: $63.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $59.80-$55.50
Price Target: $64.50-$65.40 (1st), $84.40-$85.20 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 39-42d (1st), 194-209d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $TJX 8/19/22 62.5c, $TJX 1/20/23 62.5c, $4.80/contract
Trade price as of publish date: $1.66/contract, $4.80/contract
BUY TJX Companies (TJX) for a move up to $89.50Dear followers & copiers,
💎We've just opened a LONG $TJX (TJX Companies Inc) position using 3.63% of our equity. You can follow our corporate investment portfolio for FREE on eToro. 📈
What does $TJX actually do? ✅
The company is based in Framingham, MA, and is a leading off-price retailer of apparel and home fashion goods both in the U.S. as well as globally.
TJX Companies has become a world widely recognized brand and symbol of buying goo-quality fashion products at a fair price. The company has more than 4,300 stores worldwide, which makes TJX a truly global enterprise.
TJX Companies has always focused on introducing a wide range of products across at varying prices in an attempt to appeal to a larger customer audience. Furthermore, The TJX Companies implements very well the rapid turn of inventory strategy for attracting customers, where the company basically creates the sense of urgency and scarcity for its products.
🥇One of the most important things not only in an oversaturated sector like Retail, but also in an industry like Fashion retail is to be able to build a strong USP, as that would help you to separate yourself from the pack and stand out in some way. The company has been able to distinguish itself from traditional retailers through the usage of opportunistic buying strategies and the facilitation of a flexible business model.
Furthermore, The TJX Companies has established its operations through the implementation of a generally low-cost structure , which definitely sets it apart from other traditional retailers. For example, in order to maintain control on costs, the company has chosen to promote retail banners, rather than specific brands.
From a distribution network standpoint, $TJX is also designed in a cost effective and efficient manner. One of the ways through which the company has managed to accomplish that is through the development of strong relations with the vendors that $TJX is working with. TJX Companies later uses these strong relationships in order to leverage buying power, negotiate better business parameters and deals.
💯The TJX Companies operates through four business segments:
In the U.S., it operates through two segments, namely, Marmaxx (through stores under the names of T.J. Maxx and Marshalls) and HomeGoods.
Marmaxx divisions (60.3% of FY21 Sales) sell family apparel (including footwear and accessories), home fashions (including home basics, accent furniture, lamps, rugs, wall décor, decorative accessories and giftware) and other merchandise.
HomeGoods (18.9% of FY21 Sales) chain offers home basics, giftware, accent furniture, lamps, rugs, wall décor and decorative accessories from around the world, seasonal and other merchandise.
In Canada, it operates through TJX Canada (8.8% of FY21 Sales) through stores under the names of Winners, Marshalls and HomeSense and in Europe, it operates through TJX International (12% of FY21 Sales) through stores under the names of T.K. Maxx and HomeSense.
Why we bought the stock? 🤩
The HomeGoods segment has been seeing robust demand for a while now. In Q2, comp store sales of those stores that have remained open surged 36% YoY. The strong upside should not be a surprise to investors as TJX Companies has experienced solid and continuous sales growth not only in just few categories but rather across its whole product portfolio. The Net Profit from the HomeGoods' segment was also up 42% from fiscal 2020 levels.
Another major positive catalyst for the stock in the future will be the launch of homegoods.com in Q3 of this year. We believe that this is a major step in the right direction for $TJX, which will drastically improve its profitability and increase its customer base. With the secular bull market that we are seeing in the Real Estate sector and the favorable demographic development around Millenials and Gen Z becoming first-time home owners, we expect to see hundreds of millions of people needing a place to buy qualitative home furnishing goods at a relatively low price. TJX Companies will be in a great position to offer just that!
The company has continued to invest heavily in its marketing and advertising campaigns and has further developed attractive, innovative and different loyalty programs, gift giving initiatives, "treasure hunt shopping" and other club benefits.
As a result of the serious increase in online shopping worldwide TJX Companies has undertaken several initiatives to boost its online sales and strengthen its e-commerce business. This shows that the company is willing to evolve together with the always-changing market conditions.
On the Q2 earnings call, the management highlighted that it is seeing impressive sales growth for both the U.S. and U.K. online businesses. The TJX Companies’ off-price model, together with its strategic store locations, impressive brands and fashion products, are definitely expected to serve as a strong catalyst for both in stores and online performance.
📈 Technical Analysis 📈
After the most recent 10% correction in the stock price, #TJX is currently sitting at a very strong support zone around the $68-70 range. As you can see on the chart there are few key supports that are currently in play. Firstly, we have the 50-day EMA, which is currently sitting at a around $70, then we also have the upward sloping diagonal support of the uptrend that started at the end of March, 2020, lying at $68. Last but not least we have the 200-day EMA sitting at $66.47 acting as a safety net to the downside. Following the great fundamental story behind the company, the fantastic discount in the stock price, the strong uptrend that the stock has been moving within for over a year and a half now and the multitude of technical supports lying at current levels we are strongly BULLISH on the stock for both the short and mid-term. Our year-end price target for #TJX is $89.50. 🚀🚀🚀
Sincerely,
Dow Experts